Dan Ives: Why Trillion-Dollar Tech Stocks Are Just Getting Started

Dan Ives: Why Trillion-Dollar Tech Stocks Are Just Getting Started

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Entry is the asset's closing price on the publication date. Current is the last close on record.

  1. 01 PLTR NASDAQ BUY +30.97%
    Entry $129.30 05 Jul 2026
    Current $169.34 07 Aug 2026
    Result +$40.04

    When I look at names from Palantir to some of the cyber security names, and especially names like Microsoft, Oracle, I think Alphabet from the way it's sold off here, those are the names where I would rather be focused.

  2. 02 MSFT NASDAQ BUY +28.81%
    Entry $390.49 05 Jul 2026
    Current $502.97 07 Aug 2026
    Result +$112.48

    When I look at names from Palantir to some of the cyber security names, and especially names like Microsoft, Oracle, I think Alphabet from the way it's sold off here, those are the names where I would rather be focused.

  3. 03 ORCL NYSE BUY +2.28%
    Entry $140.27 05 Jul 2026
    Current $143.47 06 Aug 2026
    Result +$3.20

    When I look at names from Palantir to some of the cyber security names, and especially names like Microsoft, Oracle, I think Alphabet from the way it's sold off here, those are the names where I would rather be focused.

  4. 04 GOOGL NASDAQ BUY -0.60%
    Entry $359.91 05 Jul 2026
    Current $357.75 06 Aug 2026
    Result −$2.16

    When I look at names from Palantir to some of the cyber security names, and especially names like Microsoft, Oracle, I think Alphabet from the way it's sold off here, those are the names where I would rather be focused.

  5. 05 ADBE NASDAQ SELL -21.56%
    Entry $219.72 05 Jul 2026
    Current $267.10 07 Aug 2026
    Result −$47.38

    That is hard to bring up a scenario where I see Adobe in a positive way.

    Context It's really within software, and then there's like Adobe. Like that's I think it's more stock So, I view it as stock specific as names like Adobe, Intuit. ... That is hard to bring up a scenario where I see Adobe in a positive way.

  6. 06 INTU NASDAQ SELL -20.76%
    Entry $275.35 05 Jul 2026
    Current $332.50 07 Aug 2026
    Result −$57.15

    Like I view it as stock specific as names like Adobe, Intuit. Like I look at names like on the wrong side of this, some of the IT services players, cuz I view those as industry those are share donors.

    Context It's really within software, and then there's like Adobe. Like that's I think it's more stock So, I view it as stock specific as names like Adobe, Intuit. Like I look at names like on the wrong side of this, some of the IT services players, cuz I view those as industry those are share donors.

  7. 07 NVDA NASDAQ BUY +14.86%
    Entry $194.83 05 Jul 2026
    Current $223.78 07 Aug 2026
    Result +$28.95

    There's one chip in the world fueling the AI revolution. And it's Nvidia. And I think that is not factored in the street numbers. ... I think we look out the next two three quarters. I think it's a different story for Nvidia.

    Context There's one chip in the world fueling the AI revolution. And it's Nvidia. And I think that is not factored in the street numbers. Now, investors clearly discounting it. You see how the stock trading. But I think we look out the next two three quarters. I think it's a different story for Nvidia.

  8. 08 AMD NASDAQ BUY -6.80%
    Entry $517.82 05 Jul 2026
    Current $482.61 07 Aug 2026
    Result −$35.21

    But the spillover effect for AMD just like we see with Alphabet. And I think that's going to continue to play out.

    Context But in terms of the AI revolution, we're only 15% through overall spend. ... But the spillover effect for AMD just like we see with Alphabet. And I think that's going to continue to play out.

Full Transcript
get to, but we want to sort of fold you into this conversation that we have are having since we are at quarter end, we're at, you know, first half end. What do you foresee in terms of the second half of the year? Do we still see the semi trade win out? Do we still see the software trade as a losing one? I mean, where do you think are the best opportunities in tech? >> Look, I mean, it starts off, I mean, our checks from Taiwan and Korea, they're showing demand accelerates. So, I actually think going into this earning season, it's going to be a catalyst for the hyper scalers relative to what we see up from a cloud growth perspective. And then I think it spreads to software. When I look at names from Palantir to some of the cyber security names, and especially names like Microsoft, Oracle, I think Alphabet from the way it's sold off here, those are the names where I would rather be focused. Now, I still believe chip names continue to go higher just because the demand and supply is 12 to 1. And those numbers will continue to go higher. Memory, that's obviously sort of foundational to everything we're seeing, but we are very bullish going into the second half of the year. >> let me put the question this way. Is there Is there an area of tech No, no, no, it's not But is there a sub sector in tech that you don't like? I mean, are you just bullish across the board? Cuz it does feel like you come on, you're like, I love this, I like software, I like chips, chips will go I mean, what don't you like? >> the least? >> it's really within software, and then there's like Adobe. Like that's I think it's more stock So, I view it as stock specific as names like Adobe, Intuit. Like I look at names like on the wrong side of this, some of the IT services players, cuz I view those as industry those are share donors. So, to me, it's very hard to just say, "Okay, I'm negative on software." because I actually view that will be some of the hearts and lungs of the trade. It will It's really a stock picker's market to some extent when you actually buy for >> So, that that's I think it's fascinating to to bring up software because we know they've been in the eye of the storm and then at different times and suddenly that that that market that that sector had a lot or sub sector had a lot of volatility. But talk about Adobe, because Adobe's been dead in the mud for 4 years. Um or or at least depending on where you're picking your chart. Um I would make an argument that they didn't even get thrown out the minute software stocks got thrown out. They got thrown out 2 years ago. Um and it became an under-appreciated stock. Is there something that you think Adobe has uh intrinsic to you know, they have a very wide subscriber base, um but it's not growing very fast. >> Yeah, but you can be going 30 miles an hour in the right lane. And the reality is strategically you've had some change in terms of CEO. They need to do some major strategic changes. Is whether it's acquisition or selling off piece of the business. I think until investors see that, well, they just sit there melting ice cubes. And I think that's the reality versus let's take a Microsoft. Now look at a Microsoft. That's an example I think street's way mispricing what Azure growth is going to be. >> I'm sorry. So you So you said you you didn't like Adobe. >> No. I do To me To me Adobe To me Adobe's one where >> Yeah. >> That is hard to bring up a scenario where I see Adobe in a positive way. >> Are we going to do a little who wore it best or not? >> I mean I know >> I think I think that's >> Can we split them up? Let's split screen. >> I actually think I thought Nathan in that but that's okay. >> All right. So let's go to back to the semi trade. We see the parabolic nature and then ones that we really haven't seen the product yet. We haven't seen the build out yet. We have seen the orders and people are taking that to the bank and they're giving a multiple to those orders. But when you look at Nvidia, you look at Broadcom. I mean these stocks are massively underperforming, right? The stocks and also the broad market. And so what does that say about it? Because those those they're defensible. I mean those valuations, that sort of thing. So and Nvidia's numbers, they're just going higher and they keep getting revised higher, but the stock can't get out of its own way. >> But that go back to like Alphabet's narrative a year ago. All right, like it's done DOJ, AI is going to ruin search. Now look at this year. Nvidia's one like we're only halfway through where I believe the guy of other Jensen's going to take it because physically I There's one There's one chip in the world fueling the AI revolution. And it's Nvidia. And I think that is not factored in the street numbers. Now, investors clearly discounting it. You see how the stock trading. But I think we look out the next two three quarters. I think it's a different story for Nvidia. And I do think memory Now, I obviously I spent a lot of time in Korea. That has gotten me be a little ahead of itself just given what we saw. But it it doesn't speak to where we're we are We're still third inning, one out in AI race. >> How do custom chips eat away at Nvidia GPUs? >> I mean, look, I don't see that that's something that would really be a threat for another three to four years. Now, at one point it will. You're seeing the arms race. You'll see the competition. But for now, I mean, that's why even in China, they would rather have a third-rate Nvidia chip. It's still a year and a half two years ahead of Huawei. And I think they right now the competition will continue to increase. But the spillover effect for AMD just like we see with Alphabet. And I think that's going to continue to play out. But in terms of the AI revolution, we're only 15% through overall spend. >> Um I do want to ask you about SpaceX. You're initiating coverage, outperform rating, $190 price target. Um at least in the first few paragraphs, you don't mention Mars. It's all about being a hyperscaler. So, how do they compete against the ones that exist? >> Okay, I mean, we view it as a sum of the parts valuation. When you look at on the compute side to AI to space, it's much more of an AI play. And that's our whole view from a data perspective. This is one I Today from a revenue, is it super expensive? Of course. When you go out next two three years, if they execute, I could argue this becomes one of the best AI plays in the market. And that's why we're bullish here. I think you got to see around the corner rather than just looking at value

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