The $100,000 Trade Is Over... Here's What I'm Buying Now

The $100,000 Trade Is Over... Here's What I'm Buying Now

Analyzed Watch on YouTube Requested On
Video return
+1.65%
Calls
1
Buy / Sell
1 0
Published

Recommendations

Entry is the asset's closing price on the publication date. Current is the last close on record.

  1. FCX NYSE BUY +1.31%
    Entry $67.30 04 Aug 2026
    Current $68.18 06 Aug 2026
    Result +$0.88

    Now, the first one's going to be FCX, Freeport Macaran. ... So, all you do is you, you know, you buy a couple hundred shares of this um at the market stop loss.

Full Transcript
Last week, I told you about a $100,000 bet I was making following the blow up of Leopold Aren Briner's hedge fund. And the idea was simple. This large multi-billion dollar hedge fund got into trouble. They were overleveraged. They got margin called forcing them to liquidate large positions that exacerbated a sell-off. And I thought this is overdone. These stocks fell further than they should have because of the mechanism, because of the supply and demand, not the stock. and they're likely to bounce in the short term. And right now, I'm going to give you an update on that position. So, as I mentioned in that video, I bought the 10 stocks I believe are the largest holdings in his portfolio. I put $10,000 into each one of those stocks. And as you can see, I've currently got an unrealized profit of $14,100. Now, it's actually more like 15 change because it's showing this Jack in a Box position as if I'm down $1,400. I'm actually not down on Jack, but I bought it once, was stopped out, bought it again. So, it's doing what's called a wash sale. It's giving me an average cost of 1830 when really my cost is down here in the but nonetheless, this is the portfolio. And we look at the stocks. Some of these have done phenomenally well. And again, I've only been in these stocks for like four or five trading days. 20%, 30%, 18, 23, 20, and then the Micron and the Western Digital. Haven't really done much. But what I've got here is essentially 15% return uh on these trades in less than a week. That is the pop I was looking for, right? What I was looking for is a retracement. Yes, these were declining, right? But the the selloff was exacerbated by liquidation of the hedge fund. Same thing with core. See, it sold off. Now it's ripped right back, but they're pushing back into the moving averages. They still are in downtrends. I don't want to be greedy on this. So, I'm going to go ahead and close these out. I always like to be transparent with you guys what I'm doing. So, I am going to liquidate these positions, capture the gain. This was not about building a long-term position that I would hold for years on end. It was about a short-term overcorrection in the market that we could capture the profit on as it returned. So, right now, I'm doing just that, closing out each of these positions. Gains anywhere from 3 to 5% to 25 or 30%. Um, but again, they may go higher, right? I I may very well be leaving money on the table, but what we've done there is cashed out uh about a 14 to $15,000 profit. And again, I bought all these stocks what, Wednesday? No, Thursday. Thursday, I bought them right here. So, I had them Thursday, Friday, Monday, and then this morning. Three and a half trading. All right. So, anyway, wanted to show you that. Uh, let you know what I'm doing there. Those of you who followed along, great, fantastic. I hope you made some money alongside me. But let's look for some new opportunities today. Now guys, by the way, if you have not already signed up my Black Ops trading service, go ahead right now, click the link in the description, scan the code, or just go to tradewiths.com. It's five bucks for the whole year. If you took my advice on this one video, you made decades worth of this. For that $5, you're going to get uh live weekly mentoring sessions every week with me, an hour every single week. I'll teach you this stuff. I'll show you how to find these opportunities. Uh you'll get my weekly newsletter, indicators, bonus reports, a ton of stuff. Just five bucks. So, don't waste any more time. Go ahead and get signed up for that. Five bucks, whole year, no strings. Okay. So, anyway, the new opportunities. Now, the first one's going to be FCX, Freeport Macaran. And the reason I like this copper, which I've been long since bullish on, is breaking out now. Okay, so this is a chart of copper futures. The ticker is HG. And I really thought they would rip over in here, which they did temporarily, right? So, you get that that that go-to pattern where it comes in kind of a cup with handle, breaks out, but we had all this turmoil in Iran. And I know Iran is not a big copper producer or anything, but it just made the market risk off when the NASDAQ and the tech stocks aren't running. Copper typically doesn't run either since the big use case and the big demand increase is coming with the data center buildouts. So it formed this kind of like what I would call a base on base. So this is base one over here and then it comes in and and consolidates and tightens and forms like base number two. So you got a breakout on a breakout which historically is pretty strong. Okay. So if copper is going to run, I want to either own copper, which you could do via like CPER, which the copper buy that, but I'm going to pick FCX because Freeport Macaran is the largest copper producer miner in the US. And so as copper prices rise, their profits rise in an exaggerated form of that. Okay, so real basic numbers, these are not real numbers, but let's just pretend they were. If it costs them $3 a pound to mine it and they're selling it for six a pound, great, they're making three bucks. But if that price goes from six to eight, it goes up, you know, what is that? 33%. Their profit goes 3 to five, their profit goes up 70, 80%. So the miners, when the metal they're mining, whether it's gold or silver or copper, goes up 20, 30%, their profits go up 40, 50, 60%. Now, the downside is also true. Don't hold these forever. But what we have is a is a stock that's been consolidating all of 2026. Kind of have this little low base forming in there. It's not perfect, but it's pretty clean. Nice big gap up here. So, there's two ways to trade this. The first, if you want to see, hey, either this is it or it's not, is to trade this real tight. And you would come in, buy it here, stop loss at like whatever the low of today ends up being. So, just buy it at the end of the day, put a stop at today's low. Either this is a start of something or it's not. Um the easier way to do it would just be to put a stop kind of down here at about $60.5. You're risking about 9% the last little 3-day base just beneath the 20 and 50-day moving average to see it is in fact a start of something. So 9% risk in a leading copper producer and a copper what I believe super cycle that is just getting kicked off. I think worth worth the risk here. So, all you do is you, you know, you buy a couple hundred shares of this um at the market stop loss. Again, I think about $60 is about all I want to risk. Set that stop is good tail cancelceled. Uh buy that. Okay. Long FCX from $660. All right. Second idea. gold. Now, yes, I'm leaning pretty hard in the metals right now. Why? Well, one, just made a decent little chunk on tech, so I'm happy there. That the NASDAQ is is it's coming back, but it's still pretty whippy. We're seeing rotation from kind of the supply chain names of AI into some of the different areas. It It's just kind of a transitional period. We look at the the uh industry strength indicator. This is obviously free. This is that free indicator that comes with the Black Ops membership for five bucks. But, you know, we're not seeing really clear leadership. Semiconductors obviously were leading. That's no longer the case. Cyber security was strong. It's kind of falling off. So, we're just in a bit of a rotation. But let me show you what I am seeing. Gold market. So, that breakout pattern that I beat you guys over the head with week to week is extremely extremely well done in the metals markets. And the reason being what does this show us? It shows us supply and demand. Metals commodities trade purely on supply and demand. There's no earnings shocks. There's no CEO stepping down. So these patterns tend to do exceptionally well during these breakouts. And the same pattern we look for at the tops. We look forward to low. And look what we're seeing here in gold. So gold, it's it had a rough 2026. It had a amazing 2025. It has pulled back. And what I've been waiting for is some signs of consolidation showing that the buyers are stepping in, getting ready for the next leg higher. And I think we're seeing that here. So, look, we've got this decline. You know, from the January peak, gold came down 2930% pretty healthy. I've talked about this multiple times and I wanted to buy here around 4,000 because we have this last big area acceptance. It's an area I could see it's stalling at. It's exactly what it's done. So, good. It's so far doing we want. But look at this. Look at this shadowing here. So, we're coming in. We're kind of basing out. The dips are getting lower and shallower. The price action is tightening. It's holding against this resistance at kind of 4,200ish. So, I think gold is a buy above here above this kind of $4,200 mark. All right. So, I'm going to do this as a breakout. Now, if you want to just trade like GLD, a stock instead of the futures, that's fine. It's the same pattern there in GLD we saw in gold uh gold future. So, again, just kind of draw you a line in here. I think you can buy this on a breakout of call it you know 380 383 and if you buy position in gold there don't need to risk a lot four 5% and if you're right and this is the the return and we should get 10 15 20 plus percent on the upside you could even trade a leverage product or something if you pick so anyway I think gold is a buy above 380 GLD is a buy above 383 gold itself gold futures the move would be above 4190 $4,200 but I'm closely watching gold to buy that on a breakout in okay so that's the two trades uh one FCX for the move in copper and then gold either via the ETF which is GLD gold futures which is GC even have leveraged gold ETFs you can do a minor there's lots of ways to play gold I want to tell you how to do I think we have an opportunity setting up in gold and wanted to update you on that $100,000 abr blow trade. Hopefully you guys made some money with me. Folks, don't forget, subscribe to the channel. And again, that $5 Black Ops special still going on. If you're ready to take your trading to the next level, if you want to learn how to find leading stocks and leading groups, what the patterns are to predict movements, how to keep risk tight and and and big leave big upside of the table, please join. We'll do this live. I'll look at your stocks. I'll show you what I'm looking at. We'll walk through this A to B every week for a year, all for $5. I hope to have you.

Comments 0

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!