*BIG MOVE* Could be Coming Tomorrow for The Stock Market
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Entry is the asset's closing price on the publication date. Current is the last close on record.
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Entry $339.96 13 Aug 2026Current $339.96 13 Aug 2026Result +$0.00
Robotics, something like Tesla, right?
Context “There’s four areas. Robotics, something like Tesla, right?”
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Entry $379.63 13 Aug 2026Current $379.63 13 Aug 2026Result +$0.00
automation, zebra technologies, symbotic, rock wall, automation, a UI path, right?
Context “Number two is automation, zebra technologies, symbotic, rock wall, automation, a UI path, right?”
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Entry $41.80 13 Aug 2026Current $41.80 13 Aug 2026Result +$0.00
automation, zebra technologies, symbotic, rock wall, automation, a UI path, right?
Context “Number two is automation, zebra technologies, symbotic, rock wall, automation, a UI path, right?”
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Entry $445.51 13 Aug 2026Current $447.93 13 Aug 2026Result +$2.42
automation, zebra technologies, symbotic, rock wall, automation, a UI path, right?
Context “Number two is automation, zebra technologies, symbotic, rock wall, automation, a UI path, right?”
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Entry $16.68 13 Aug 2026Current $15.26 12 Aug 2026Result −$1.42
automation, zebra technologies, symbotic, rock wall, automation, a UI path, right?
Context “Number two is automation, zebra technologies, symbotic, rock wall, automation, a UI path, right?”
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Entry $29.62 13 Aug 2026Current $29.62 13 Aug 2026Result +$0.00
AI software like uh Zeta Global or a Palenteer, maybe even a Microsoft for that matter, right?
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Entry $179.01 13 Aug 2026Current $179.01 13 Aug 2026Result +$0.00
AI software like uh Zeta Global or a Palenteer, maybe even a Microsoft for that matter, right?
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Entry $496.88 13 Aug 2026Current $496.88 13 Aug 2026Result +$0.00
AI software like uh Zeta Global or a Palenteer, maybe even a Microsoft for that matter, right?
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Entry $188.18 13 Aug 2026Current $181.10 13 Aug 2026Result −$7.09
cyber security like Rubric and Zcaler and Palo Alto and Crowd Strike and some of the smaller ones like a Net Scope or a you know Fastly, right
Context “And then cyber security like Rubric and Zcaler and Palo Alto and Crowd Strike and some of the smaller ones like a Net Scope or a you know Fastly, right…”
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Entry $396.00 13 Aug 2026Current $396.00 13 Aug 2026Result +$0.00
cyber security like Rubric and Zcaler and Palo Alto and Crowd Strike and some of the smaller ones like a Net Scope or a you know Fastly, right
Context “And then cyber security like Rubric and Zcaler and Palo Alto and Crowd Strike and some of the smaller ones like a Net Scope or a you know Fastly, right…”
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Entry $225.53 13 Aug 2026Current $225.53 13 Aug 2026Result +$0.00
cyber security like Rubric and Zcaler and Palo Alto and Crowd Strike and some of the smaller ones like a Net Scope or a you know Fastly, right
Context “And then cyber security like Rubric and Zcaler and Palo Alto and Crowd Strike and some of the smaller ones like a Net Scope or a you know Fastly, right…”
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Entry $30.02 13 Aug 2026Current $30.02 13 Aug 2026Result +$0.00
cyber security like Rubric and Zcaler and Palo Alto and Crowd Strike and some of the smaller ones like a Net Scope or a you know Fastly, right
Context “And then cyber security like Rubric and Zcaler and Palo Alto and Crowd Strike and some of the smaller ones like a Net Scope or a you know Fastly, right…”
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Entry $105.09 13 Aug 2026Current $104.58 13 Aug 2026Result −$0.51
cyber security like Rubric and Zcaler and Palo Alto and Crowd Strike and some of the smaller ones like a Net Scope or a you know Fastly, right
Context “And then cyber security like Rubric and Zcaler and Palo Alto and Crowd Strike and some of the smaller ones like a Net Scope or a you know Fastly, right…”
Full Transcript
There are four different topics we're going to cover in today's video. Number one, we have economic data coming out tomorrow morning. I will share with you the expectations around that and how that could move the markets. Number two, the midterm correction or unwind to those fears. This is something you have to understand right now as we are like 2 3 months away from the midterm election itself. Number three, the broadening trade versus AI hardware. These are two very different trades in this market. Number four, the new AI trade and tailwinds for this new AI trade. If you're totally confused, you have no idea what I just said in the last two points here. We will talk about it in today's episode. Don't worry, the YouTube algorithm landed you at the right place at the right time to capitalize on this opportunity. Don't worry at all. We'll get into it. The only thing that I ask you guys to do on this channel ever is to hit the like button for the YouTube algorithm to help more people land on this video, to help more people make more money. And let's begin. So, we will start with the data coming out tomorrow morning because that's the easiest thing to get out the way. So, first and foremost, today the markets did well because PPI came in a lot lower than expected, especially for headline PPI. In case you don't know, PPI is producer price index. CPI is consumer price index. So if there's a lot of inflation coming, right, you would expect to see that show up in PPI, like inflation hits company cost and then companies pass that inflation on to consumers, right? So PPI should go up before CPI. So the fact that PPI came in so low today, damn near in deflation territory, it's a good sign that there's not a whole lot of inflation coming down the pike. We also had initial jobless claims that came in at 209,000. The expectation was around 202,000 and that was higher than last week. So, putting all of this together with our recent CPI report that came basically in line with estimates, you now have a market that is no longer fully pricing in one rate hike this year. You're pricing in like 23 basis points of hikes. So, like you're still pricing in federal funds rates to move higher, but not a full rate hike at this point. And I do think we'll talk about this in just a moment. Every time we get good data that supports the Fed not hiking rates, the markets are going to take that positively. Now, tomorrow, same story here, right? We're going to get retail sales month over month. You're expecting 0.1%. A really strong retail sales report is probably going to be seen as negative from the market's perspective. You want to see retail sales come in at or below expectations. Expectations currently consensus is around 0.1% month overmonth and last month was positive 0.2%. So that's going to be a big catalyst tomorrow morning again because what it implies for the Fed. You also get Michigan consumer sentiment. Um, yeah. Yeah, you get the headline number here, but Wall Street mostly cares about 5-year inflation expectations. You're expecting those to fall from 3.3% down to 3.2%. Current conditions expected to fall as well. Uh, consumer expectations expected to fall also. And one-year inflation expectations expected to fall from 4.2% down to 4.1%. So, this data comes out at 10:00 in the morning. Retail sales comes out at 8:30. So that data tomorrow morning, depending on how it comes out, could cause the markets to have another big move. Again, consider it is Friday, option expiration, blah blah blah. Add that to it and tomorrow stocks could move quite a bit. Okay, number two here I think is a very important point. It is the midterm correction slash unwind. Now, historically, you tend to get a correction before the midterms, right? You tend to peak out late August and then kind of sell off throughout the month of September and then bottom in early October and then you start a 10month rally after that. Yeah. From October, early October through July or August of the following year. So you just tend to literally go vertical for 9 to 10 months. That's I think what we need to be preparing for at this current moment. That's how we need to be positioning portfolios for who really cares what happens over the next couple of weeks. But I will tell you the NASDAQ specifically came down 11 and a half%. It's not even back to new highs. It bottomed on July 29th. You may have already gotten the midterm correction already. Okay, it may have already happened. The S&P looks a lot different. The S&P has done better. Um, it looks kind of weird. you kind of just went straight up. You've been consolidating for a little while. You hit a new all-time high today. But I don't think there is any reason why you would have to have some kind of large correction again. Even though that does tend to happen in September, it could just be a little bit more volatile. You don't have to have a correction. And I actually don't think a correction is the highest probable outcome here. Now, I would say a correction is probably like a 25% probability, like a 10% correction, just because anything can happen, you know, who knows? Uh, I would say there's probably a 25% chance of kind of a 5% rangebound move, you know, higher, lower, just kind of rangebound. And then I would say there's probably like a 25% chance that we go up a little bit. Maybe a 25% chance like the Iran war ends and you know inflation continues continues to come down. PCE report comes in really good or something like that and then we just start the 10-month rally early right even before the midterms. But I will also tell you that via this seasonality and concerns around the Fed, concerns around inflation, concerns around all of these different things right now, the war with Iran and midterms themselves. There's a lot of hedging right now for a midterm premidterm correction. So there's a lot of fear and hedges out there in the marketplace right now for this seasonality. Well, after the midterms, a big reason why we're likely to rally is because you unwind those hedges, right? After the midterms, people start to say, "Okay, cool. We're we're good." Now, I will also tell you that I think there's a heavy bias towards deescalation in this Iran conflict or to at least get oil prices lower um right before the midterms because Republicans are not going to do well in the midterms if gas is still around these levels by November 3rd, right? So I think there is a heavy bias towards lowering oil prices and giving consumers a break and that will be positive for the markets as well. So there's always the chance of escalation with this Iran war but I do think over the next two to three months there is a greater chance of deescalation even if it is just shortterm that could uh fuel the markets to move higher. Now number three here, broadening versus AI hardware. And you kind of have to put this market into two different categories, right? There is the broadening trade and there is the AI hardware trade, the hyperscaler trade, if you will, could also be included in that. And they're just completely opposite trades right now. Like in the portfolio started at the start of this year for the trading community, it's up 87.5% year to date. This is the broadening trade. This is not the AI hardware trade. This is not, you know, positioned in that trade. I sold out of a lot of those stocks, you know, early 2026 and started redeploying capital into better opportunities. And this portfolio is a perfect representation of the broadening trade. It has even accelerated recently, ever since, you know, even the NASDAQ fell 11 12%. This portfolio barely felt any of that. I think it fell like 3 to 5% something like that. It was it was very minimal and then um actually by the time the correction was done the portfolio was up like 1% month to date at the time right um that the NASDAQ actually hit those lows and I remember sharing that with you guys on this channel. So the broadening trade and the AI hardware trade are completely different right now. By the way, if you guys want to come trade and invest alongside of us, that link is down below in the description of today's episode. All we do is go out and find opportunities. It sounds simple, but there's a lot of emotions that kind of run wild in the markets. So, if you can take a neutral view towards things, you can actually find the opportunities. There are so many people that are uber bulls or uber bears that can't see the sunshine from the damn, you know, or they can't see the trees from the forest, right? Uh, and they can't spot opportunity. And all we're doing is beating the markets, beating Wall Street, beating the hedge funds to the opportunities. Again, you can have all the information in the world, but when you're, you know, trying to make short-term profits for your clients, you're going to miss out on the bigger opportunities. And, uh, that is what we are capitalizing on. That link is down below if you guys would like to come join us. But again, I show you this partially because it's the broadening trade, right? The broadening trade has been working and it's been working very well and I think there's a lot of fuel on the fire for the broadening trade to continue. Right? Let's just think about current market conditions. Wall Street, they're scared of the Fed raising rates. It's number one. I don't think we're going to get rate hikes. So, there's a big disconnect there, which is going to be good for the broading trade. It's also good for hardware. I should point this out. It's good for hardware. It's good for hyperscalers, but it's not as good for hyperscalers, right? Or or hardware. That trade really doesn't care about what the Fed's doing or what inflation looks like. They're going to spend. The numbers are going to be the numbers. Although not getting rate hikes is good for all of the markets. It's much better for the broadening trade [crying] for small caps, cyclicals, industrials, right? Um, and the new AI trade that we'll talk about in just a moment. You have oil that's still very elevated and the Iran war going on. You know, the Iran war coming to an end or deescalating or oil prices coming down in one way, shape, or form. Again, it's good for the hardware trade. It's good for AI stocks, but it's better for the broadening. Okay? And eventually, I think that'll happen. Um, and then last but not least, the midterms themselves. You know, Wall Street right now, they're going out and they're hedging in these cyclical areas. They're not going out necessarily hedging by shorting Nvidia. They're going out and shorting these other stocks and then staying long, you know, the the AI trade, the hardware trade. So, especially as the midterms, you know, come to an end. That's going to be positive as the war with Iran settles down. That's going to be really positive for the broadening as we don't get rate hikes. That is really good for the broadening. And it's just a bigger positive for the broadening trade than it is for the AI hardware trade. I will also tell you unfortunately AI hardware stocks the FOMO is never coming back or at least not for a long time. And that brings us to topic number four, the new AI trade and tailwinds for this. Okay, AI hardware, they had their moment. When you have FOMO and leverage and everyone loving the same area of the markets, people kind of forget about everything else. Everything else just gets forgotten about. And that is a big reason our portfolio is up almost 87% year to date is because Wall Street just forgot about everything else and they let us pick up these insane deals in the markets, right? And that happens all the time. Sometimes on on smaller scales, not too often do you have a whole group of the markets just getting bought like crazy and then everything else getting forgotten. But nonetheless, for this new AI trade, it's very simple. There's four areas. Robotics, something like Tesla, right? Number two is automation, zebra technologies, symbotic, rock wall, automation, a UI path, right? So robotics, automation, AI software like uh Zeta Global or a Palenteer, maybe even a Microsoft for that matter, right? There's a lot of different ways you could play that. And then cyber security like Rubric and Zcaler and Palo Alto and Crowd Strike and some of the smaller ones like a Net Scope or a you know Fastly, right, which kind of cyber. Um, these are the next big trades within the AI trade itself, but we haven't quite crossed into that that crossed over that gray period yet that I've described on this channel. Like AI hardware, that trade is ending and a new one is starting, but we're in this gray period because of midterms and Fed concerns and Iran war concerns. There's so much uncertainty out there that Wall Street, they're not jumping head first into the new AI trade just yet. But I think that's after the midterms. After the midterms, that's when people begin to jump into the new AI trade. So, I'm actually again really bullish on this market right now. But it's not, you can't just paint the markets with the same brush, right? There's certain opportunities that look really good to me. certain opportunities that don't look as good to me and they offer different levels of, you know, risk and reward. So, let me know your thoughts on this down below in the comments section. Again, if you guys want to come trade and invest alongside of us, that link is down below in the description of today's episode. Have a fantastic rest of your day and I will see you in the next
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