MIZUHO OUT WITH A NEW TARGET DOWN TO $50 FROM $85. FROM CUTTING THE STOCK FROM NEUTRAL, RAISING CONCERNS THAT NEW RIVALS COULD WEIGH ON PROFITABILITY OVER THE MEDIUM TERM.
Contexte
FIRST UP WE HAVE CIRCLE. MIZUHO OUT WITH A NEW TARGET DOWN TO $50 FROM $85. FROM CUTTING THE STOCK FROM NEUTRAL, RAISING CONCERNS THAT NEW RIVALS COULD WEIGH ON PROFITABILITY OVER THE MEDIUM TERM.
J.P. MORGAN RAISING THE PRICE TARGET SAYING EARNINGS SHOULD BEAT ESTIMATES. THE FIRM STAYING OVERWEIGHT THE STOCK FLAGGING LOWER COSTS AND GROWTH IN KEY PARTS OF THE BUSINESS INCLUDING SERVICES.
Contexte
NEXT IN LINE, FORWARD. J.P. MORGAN RAISING THE PRICE TARGET SAYING EARNINGS SHOULD BEAT ESTIMATES. THE FIRM STAYING OVERWEIGHT THE STOCK FLAGGING LOWER COSTS AND GROWTH IN KEY PARTS OF THE BUSINESS INCLUDING SERVICES.
HSBC UPGRADING STOCKS LIFTING THE PRICE TARGET TO 360 SIX DOLLARS.
Contexte
AND FINALLY, APPLE. HSBC UPGRADING STOCKS LIFTING THE PRICE TARGET TO 360 SIX DOLLARS. THE FIRM STATING APPLE IS NOW AT AN OPERATIONAL TURNING POINT AND IS WELL-PLACED TO LEVERAGE ITS USER BASE THINGS TO UPCOMING IMPROVEMENTS TO APPLE INTELLIGENCE.
ONE I THINK I CAN TALK ABOUT THAT I'M LOOKING AT AND I OWNED FOR SOME ACCOUNTS, NOT ALL IS SYNOPSIS.
Transcription Complète
>> THE COUNTDOWN IS ON.
EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO GET THE EDGE AT THE END OF THE MARKET
DAY. THIS IS "THE CLOSE." KATIE: HAPPY FRIDAY TO YOU.
WE ARE KICKING YOU OFF TO THE CLOSING BELL HERE IN THE U.S.
HERE IS A CHECK ON WHAT MARKETS ARE DOING.
THE S&P 500 NOT AT SESSION LOWS, BUT WE HAVE SEEN SOME OF
THE LOSSES COME BACK IN AS WE COUNT DOWN AN HOUR UNTIL THE
BELLS, DOWN ABOUT ZERO .9%. HERE IS WHERE THE WEAKNESSES
COMING FROM. THE NASDAQ 100 OFF BY ABOUT
1.2%. THE PHILADELPHIA SEMICONDUCTOR
INDEX DOWN ABOUT 1.2% AS WELL. THAT INDEX POISED FOR A BEAR
MARKET, SO KEEP AN EYE ON THAT. WE ARE ALSO WATCHING BRENT AS
WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS IN THE MIDDLE
EAST. BRENT ABOUT 4% HIGHER AT THE MOMENT, TRADING JUST BELOW
$88 A BARREL. LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT SOME OF
THE INDIVIDUAL EQUITIES. APPLE RECLAIMING ITS SPOT AS
THE WORLD'S MOST VALUABLE COMPANY, SURPASSING NVIDIA.
APPLE SHARES UP MARGINALLY ON THE DAY, BUT THAT LOOKS PRETTY
GOOD IN A DOWN DAY FOR NEARLY EVERYTHING. SPACEX, MEANWHILE, WIPING OFF
ABOUT A TRILLION DOLLARS WORTH OF VALUE, $10 OR SO BELOW ITS
IPO PRICE, DOWN ANOTHER 4% TODAY.
NETFLIX REPORTING AFTER THE BELL YESTERDAY.
YOU CAN SEE NOT EXACTLY THOSE RESULTS BEING EMBRACED BY THE
BROADER MARKETS. NETFLIX SHARES DOWN ABOUT 7%.
LET'S KICK THINGS OFF ON THIS FRIDAY WITH MIMI DOVE, THE
SENIOR CLIENT ADVISOR AT GIN TRUST. SHE JOINS ME HERE ON SET.
GREAT TO SEE YOU. THERE'S A LOT GOING ON.
LET'S TALK ABOUT THE ONLINE WE ARE SEEING SPECIFICALLY IN THE
CHIP SECTOR, BECAUSE FOR A WHILE IT WAS A STORY THAT WE
WERE COMFORTABLE WITH, SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS PUSHING UP SHIPS
ACROSS THE BOARD, BUT PARTICULARLY THOSE MEMORY
CHIPMAKERS. IT SEEMS LIKE THAT STORY HAS
STARTED TO REVERSE IN THE PAST FEW WEEKS. >> THAT IS RIGHT.
THE MOMENTUM IS COMING OUT OF THE SALES.
THERE IS A GOOD EVENT OF LEVERAGE FROM THE RETAIL PROUD
OF. ESPECIALLY IF YOU LOOK AT ETF'S
IN COMBINATION. SILLY DECENT AMOUNT OF ROOM TO
COME OUT RIGHT NOW. KATIE: THAT IS SOMETHING I HAVE BEEN
WONDERING EVEN FROM A SENTIMENT PERSPECTIVE.
YOU THINK ABOUT WHAT IS HAPPENING IN SOUTH KOREAN
MARKETS IN PARTICULAR, WHICH MAINLY MEANS SAMSUNG AND SK
HYNIX AT THIS POINT, BUT HOW MUCH IS THAT FEEDING THROUGH
INTO WHAT IS GOING ON IN TERMS OF THE U.S. MARKETS? MIMI: CERTAINLY IN THOSE SECTORS, THE
HYPERSCALERS AND CHIP MANUFACTURERS, I THINK IT IS
ALL RELATED. THOSE WERE THE FASTEST ONES UP.
I THINK WHEN WE ARE SEEING WINDS COMING OUT OF THE SALES,
WE ARE GOING TO SEE THAT DEFLATE FASTER. KATIE:
BEYOND JUST THE CHIPMAKERS AND THE CHIP SECTOR, YOU HAVE THE
BROADER TECH UNIVERSE ASKING A LOT OF EXISTENTIAL QUESTIONS
RIGHT NOW, WHEN IT COMES ESPECIALLY TO AI, WE ARE
STARTING TO GET CLOSER TO THE FIGURES OUT OF THE MAGNIFICENT
7, A COHORT WHICH HAD NOT DONE TOO MUCH YEAR TO DATE.
AS WE ASK THESE QUESTIONS AND WATCH THIS NO MENTION OF
REBIRTHS, HOW ARE YOU THINKING THROUGH THE MAG 7? MIMI:
WE HAVE HEDGES ON THE MAG 7. WE HAVE BEEN BIG BELIEVERS IN
DIVERSIFYING AWAY FROM THE MAG 7.
THE TOP PLAYERS ON THE S&P ARE CLOSE TO THE -- 40% OF THE
INDEX. WE BELIEVE THE BROAD PERFORMERS
WILL OUTPERFORM AS YOU SEE MORE AI IMPLEMENTATIONS.
THE MAG 7 HAS NOT DONE MUCH THIS YEAR.
IT IS THE MID-CAPS, THE SMALLER CAPS, THE EQUAL OVERWEIGHT, THE
FOREIGN EQUITIES THAT HAVE ALL BEEN BEATING THE MAG 7 THIS
YEAR. WE THINK THERE IS MORE TO RUN
THERE. KATIE: THAT IS A FAIR POINT.
THERE ARE PLENTY OF PLACES TO LOOK RIGHT NOW.
AT THE INDEX LEVEL, IF WE WATCH THAT BROADENING OUT CONTINUE,
IF YOU DO NOT HAVE THE SEVEN LARGEST NAMES OR SO IN THE
INDEX AS PARTICIPATING IN THIS RALLY, WHAT CAN WE EXPECT AT
THE INDEX LEVEL? MIMI: WE ARE NOT OVERLY CONCERNED AT
THE INDEX LEVEL. RIGHT NOW, CAPEX RELATED TO AI
IS ABOUT 2.5% OF GDP. THESE ARE NOT SMALL NUMBERS,
AND THEY ARE FUELING A FAIR AMOUNT OF GROWTH.
THE LAST JOBS NUMBER WAS WEAKER, BUT WE ARE NOT SEEING
MUCH WEAKNESS ON THE BROADER ECONOMY RIGHT NOW.
VERY EARLY DAYS IN THIS QUARTER'S EARNINGS, BUT THE
BANKS HAVE REALLY BEEN SHINING STARS SO FAR. KATIE: ABSOLUTELY.
YOU THINK ABOUT THOSE EQUITY TRADING NUMBERS, SORT OF BLEW
IT OUT OF THE WATER. WHEN IT COMES TO OTHER PARTS OF
THE MARKET, SECTORS THAT MIGHT BE IMPLEMENTING AI, THOSE ARE
SOME OF THE PLACES WHERE YOU CAN LOOK AND YOU CAN ACTUALLY
SEE SOME OUTPERFORMANCE. I WONDER WHAT SORT OF SPOTS YOU
ARE PICKING AND CHOOSING HERE. MIMI:
WE'VE GOT OUR EYES ON BIOTECH AND DEFENSE AND QUANTUM.
WE ARE REALLY LOOKING FOR GOOD WAYS TO IMPLEMENT THOSE THEMES.
WE THINK THOSE COULD BE MULTI-YEAR THEMES THAT COULD
BENEFIT IN THE COMING YEARS. KATIE:
TALK TO US ABOUT HOW VALUATIONS PLAYER INTO THAT.
EVEN WITH THE MAG 7 LAGGING, THE WHOLE STORY HAS BEEN ABOUT
AI, AND ARE THERE ANY ACTUAL BARGAINS OUTSIDE OF THE TECH
SECTOR? MIMI: I THINK THAT IS PART OF THE
REASON WHY THE MID-CAPS AND SMALL CAPS HAVE BEEN DOING
BETTER THIS YEAR. AND THEN IF WE LOOK AT THE
COMMODITY SPACE, THE SERVICES SPACE, THESE NON-AI AFFECTED,
THEN YOU SHOULD SEE LESS VOLATILITY THERE AS LONG AS THE
ECONOMY CAN HANG IN. KATIE: SPEAKING OF THE ECONOMY,
SOMETHING ELSE WE SAW THIS WEEK WAS A REVIVAL IN CRUDE PRICES,
IN BRENT PRICES. THE SITUATION IN THE MIDDLE
EAST REMAINS AS UNPREDICTABLE AS EVER, BUT YOU HAVE SEEN
PRICES COME BACK. HOW DOES THAT POTENTIALLY
FACTOR INTO THIS CONVERSATION? MIMI:
ON THE MARGIN, WE DO CONTINUE TO HOLD REAL ASSETS AS AN
INFLATION HEDGE. THAT IS ENERGY PRODUCERS, GOLD,
URANIUM. WE HAVE GOTTEN A MIX. GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY
YOU JUST POINTED OUT, AND IT SEEMS LIKE EVERY OTHER DAY WE
ARE GOING BACK AND FORTH, THAT IS A CORE PART OF OUR
PORTFOLIO, AND THAT IS PROVIDING SOME HEDGE AGAINST
THE VOLATILITY THERE. KATIE: MIMI, ALWAYS GREAT TO SEE YOU.
APPRECIATE YOU STOPPING BY. MIMI DOVE IS THE SENIOR CLIENT
ADVISOR AT GENTRUS. THIS IS THE HEADLINE COMING
FROM THE WALL STREET JOURNAL PET SPACEX IS IN TALKS TO
PROVIDE COMPUTING POWER FOR THE PENTAGON.
SPACEX SHARES DOWN BY ABOUT 2.5% .
WE WILL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THAT STORY.
COMING UP ON THE CLOSE, THE BATTLE FOR THE TOP SPOT.
APPLE FIGHTING IT OUT WITH NVIDIA AS THE
WORLD'S MOST VALUABLE COMPANY. PLUS, NETFLIX'S GROWTH PAINS.
SIMON GALLAGHER JOINS US ON THE BACK OF A TEPID THIRD-QUARTER
FORECAST. AND THE WORLD CUP FINALS JUST AROUND THE CORNER.
AN MGM CEO ADAM GREENBLATT STOPS BY TO DISCUSS THE BETTING
BOOM AROUND THE TOURNAMENT. THIS IS THE CLOSE ON BLOOMBERG.
♪ KATIE:
BONDS ISSUED BY HYPERSCALERS TO FUND THE AIA BUILD OUT STARTING
TO DRAG ON INVESTOR PORTFOLIOS. THE DEBT HAS BEEN
UNDERPERFORMING ON NEARLY EVERY METRIC.
OUR NEXT GUEST SHOWING THAT THIS ONSLAUGHT OF DEBT DOES NOT
YET RISK HIT LIMITS THAT COULD PREVENT LIFE INSURERS FROM
BUYING UP MORE OF THOSE BONDS. NATHANIEL JOINTS ME NOW ON SET.
IT IS GREAT TO SEE YOU. WAXED GREAT TO SEE YOU AGAIN.
THANKS FOR HAVING ME ON. KATIE: LET'S TALK ABOUT WHAT WE ARE
SEEING WHEN IT COMES TO THE SPREAD LEVEL.
WE TALK ABOUT ALL THIS MASSIVE ISSUANCE FROM THE HYPERSCALERS,
YOU ARE STARTING TO SEE IT UNDERPERFORM A BIT.
WE MADE A LOT OF HAY WITH THE AMAZON OFFERING RECENTLY, WHICH
GOT A BIT OF A COOLER RECEPTION. WHEN YOU ADD IT ALL TOGETHER,
HOW MUCH OF THIS IS JUST THE TECHNICAL FACTOR, THERE IS A
LOT OF SUPPLY COMING THROUGH VERSES MAY BE FUNDAMENTAL
REASONS BEING BEHIND THIS? NATHANIEL:
I THINK THE TECHNICALS ARE EARLY IN THE CHARGE.
WHEN YOU THINK OF THE HYPERSCALERS AS A COHORT, THEY
ARE TRADING AT 51 40 BASIS POINTS, THE WIDEST THEY HAVE
EVER TRADED. THE MARKET OVERALL IS UNCHANGED.
SO THEY HAVE UNDERPERFORMED A LOT. THE QUESTION IS, IS THAT
JUSTIFIED OR NOT? I THINK INVESTORS HAVE CREATED
THIS NARRATIVE, IF YOU WILL, THAT DEMAND, ESPECIALLY FROM
INSURANCE COMPANIES, IS ALREADY MAXED OUT, AND YET WE ARE
STARING AT, PERHAPS, TRILLIONS MORE.
I THINK THAT IS WHERE THERE IS A LITTLE BIT OF UNCERTAINTY.
NATHANIEL: LET'S DO SOME MYTH BUSTING HERE.
U.S. LIFE INSURERS HOLD ABOUT 25% OF
U.S. CORPORATE BONDS. THEY GENERALLY HAVE SINGLE
ISSUE WERE LIMITS OF ABOUT 3%. IT SOUNDS LIKE YOUR VIEW IS
THAT THEY ARE NOT EXACTLY HITTING THOSE LIMITS YET.
NATHANIEL: I THINK INVESTORS LOOK AT THE
HIGH-GRADE INDEX AND SEE THESE ISSUERS MOVING UP QUICKLY.
THE LARGEST RIGHT NOW, AMAZON, ABOUT 1.5% OF THE INDEX.
I THINK FROM THE INSURANCE COMPANY PERSPECTIVE, THE WAY
THEY ARE LOOKING AT IT IS AS A PORTION OF THEIR ENTIRE ASSET
PIE, NOT JUST THE CORPORATE CREDIT SLICE.
SO THAT 1.5% SHRINKS TO SOMETHING A LOT SMALLER WHEN
YOU LOOK AT IT FROM THEIR PERSPECTIVE.
I DO NOT THINK IT IS A MATTER OF RISK LIMITS, I THINK IT IS,
DO I WANT TO LEND TO THIS HYPERSCALER AT THE CURRENT
SPREAD, OR AM I BETTER OFF WAITING FOR BILLIONS OR
TRILLIONS MORE TO COME, WHICH MAY COME AT WIDER SPREADS?
IT IS A DIFFERENT CONSIDERATION. KATIE:
RIGHT, SO IF THESE TECHNICAL SORT OF DRAG ON THESE NEW
ISSUES CONTINUES, YOU MAY BE BETTER OFF WAITING FOUR MONTHS
FROM NOW WHEN THEY TAP THE MARKET AGAIN. NATHANIEL:
EXACTLY. WHAT WE HEAR FROM INVESTORS IS,
IF ONLY I KNEW THERE WAS GOING TO BE A QUEDENS, I COULD FIGURE
THIS OUT. IT IS A LACK OF A QUEDENS, THE
UNPREDICTABLE NATURE OF THIS ISSUANCE THAT IS UPSETTING
INSURERS. ONCE THEY FIGURE OUT A C
ADENCE, I THINK THE MARKET WILL READJUST. KATIE: THE BIG BANKS ISSUE BIG BONDS
AFTER EARNING. WHAT WE SEE SOMETHING SIMILAR
WHEN IT COMES TO HYPERSCALERS? NATHANIEL:
AS TIME GOES ON, WE WILL PROBABLY GET THERE.
THE DIFFERENCE WITH THE BANKS, WHEN THEY WERE DOING IT, THERE
SPREAD MATTERED A LOT, BECAUSE IT WAS ABOUT 80% OF THEIR
COUPON THEY WERE PAYING AT THE TIME, BECAUSE WE WERE IN A ZERO
RATE ENVIRONMENT. FAST-FORWARD TO TODAY, IT IS
EXACTLY THE OPPOSITE. THEY DON'T NECESSARILY CARE AS
MUCH ABOUT WHERE SPREADS ARE AND IF THEY HAVE TO PAY A
LITTLE MORE. THEY CARE MORE ABOUT RATES.
YOU HAD A RATE RALLY AT THE END OF THE QUARTER, SO SOME
HYPERSCALERS LOOKED AT THAT AND SAID THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO
FUND, I AM GOING TO HIT THE MARKET EVEN IF IT MEANS THE
PRESSURES MIGHT SPREAD SOMEWHAT. THAT DICHOTOMY IS WRITING A
LITTLE BIT OF STRESS IN THE INDEX AT THE MOMENT. KATIE: I WANT TO TALK MORE ABOUT
CONCENTRATION RISK. WHEN IT COMES TO INSURERS, YOU
THINK ABOUT THINGS HOLISTICALLY, MAYBE THAT 1.5
PERCENT WEIGHTING THAT AMAZON HOLDS IS A LOT SMALLER THAN
THAT. IF YOU ZOOM OUT AND THINK ABOUT
INVESTORS OVERALL, IT FEELS LIKE CONCENTRATION RISK IS
BECOMING A CONVERSATION OF CONCERN.
THE EQUITY MARKET IS VERY TOP-HEAVY, TECH FOCUSED.
THE TECH SECTOR TRADITIONALLY HAS NOT ISSUED THAT MUCH DEBT.
THERE HAS BEEN A MASSIVE SEA CHANGE IN JUST THE PAST -- HOW
MUCH DO YOU THINK THAT COULD BECOME A FACTOR FOR INVESTORS
EVEN IF THEY DON'T HAVE SPECIFIC LIMITS, MAYBE THEY
DON'T WANT THIS MUCH ALLOCATION TO ATTACK. NATHANIEL:
THAT IS INCREASINGLY A CONSIDERATION. TECH PAST U.S. BANKS.
WHEN INVESTORS LOOK AT THAT, IT CAUSES CONSTERNATION AND WHEN
THEY TRY TO ASSESS, WHAT IS MY RISK TO AI AS A FACTOR WITHIN
MY PORTFOLIO, THAT IS GROWING VERY RAPIDLY.
WHAT I WOULD QUESTION THERE IS DOCKED AT WHAT POINT DOES AI
BECOME IN -- SO EMBEDDED IN EVERY VERTICAL OF THE ECONOMY
THAT YOU NO LONGER LOOK AT IT AS A FACTOR.
YOU'RE SIMPLY LONG CREDIT THE WAY FOLKS ARE LONG THE
FINANCIALS FOR EXAMPLE. WE ARE NOT THERE YET BUT I
THINK WE ARE HEADING IN THAT DIRECTION.
WHERE YOU CAN'T IGNORE IT ANYMORE SO IT BECOMES LESS OF A
SECTOR UNDERWEIGHT OR OVERWEIGHT THAT I HAVE TO
ACTIVELY MANAGE. KATIE: IT IS AN OMNIPRESENT THING.
YOU TALKED ABOUT SPREADS IN THE TECH SECTOR STARTING TO WIDEN
BUT THE OVERALL MARKET IS UNCHANGED.
DO YOU THINK, IN THE MONTHS AHEAD, THAT WE COULD SEE THE
WIDENING THAT WE ARE SEEING INTACT MAKE A DIFFERENCE IN
THESE BLUE CHECK --BLUE INDEXES? NATHANIEL:
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WEAKNESS. PERHAPS THE REST OF THE MARKET
BRIDGES A LITTLE BIT OF THE GAP FOR SCALARS.
BY A LARGE, THEY ARE TREATING IT AS TWO SEPARATE MARKETS.
I'M TREATING THE HYPERSCALERS HERE AND THE REST OF THE MARKET
HERE IS SO THEY DON'T INFORM EACH OTHER THAT MUCH.
WE ARE STARTING TO GET TO A ZONE WHERE INVESTORS SEE A
LITTLE MORE VALUE PARTICULARLY OF A LONG AND VERSUS THE
MUNICIPAL MARKET WERE LONG ENDS ARE TIGHTER BECAUSE THEIR
SUPPLY IS DOWN YEAR-OVER-YEAR SO THERE ARE SOME RELATIVE
VALUES EMERGING IN THE MARKET BUT WE ARE PERHAPS NOT THERE
YET. KATIE: NOT THERE YET. GREAT TO GET SOME TIME WITH YOU.
NATHANIEL ROSENBAUM IS OVER AT J.P. MORGAN.
NOW, COMING UP, APPLE IS EMERGING AS A SAFE HAVEN AS
TECH FACE IS WHAT OUR NEXT GUEST CALLS A LAUNDRY LIST. WE
MEET WITH CRAIG MOFFETT. THIS IS "THE CLOSE"
ON BLOOMBERG. ♪ KATIE:
TIME NOW FOR OUR TOP CALLS FOR A LOOK ON SOME OF THE BIG
MOVERS. FIRST UP WE HAVE CIRCLE. MIZUHO OUT WITH A NEW TARGET
DOWN TO $50 FROM $85. FROM CUTTING THE STOCK FROM
NEUTRAL, RAISING CONCERNS THAT NEW RIVALS COULD WEIGH ON
PROFITABILITY OVER THE MEDIUM TERM. SHARES SLIGHTLY DOWN. NEXT IN LINE, FORWARD. J.P.
MORGAN RAISING THE PRICE TARGET SAYING EARNINGS SHOULD BEAT
ESTIMATES. THE FIRM STAYING OVERWEIGHT THE
STOCK FLAGGING LOWER COSTS AND GROWTH IN KEY PARTS OF THE
BUSINESS INCLUDING SERVICES. SHARES HIGHER ON A DOWN DAY.
AND FINALLY, APPLE. HSBC UPGRADING STOCKS LIFTING
THE PRICE TARGET TO 360 SIX DOLLARS.
THE FIRM STATING APPLE IS NOW AT AN OPERATIONAL TURNING POINT
AND IS WELL-PLACED TO LEVERAGE ITS USER BASE THINGS TO
UPCOMING IMPROVEMENTS TO APPLE INTELLIGENCE.
SHARES FLAT ON THE DAY. STICKING WITH APPLE, IT IS
DUKING IT OUT TODAY WITH NVIDIA AS THEY BOW OUT FOR THE TITLE
OF THE WORLD'S MOST VALUABLE COMPANY.
JOINING US LIVE IS CRAIG MOFFETT OVER AT MOFFETT
NATHANSON AND HE COVERS APPLE WITH A NEUTRAL RATING. GREAT TO HAVE YOU WITH US.
IT FEELS LIKE THE STARS ARE ALIGNING FOR APPLE WHICH I
THINK IS INTERESTING BECAUSE IT WAS LESS THAN A MONTH AGO WE
WERE TALKING ABOUT HOW YOUR MEMORY CHIP COSTS WERE GOING TO
DENT DEMAND FOR SMARTPHONES. APPLE CAME OUT AND SAID IT
WOULD RAISE PRICES ON MACS, IPADS AND HOME PRICES TO
COUNTER THAT MEMORY SHORTAGE BUT THE STOCK HAS BEEN ON A
TEAR SINCE. WHAT IS GOING ON? CRAIG: THANK YOU FOR HAVING ME.
I THINK WHAT YOU ARE SEEING IS, TO SOME EXTENT, THE REACTION TO
THINGS LIKE NVIDIA. THE TWO ARE NOT INDEPENDENT.
WHEN YOU SEE VOLATILITY RISE AND THE REST OF THE MAG SEVEN,
PARTICULARLY IN THE CHIP AND MEMORY, -- COMPLEX, THE VOLATILITY IS MET WITH AN
APPRECIATION OF SAFE HAVENS. AND I'M NOT SURE THAT THE RALLY
IN APPLE IS QUITE SO MUCH A REFLECTION OF RISING OPTIMISM
FOR THE FUNDAMENTALS AS MUCH AS IT IS THAT IT IS VIEWED AS A
MUCH SAFER PLAY AT A TIME OF UNCERTAINTY AROUND THE KIND OF
RETURNS YOU WILL GET FROM THE AI TRADE. KATIE: TALK TO US ABOUT WHY IT HAS
DEVELOPED THAT SAFE HAVEN QUALITY. WHEN YOU THINK OF THE
TURBULENCE UNDERTAKING THE REST OF THE MAG7, WHY DOES APPLE
STAND APART FROM THAT NARRATIVE? CRAIG:
THE IRONY IS IT IS BEHIND IN AI BUT IT IS BEHIND IN AI BECAUSE
IT HAS CHOSEN NOT TO INVEST. IT'S INVESTMENTS TYPICALLY COME
MORE IN THE FORM OF R&D THAN IT DOES CAPEX.
ITS INVESTMENT IN AI RELATE -- RELATIVE TO ITS MAG7 PEERS IS
QUITE MODEST. AND I DON'T THINK ANYONE WOULD ARGUE WITH THE
BASIC PREMISE THAT WE ARE STILL GOING TO USE THE SMARTPHONE AS
THE PRIMARY DEVICE FOR CONSUMING AI.
THERE ARE PLENTY OF PRETENDERS TO THE THRONE AND A LOT OF
PEOPLE TALKING ABOUT ALTERNATIVE FACTORS BUT MOST OF
THAT FEELS A WAYS AWAY. SO APPLE, IN ONE SENSE, IS
INSULATED FROM ALL OF THE DEBATES AROUND AI.
IT WILL BE FINE ONE WAY OR ANOTHER WHETHER IT IS USING ITS
OWN AI, GOOGLE OR WHETHER PEOPLE CHOOSE TO GO TO A NAP TO
OPENAI OR ANTHROPIC. EITHER WAY, IN EITHER OF THOSE
OUTCOMES, YOU WILL STILL BE USING YOUR APPLE DEVICE SO
APPLE FEELS LIKE A RELATIVELY SAFE CHOICE WHEN YOU DON'T KNOW
WHO IS GOING TO WIN THESE REALLY HIGH STAKES AND HIGH
WARS. KATIE: AND THE FACT THAT APPLE HAS
HELD ITSELF BACK FROM CAPEX WARS REALLY BECOMING A BENEFIT
IN THE PAST FEW WEEKS. YOU MENTIONED, YOU THINK ABOUT
THE PERFORMANCE FROM APPLE IN THE LAST MONTH, PERHAPS IT HAS
MORE TO DO WITH WHAT IS GOING ON WITH THE REST OF THE MAG7
AND APPLE LOOKING LIKE A SAFE HAVEN BUT LET'S TALK ABOUT
THEIR FUNDAMENTALS. THEY ARE BEHIND, ARGUABLY, IN
THE AI RACE. THERE IS SOME ENTHUSIASM ABOUT
APPLE INTELLIGENCE. WE HAVE THE FOLDABLE PHONE
COMING UP ON THE HORIZON. WHAT SORT OF CATALYSTS ARE YOU
LOOKING AT IN TERMS OF WHAT COULD KEEP THE MOMENTUM GOING?
CRAIG: THEY REALLY DO HAVE WHAT SOUNDS
LIKE A STRONG PRODUCT PIPELINE COMING.
NOT JUST WITH THE FOLDABLE'S WHICH ARE EXCITING BUT
EXPENSIVE. BUT THE PRODUCT LINEUP SOUNDS
QUITE STRONG. BUT, THINK OF THE CROSSWINDS
YOU ARE SEEING. PARTLY BECAUSE OF THE SPARK IN
MEMORY -- THE SPIKE IN MEMORY PRICES, THE SMARTPHONE MARKET
IS EXPERIENCING A SIGNIFICANT PULLBACK.
APPLE IS ALSO PARTICULARLY IN MARKETS LIKE CHINA WHERE SALES
ARE BELIEVED TO BE DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY.
BUT INTERESTINGLY LESS SO THAN PEERS.
IT IS A GOOD NEWS THEY ARE GAINING SHARE OR BAD NEWS THAT
VOLUME IS DECELERATING? YOU HAVE THAT PUSH POLL IN
ALMOST ALL OF THE ASPECTS OF THE APPLE STORY RIGHT NOW AND
IN SOME WAYS THAT IS A GOOD SETUP.
THERE REALLY ARE NOT ANY GIANT SURPRISES COMING SO PEOPLE FEEL
LIKE IT IS A PLACE THEY CAN PARK WITH SOME CERTAINTY WHILE
YOU WAIT TO SEE WHAT HAPPENS WITH SOME OF THE VOLATILITY IN
THE REST OF THE MARKET. KATIE: THAT IS CRAIG MOFFETT, SENIOR
MANAGING DIRECTOR AND SENIOR RESEARCH ANALYST OVER AT MAFIC
-- MOFFETT NATHANSON. WE ARE KEEPING AND I ON APPLE.
THE OVERALL MARKET VALUE IS JUST BELOW 4.9 TRILLION
DOLLARS, NECK AND NECK WITH NVIDIA.
COMING UP, NETFLIX SHARES SINKING AFTER REPORTING A
SLOWING GROWTH FORECAST. SIMON GALLAGHER JOINS US NEXT.
THIS IS "THE CLOSE" ON BLOOMBERG. ♪ KATIE:
NETFLIX SHARES DOWN MIGHTILY AFTER FORECASTING A SECOND
STRAIGHT QUARTER OF SLOWED SALES GROWTH.
THERE ARE LATER WERE ON EXISTING SHOWS.
LET'S IMPACTS A LITTLE BIT OF WHAT IS GOING ON WITH SIMON
GALLAGHER, FORM OR CONTENT ACQUISITION EXECUTIVE AT
NETFLIX AND HULU, NOW MANAGING DIRECTOR AT SBCGLOBAL.
GREAT TO HAVE YOU BACK WITH US. YOU THINK ABOUT WHY NETFLIX IS
DOWN 26 PERCENT YEAR-TO-DATE, IT GOES BACK TO THE ENGAGEMENT
ISSUE. EXECUTIVES ARE CONCERNED VIEWERS ARE NOT AS ENGAGED WITH
THE CONTENT NETFLIX IS PUTTING OUT.
I WONDER IF WHEN IT COMES TO YESTERDAY'S FIGURES WHETHER YOU
SAW ANYTHING THAT WOULD SUGGEST THOSE FEARS ARE MAY BE
OVERBLOWN. >> THE MARKET ALWAYS OVERREACTS
TO THIS SORT OF NEWS. THEY POINTED OUT AN INTERESTING
POINT ON THE CONFERENCE CALL YESTERDAY THAT SIX OF THE TOP
10 SIGN-UP DAYS OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF YEARS HAVE BEEN TIED
TO LIVE SPORTS. THERE IS ENGAGEMENT CHALLENGES
AND ENGAGEMENT LEVELING OFF, BUT THEY ARE MEASURING
ENGAGEMENT ON NUMBER OF HOURS, NOT NUMBER OF SUBSCRIBERS THAT
ARE WATCHING AN INDIVIDUAL PIECE OF CONTENT. CERTAINLY THE EMBRACING OF LIVE
SPORTS IS CERTAINLY SOMETHING RESONATING WITH THE SUBSCRIBER
BASE GLOBALLY. KATIE: WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF THEIR
APPROACH TO LIVE SPORTS? THE WAY THEY ARE INVESTING WITH
IT AND APPROACHING IT, IT IS NOT ENOUGH TO GET THE AVID
SPORTS FAN, IT'S MORE THE CASUAL SPORTS VIEWER.
I WONDER ABOUT HOW YOU ARE POSITIONING THEM -- HOW THEY
ARE POSITIONING THEMSELVES IN A VERY COMPETITIVE MARKET. SIMON:
IF YOU ARE RIGHT, A VERY COMPETITIVE MARKET.
IT IS A BIT OF A TOE IN THE WATER APPROACH, BUT THEY ARE
MOVING DILIGENTLY. THEY HAVE AN EXCEPTIONALLY
STRONG CORE STRATEGY TEAM THAT WOULD BE AWARE OF THE AUDIENCE
FIGURES FOR EVERY SPORTING EVENT AROUND THE WORLD.
THEY ARE TRYING TO DO CHERRY PICKING AT THE MOMENT TO WORK
OUT WHAT WORKS FOR THEIR AUDIENCE AND THEIR PRODUCTION TEAMS IF THEY NEED TO PRODUCE
THE COVERAGE OF THE SPORTING EVENT.
IT IS GOING OK AND IMPROVING, BUT IT CERTAINLY HAS A WAYS TO
GO. KATIE: ABSOLUTELY. IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE
HOW MUCH TRACTION THEY ARE ABLE TO GET.
BUT WHEN IT COMES BACK TO THAT ENGAGEMENT QUESTION, I WONDER
AT WHAT POINT THIS CHIPS INTO AN ADVERTISING CONVERSATION,
BECAUSE THE REALITY -- THE RALLYING CRIES OF PEOPLE STILL
BULLISH ON NETFLIX SHARES IS TO TAKE A LOOK AT THEIR
ADVERTISING RAMP-UP, THEY PUT OUT THAT $3 BILLION FIGURE THEY
ARE ON TRACK TO HIT. THAT OUTWEIGHS THE MORE BULLISH
VIEW OF THIS ENGAGEMENT WE ARE TALKING ABOUT.
AT WHAT POINT DOES THIS TIP INTO SOMETHING THAT COULD
THREATEN THE ADVERTISING BUSINESS? SIMON: THE ADVERTISING BUSINESS LAST
YEAR ROUGHLY 1.5 BILLION DOLLARS, ON TRACK FOR $3
BILLION THIS YEAR, STILL SO FAR BEHIND WHERE YOUTUBE IS AT. THERE IS A LOT OF POTENTIAL
UPSIDE. I THINK THIS IS WHAT THE MARKET
IS NOT GIVING ENOUGH CREDIT TO IN TERMS OF THEIR OPPORTUNITY
TO GROW REVENUE NUMBERS DIRECTLY FROM ADVERTISING.
WE ALSO SAW SOMETHING LAST MONTH THAT MAY BE DID NOT GET
AS MUCH MARKET NOISE AS ANTICIPATED IN TERMS OF SOME OF
THE SHORTER FORM CONTENT THAT NETFLIX IS DOING A TOE IN THE
WATER APPROACH WITH, PARTNERS LIKE CONDE NAST TO PUT 320
MINUTE CLIPS, ALMOST YOUTUBE TYPE VIDEO AND CONTENT ON THE
PLATFORM. THEY ARE STARTING TO LOOK AT
ONE OF THEIR CONTENT THEY CAN PROVIDE TO THE 300 MILLION
SUBSCRIBERS AROUND THE WORLD. YOU ARE SEEING THAT CREEP
TOWARDS YOUTUBE TYPE CONTENT. THE AGREEMENTS THAT CONTENT
CREATORS AND SHORT FORM CONTENT CREATORS ARE SIGNING WITH
YOUTUBE ARE NOT EXCLUSIVE OF THE MOST PART, SO THERE IS
OPPORTUNITY FOR SOME OF THE CONTENT TO BLEED ON TO NETFLIX.
THAT IS GOING TO BE AN INTERESTING SPACE TO WATCH IN
THE COMING MONTHS. KATIE: I WONDER HOW MUCH OF THAT COMES
BACK TO THE FORMFACTOR OF HAVE NETFLIX CONTENT IS CONSUMED.
THE POINT HAS BEEN MADE THAT NETFLIX IS LOSING TO YOUR
PHONE, THAT A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE CONSUMING SHORT-TERM CONTENT ON
YOUR PHONE. FOR THE MOST PART, PEOPLE
CONSUME NETFLIX CONTENT ON THEIR TV OR ON THEIR LAPTOP.
IT IS NOT NECESSARILY ON THEIR PHONE.
I WONDER HOW FAR THAT SORT OF SHORT FORM STRATEGY CAN RUN,
GIVEN THAT THEY ARE FIGHTING THE ACTUAL DEVICE HERE. SIMON:
ABSOLUTELY, THEY ARE VERY WELL AWARE OF THAT, AND THEY KNOW
THEY ARE YOU LOSING THE AUDIENCE DURING THE DAY WHEN
PEOPLE ARE AT WORK OR COMMUTING TO WORK.
I THINK YOU ARE GOING TO SEE MORE AND MORE SHORT FORM
CONTENT. IF THEY GOT TO THE POINT WHERE
50% OF THE CONTENT THAT CURRENTLY SITS ON YOUTUBE, THEY
CAN DO THAT. SHORT FORM CONTENT CREATORS
WOULD LOVE TO HAVE A SECOND PLACE FOR THEIR CONTENT TO
LIVE, WOULD LOVE TO SEE MORE ENGAGEMENT AND NOT GIVE YOUTUBE
SO MUCH LEVERAGE OVER THEIR BUSINESSES.
I THINK THE CONTENT CREATION COMMUNITY WOULD REALLY EMBRACE
A SECOND ALTERNATIVE IN NETFLIX. BUT THEY DON'T WANT TO DILUTE
THE SUBSCRIBER REVENUE NUMBER. KATIE:
SOMETHING I'M CURIOUS TO GET YOUR THOUGHTS ON, GIVEN YOU
WERE FORMERLY HEAD OF CONTENT ACQUISITION OVER AT NETFLIX, IS
THE FACT THAT THERE IS THIS SECOND SEASON SLUMP NARRATIVE
THAT HAS FORMED AROUND THE COMPANY IN GENERAL, THAT THEY
ARE HAVING TROUBLE RETAINING VIEWERS INTO LATER SEASONS OF
SHOWS, EVEN IF THE FIRST SEASON IS A SUCCESS BY MOST MEASURES. I WONDER WHETHER YOU THINK THAT
NARRATIVE ACTUALLY HAS LEGS, WHETHER THERE IS TRUTH TO IT,
AND IF SO, HOW DO YOU COMBAT THAT? SIMON: THEY HAVE TRIED A LOT OF
DIFFERENT THINGS ACROSS A LOT OF DIFFERENT GENRES.
MAYBE YOU HAVE A SUCCESSFUL SERIES, BUT THE CONTENT
CREATORS, THE SHOW RUNNERS DON'T NECESSARILY HAVE A STRONG
STORY FOR SEASON TWO. MAYBE THEY WERE NOT PREPARED
FOR THAT. AND ALL OF A SUDDEN THEY ARE IN
SEASON TWO AND DID NOT EXPECT TO BE IN PRODUCTION AS QUICKLY
AS THEY ANTICIPATED. THERE ARE CERTAINLY SOME
CHALLENGES, BUT THE MEDIA LIKES TO POINT TO THE NEGATIVITY.
THEY ARE NOT TALKING ABOUT THE SHOWS THAT HAVE GONE TO SIX
SEASONS OF CONTENT. I THINK THERE IS EVEN ONE AS
SEVEN OR EIGHT SEASONS ON NETFLIX.
THEY'VE GOT A LOT OF SUCCESSFUL HITS.
NOT ALL OF THEM MAKE IT PAST THE SECOND SEASON.
I A LOT OF THEM DO LOSE THAT AUDIENCE.
BUT WHEN YOU COMPARE THEM TO OTHER MEDIA PLATFORMS, I STILL
THINK THEY'VE GOT A STRONG BATTING AVERAGE. KATIE: I WOULD ALSO LOVE TO HEAR YOUR
THOUGHTS ON WHETHER OR NOT NETFLIX NEEDS A DEAL AT THIS
POINT. THE M&A QUESTION HAS BEEN HANGING AROUND NETFLIX FOR A
WHILE NOW. OVER THE PAST YEAR OR SO OR IN
THE PAST FEW MONTHS, IT WAS SEEN AS MORE OF A NICE TO HAVE.
YOU SAW A LOT OF FOLKS HAPPY THAT THE WARNER BROS.
ACQUISITION FELL THROUGH. BUT DO YOU THINK AT THIS POINT,
IS A DEAL NEEDED AT NETFLIX? SIMON:
I NEVER LIKED THE WARNER BROS. DEAL.
I LIKE DEALS LIKE THE LIONSGATE OPPORTUNITY EVEN LESS.
THERE'S NOTHING I DON'T THINK THEY CAN CREATE FOR
SIGNIFICANTLY LESS MONEY THAN GOING OUT AND DOING ONE OF
THOSE ACQUISITIONS. THEY CAN LICENSE THE IP AROUND
SOME OF THESE MARQUEE FILMS OR TV SHOWS THAT ARE AT LIONSGATE
OR OTHER PLACES. NICE TO HAVE, BUT ABSOLUTELY
NOT WORTH IT AT THE PRICE THEY WOULD HAVE TO PAY.
I SUSPECT THEY ARE PROBABLY LOOKING AT SOME SPORTS LEAGUES.
THAT MIGHT BE SOMETHING THEY COULD ACQUIRE, AN ENTIRE
LEAGUE, BUT THAT WOULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS COST. I
THINK YOU WILL SEE THEM CONTINUE TO FOCUS ON, HOW CAN
WE PULL SOME OF THAT $60 BILLION IN ANNUAL REVENUE GOING
TO YOUTUBE, HOW CAN WE BRING THAT ACROSS AND RAISE THE 2
BILLION NUMBER AT NETFLIX? -- THE 3 BILLION NUMBER AT
NETFLIX? KATIE: SIMON, THANK YOU. STILL AHEAD, WE WILL TALK ABOUT
YUM! BRANDS FALLING ON A PARASITE
OUTBREAK TIED TO PRODUCE. WE WILL UNPACK ALL OF THE
ACTION UP NEXT. THIS IS "THE CLOSE"
ON BLOOMBERG. ♪ KATIE:
OUR STOCK OF THE HOUR TODAY IS YUM! BRANDS.
SHARES OF THE TACO BELL PARENT DOWN ABOUT 2% WITH U.S.
REGULATORS NOW LINKING THE SPREAD OF A PARASITE OUTBREAK
TO SHREDDED ICEBERG LETTUCE. MICHAEL, IT IS GREAT TO HAVE
YOU WITH US. YOU THINK ABOUT THE MOVEMENT WE
HAVE SEEN IN SHARES IN A LOT OF THESE DIFFERENT SALAD CHAINS.
WE KNOW THAT SWEET GREENS HAS HAD A VOLATILE WEEK. WHAT DO YOU THINK THIS MEANS
FOR LONG-TERM OR MEDIUM-TERM IF YOU MAP OUT THE DIFFERENT
SCENARIOS? >> LONG-TERM IS KIND OF MUCH TO
DO ABOUT NOTHING. WE ARE NOT WORRIED ABOUT THE
FREAK OUT THIS WEEK. WE THINK A 10% DECLINE IN YUM!
BRANDS SHARES KIND OF SETS IT UP FOR A NICE BUYING
OPPORTUNITY WITH THE SALE OF PIZZA HUT.
THEIR TOP AND BOTTOM LINE GROWTH IS GOING TO GROW NICELY
OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS OR SO. IN THE SHORT TERM, COULD THERE
BE A MINOR SALES LOSS HERE IN THE THIRD QUARTER? POTENTIALLY. BUT THE LAST SITE WITH AN
OUTBREAK WE KNOW OF WAS MCDONALD'S IN 2018.
IT HAD AN OUTBREAK THAT HOSPITALIZED 24 PEOPLE,
INFECTED OVER 500. THEIR SALES WERE NOT IMPACTED
MUCH AT ALL. IN THIS CASE FOR A FEW REASONS,
WE EXPECT ANY IMPACT TO BE SHORT-LIVED.
FIRST OF ALL, CYCLOSPORA IS NOT FATAL LIKE E. COLI.
IT WAS DUE TO THE SUPPLIER AND NOT DUE TO FOOD HANDLING ISSUES
AT TACO BELL. AND LET US IS NOT MEANINGFUL
FOR THEIR SALES. FOR THOSE REASONS, WE THINK IT
IS LARGELY OVERBLOWN. WE DON'T COVER SWEET GREEN, BUT
THEY SELL A LOT OF LETTUCE, SO IF PEOPLE PULL BACK ON THEIR
LETTUCE PURCHASES, ON THEIR SALAD PURCHASES, THAT IS GOING
TO HURT THEM IN THE THIRD QUARTER. KATIE: KATIE:
I WAS GOING TO ASK YOU WHAT GIVES YOU THE CONFIDENCE TO SAY
THAT BECAUSE WE HAVE HEARD FROM THE FDA TELLING BLOOMBERG NEWS,
WE DON'T HAVE ANY FOODS THAT FOLKS SHOULD AVOID AT THIS
POINT BUT WE ANTICIPATE CONTINUING TO SEE CASES
INCREASE POSSIBLY THROUGH THE END OF AUGUST. IT SOUNDS LIKE
BUT YOU ARE SAYING IS IF YOU LOOK AT PREVIOUS OUTBREAKS THAT
THIS PROVIDES SOME SORT OF ROADMAP HERE. MICHAEL:
THIS IS VERY DIFFERENT FROM SOMETHING LIKE NOROVIRUS WHICH
SHOWS UP VERY QUICKLY. CYCLOSPORA SOMETIMES TAKES TWO
WEEKS TO SHOW UP AND TO HAVE A DIAGNOSIS.
AND THE ABSOLUTE NUMBERS ARE PRETTY SMALL.
WE ARE TALKING ABOUT I THINK 1600 CASES DUE TO TACO BELL
COMPARED TO SOME OF THE NUMBERS WE HAVE SEEN IN THE PAST. IT IS
HIGH BUT IN TERMS OF ABSOLUTE NUMBER, IT IS NOT THAT HIGH.
LIKE I SAID, IT HAS NOT BEEN AN ISSUE FOR RESTAURANT CHAINS IN
THE PAST AND WE DON'T EXPECT THERE TO BE ONE HERE. KATIE: MICHAEL HALEN, GREAT TO GET
SOME CONTEXT AND PERSPECTIVE FROM YOU, OUR SENIOR RESTAURANT
ANALYST FROM BLOOMBERG INTELLIGENCE TALKING US THROUGH
SOME OF THE MOVEMENT WE HAVE SEEN IN THE SALAD STOCKS THIS
WEEK AS WE CONTINUE TO ATTRACT A PARASITE.
THE BROADER MARKET, THE S&P 500 DOWN ABOUT 1% AS WE TRY TO
CLOSE OUT THE BOOKS ON THIS WEEK.
THE SELLOFF IN TECH DRAGGING EVERYTHING DOWN.
WE WILL BREAK DOWN ALL OF THE ACTION NEXT WITH THE FOUNDER
AND CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER OVER AT BOKEH CAPITAL PARTNERS.
THIS IS "THE CLOSE" ON BLOOMBERG. ♪ KATIE:
WELCOME BACK TO "THE CLOSE." LESS THAN 10 MINUTES AWAY FROM
THE CLOSING BELLS ON THIS FRIDAY AND HERE IS WHERE WE
STAND. NOT TOO PRETTY. THE S&P 500 DOWN ABOUT .9
PERCENT. AND THE NEXT TWO LINES TELL THE
STORY. THE NASDAQ 100 OFF BY ABOUT 1.3
PERCENT. THE BIG TECH NAMES COMING UNDER
PRESSURE AS ARE THE CHIPMAKERS AS MEASURED BY THE PHILADELPHIA
SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX DOWN ABOUT 1.1% AT THE MOMENT.
THIS WAS THE HOT SPOT IN THE MARKET FOR QUITE A WHILE NOW
BUT WE HAVE STARTED TO SEE THAT REVERSE AND START TO CRUMBLE IN
THE LAST FEW WEEKS. TAKE A LOOK AT BRENT.
A BIG GEOPOLITICAL WEEK WHEN WE TRACK WHAT IS GOING ON BETWEEN
THE U.S. AND IRAN. BRENT TRADING AT 87 .62 DOLLARS.
HIGHER BY 4% ON THE WEEK. LET'S TRY TO MAKE SENSE OF SOME
OF THE ACTION WITH KIM FROM BOKEH CAPITAL PARTNERS JOINING
US ON THIS FRIDAY. GREAT TO SEE YOU.
LET'S UNPACK BUT WE ARE SEEING. YOU THINK ABOUT WHERE THE
WEAKNESS IS IN THE MARKET. IT IS COMING FROM THE MARKETS
THAT HAVE SPENT A LOT OF MONEY ON THIS AI BUILDOUT AND THE
COMPANIES WHERE THE MONEY HAS BEEN FUNNELED TO COME OF THE
CHIPMAKERS. WHEN YOU ADD IT ALL, IT IS THIS
ROTATION, DOES THAT HAVE LEGS OR IS IT JUST STRANGE SUMMER
TRADING? KIMBERLY: LET'S SEE, I THINK IT IS A
LITTLE BIT OF BOTH BUT MOSTLY STRANGE SUMMER TRADING AND HERE
IS WHY. IF YOU LOOK AT HOW THE HOT
SEMICONDUCTOR STOCKS TRADED IN THE LAST QUARTER, IT WAS CRAZY.
CRAZY HOT. YOU COULD NOT PAY HIM ENOUGH
FOR MICRON, YOU COULD NOT PAY ENOUGH ARE A LOT OF STOCKS.
YOU JUST WANTED TO OWN THEM, WHOEVER THAT TRADER WAS.
AND NOW NOBODY SEEMS TO WANT TO OWN THEM.
THEY HAVE COME BACK VERY QUICKLY.
A LITTLE BIT BECAUSE OF SOME INFORMATION THAT CAME OUT OF
CHINA BUT THEN ALSO, EARLIER THIS WEEK, IBM'S BIG
ANNOUNCEMENT HAD A LOT TO DO WITH THE CHILLINESS, I WILL
SAY, AROUND AI. BUT ESPECIALLY TODAY, YOU CAN
TELL THAT THERE ARE LIKE 10 PEOPLE ON THE TRADING DESKS AND
THAT IS IT. THERE ARE 10 OF US THERE AND IT
IS BECAUSE IT IS WEIRD TODAY. KATIE:
JUST JUDGING BY THE COMMUTE THIS MORNING.
IT WAS SPARSE ON THE RAILS. LET'S TALK ABOUT THE AI NEWS
OUT OF CHINA, THE NEW AI MODEL COMING FROM MOON SHOT.
SAID TO RIVAL THE BEST OFFERINGS FROM OPENAI AND
ANTHROPIC. A BIG REASON WHY YOU ARE
SEEKING NVIDIA COME UNDER PRESSURE SINCE THOSE COMPANIES
USE THOSE CHIPS. IT FEELS LIKE A MINI DEEPSEEK
MOMENT. THE EXISTENTIAL QUESTION IS
THAT HEAVY SPENDING WE ARE SEEING ON AI, ARE WE BASICALLY
OVERSPENDING? KIMBERLY: I'M SURE WE ARE, IT IS A MATTER
OF MAGNITUDE. BUT THE TREMORS THAT COME OUT
OF CHINA, A LOT OF THEM ARE SEEN STEALING MINOR PLAYER IS
WALKING THROUGH. WHY DO I SAY THAT? THERE ARE PEOPLE USING DEEPSEEK
BUT I'M PRETTY SURE THAT PALANTIR AND OTHER COMPANIES
GETTING PEOPLE TO PAY ACTUAL MONEY FOR ACCESS TO THE WESTERN
MODELS, WE WILL CALL THEM, ARE UNWILLING TO TRADE THEIR
COMPANY INFORMATION AND PUT IT IN THE HANDS OF, WELL, PEOPLE
THAT HAVE A HISTORY OF NOT BEGETTING QUITE HONORABLE WITH
OTHER PEOPLE'S DATA, WE WILL SAY. DATA IS REALLY IMPORTANT.
AND I THINK AT THE END OF THE DAY, IT IS AN ISSUE.
WHETHER OR NOT THIS MODEL WILL HOLD UP, AND AGAIN, HAS CHINA
SOMEHOW SUPPLANTED NVIDIA IN MAKING THE FASTEST CHIP?
WE WILL NOT KNOW FOR A WHILE. I HAVE A FEELING THERE IS
PROBABLY A GOOD NUMBER OF NVIDIA CHIPS FLOATING AROUND IN
CHINA, PERHAPS. THIS IS A LOT OF NEWS THAT
PEOPLE ARE REACTING TO THAT DON'T NECESSARILY HAVE HARD
FACTS SET TO IT. KATIE: WE WILL HAVE TO SEE HOW FOLKS
DIGEST THIS ON MONDAY. YOU THINK ABOUT SOME OF THE
SINGLE STOCK STORIES WE HAVE SEEN THIS WEEK.
IT IS NOT JUST THE CHIPMAKERS. YOU THINK ABOUT IBM, FOR
EXAMPLE. IT WAS INTERESTING, THE IDEA
THAT THEIR CUSTOMERS ARE BASICALLY SHIFTING SPENDING AND
THEY HAVE TO PAY UP FOR SERVERS AND NOT AS INTERESTED IN IBM
AND WHAT PRODUCTS THEY HAVE DOES SELL.
I WONDER IF WE WILL SEE MORE OF THOSE TYPES OF STORIES AS WE
GET DEEPER INTO THE EARNINGS SEASON. KIMBERLY: I THINK WE WILL AND PEOPLE WILL
GO AND SAY, MY GOSH, THIS IS THE DOTCOM COLLAPSE ALL OVER
AGAIN. IT IS KIND -- IT KIND OF IS AND
IT KIND OF IS AND ONE REASON IS THERE ARE NOT A LOT OF
COMPANIES IN THE ENTERPRISE SPACE THAT DOMINATE LIKE IBM
DOES. THEY OWN THE GLOBAL 2000, THE
2000 LARGEST FIRMS IN THE WORLD USE THEM.
I THINK WE ARE MAKING A MISTAKE TO THINK THE GLOBAL 2000 WILL
CONTINUE TO SPEND IN THE REGULAR AI DEPARTMENT JUST LIKE
NORMAL AND ADD AI SPENDING TO IT. AND I THINK THAT IS A REALLY
BAD IDEA. AND IBM IS GOING TO HAVE TO
TALK ABOUT THAT NEXT WEEK, ABOUT WHERE THE SPEND IS COMING.
IS IT GOING AWAY FROM IBM? OR ARE THEY DELAYING AND THEY
WILL ROLL OUT THERE AI OFFERINGS THROUGH IBM?
I THINK THAT IS A REALLY BIG QUESTION. KATIE: A GOOD POINT. IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE
WHAT ADDITIONAL DETAIL WE GOT NEXT WEEK WHEN THEY DO REPORT
EARNINGS. THEY WORK PRETTY RELEASING THE
BAD INFORMATION AND WE SAW THE STOCK REACT WHEN YOU THINK OF
SOME OF THE LEVELS WE HAVE REACHED. WHEN YOU THINK OF THE
VOLATILITY ON THE DISPERSION UNDER THE HOOD ON THE INDEX,
ARE YOU SEEING BARGAINS OPEN UP? AND IF SO, WHERE ARE YOU
PICKING YOUR SPOTS? KIMBERLY: I AM SEEING BARGAINS.
WHEN NEW ACCOUNTS COME ON, I WASN'T BUYING THEM WHEN
EVERYTHING WAS PRICED UP, WE WILL SAY SO I'M BEGINNING TO
SEE WHERE THESE DRAMS ARE SETTLING IN.
AND ONE I THINK I CAN TALK ABOUT THAT I'M LOOKING AT AND I
OWNED FOR SOME ACCOUNTS, NOT ALL IS SYNOPSIS.
ARE WE NEVER GOING TO DESIGN ANOTHER CHIP AGAIN? APPARENTLY, THAT IS WHAT PEOPLE
THAT SELL THAT COMPANY IN CADENCE ARE THINKING AND I
THINK THAT IS PROBABLY NOT A GREAT IDEA. KATIE: SYNOPSIS IS ON YOUR WATCHLIST.
WHAT AREAS OF THE MARKET DO YOU THINK THE PRESSURE IS JUSTIFIED?
WHERE WOULD YOU BE STAYING AWAY FROM FORECASTING A SKEPTICAL
EYE AT? KIMBERLY: THE MEMORY STOCKS.
THEY FLEW UP EARLIER THIS YEAR, SO FAR, SO FAST. IT IS UNCLEAR
THE TRUE DEMAND. NOT ALL MEMORY STOCKS ARE
CREATED EQUAL. MICRON CREATES DIFFERENT
PRODUCTS THAN SANDISK AND SK HYNIX. YOU HAVE TO BE VERY
DISCRIMINATE ABOUT BUYING IN THAT AREA.
IT IS JUST REALLY A VERY COMPLICATED AREA SO YOU HAVE TO
GET YOUR ENGINEERING HAT ON AND TAKE A LOOK AND SEE WHO MIGHT
BE WORTH WHAT THEY ARE CURRENTLY AT.
AND I THINK THAT IS TRUE OF ALL TECHNOLOGY.
YOU CANNOT INDISCRIMINATELY BIONTECH.
YOU MUST UNDERSTAND WHAT YOU ARE BUYING AND WHERE IT FITS IN
THE ROLE OF A GUY. KATIE: THE OBVIOUS QUESTION BEFORE YOU
GO, YOU THINK OF THE SK HYNIX U.S. LISTING JUST A WEEK AGO.
IS IT POSSIBLE WE LOOK BACK AND SAY, THAT IS THE MOMENT THE
BUBBLE BURST? KIMBERLY: COULD BE.
IT REALLY LOOKS LIKE THAT COULD HAVE BEEN THE MOMENT, RIGHT?
AND AGAIN, IS IT JUST FOR THE BROAD MAKERS OF RAM AND D-RAM,
OR IS IT JUST SPECIFIC AREAS? ONLY SIX MONTHS WILL TELL.
WE CAN LOOK BACK AND SAY, THAT IS WHAT HAPPENED. KATIE:
ALWAYS GREAT TO TALK TO YOU. THAT IS THE FOUNDER AND CHIEF
INVESTMENT OFFICER OVER AT BOKEH CAPITAL PARTNERS.
WE ARE COUNTING DOWN TO THE CLOSING BELLS.
WE HAVE ABOUT 30 SECONDS TO GO INTO WE CLOSE THE BOOKS ON A
DOWN WEEK FOR THE S&P 500. LOOKS LIKE WE WILL FINISH DOWN
.9%. OFF SESSION LOWS BUT A BIG CHUNK OF THE INDEX TAKEN OUT ON
THIS SUMMER OR FRIDAY. MEANWHILE, TAKE A LOOK AT THE
NASDAQ. DOWN BY ABOUT 1.4%. THE DOW RELATIVELY
OUTPERFORMING, DOWN ABOUT .8 PERCENT.
YOU THINK OF THE BREAKDOWN OF THE S&P
ABOUT 140 NAMES FINISHING IN THE GREEN.
A LOT OF STOCKS MOVING TO THE DOWNSIDE.
MORE THAN 350 NAMES, TO BE EXACT.
NVIDIA TAKING THE BIGGEST CHUNK OUT OF THE INDEX.
YOU LOOK AT THE SECTOR BREAKDOWN AS WELL, BECAUSE IT
IS REALLY INTERESTING. WE WERE TALKING ABOUT THAT BAD
BREATH EXTENDING TO THE SECTOR LEVEL.
YOU CAN SEE A BUNCH OF RED ON THE SCREEN BEFORE YOU RIGHT
THERE. ONLY ONE SECTOR MANAGED TO
ACTUALLY FINISH IN THE GREEN TODAY.
THAT WAS ENERGY, HIGHER BY ABOUT 1.2%.
EVERYTHING ELSE FINISHING THE DAY WITH LOSSES, LED BY
COMMUNITIES -- COMMUNICATION SERVICES.
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SHARES DOWN ABOUT 1.6%.
LET'S BREAK DOWN THIS MARKET ACTION WITH MICHAEL BALL.
YOU ARE IN THE OFFICE ON THIS FRIDAY, JULY 17.
I WANT TO START WITH YOU, MICHAEL.
YOU THINK ABOUT WHAT HAS DEVELOPED WHEN IT COMES TO
MOMENTUM, AND THE HIGHEST FLYERS TAKING THE MARKET DOWN
WITH THEM. WHAT ARE YOU SEEING WHEN YOU
LOOK UNDER THE HOOD? >> MOMENTUM, THE GO TO BASKET
RIGHT NOW IS DOWN OVER 30% SINCE ONLY A COUPLE WEEKS AGO.
TODAY WAS INTERESTING. IT WAS DOWNRIGHT OUT OF THE
OPEN. IT CAME BACK POSITIVE. EVENTUALLY, OIL RISING, THE
EVENTUAL RISK OFF TONE, AND IT HIT THE RED TO END THE DAY.
A POSITIVE DEVELOPMENT. A BIT OF A CAPITULATION. OPTION EXPIRATION DAY, SO MAYBE
SOME POSITIONING CLEARED. NEGATIVE POSITIONING,
ESPECIALLY IN AI CAPEX. SOME OF IT MIGHT HAVE COME OFF.
WE WILL HAVE TO SEE THE NEW POSITIONING OR WHAT THE MONDAY
DATA LOOKS LIKE. KATIE: TALK A LITTLE BIT ABOUT
POSITIONING. I KNOW YOU HAVE BEEN TRACKING
MICHAEL HARDEN OVER AT BANK OF AMERICA.
IT SOUNDS LIKE BASICALLY THINGS WERE LOOKING TO BULLISH.
THE RUBBER BAND HAD TO SNAP AT SOME POINT. >> THERE IS A BILL -- GOAL/BOW
INDICATOR THAT IS PRETTY WIDELY FOLLOWED. IT HAS BEEN ABOVE THAT EIGHT
LEVEL, WHICH HAS BEEN MORE EXTREME POSITIONING, SINCE
MID-MAY. IT HAS BEEN A COUPLE OF MONTHS
SINCE YOU HAVE SEEN THAT. ALSO, THE S&P 500, DESPITE THE
ROTATION IN CHIP STOCKS, ONLY 2% OFF ITS ALL-TIME HIGH.
THE NASDAQ 100 IS ABOUT 6.5 PERCENT FROM ITS RECORD.
IN JUNE, THE STOCKS DOWN 20% FROM THAT RECORD HIGH ON JUNE
22. YOU SAW SOME BRIGHT SPOTS AMONG
CHIPMAKERS LIKE SKY WORKS. APPLE IS ONE OF ITS BIGGEST
CUSTOMERS. YOU SEE APPLE HIGHER. STILL THAT ROTATION GOING ON.
PEOPLE ARE MORE FOCUSED ON MICRO RIGHT NOW, HEADING INTO
EARNINGS NEXT WEEK, WITH GOOGLE AND TESLA AND INTEL.
RATHER THAN THE MACRO. KATIE: NEXT WEEK IS CERTAINLY GOING TO
BE JAM PACKED. IT IS GOING TO BE INTERESTING
TO SEE HOW THIS LANDS IN THE MIDST OF THIS ROTATION.
YOU THINK ABOUT WHAT WE ARE SEEING JUST IN THE AI TRADE.
YOU HAVE THE HYPERSCALERS FALLING, THE CHIP STOCKS
FALLING. A LOT OF IT TRACES BACK TO THAT
CONVERSATION. >> THESE HAVE BEEN THE WINNERS
FOR MOST OF THE YEAR. THE INFLATION DATA TOOK
IMMEDIATE FED FEARS OFF THE TABLE, WHICH HELPED.
ALL EYES STILL ON OIL. MANY DE-RISK INTO THE WEEKEND.
WE DON'T KNOW WHAT EVENTS ARE GOING TO COME.
THE MACRO BACKDROP HAS BEEN GOLDILOCKS.
WE DON'T HAVE TOO HIGH INFLATION.
GROWTH IS NOT GOING TO FORCE THE FED'S HAND.
THAT CAN LEAD TO MORE CYCLICAL PARTS, WITH THE AI TRADE
HOLDING UP DURING THE IRAN WAR BETTER THAN MANY EXPECTED.
THINGS GOT STRETCHED IN ONE TRADE, AND THAT IS BROADENING
ANOTHER TRADE. KATIE: I WAS JOKING THAT MAY BE WE
WILL LOOK BACK AT THAT MOMENT AND SAY THAT IS WHEN THE MEMORY
BUBBLE BURST. BUT YOU THINK ABOUT SPACEX, FOR EXAMPLE.
THE SUPERLATIVES WE ARE GETTING THERE.
WORKING ON A TRILLION DOLLARS IN VALUE.
IT FEELS LIKE A LOT OF THAT ENTHUSIASM IS BEING DRAINED
RIGHT NOW. >> NOT EVEN JUST WITH SPACEX.
WE WERE TALKING ABOUT THAT BRIEF DROP BELOW THE PRICE
LEVEL -- IT STILL CLOSED UP ABOVE THAT, AROUND 154.
BUT EVEN IF YOU LOOK AT SOME OF THE RISKS A FEW MONTHS AGO WITH
SOME OF THE SMALLER ONES, THEY STILL ARE TRADING BELOW WHERE
THEY ENDED UP GOING PUBLIC. THAT IS INTERESTING, JUST
WATCHING THE DYNAMIC OF A LOT OF THE EXCITEMENT FOR A LOT OF
THESE AI-RELATED TYPE NAMES COMING TO THE MARKET, BUT A LOT
OF THEM UNDERPERFORMING RECENTLY. KATIE:
GREAT TO WALK THROUGH SOME OF THE ACTION WITH YOU ON THIS
FRIDAY. IT WAS A TURBULENT WEEK. I'M GLAD TO SAY THE MARKETS ARE
OFFICIALLY CLOSED. MICHAEL AND JESS TALKING US
THROUGH SOME OF THE DAY'S BIGGEST MOVES.
COMING UP, WE ARE GOING TO SWITCH GEARS AND TALK ABOUT THE
BUSINESS OF THE WORLD CUP. WE WILL SPEAK WITH THE BET MGM
CEO ON WHAT WE HAVE SEEN DURING THE TOURNAMENT.
THAT CONVERSATION COMING UP NEXT. >> THE COUNTDOWN IS ON.
EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO GET THE EDGE AT THE END OF THE MARKET
DAY. THIS IS THE CLOSE. KATIE: WELCOME BACK.
LET'S TAKE A AT WHEN MARKETS CLOSED OUT ON THIS FRIDAY.
THE FINAL TRADING DAY OF A VERY VOLATILE WEEK.
YOU CAN SEE THE S&P 500 FINISHING ABOUT 1% LOWER.
A LOT OF THAT WEAKNESS COMING THROUGH WHEN IT COMES TO BIG
TECH, AS MEASURED BY THE NASDAQ 100, OFF ABOUT ONE POINT 5%.
PHILADELPHIA SEMICONDUCTOR REALLY SOLD OFF HARD INTO THE
CLOSE JUST IN THE FINAL FEW MINUTES OF TRADING, FINISHING
THE DAY DOWN ABOUT 1.6%. OFFICIALLY ENTERING A BEAR
MARKET, MEANING IT IS NOW DOWN ABOUT 20% FROM ITS PEAK.
IT HAS BEEN VERY VOLATILE ON THE WAY THERE.
INTERESTING TO SEE HOW THAT SORT OF SHAPES UP AS WE GET
INTO MAY BE A LITTLE BIT OF HEAVIER VOLUME NEXT WEEK IN
EARNINGS SEASON. AND KEEPING AN EYE ON WHAT IS
GOING ON WITH COMMODITIES. THE PRINT HIGHER BY 4.4%, JUST
BELOW $88 A BARREL FOR BRENT. TAKE A LOOK AT THE BIGGEST
INDIVIDUAL MOVERS ON THE STOCK LEVEL. APPLE HIGHER BY ABOUT A 10TH OF
A PERCENT, NET AND NECK WITH NVIDIA FOR THE WORLD'S MOST
VALUABLE COMPANY. BOTH OF THEM WITH MARKET CAPS
JUST BELOW $5 TRILLION. SPACEX OFFICIALLY RAISING OVER
A TRILLION DOLLARS IN MARKET VALUE FROM ITS OWN PEAK, DOWN
ABOUT 5.4% TODAY. NETFLIX MANAGING THIS FRIDAY
LOWER BY ABOUT SEVEN POINT 3% AFTER THE REPORT YESTERDAY.
LET'S GET TO OUR TOP STORY THIS HOUR, AND IT IS A FUN ONE.
AS THE WORLD CUP HEADS INTO ITS FINAL WEEKEND, THE BUSINESS OF
SOCCER IS REACHING NEW HEIGHTS. WE WILL BREAK DOWN THE NUMBERS
FROM RECORD-SETTING VIEWERSHIP AND THE BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
WAGERED ON THE MATCHES, TWO OTHER CHALLENGES.
ORGANIZERS THAT ONE BIG ON THE WORLD'S BIGGEST STAGE.
FOR THE SPECIAL EDITION OF THE CLOSE, THE BUSINESS OF THE
WORLD CUP, I'M JOINED BY RANDALL WILLIAMS, BLOOMBERG'S
SENIOR SPORTS REPORTER AND COHOST OF THE BUSINESS OF
SPORTS PODCAST. YOU THINK ABOUT THE NBA FINALS, THE WORLD CUP.
WHAT A SUMMER YOU MUST BE HAVING. >> I CANNOT TELL YOU WHERE I
WAS THREE OR FOUR DAYS AGO. DID YOU GO HERE?
DID YOU GO THERE? I WAS IN LAS VEGAS, BUT I CAN'T
TELL YOU. >> ON SUNDAY, I KNOW YOU ARE
GEARING UP TO BE AT THE NEW YORK-NEW JERSEY STADIUM. >> YOU ARE NOT CALLING IT
METLIFE. >> IT IS METLIFE TO ME AND
PROBABLY TO EVERYONE ELSE WATCHING RIGHT NOW.
TALK TO US ABOUT THE MATCHUP IN THE ANTICIPATION BEHIND SEEING
ARGENTINA VERSUS SPAIN. >> IF YOU ARE ADIDAS, YOU COULD
NOT ASK FOR MORE. LIONEL MESSI HAS BEEN YOUR
BIGGEST ATHLETE OVER THE LAST 20 YEARS.
AND THEN YOU HAVE MARMOL, WHO IS BASICALLY A PRODIGY IN SOME
ASPECT. THERE ARE SO MANY DIFFERENT
STORYLINES. MESSY PLACE FOR BARCELONA,
WHICH IS IN SPAIN. IF YOU ARE A SPANIARD, IT HAS
TO BE WRENCHING, BECAUSE YOU ARE ROOTING FOR A TEAM, BUT
MESSY WAS YOUR HERO FOR SO MANY YEARS.
I THINK I AM LOOKING AT THE GAMETIME APP RIGHT NOW.
THERE IS A 34,000 DOLLAR TICKET. THE CHEAPEST TICKETS -- TICKET
IS 8300 $79. THERE ARE SO MANY THINGS YOU
COULD SPEND YOUR MONEY ON. THAT IS INCREDIBLE. KATIE:
IT IS HIGH PRICES, AND NOT JUST AN AMERICAN AUDIENCE.
ALL THE PEOPLE FROM AROUND THE GLOBE WHO HAVE TRAVELED HERE --
IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE THE BREAKDOWN BETWEEN
INTERNATIONAL FANS AND LOCALS. >> I THINK A BIG PORTION OF THE
AMERICANS THAT ATTEND WILL BE CELEBRITIES OR CORPORATE
SPONSORS. I THINK THE ARGENTINIANS WILL
TRAVEL INCREDIBLY WELL. WE WERE IN THE OFFICE WHEN
ARGENTINA PLAYED ENGLAND. YOU COULD HEAR ON THE BROADCAST
THE CROWD NOISE. UNLIKE ANYTHING I HAVE HEARD
OUTSIDE OF WHEN THE FALCONS ARE PLAYING AT MERCEDES-BENZ
STADIUM. I THINK THE ARGENTINIANS ARE
GOING TO TAKE OVER. I DON'T KNOW THAT THAT IS GOING
TO TRANSLATE ONTO THE FIELD. KATIE:
I LIVE IN HOBOKEN AND I WILL BE INTERESTED TO SEE WHETHER I CAN
HEAR THE CHEERING FROM THERE. HOBOKEN IS GOING TO BE ROCKING.
BUT JOINING US NOW IS THE MAN ON THE CALL FOR 14 OF THE
TOURNAMENT'S MATCHUPS. HE IS TELEMUNDO'S PLAY-BY-PLAY
ANNOUNCER. YOUR VOICE IS FAMOUS. I'M NOT GOING TO IMITATE THE
GOAL, THAT EVERYONE KNOWS IT. THIS IS YOUR 10TH WORLD CUP
TOURNAMENT THAT YOU ARE CALLING MATCHES FOR.
IT IS YOUR 11TH YOU HAVE COVERED AS A REPORTER.
TALK TO US ABOUT HOW THE EXPERIENCE HAS BEEN.
YOU HAVE CALLED 14 OF THE MATCHES SO FAR.
I KNOW SUNDAY IS GOING TO BE A BIG DAY AS WELL. >> IT IS GOING TO BE A VERY BIG
DAY. BUT CAN YOU GET ME ONE OF THOSE
PASSES? I NEED TWO. [LAUGHTER] THAT IS HOW CRAZY THIS FINAL OF
THE WORLD CUP HAS BEEN. WE HAVE THE BEST TWO TEAMS IN
THE TOURNAMENT, THE TWO BEST TEAMS IN THE WORLD.
THE EUROPEAN CHAMPION. THE SOUTH AMERICAN CHAMPIONS.
ALL THE STORYLINES. ARGENTINA DEFENDING THE WORLD
TITLE IN BACK TO BACK FINALS. IT DOES NOT GET ANY BETTER THAN
THIS. KATIE: WHAT DO THE NEXT FEW DAYS LOOK
LIKE FOR YOU? THERE WAS REPORTING BY USA
TODAY THAT YOU NEARLY LOST YOUR VOICE ON ARGENTINA'S WINNING
GOAL VERSUS ENGLAND. HOW DO YOU PREP FOR AN EVENT
LIKE THAT? I HAVE TO IMAGINE MILLIONS AND
POTENTIALLY BILLIONS OF PEOPLE WILL BE WATCHING. >> THERE IS OBVIOUSLY A LOT OF
PRESSURE. WE HAVE BEEN HAVING RECORD
RATINGS IN TELEMUNDO, AND WE EXPECT THAT THIS FINAL WILL
BREAK RECORDS. I KNOW THE RESPONSIBILITY THAT
I WILL HAVE ON THE CALL. TOMORROW, I WILL PROBABLY CALL
IT A DAY AROUND 3:00 OR 4:00 P.M., JUST LOCK MYSELF IN THE
HOTEL AND PREPARE MYSELF THE LAST NOTES THAT I HAVE.
I KNOW THE TEAMS SO WELL. IT IS GOING TO BE A VERY EVEN
FINAL. IT IS LIKE NVIDIA. KATIE: NOW I GET IT. ADAM: THIS IS THE SECOND TIME NORTH
AMERICA HAS HOSTED THIS. WHAT HAVE YOU SEEN, AND THE
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE 1994 WORLD CUP AND THE 2026 ONE? >> THE FANDOM, DEFINITELY.
I REMEMBER THE 1994 WORLD CUP. SOCCER WAS KIND OF A NOVELTY
FOR MANY OF THE PEOPLE THAT WENT TO THE STADIUM.
NOW, WE HAVE RECORD ATTENDANCE NUMBERS.
SIX AND A HALF MILLION PEOPLE WATCH THE GAMES.
THEY CAME FROM ALL OVER THE WORLD.
THEY CAME FROM ALL OVER THE UNITED STATES TO SUPPORT THEIR
TEAMS. THE FANDOM IN THIS COUNTRY IS ALIVE AND WELL. WE DON'T NEED TO COMPARE SOCCER
TO ANY OF THE OTHER LEAGUES. SOCCER IS DOING FINE. THE U.S.
NATIONAL TEAM, BOTH MEN'S AND WOMEN'S.
IT HAS BEEN A GREAT SUMMER FOR SOCCER IN OUR COUNTRY. >> WHICH CITY THAT YOU TRAVELED
TO HAD THE BIGGEST CROWD PRESENTS WHERE YOU WERE LIKE, I
CANNOT EVEN HEAR MYSELF THINK? WHICH CITY? CRITICS I WAS VERY IMPRESSED
WITH SEATTLE. I WOKE UP AT THE END OF THE AND
SAID, WHERE AM I? SEATTLE IMPRESSED ME.
REALLY, ALL OF THEM. I CANNOT JUST PINPOINT ONE.
I WAS FORTUNATE ENOUGH TO BE IN ALL THREE COUNTRIES -- MEXICAN
CITIES, VANCOUVER. THE ONLY CITY I HAVE NOT GONE
TO IN THE U.S. IS BOSTON. ALL OF THEM WERE ABSOLUTELY
GREAT HOSTS FOR THIS WORLD CUP. KATIE: YOU WORK WITH TELEMUNDO.
WHAT HAS BEEN INTERESTING ABOUT THIS WORLD CUP IS THAT A LOT OF
ENGLISH SPEAKERS ARE WATCHING TELEMUNDO. >> HE IS THERE. IT IS ABOUT HIM.
KATIE: OBVIOUSLY, YOU ARE A HUGE DROP.
I WONDER WHAT THAT SAYS TO YOU. DOES THAT SURPRISE YOU?
IT IS ENGLISH SPEAKERS WHO ARE CHOOSING THAT THIS IS WHERE
THEY WANT TO WATCH WORLD CUP COVERAGE. >> I AM NOT SURPRISED.
THIS HAPPENED BEFORE. IT IS HAPPENING MORE PERHAPS
NOW BECAUSE PEOPLE ARE FINDING US AND FIND THAT NOT ONLY
MYSELF, BUT THE OTHER COLLEAGUES THAT WORK FOR
TELEMUNDO SPORTS HAVE DONE A TERRIFIC JOB IN PLAY-BY-PLAY.
WE HAVE THE GOAL CALLS AND THIS AND THAT.
I THINK WE HAVE A PASSION FOR THE GAME THAT IS UNPARALLELED.
IT IS A QUESTION OF STYLES. I RESPECT SO MUCH THE ENGLISH
LANGUAGE BROADCAST ON OUR COMPETITOR.
BUT WE HAVE A DIFFERENT FEEL FOR THE GAME.
WE ARE VERY PASSIONATE. LATIN AMERICANS ARE VERY
PASSIONATE. WE HAVE THE SENSE OF CRAZINESS
IN FOOTBALL FOR SOCCER. WE ARE VERY, VERY GRATEFUL THAT
WE ARE PLAYING THE NUMBERS WE ARE PULLING.
ALSO FROM THE ENGLISH SIDE OF THINGS. CRITICS I BELIEVE YOU'VE
WATCHED MORE LIONEL MESSI FOOTBALL IN PERSON THAN KATIE
AND I HAVE, COMBINED. KATIE, HAVE YOU WATCHED ANY?
KATIE: NOT IN PERSON. ASK WHAT IS IT LIKE TO SEE HIM
DO THE THINGS HE IS DOING AT 39 YEARS OLD, AND TO HAVE A CHANCE
FOR ARGENTINA TO DEFEND A TITLE, WHICH IS SOMETHING WE
ALMOST NEVER SEE? IT'S IT IS INCREDIBLE.
WE THOUGHT BEFORE THE WORLD CUP THAT HE WAS GOING TO PLAY A
SPECIAL ROLE. IT TOOK HIM FIVE TIMES TO WIN
THE WORLD CUP INTO IT BE TOO. THAT WAS THE FIFTH WORLD CUP.
NOW HE IS PLAYING IN A RECORD-BREAKING SIXTH WORLD CUP.
WE THOUGHT HE WAS GOING TO PLAY, MAY BE COMING OFF THE
BENCH, FOR AN HOUR. HE IS -- IN SOCCER TERMS, THAT
IS BEING OLD. AND YET HE HAS PROVEN TIME AND
AGAIN THAT HE IS THE GOAT. HE IS THE BEST OF ALL TIMES.
HE IS THE GOALSCORER. DELETING A SISTER.
HE PLAYS EVERY SINGLE MINUTE. -- THE LEADING ASSISTER.
WITH HIS RIGHT FOOT -- HIS DOMINANT LEFT.
HE BROKE ENGLISH DEFENDERS THAT WERE 19 AND 21 YEARS OLD AND
WHO ARE LOOKING AT HIM SAYING, WHAT? HE IS JUST GREAT.
HE DOES NOT NEED TO WIN A SECOND WORLD CUP.
OBVIOUSLY, IF HE DOES, THIS TROOP OF ARGENTINIAN PLAYERS
AND LIONEL MESSI WILL BE REMEMBERED AS THE GREATEST EVER
IN THE HISTORY OF THE SPORT. KATIE:
LET'S WAIT TO SEE IF THEY WILL BE ABLE TO GET IT DONE ON
SUNDAY. SO COOL TO HAVE YOU IN STUDIO
WITH US. WE REALLY APPRECIATE YOU MAKING
THE TIME. THAT IS TELEMUNDO'S PLAY-BY-PLAY ANNOUNCER.
REALLY INTERESTING TO HEAR THAT SEATTLE IN PARTICULAR IS
ABSOLUTELY ROCKING. ASK I AM SORT OF UNSURPRISED
BECAUSE OF THE ATMOSPHERE OF THE SEAHAWKS. THOSE WHO GO TO THE GAME ARE
OFTEN KNOWN AS THE 12TH MAN. FROM THAT PERSPECTIVE, IT IS NO
SURPRISE THAT THAT SCENE WAS PROBABLY ROARING. KATIE:
WE WILL GET INTO THE NUMBERS WHEN IT COMES TO THE BETS THAT
WERE BEING WAGERED ON SOME OF THOSE GAMES.
NEXT, WE WILL EXPECT THE FIFA WINDFALL WITH THE CEO OF THE
HOST COMMITTEE. HE WILL TALK ABOUT THE ECONOMIC
IMPACT. THAT IS NEXT. THIS IS "THE CLOSE." ♪ KATIE:
THE 2020 SIX FIFA WORLD CUP FINAL KICKS OFF IN JUST UNDER
48 HOURS, HOSTED AT THE NEW YORK NEW JERSEY STADIUM.
YOU MIGHT KNOW IT IS METLIFE. WE SAT DOWN WITH THE CEO OF THE
NEW YORK NEW JERSEY HOST COMMITTEE FOR THE FIFA WORLD
CUP 2020 SIX TO DISCUSS THE RIPPLE EFFECTS OF THE
TOURNAMENT ON THE REGION. HERE IS PART OF THAT
CONVERSATION. >> THE NEXT FEW DAYS ARE ABOUT
MAKING SURE WE ARE READY FOR WHAT IS KIND OF ITS OWN ANIMAL
AND A SINGLE -- SINGULAR EVENT. THE WORLD CUP FINAL IS GOING TO
BE PROBABLY THE HUGEST EVENT IN HUMAN HISTORY.
WE WILL HAVE BILLIONS OF PEOPLE WATCHING, WHETHER IT IS INSIDE
THE STADIUM -- WE ARE EXPECTING A FULL SELLOUT.
THIS IS BASICALLY GOING TO BE A MINI UNITED NATIONS, MIXED WITH
THE OSCARS. FOR US, WE HAD A VERY
SUCCESSFUL FIRST SEVERAL GAMES. WE DON'T NEED TO RE-CREATE THE
WHEEL. WE DO NEED TO WORK UNDER NEW
PARAMETERS. HEADS OF STATE, CELEBRITIES,
VIPS, AND THE FINAL WHICH IS GOING TO BE VIEWED BY BILLIONS
OF PEOPLE. KATIE: LAST TIME YOU WERE HERE, I GIVE
YOU A LOT OF GRIEF ABOUT THE TRAFFIC SITUATION SINCE I LIVE
IN HOBOKEN. I WAS REALLY WORRIED ABOUT WHAT
THAT AREA IN NEW JERSEY WOULD LOOK LIKE.
I HAVE TO SAY IT HAS NOT IMPACTED MY LIFE THAT MUCH.
I FEEL LIKE THE PUBLIC TRANSIT ASPECT OF IT HAS MAYBE BEEN A
LITTLE BIT BETTER THAN THE BROADER PUBLIC EXPECTED. >> ONE OF THE THINGS WE ALWAYS
TRIED TO TELL PEOPLE IS THIS IS WHAT WE DO, RIGHT?
THE UNITED STATES IS EXPERTS AT PUTTING ON MASSIVE EVENTS.
WE SELLOUT METLIFE STADIUM EVERY WEEKEND.
WE HAVE DONE PLENTY OF EVENTS THERE.
WE HAVE DONE A TAYLOR SWIFT CONCERT. THEY ALL GO FINE.
FOR THE WORLD CUP, IT IS BIGGER IN SCALE AND SCOPE, BUT AT THE
END OF THE DAY, IT IS A SOLD-OUT EVENT IN METLIFE
STADIUM. AND AS WE HEAD INTO SPORTS, THE
UNITED STATES ARE EXPERTS AT PUTTING ON BIG EVENTS, AND WE
NEED TO LEAN INTO THAT EXPERTISE.
WHAT WE HAVE SEEN ON OUR LOGISTICS -- 97% OF FANS WERE
SCANNED IN BEFORE KICKOFF. EVERYONE WAS OFF THE PROPERTY
IN TWO AND A HALF HOURS. A REAL WIN FOR US AND I THINK
WE HAVE SET THE STANDARD FOR WHAT THESE MEGA-EVENTS ARE
SUPPOSED TO LOOK LIKE. >> LET'S TALK TICKETS FOR A
SECOND. OFTEN, SUPER BOWLS HOLD THE
MOST EXPENSIVE TICKETS. THERE WAS THE SUPER BOWL IN LAS
VEGAS, AND OTHERS AS WELL. I THINK THE 2026 MEN'S WORLD
CUP FINAL COULD COME PRETTY CLOSE TO TOPPING THE AVERAGE
MOST EXPENSIVE TICKET EVER SOLD. WHAT DO YOU THINK?
ASK WHEN YOU ARE LOOKING AT THESE MEGA-EVENTS, WHETHER THE
OLYMPICS, SUPER BOWL, WORLD CUP, YOU ARE SEEING THE DEMAND
FOR THESE IN REAL LIFE EXPERIENCES GETTING HIGHER AND
HIGHER. THEY ARE BECOMING A BIGGER AND
BIGGER EVENT. MORE AND MORE THAT IS
HAPPENING, WHETHER THAT IS OUTSIDE HOSPITALITY OR THE
OPENING AND CLOSING CEREMONIES AND HALFTIME SHOW.
THESE EVENTS ARE BECOMING BIGGER AND BIGGER, AND THE
DEMAND FOR WANTING TO BE THERE AND BE PART OF IT IS ALSO
BECOMING GREATER. I THINK FOR US WHAT WE REALLY
WANTED TO DO WAS COME UP ONE, MAKE SURE THIS WAS ACCESSIBLE
AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE. WE ARE GIVING 40 FREE TICKETS
TO THE FINALS. WE HAVE ALSO GOT OUR WATCH
PARTIES, WHICH ARE THESE MASSIVE EXPERIENCES AT CENTRAL
PARK, ROCK CENTER, ALL ACROSS NEW YORK AND NEW JERSEY.
THEY ARE ALL FREE. WHETHER YOU ARE INSIDE OR
OUTSIDE THE STADIUM, WE WANT TO MAKE SURE YOU ARE ABLE TO WATCH
THE WORLD CUP, BE PART OF THE EXPERIENCE, AND HAVE AN
INCREDIBLE TIME. KATIE: AND HAS BEEN AN INSANE COUPLE
OF WEEKS AND MONTHS FOR NEW YORK.
AS WE WERE TALKING ABOUT IT, THE ANTICIPATION FOR THIS MATCH
UP ON SUNDAY IS HUGE. THIS IS TRULY A GLOBAL GAME.
WHAT SENSE DO YOU HAVE ABOUT WHAT THE BREAKDOWN MIGHT LOOK
LIKE ON SUNDAY WHEN IT COMES TO INTERNATIONAL FANS? >> FOR THE ENTIRE WORLD CUP, IT
HAS BEEN ABOUT 50% INTERNATIONAL AND 50% DOMESTIC,
WITH ABOUT 20% BEING LOCAL. 30%, THE ENTIRE REST OF THE
U.S.. 20% NEW YORK/NEW JERSEY, WHICH
MATCHES UP WITH WHAT OUR EXPECTATIONS WOULD HAVE BEEN. WE ARE SEEING OCCUPANCY
YEAR-OVER-YEAR EXCEEDING WHAT IT WAS LAST YEAR.
SO THE WORLD CUP HAS BROUGHT A PRETTY MASSIVE ECONOMIC IMPACT.
WE HAVE DONE AN INTERIM ECONOMIC IMPACT REPORT JUST
COVERING THE GROUP STAGE, AND WE SAW OVER $2 BILLION OF
ECONOMIC IMPACT JUST FROM THE GROUP STAGE, WITH OVER A
BILLION DOLLARS OF DIRECT CONSUMER SPENDING.
HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ALREADY INDIRECT TAX REVENUE
FOR THE REGION. THIS IS ALREADY, JUST FOR THE
THREE WEEKS IN JUNE, BITING A MASSIVE ECONOMIC IMPACT AND ON
PACE TO BREAK WHAT OUR PROJECTIONS WERE, WHICH WAS
OVER $3 BILLION. KATIE: OUR THANKS AGAIN TO ALEX LAST, CEO OF THE NY NJ HOST COMMITTEE
FOR THE FIFA WORLD CUP. WE WERE TALKING WITH HIM ABOUT
HOW THE TRAFFIC HAS NOT BEEN THAT BAD.
A VERY SELFISH PERSPECTIVE HERE. I JUST DON'T WANT MY LIFE TO BE
BATTERED TOO MUCH. BUT WE HAVE LEARNED THAT
PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP IS GOING TO BE AT THE FINAL, SO IT MAY
BE A LITTLE MORE DIFFICULT ON SUNDAY. >> I THINK LEAVING METLIFE
STADIUM IS GOING TO BE ABSOLUTELY INSANE.
WHENEVER HE ATTENDS AN EVENT, WHETHER IT BE THE WORLD CUP
FINAL, AND BE GAME THREE, THE SUPER BOWL -- EVERYTHING HAS
HEIGHTENED SECURITY. I THINK IT WILL BE FINE AS LONG
AS YOU GET THERE EARLY. BUT IT WILL BE COMPLETELY
DIFFERENT. KATIE, AND WHEN EVERYONE TRIES
TO LEAVE AT ONCE. IT WILL BE FUN TO SEE WHAT THAT
MEANS, ESPECIALLY FOR PEOPLE DRIVING BY, WHICH IS WHAT I DO.
IN ANY CASE, COMING UP, WE ARE GOING TO TALK ABOUT HOW THE
WORLD'S BIGGEST SPORTING EVENT ALSO BECAME ONE OF THE BIGGEST
BETTING EVENTS. A CONVERSATION WITH ADAM
GREENBLATT, THE CEO OF BET MGM. KATIE:
WELL, THE WORLD CUP FINAL IS SET TO BOOST U.S. SPORTS BOOKS.
THE TEAM AT BLOOMBERG INTELLIGENCE CRUNCHING THE
NUMBERS, NOTING THAT DRAFTKINGS, PHAM DUELL, AND BET
MGM COULD BE SET FOR A MODERATE BOOST TO THE THIRD QUARTER IF
UNDERDOG ARGENTINA DEFEATS SPAIN.
WE ARE DISCUSSING WITH THE BET MGM CEO AS WE HEAD INTO THIS
WEEKEND'S BIG MATCHUP. WE WERE JUST TALKING WITH THE
FAMOUS PLAY-BY-PLAY COMMENTATOR FOR TELEMUNDO. HE SAID THAT IT WAS THE SEATTLE
GAMES THAT REALLY IMPRESSED HIM, WHEN IT COMES TO THE FAN
PRESENCE. I'M TAKING A LOOK AT SOME OF
THE STATS THAT YOU SENT OVER, AND IT WAS THE U.S.-BELGIUM
GAME IN SEATTLE THAT WAS YOUR MOST BET ON SOCCER MATCH EVER.
TALK TO US ABOUT WHAT YOU ARE SEEING WHEN IT COMES TO SOME OF
THESE SPECIFIC MATCHUPS. >> IN AGGREGATE, THE WORLD CUP
HAS DRAMATICALLY EXCEEDED OUR EXPECTATIONS.
I THINK THERE IS A THEME HERE. I LISTENED TO THE PREVIOUS
SEGMENT. EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS AND
BREAKING RECORDS. BET MGM WAS NO EXCEPTION.
THIS TOURNAMENT HAS BEEN THE MOST BET WORLD CUP IN BET MGM
HISTORY. THE OVERALL VOLUME HAS TRIPLED.
YOU HEARD THAT RIGHT. THREE X, COMPARED TO THE 2022
WORLD CUP. AND IT KEEPS GOING. WE HAVE TWO MORE GAMES AHEAD.
THE ARGENTINA-SPAIN MATCHUP, THE COPPER FINAL, IS REALLY CAPTURING THE BETTER -- BET
TO'S -- BETTOR'S IMAGINATION. THERE ARE SEVERAL REASONS WHY
IT HAS BECOME A SUCCESSFUL BETTING EVENT.
I THINK IT IS PARTLY A RESULT OF THE EXPANDED TOURNAMENT
FORMAT. WE HAVE MORE BETTING CONTENT,
MORE GAMES. WE HAVE A BROADER RANGE OF
BETTING MARKETS. WHAT WE ARE OFFERING IS MUCH
WIDER. AND WITH BETTING OPPORTUNITIES,
THE PLAYER STORIES. THE FACT THAT IT IS A
TOURNAMENT ON OUR HOME SOIL -- THE GAMES ARE AT THE RIGHT TIME.
THE VIEWING PUBLIC AND THE SUPPORT FOR SOCCER IS AT
UNPRECEDENTED LEVELS. >> EVERY BETTING PERSON I HAVE
SPOKEN WITH HAS BEEN THRILLED THAT THIS IS THE FINAL.
WHAT WAS YOUR IMMEDIATE REACTION WHEN FRANCE AND
ENGLAND LOST EARLIER THIS WEEK? ASK I GOT ON MY KNEES.
I LOOKED UP AT THE HEAVENS ABOVE. AND I SAID THANK YOU.
THE FANS THAT -- THE FACT THAT FRANCE WAS KNOCKED OUT AND IS
NOT A FINALIST CONTENDER -- THAT WAS GOLD FOR THE SPORTS
BOOKS. KATIE: YOU MENTIONED THAT SINCE 2022,
YOUR TOTAL ADJUSTABLE MARKET HAS EXPANDED.
BUT SO HAVE YOUR COMPETITORS. YOU HAVE THE LIKES OF THE OTHER
SPORTS BOOKS. YOU HAVE THE FAN DUELS OF THE
WORLD. BETTING MARKETS HAVE ENTERED
THE PUBLIC CONSCIOUSNESS IN THE LAST FEW YEARS OR SO.
HOW DO YOU POSITION BET MGM TO STAY FRONT OF MIND FOR THOSE
LOOKING TO PLACE THESE BETS? >> THERE IS NO DOUBT THE
COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT HAS BEEN FIERCE.
BUT IT HAS BEEN FIERCE SINCE THE BEGINNING.
WE ARE FOCUSED ON OUR HOW WE WIN THAT STRATEGY. WE ARE CREATING LEGENDARY
EXPERIENCES, BOTH IN PERSON AND IN APP.
THAT OMNI-CHANNEL STRATEGY IS VERY CENTRAL.
WE CUT THROUGH DURING THE TOURNAMENT WITH WHAT WE THINK
ARE SOME REALLY INNOVATIVE OFFERINGS TO OUR PLAYERS.
WE STARTED WITH WHAT WE CALL THE GOLD RUSH GIVEAWAY, WHERE
FOR EVERY GOAL THE U.S. TEAM SCORED, WE WOULD GIVE
THOSE WHO PARTICIPATED HALF A MILLION DOLLARS.
WHEN THE TOURNAMENT STARTED, THE TOURNAMENT OPENER AGAINST
PARAGUAY, WHERE THE USA SCORED FOUR GOALS, IT HAD ME WORRIED.
I WAS WORRIED ABOUT WHAT WAS TO COME. THAT WAS ONE OF THE AREAS.
WE HAD A TWO UP EARLY PAY PROMOTION.
IF YOUR TEAM IS UP BY TWO GOALS, REGARDLESS OF THE
OUTCOME, YOU GET PAID. WE ALSO TEAMED UP WITH ONE OF
OUR PARTNERS, MARRIOTT BOND BOY -- BONVOY, ON THE PITCH
SWEEPSTAKES. THE WINNERS GET TO ATTEND THE
BEYOND THE PITCH PARTY RIGHT HERE IN NEW YORK THIS IS ALWAYS
A WHO'S WHO OF THE BIGGEST NAMES IN SPORTS AND
ENTERTAINMENT. GIVEN OUR RELATIONSHIP WITH MGM
RESORTS, WE HAVE PUT ON WATCH PARTIES AND ACTIVATIONS ALL
AROUND THE COUNTRY. WE ALSO HAVE ONE OF OUR
PARTNERS, ONE OF OUR BRAND AMBASSADORS, IS THE SOCCER ICON
TIM HAMMOND. WE LAUNCHED A CASINO GAME IS
PART OF THE ACTIVATION. A BIT OF FUN -- WE SENT HIM
UNDERCOVER IN CHICAGO AT A SOCIAL MEDIA VIGNETTE THAT HAS
REALLY GONE VIRAL. PEOPLE ARE REALLY PLEASED ABOUT
THE TEAM. SO IN THE WAY THAT BET MGM
DOES, CONSISTENT WITH OUR STRATEGY. >> WHAT I HEAR A LOT IS THAT
THE FANS LOVE THE TITANS TO COMPETE -- FRANCE, ENGLAND,
SPAIN, AND ARGENTINA IN THE SEMIFINAL.
WE DID NOT SEE AS MANY UNDERDOGS.
HOW DOES THAT FARE FOR THE SPORTS BOOKS WHEN THE TOP
RANKING TEAMS ARE THE ONES FINISHING? IS THAT GOOD?
IS THAT BAD? WHAT DO YOU SEE FOR YOUR
COMPANY? >> OUR PRODUCT, AT THE IS AN
ENTERTAINMENT PRODUCT, AND EMOTIONAL PRODUCT.
PEOPLE FOLLOW THEIR HEART. THE FAVORITES ARE FAVORITES
BECAUSE OF THEIR GLOBAL FANDOM. THAT REFLECTS IN THE BETTING.
IN THE EARLY STAGES OF THE TOURNAMENT, WHERE THE FAVORITES
WERE WINNING CONSISTENTLY, I WILL BE HONEST. THE ENGAGEMENT
WAS INCREDIBLY HIGH. WE SAW LOCAL VET VOLUME -- IN
FACT, THE U.S.-BELGIUM GAME, THE NUMBER OF BITS WE TOOK IN
THAT GAME WAS MORE THAN ANY NBA FINALS GAME EVER, AND LEAST --
ANY STANLEY CUP FINALS GAME, AND A WORLD SERIES GAME.
OF COURSE, NFL IS KING IN THE SUPER BOWL IS STILL KING.
WE TOOK EIGHT TIMES MORE BETS ON THE SUPER BOWL THAN ON THAT
GAME. BUT THIS IS TELLING US THAT
SOCCER IS IN DEMAND. AND YES, WHEN THE FAVORITES
WIN, GENERALLY SPEAKING, IT IS BAD FOR THE SPORTS BOOK. BUT WHEN WE HAVE UPSETS LIKE
FRANCE'S DEPARTURE -- WE SHOULD IN THEORY ACHIEVE OUR
THEORETICAL MARGIN. KATIE: SUCH AN INTERESTING
CONVERSATION. IT IS CERTAINLY GOING TO BE AN
INTERESTING WEEKEND. WE APPRECIATE YOU MAKING TIME
FOR US. THAT IS THE CEO OF BET MGM.
A LOT OF FOCUS ON THE MATCH ITSELF.
BUT GLOBAL CITIZEN IS ALSO PRODUCING THE FIRST EVER
HALFTIME SHOW FOR THE WORLD CUP FINAL, FEATURING MADONNA,
SHAKIRA, JUSTIN BIEBER, BTS, AND CHRIS MARTIN.
WE SPOKE WITH HUGH EVANS IN THE LEAD UP TO THIS HISTORIC EVENT.
LET'S TAKE A LISTEN NOW. FIX THIS IS AN EXTRAORDINARY
EVENT FOR THE FIRST EVER FIFA WORLD CUP HALFTIME SHOW.
IT REALLY IS PLEASED TO BE THE SINGLE LARGEST LINEUP SINCE
LIVE AID. CHRIS MARTIN FROM COLDPLAY
CURATED THE WHOLE THING. HE BROUGHT TOGETHER BTS, JUSTIN
BIEBER, MADONNA, SHAKIRA, THE PS 20 TWO CHOIR, THE NEW YORK
PHILHARMONIC, AND ORCHESTRA -- THIS LINEUP REPRESENTS EVERY
CONTINENT ON THE PLANET EXCEPT ANTARCTICA AND IT IS THIS
AMAZING MOMENT OF UNITY FOR THE WHOLE PLANET. ROMAINE:
IS THERE A THEME THAT TIES ALL OF THIS TOGETHER?
ALL THE ARTISTS ARE PERFORMING DIFFERENT SONGS, BUT I ASSUME
THERE HAS TO BE SOME THREAD. THERE IS A POWERFUL THEME, AND
THIS IS THE VISION OF CHRIS MARTIN.
THE THEME IS UNITY AND LOVE. THE IMPACT WE WANT TO HAVE IS
WE SET THIS AMBITIOUS GOAL OF RAISING OVER $100 MILLION FOR
THE FIFA GLOBAL CITIZEN EDUCATION FUND.
THIS IS A FUND WE SET UP TO FOCUS ON GRASSROOTS LITERACY
ALL AROUND THE WORLD. WE KNEW THAT THIS WAS A ONCE IN
A GENERATION OPPORTUNITY WHEN YOU HAD 1.5 BILLION PEOPLE
AROUND THE WHOLE PLANET TUNING IN AT THIS MOMENT.
IF WE COULD USE THIS AS A MOMENT TO RAISE $100 MILLION,
WE CAN GIVE OUT GRANTS TO COMMUNITY ORGANIZATIONS ALL
OVER THE WORLD. ROMAINE: SO PEOPLE WILL BE EXPOSED TO
THIS AND WILL BE ABLE TO DONATE AFTER THE EVENT IS OVER? >> A DOLLAR FROM EVERY TICKET
TO THE WORLD CUP GOES TO THE FUND.
SHAKIRA, USHER -- THEY GAVE A DOLLAR IN SUPPORT OF THE
EDUCATION FUND. THE PRIVATE SECTOR STEPPED UP.
BANK OF AMERICA, LIVE NATION -- THEY CONTRIBUTED. WE GOT A COMMITMENT TODAY FROM
CANADA OF $5 MILLION TO SUPPORT THE GLOBAL CITIZEN EDUCATION
FUND. OTHER GOVERNMENTS ARE STARTING
TO STEP UP. I'M PROUD TO TELL YOU THAT AS
OF A FEW HOURS AGO, WE HAVE OVER $60 MILLION RAISED FOR THE
GLOBAL CITIZEN EDUCATION FUND. ROMAINE: JUST FROM THIS EVENT?
THAT IS A LOT OF MONEY. GIVE ME A SENSE HERE.
PEOPLE WILL LOOK AT THIS AND SAY, WHERE EXACTLY DOES THAT
MONEY GET DEPLOYED? OVERALL, I UNDERSTAND WHAT YOU
ARE DOING. WHAT ARE THE SPECIFICS? >> THE SPECIFICS ARE IMPORTANT. WE HAVE A BOARD THAT INCLUDES
HUGH JACKMAN, SERENA WILLIAMS, IVANKA TRUMP -- A RANGE OF
BOARD MEMBERS WHO ARE CONTRIBUTE INTO THIS EFFORT.
SHAKIRA IS ON THE BOARD. WE MEET ALL THE TIME AND WE
SIFT THROUGH THOUSANDS OF APPLICATIONS THAT HAVE COME IN
FROM GRASSROOTS ORGANIZATIONS OVER THE WORLD.
WE HAVE AN INDEPENDENT AUDITOR TO MAKE SURE WE CAN TRACK EVERY
SINGLE DOLLAR. KATIE: OUR THANKS AGAIN TO THE GLOBAL
CITIZEN CEO, HUGH EVANS. COMING UP, THE BUSINESS OF
SOCCER AND IT'S GROWING FOOTHOLD HERE IN THE UNITED
STATES. WE WILL DISCUSS WITH THE OWNER
OF THE ORLANDO VIKINGS. KATIE:
SUNDAY'S WORLD CUP FINAL SET TO SHATTER VIEWERSHIP RECORDS AS
SPAIN AND ARGENTINA DUKE IT OUT FOR THE TITLE.
WE HAD A CHANCE TO SIT DOWN WITH THE MINNESOTA VIKINGS
PRESIDENT AND OWNER, WHO IS ALSO THE OWNER AND CHAIRMAN AT
ORLANDO CITY SC, TO TALK MORE ABOUT FIFA'S INFLUENCE ON
SOCCER FANDOM IN THE U.S.. TAKE A LISTEN. >> THE EXCITEMENT HAS BEEN
PALPABLE FOR THE LAST FIVE WEEKS.
LACK OF SLEEP FROM ALL THE FANS WATCHING IT.
I THINK THE EXCITEMENT, THE FOUNDATION THAT IS BUILT HERE,
IS GOING TO TAKE SOCCER VIEWERSHIP IN THE UNITED STATES
TO A NEW LEVEL. WHETHER THAT IS THE INCREDIBLE
VENUES WE HAVE HAD, THE COMMUNITIES, THE WATCH PARTIES
-- IN ORLANDO ALONE, WE HAD 65,000 PEOPLE COME TO OUR WATCH
PARTIES. SEEING THE SUCCESS OF THE U.S.
SOCCER TEAM, THE RUN THEY HAD, AND ALL OF IT -- GREAT PASSION.
GREAT EXCITEMENT FOR THE GAME. ROMAINE:
THE IMPACT ON NEW YORK -- YOU ARE MORE OR LESS A LOCAL GUY,
ALTHOUGH YOUR BUSINESS INTERESTS OR ELSEWHERE.
THIS HAS BEEN A HUGE IMPACT ECONOMICALLY FOR THE NEW YORK
NEW JERSEY REGION, AND FOR OTHER CITIES LIKE KANSAS CITY,
SEATTLE, ETC.. GIVE ME A SENSE AS TO HOW THAT
TRANSLATES INTO OTHER ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES GOING FORWARD.
A LOT OF FOREIGNERS CAME TO THESE CITIES AND GOT A TASTE OF
AMERICA IN A WAY THAT MAYBE THEY WOULD NOT HAVE IF THE
WORLD CUP HAD NOT BEEN THERE. >> I THINK THE WORLD HAS TAKEN
NOTICE THAT THE U.S. IS A GREAT PLACE TO DO BUSINESS.
HOPEFULLY FIFA WILL PUT US ON THE MAP FOR ANOTHER WORLD CUP,
SOONER THAN LATER. JUST THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE
ENTIRE WORLD COMING HERE AND SEEING HOW OPEN -- THE UNITED
STATES, HOW OPEN AND WELCOMING THE UNITED STATES AND NORTH
AMERICA IS, IN TERMS OF FANDOM, EXCITEMENT, AND PASSION.
I THINK THAT GOES FOR PLAYERS TOO.
WE JUST SIGNED A WORLD CHAMPION OF FRANCE, SOMEONE WHO EVERYONE
IN THE WORLD KNOWS. PLAYERS LIKE THAT NOW WANT TO
COME TO THE UNITED STATES. AND I KNOW OUR FANS ARE GOING
TO LEAP OFF OF THIS. I THINK THERE WILL BE A LOT OF
PASSION AND EXCITEMENT FROM WHAT YOU SEE OUT THERE, AND IT
WILL ROLL INTO THE SEASONS AHEAD. KATIE:
I WANT TO TALK MORE ABOUT THAT HALO EFFECT. YOU MENTIONED GUZMAN SIGNING ON.
REALISTICALLY, HOW MUCH MORE OF THAT TYPE OF ACTIVITY MIGHT WE
SEE? BEING ABLE TO ATTRACT THAT SORT
OF TALENT TO U.S. TEAMS. MARK: I THINK IT IS GOING TO HELP A
LOT. I THINK THE OWNERSHIP WE HAVE
IN MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER -- REMEMBER, 1990 FOUR, THAT WORLD
CUP LED TO THE CREATION OF MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER.
JUST TO THINK FOUR YEARS AGO AT THE WORLD CUP, THERE WERE SEVEN
MLS PLAYERS THAT PLAYED IN THE WORLD CUP.
THIS GO AROUND, 45 PLAYERS. THAT IS A TESTAMENT TO THE
LEVEL OF PLAY WE HAVE, THE LEVEL OF THE LEAGUE WE HAVE.
IT IS GROWING DRAMATICALLY. SOCCER VIEWERSHIP AND PASSION
COMES WITH GREAT MOMENTS. THERE HAVE BEEN A LOT OF GREAT
MOMENTS IN THIS WORLD CUP. NOT JUST GREAT FAN THINGS YOU
SEE WITH THE NORWEGIAN ROWING AND ALL THE REST. IT IS GREAT
PLAYS, GREAT EXCITEMENT, AND YOUNG PEOPLE COMING OUT TO THE
BEST VENUES IN THE WORLD AND SEEING GREAT SOCCER. KATIE: OUR THANKS TO MARK WOLF, THE
PRESIDENT AND OWNER OF THE MINNESOTA VIKINGS AND ORLANDO
PRIDE. STILL AHEAD, MORE ON THE GROWING FAN BASE FOR SOCCER
HERE IN THE UNITED STATES. WE WILL CATCH BRAD SIMS ON
WHERE HE IS SEEING THE BIGGEST IMPACT. THIS IS BLOOMBERG. KATIE:
THE BALL IS OFFICIALLY ROLLING FOR THE FIFA WORLD CUP FINAL,
KICKING OFF AT NEW YORK NEW JERSEY STADIUM, ALSO KNOWN AS
METLIFE, ON SUNDAY. IT IS A HUGE MOMENT FOR U.S.
SOCCER, WITH OUR NEXT GUEST PLANNING TO OPEN NEW YORK
CITY'S FIRST EVER SOCCER-SPECIFIC STADIUM IN 2020
SEVEN. BRAD SIMS IS THE CEO OF NEW
YORK CITY FC, TALKING ABOUT HOW THIS IMPACTS NEW YORK SPORTS. >> FIRST OF ALL, NEW YORK IS A
SOCCER CITY. IT HAS BEEN FOR A LONG TIME.
EVERY GAME THAT -- AT METLIFE HAS BEEN SOLD OUT.
YOU HAVE PACKED FANS. WE WILL HAVE A FULL HOUSE HERE
ON SUNDAY. IT HAS BEEN AMAZING TO SEE THE
CITY UNITE AROUND THE SPORT. THIS IS A WORLD CITY.
WE SAY THAT THIS IS THE WORLD SPORT.
NO BETTER PLACE TO HAVE A WORLD CUP FINAL, IN MY OPINION, THEN
HERE IN THE NEW YORK CITY AREA. IT HAS BEEN AMAZING TO SEE FANS
FROM ALL OVER. AND BY THE WAY, LOTS OF NEW
FANS THAT ARE REALLY SEEING THE POWER OF THE WORLD OF SOCCER
AND COULD NOT BE MORE EXCITED ABOUT IT.
IT IS AMAZING FOR THE SPORT. ALL OF THAT IS GREAT I THINK
FOR MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER, FOR NEW YORK CITY FC.
MORE SOCCER FANS. MORE INTEREST. MORE PEOPLE
TALKING ABOUT SOCCER, THINKING ABOUT SOCCER, WATCHING SOCCER
GAMES. IT IS BETTER FOR US. ROMAINE: GO BACK.
WE TALK ABOUT THE MLS AND ITS FOUNDING, AND RIDING THE
COATTAILS OF THAT FIFA WORLD CUP WHICH CAPTIVATED A LOT OF
FOLKS HERE IN THE UNITED STATES. WHEN YOU THINK ABOUT THE
MATURITY OF THIS LEAGUE RIGHT NOW, OR THE MATURITY OF NEW
YORK FC, HOW MUCH OF A BUMP DOES A WORLD CUP BEING PLAYED
IN THE U.S. AND NORTH AMERICA ACTUALLY
BRING IN NEW FANS TO THE SPORT? >> WE THINK IT IS GOING TO BE
MASSIVE. THIS IS ROCKET FUEL TO OUR CLUB
IN NEW YORK. IT IS AMAZING, THE IMPACT THAT
THE 1990 FOUR WORLD CUP HAD. THAT SPAWNED AN ENTIRE LEAGUE. NOW WE ARE HERE 30 PLUS YEARS
LATER, AND MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER OVER THE LAST TWO YEARS IS THE
SECOND HIGHEST ATTENDED LEAK IN THE WORLD ONLY BEHIND THE
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE IN TERMS OF ACTUAL ATTENDANCE AT GAMES.
IT IS INCREDIBLE HOW THE SPORT HAS BEEN TAKEN ON IN THIS
COUNTRY. THIS WORLD CUP IS TAKING
EVERYTHING TO A COMPLETELY DIFFERENT LEVEL.
WE DEFINITELY ARE ALREADY SEEING THE POSITIVE IMPACTS OF
THAT. BUT THE LEAGUE IS COMING BACK
THIS WEEKEND, SO MLS IS BACK. IT IS GOING TO BE -- FOR US, WE
ARE GOING TO SEE A TON OF POSITIVE MOMENTUM, AND WE ARE
FORTUNATE IN NEW YORK CITY TO BE LAUNCHING THE FIRST EVER
SOCCER-SPECIFIC STADIUM IN THE FIVE BOROUGHS OF NEW YORK CITY
IN 2027. FOR US, THE TIMING COULD NOT BE
MORE PERFECT. KATIE: BRAD SIMS IS THE CEO OF NEW
YORK CITY FC. HERE TO COUNT US DOWN TO THE
FINAL WEEKEND OF THE WORLD CUP IS VANESSA PERDOMO, A BLOOMBERG
BUSINESS OF SPORTS COHOST. I'M ALSO JOINED BY RANDALL
WILLIAMS. ALL I WANT TO TALK ABOUT RIGHT NOW IS THE WEATHER.
THE AIR IS POISONOUS IN NEW YORK RIGHT NOW.
I AM ONLY SLIGHTLY EXAGGERATING. IT IS VERY UNHEALTHY BECAUSE WE
HAVE ALL THE CANADIAN WILDFIRE SMOKE SORT OF ANGLE -- SORT OF
ENGULFING OUR CITY. FOR THIS MATCH, BY MANY
MEASURES, IT IS UNHEALTHY TO BREATHE RIGHT NOW. VANESSA:
IT IS NOT HEALTHY TO BREATHE, BUT IT DOES NOT POSE A PROBLEM
FOR FIFA OTHER THAN OPTICS. THEY ARE NOT GOING TO CHANGE
THE GAME. THE WORLD CUP FINAL IS GOING TO
BE PLAYED AT 3:00 P.M. ON SUNDAY.
THEY OBVIOUSLY HAVE THINGS IN PLACE WHERE IF IT GETS UP TO
200 OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT, THEY WOULD PROBABLY HAVE SOME
SORT OF WAY TO PUSH THE GAME BACK MAY BE TO MONDAY OR
SOMETHING LIKE THAT. BUT AS OF RIGHT NOW, IT DOES
NOT LOOK LIKE IT WOULD BE THAT POISONOUS, AS YOU SAY.
I THINK THEY ARE GOING TO HAVE THE GAME. KATIE:
WE KNOW THAT PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP WILL BE ATTENDING THE
GAME ON SUNDAY. APPARENTLY, HE IS PLANNING TO
SPEAK WITH CANADIAN PRESIDENT MARK CARNEY TO FIND OUT WHAT
THEY ARE GOING TO DO ABOUT IT. I LOOK FORWARD TO THAT
CONCLUSION. SOMETHING WE WERE TALKING ABOUT
EARLIER IN THE SHOW WAS ADIDAS FEELS LIKE THE BIG WINNER HERE.
VANESSA: THEY ACTUALLY CANNOT LOSE.
THEY OUTFIT THEM BOTH FOR THE GAMES.
AND WE WERE TALKING ABOUT THIS BEFORE.
I DO THINK MESSI AND ARGENTINA WOULD BE THE BIGGER WIN FOR
THEM. HIS LAST WORLD CUP, POTENTIALLY.
IF THAT JERSEY BECOMES REALLY VALUABLE -- EVEN FOR THEIR OWN
SALE. RANDALL: OF COURSE, MARMOL IS A GLOBAL
ICON WAITING TO BLOOM. BUT HE HAS NOT HAD A MOMENT AT
THE WORLD CUP. WHEREAS MISSY IS A LEADING
CANDIDATE FOR THE GOLDEN BOOT. WITH THAT IN MIND, IF HE DOES
THE SAME THING HE DID THE LAST MATCH AGAINST ENGLAND AND HAVE
TWO ASSISTS, ADIDAS CAN SAY THIS IS OUR GOLDEN GUY.
I THINK THERE WOULD HAVE TO BE A SIMILAR TYPE OF MATCH THAT
KYLIAN MBAPPE BE HAD, A HAT TRICK.
WE HAVE ONLY SEEN A COUPLE OF THOSE EVER. KATIE:
IT IS GOING TO BE FASCINATING TO SEE HOW IT PLAYS OUT,
ARGENTINA VERSUS SPAIN ON SUNDAY.
APPRECIATE YOU BOTH JOINING US. THAT IS VANESSA PERDOMO.
THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR JOINING ME THIS HOUR.
HELPING ME WITH ALL THE SPORTS CONVERSATIONS FOR OUR SPECIAL
COVERAGE OF THE WORLD CUP. FOR ALL OF YOUR POLITICAL
COVERAGE, "BALANCE OF POWER COMING UP NEXT, BUT THAT DOES
IT FOR US ON THE CLOSE. HAVE A FANTASTIC WEEKEND.
Commentaires 0
Connectez-vous pour rejoindre la discussion.
Se connecterAucun commentaire pour l'instant. Soyez le premier à partager votre avis !