Recommandations
L'entrée est le cours de clôture de l'actif à la date de publication. Le cours actuel est la dernière clôture enregistrée.
-
Entrée $44,79 24 juil 2026Actuel $38,70 06 août 2026Résultat −$6,09
But you can also check out leveraged ETFs. In this case, SQQQs one that goes up whenever the Qs go down. It's a leveraged way to play the downside on the Qs and profit when stocks are going down.
Transcription Complète
All right, finally it says finally Friday, guys. Let me tell you, man, this week in the market's been insane and today it's uh it's no different. We have some green, we have some red, oil selling off, the VIX is down, and we got a lot of earnings that we have to cover, guys. And these stocks, let me tell you, man, they're going all over the place. So, guys, let's dive into it. Hit the like button, make sure to subscribe, join my Patreon if you guys want to keep up with my actual portfolio updates, my trades, investments, and if you want to be a part of my private Discord, all that's linked down below, pinned in the comments, or go to stasurf.com/patreon. And now, cheers, guys. Take a sip of your coffee and let's dive into it. So, it is about what time is it? 10:30 a.m. on the East Coast. We're only an hour into the session, and again, we're all over the place, which has kind of been the theme this entire week in the market, right? Especially for tech, uh the Qs have been selling off, and they look like potentially uh they might be going even lower. As of right now, again, we're about an hour into the session, the S&P is actually green, 0.12% in the green as the Qs are down over 3/4 of a percent. We have the Dow up around 0.1 and the Russell is down 0.1. So, we have some green, we have some red, Brent crude oil is down about 4%, which is good. That popped over 100 a barrel um yesterday, right? And WTI is down just under 3%. That hit over 90 a barrel yesterday. Now, we're at 89.50 a barrel as the VIX is down back into the mid-18s, down 1.3% on the day. Not not much movement, honestly, from the volatility index, but what I really want to focus on before we dive into these earnings, a couple stocks I'm watching, so make sure you guys stick on throughout the entire video. Before we do that, I want to show you what I'm noticing on the Qs right here. Guys, this is pointing to more downside. Let me zoom in and show you all exactly what I'm looking at. So, we talked about this yesterday, now it's actually starting to play out slowly, the descending triangle on the 4-hour chart. It is It is clear as day, guys. We have a clear support at 690, 685, and we've been making lower highs into that support for the last couple of weeks, right? You're noticing it. We hit We hit 750, 743, 734, 726, and most recently, a couple days ago, we hit about 708, 710, and we got nailed at that 50 moving average on the 4-hour chart, and now the descending triangle looks like it wants to play out. Especially Especially if it takes out 685, and we're currently at 686. If that level breaks, guys, we have a wide-open gap down to 665, 670. That is where this could be going. So, you know, it's uh it's not hard to believe at this point, but the bears are gaining an edge, and it looks like they might gain an even further edge in the short term. Uh but when in doubt, zoom out. You guys know I say that all the time. If you look at the 1-year chart, we're we're fine. Even if this triangle plays out in the short term, look, the Qs get down to 660, 670, we're still going to be above the 180 moving average on the 1-year chart, and we're still in a bull market. We're still holding an uptrend, and it's funny, man. I got a lot of I I get a lot of comments throughout all these platforms, and people are freaking out. Stoss, we're in a bear market. Stoss, the bull market's over. I mean, that's factually incorrect. It's not The bull market is not over. We're still in a bull market. I mean, look at this chart. Look at the 4-hour chart. Do you got Do you guys even know what a bear market is? A bear market is when we're down 20% from highs. We're only down 8 and 1/2% from highs on the Q's. Now, people are arguing we're heading into a bear market. This is the start of a bear market. I think that's premature. I think that's premature to say, and honestly, I disagree, and that's why I'm adding to stocks. Even if we were in the start of a bear market, I would still be nibbling stocks, you know? But I just don't think this is a bear market, guys. What's the evidence, right? Show me. Le- Leave me some comments, man. Um I want to hear why we're in a bear market, even though we're only down 8 and 1/2% and the longer-term charts look great. But enlighten me, are we in a bear market? Why are we in a bear market? Let me know. But in the short term, guys, again, this triangle looks like it wants to play out. We're down now 0.9% on the Q's. We're down almost 1%. Now, we're about to be down 1%. I think this could get down to about 670, and that's where we're probably going to get another relief rally, right? 670, 675, if it even gets there. So, what do you guys think about that? Let me know in the comments. Um I'm curious where your head's at, and hit that like button, by the way. Make sure to subscribe and hit that follow button. Subscribe on YouTube. Hit that follow button on Facebook, guys. I appreciate all your support, as always. So, let's dive into earnings. Stocks, what I'm looking to do. So, Next Era Energy just gave us numbers. The stock's down about 3/4 of a percent after initially popping after the print. You guys can see here. We saw a nice pop. Actually, it was um this morning. Yeah, we hit $91. Then we dumped back under 90. Now we're at 89.12 and we're kind of wrestling with this resistance. You guys probably remember last time we covered NEE. We talked about this ascending triangle right here, but at the same time we mentioned how $90 that used to be support for a couple months. We fell through it. Now it's resistance, right? So NEE needs to get through 90 92 a share and at that point this could catch fire. I think it could fill the gap back to $100, 98 $100 and we might be able to break out even further from there. Baby steps though, guys. Baby steps. Um it looks like here they reported adjusted EPS of $1.15 versus $1.10 from last year, okay? The expected rather, not last year. Um $1.15 versus $1.10 that beat and sales missed. 7.53 billion versus 8.04 billion expected. So a a decent miss on sales, guys. And let's see if guidance can make up for it. It looks like they back their full year adjusted EPS view of 3.92 to 4.02, okay? Anything on revenue, guys? Um let's see here. They posted operating revenue of 7.53, blah blah blah. Um they expect to grow dividend at 6% from I guess from from the end of 26 through 2028, okay? I don't care too much about the dividend, guys. Uh looks like we don't have anything on sales guidance here, but decent EPS guidance and the fact that they missed revenue I'm not loving but the stock seems to be digesting that pretty well right now. Um it's not like they're tanking which honestly is a bit not surprising maybe but I guess that's a good sign um that the stock maybe doesn't want to go much lower. The fact that they missed revenue by um half a billion dollars and the stock's not really falling much. Hey, that's actually a good sign. But I'm still going to wait and see if NEE can take out um $91.90, $91. So I'm going to set my alert at 90 and you guys know we mentioned this in um a recent video the next phase of the AI trade. This stock is in that basket of stocks that I'm watching and I'm just waiting for the alert. I'm waiting for the uh the confirmation shall I say. So that's NEE. We also got earnings out of AXP um American Express. The stock's down over 6% right now. Earnings came out this morning and it's off a cliff. It's falling off a cliff complete falling knife. Now we're back under these moving averages for the first time in a couple of weeks and honestly man even though it is a falling knife it's off a cliff the chart doesn't look that bad. You know, we're still maintaining trend. We're still well above the lows from the beginning of June. We hit about 300, 302. Now we're at 320. So let's see if this can potentially stabilize in the low the lowish 300 range. 310, 315, you know, that's a spot I'm watching. So AXP reported let's see EPS of $4.53 that beat the $4.40 expected on sales of 19.63 billion versus 19.69. So they actually missed on sales, not nearly as as bad of a miss as NEE, uh but the stock's taking it much worse than NEE as again it's tanking. Um they expect full year EPS to range between 1730 to 1790. The estimate 1772, pretty much right in line with the estimate there. Anything on sales, um looks like they expect um earnings surpass expectation as card spending increases 9%. So, a lot of people are swiping that Amex, guys. Yeah, you know what I mean. They're swiping that Amex. Um and I'm watching it overall as look, again it's holding trend. The stock is a falling knife, not loving it. But, I'm watching it to see when the dust will settle. Maybe we can get a rebound play on AXP. Intel also reported earnings, which you guys know Intel's been one of the hottest stocks in the market, and uh it's down. It's down 4% after earnings. The stock initially popped to 113, and now it's at 96. So, these earnings came out yesterday. We're down 15% from that peak in the after market, and it's just it's the same old, right? We've seen these companies this earning season report good earnings, strong guidance, and the gains just can't hold. That's what we're seeing now on Intel. And let me show you here, guys. They reported um let's see if I can even see it here. EPS of 42 cents adjusted, which literally beat the estimate um massively. It doubled up on the estimate. The estimate was 21 cents, and they reported sales of 16.12 billion versus 14.41 billion um expected. So, very strong double beat out of Intel and they see full year not full year Q3. So, the current quarter adjusted EPS of 38 cents versus 24 cents expected on sales of 15.8 to 16.8 billion dollars versus 15 billion dollars expected. So, they crushed EPS revenue guidance is super strong and the stock just can't, you know, can't hold on to the gains. That is what at least the AI trade is looking like right now. A lot of these tech AI stocks reporting good numbers and the stocks are getting nailed. That's what we're seeing and this is no different and at this point we're noticing um kind of kind of a head and shoulders on Intel playing out and the fact that it failed to really break back through the mid one teens right back to 120 plus. Um that's not a great sign in the short term. So, a lot of the same for Intel. It's been chopping around for months pretty much the last almost 3 months now we've been chopping around and now we're actually starting to sell back down. Not ideal. Not ideal uh for Intel, but if you if you have a long-term vision on the company, you know, it might not be a bad time to add. When stocks are down this much from highs and you believe in the companies, you believe in the valuation, might not be a bad time to buy. Uh not saying for Intel in particular, but stocks in general, you know, when they're down, when they're getting hit on good earnings, might not be a bad time uh to look deeper. So, Raytheon, well, I guess RTX now, it used to be Raytheon. RTX reported and this stock is popping. And oh by the way, we called out defense stocks what? A week ago, a couple days ago. I made a video going over defense stocks. RTX was on the list. We had Lockheed Martin on the list. A lot of these are popping after earnings. Uh Lockheed reported, I think, yesterday. Um that one's up a good chunk. Uh what other ones did we mention? I forget. Either way, Lockheed Martin Mar- No, jeez, I can't even talk. Lockheed Martin, not Martin. Lockheed Martin reported earnings. Let me show you this one, too, guys. Might as well. Um they did EPS ba ba ba ba ba. Where's the EPS here, guys? Earnings per share of 7.94, sales over $20 billion, um and they see cap spending of two to 2.4 billion dollars versus the prior look of 2.5 to 2.8. So, spending is coming down. Um and again, the environment we're in right now with the Iran, right? The the conflict in the Middle East, it's a perfect storm for these uh for these defense stocks to go up, and they reported pretty good numbers. Sending the stocks uh sending the stocks higher. Not surprising. Raytheon, as well, right? This one's popping now to multi-month highs. Um am I chasing it now? Probably not. The time to get in was over the last week, couple weeks. Uh but I'm still watching them, right? RTX reported earnings per share of $1.89 adjusted, which beat the $1.66 on sales of 24.7 billion versus 22.89 billion. So, very strong beat for uh for Raytheon. Great numbers out of Lockheed, and the defense stocks continue to truck on. Truck along, guys. And TMUS, T-Mobile, reported. This stock tanked. Um I guess, yeah, that was yesterday. Now it's seeing a relief rally, but still not looking so pretty, guys. T-Mobile reported earnings per share. Let's see if I can find it, guys. Come on. Earnings per share of $2.99 on revenue of Where heck's the revenue, guys? $22 billion, right? Or is that That's not including a certain segment, is it? Either way, their stock's tanking, guys. I can't find the numbers. Oh, no, here it is. $22.79 billion that missed the $22.94 expected on sales of $2.99 versus $2.58 that beat. So, mixed earnings out of TMUS and the stock's continuing the downtrend, not too surprising. So, that's the market we're in right now, guys. Crazy market. Every index is now down. When when we started the video, we had some green. Now, everything's going red. Spy's flipping red. You guys see right here, this thing's starting to tank on the intraday. The Qs are bleeding even more, man. The Qs are now down 1.1%. We can see this descending triangle's playing out. And I'll leave you guys with this. If you want to trade something like, you know, something that goes up when the Qs go down. If you want to play the downside, yeah, you can buy puts. Yeah, you can short, right? Shorting's risky, right? But puts, I guess, a little more safe. Still risky. But you can also check out leveraged ETFs. In this case, SQQQs one that goes up whenever the Qs go down. It's a leveraged way to play the downside on the Qs and profit when stocks are going down. But they're risky. Very risky, and it's all about timing. It's all about quick entry, exits. And you're not supposed to really hold these for even a couple of days, let alone long term. But I'm watching them. So, let me know your thoughts in the comments, guys. Hit the like button. Make sure to subscribe and join my Patreon if you want to keep up with my actual portfolio updates, trades, investments. And if you want to be a a of the community more in depth, the private discord community is through Patreon, link down below, pinned in the comments, or go to stasherfast.com/patreon. And with that being said, cheers, I'll see you guys in the Patreon or in the next video. Peace out.
Commentaires 0
Connectez-vous pour rejoindre la discussion.
Se connecterAucun commentaire pour l'instant. Soyez le premier à partager votre avis !