AI Investors, This Week Will Be One Of The Most Chaotic Weeks Of All Time.

AI Investors, This Week Will Be One Of The Most Chaotic Weeks Of All Time.

Analysé Voir sur YouTube Demandé Le
Rendement de la vidéo
Appels
1
Achat / Vente
1 0
Publié

Recommandations

L'entrée est le cours de clôture de l'actif à la date de publication. Le cours actuel est la dernière clôture enregistrée.

  1. SOFI NASDAQ ACHETER +0,00%
    Entrée $18,91 23 août 2026
    Actuel $18,91 21 août 2026
    Résultat +$0,00

    If SoFi, for example, sees some sort of terrible rejection. Let's say hypothetically, for some reason, Sofi just nukes all the way down into this green zone, $15, $14. Yeah, I'm just going to buy it.

Transcription Complète
All right, what's up everybody and welcome back to another Sunday here in the stock market. Well, as many of you know, I've been out of town for the last few days. I had to head back to my home state of Louisiana, get some stuff taken care of, visit a couple people. So, I'm sorry if the quality of videos wasn't as good and maybe I wasn't posting as much. Your boy just wasn't home. But, nonetheless, I'm back now. I literally walked into the house like 35 minutes ago, told my wife hello, caught up with her for a few minutes, found all five of our animals, told them hello, and look, just ran straight upstairs. kick together a presentation and turned on the camera because we have a lot to talk about. We got a lot to talk about and I needed to get this video out as soon as possible because there is a week of absolute chaos ahead of us, folks. Some of you may not even understand how chaotic this week's about to be. But I'm telling you, it's going to be all over the place because over the next five trading days, we have some major events. We have PCE data coming Wednesday morning. We have Nvidia earnings coming on Wednesday afternoon. We have Jackson Hole coming on Friday which is where Fed chair Kevin Wars is going to speak and it's going to be extremely important. It's very important every year and it definitely sets the tone and the pace for what the Fed's going to, you know, kind of how things are looking for the rest of the year which is super important right now with this whole bond yield situation. I mean, man, it's just going to feel like back to back to back every day things are going on and I think this is going to cause the market to be all over the place and I think it's going to cause our portfolios to be over the place. Okay, we didn't look too bad last week. The public portfolio ended up closing the week at a loss of $3,400. And I know that's maybe not optimal, but considering the fact that it was down about $7,800 at one point on August 20th. I'll take a $3,400 loss on the week. Are still looking pretty decent on the month up about $19,000 on the last 3 months. Currently up about $15,000. And in the last year on pace for a 19% return at around $73,000 and the hyperscaler port, you know, portfolio, that one's still looking pretty decent as well. We can see here this bad boy, it's only like a month or so old, but it itself is up about roughly 12% or so in the last month, which is not so bad. I wish I could do that every month. It' be 144% gain per year. I'd love to take that, but anyway, I think it's going to be very impactful. This week is going to be moving these portfolios all over the place. And so, my goal in today's video is to walk you through everything. I'm going to first and foremost talk about every major event that you need to pay attention to this week. PCE, Nvidia earnings, Jackson Hole, etc. why they're important, what sort of impact I think they're going to have on the market. Then we're going to jump into the charts. I'm going to walk you through Spy. I'm going to walk you through some individual stocks such as Nvidia, maybe some AMD, some Micron, maybe a bit of SoFi and Robin Hood as well, some of our hyperscalers. So, I'll walk you through those charts so you know what to be on the lookout for there. And then we'll finish up actually back in my portfolio as I'll walk you through the moves that I'm planning on making in these different portfolios that we've been building for the last year or so. Okay. So, we have a good bit to get into today. And my goal is that you do leave today's video with a real bout of mental clarity. All right? Because listen, this sort of week is the week where a lot of people are going to lose money. Things are going to be happening. Headlines are going to be everywhere. Your portfolios are going to be all over the place. And it's going to be very easy to make mistakes, to get super excited or super scared if there's some sort of flash crash or whatever it may be. And many people are going to make mistakes. And I don't want that to be you. So you who's watching this video right now, I want you to take a second. I want you to pause whatever else is going on. Let's like focus in for the next 15 20 minutes because I'm telling you, you're going to need to be prepared for all these things we're talking about today. All right, so we have a good bit to get into today and I don't want to take you too long on a Sunday, folks. I'm sure you got stuff to do. So, let's begin. So, first and foremost, Monday and Tuesday, well, gladly Monday and Tuesday honestly aren't super packed with events. We don't have really a major set of data releasing. There's a little consumer sentiment data coming on Tuesday, but nothing that I think is going to really cause a big impact on the market. But remember, these are forward-looking markets. So, if we see something coming on Wednesday, something coming on Friday, come Monday, Tuesday, the market's already pricing those things and it's moving in preparation for them. So, on Monday and Tuesday, we're really going to see the market set the tone, especially following what happened last week as the market was responding to the whole bond yield situation. Now, if you don't know what the bond yield situation is about, super long story short, we're seeing US bond yields 10-year 20-year 30-year all right now hitting multi-deade highs. As you can see here, the 10ear currently sitting at 4.736, 20 year sitting at 5.26, 30-year sitting at 5.276. So, very, very big increases there on bond yields and it's freaking the market out. And if you don't know why, I talked about it a good bit in the videos last week. Go give those a watch when you get a second. But nonetheless, we're going to see the market continue to digest that information about the bond yields and prepare for these other big events starting on Wednesday, which is going to be important for us. It's going to be important for us to kind of watch the charts and watch price action to see how the market feels leading into these things. We'll talk about that a bit more in the technical analysis section. But Monday and Tuesday are going to set the tone for Wednesday. And then, oh baby, Wednesday is going to be a stressful day. You know what sucks? You know what sucks? Uh, I booked a trip for my wife's birthday. My wife's birthday is coming up here and I kind of mistimed it. I kind of miscalculated it when we were going to do it. Now, to be fair, I booked this about 6 months ago. I thought all of these things were next week, so we planned on doing it this week. So, I'm actually going to be leaving on Tuesday and I'm going to be out of town till Monday, meaning I'm unfortunately not going to be live streaming any of this, but I'm going to be making videos. You guys know me. I'm still going to be making videos. And uh yeah, so I'm not going to get to live stream Wednesday, which kind of sucks. Um but it's all good. It's all good. You guys will be more than prepared. I'll make sure of it. And the first thing that you're going to need to be prepared for is PCE data. Okay, so as many of you know, PCE data is the inflation number that the Federal Reserve has historically watched the most. Now, Kevin Wars has come out recently and said that PCE data maybe was the metric that they relied on previously, but they have their own new metrics that they like to look at, especially with their new task force, whatever that even means. Um, in my head, they can just fudge the numbers a bit, right? Um, but nonetheless, PCE data is still very important because it gives us a clear understanding of what's happening with inflation. Is inflation going up? Is it going down? Is it climbing faster than analysts are expecting? Is it out of control? Because remember, this all has a huge impact on everything else. If inflation goes up, the Federal Reserve may have to hike interest rates. If they have to do that, it's going to put the economy in a much more constrained position in which there's less liquidity and capital, which means that less people are buying stocks, which means stock prices don't go up and neither does crypto or whatever it may be, right? So inflation data is very very very important and right now it is expected that we will see core PCE data coming in at 3.3% with headline PCE data coming in at 3.6%. Those are both still well above the 2% target but they are the numbers that the market's expecting and I think if we do get these numbers I think the market will be pretty fine with it. I don't think they're gonna I don't think they're going to be too stressed out. One thing that I have noticed is that the market is taking um these inflation metrics, CPI, PPI, PCE with a lot more of a grain of salt than they were previously because one, Kevin Wars hasn't really given off any sort of clues or signs about what the Fed's going to do. So, the market doesn't really respond super crazy to this, but two, because oil prices have been all over the place. So, if we go down to the daily chart, I mean, what you can see is that over the last few months, oil prices have just gone, you know, like up up down up down up down up down up, you know what I mean? It's all over the place. And so realistically, you know, if it's factoring in the month of July for PCE data, a lot of this is going to be kind of skewed information, but nonetheless, one way or another, in the environment that we're in right now, especially when it comes to bond yields, which I will again talk about in a little bit, still very important to pay attention to PCE data, which is going to release on Wednesday morning. Now, on Wednesday afternoon, boy oh boy, that's the big one. This is the thing that the whole market's going to go nuts over. This is the thing that everyone's going to be watching. Again, it does suck I'm not going to be able to be live for this. Man, it's always a good fun live stream when we go over it. That is Nvidia's earnings. Nvidia reports their earnings after the market closes on Wednesday. And as I mentioned before, the entire world is going to be watching. And if you're someone who has your money invested in the stock market and especially any sort of exposure to AI, you got to pay attention to this. Go look back at the last eight earnings reports that Nvidia has released. It has caused a ton of volatility and had a massive impact on the entire stock market and has kind of set the tone for what the next three months typically will look like for the AI sector which has been carrying this entire market upward. So it doesn't matter if you're invested into you know Broadcom. If you're invested in a Micron or hyperscalers like Microsoft, Apple, Google or just other stocks in general, this is one that you need to watch. Now in terms of the numbers, we are going to dive way more in depth into this as we're approaching it. I'll probably release a video on Tuesday where we talk about the numbers. But to give you a bit of a surface level understanding of what we're looking for, Wall Street is expecting $92 billion worth of revenue and $28 of EPS. Now, the reality is though, although that's what Wall Street is expecting, you might want to go in and add about 3%. Okay? you might want to go in and add 3% to that because if you go look at the history of Nvidia's earnings, they typically will beat revenue at least within the last call it four four earnings reports by about 3%. In its previous report, they beat earnings by about $2.7 billion, which is a 3.4% beat. This one was a 3.03% beat, 3.7% beat on this one, 1.5% beat on that one, and then a 1.68% beat on this one, 3.2% beat on that one. And so, one, two, three, four of your last six earnings reports. Nvidia has beat by about 3%. Some of these other smaller ones have come in, you know, 1.5, 1.6, some of your higher ones about 5%. But it does average out to right around 3% which is where Nvidia will typically beat. And what I think the market's going to do is expect that out of them going forward, right? So if it was hundred billion on expectations, the market would be looking for them to come in at about 103 billion. In this instance, I think the market's looking for them to at least come out with 94.5 $95 billion revenue. I think they're looking at EPS at least $2.13 $2.15 $2.16. And I honestly believe if Nvidia comes in anywhere under those numbers, not these numbers, those numbers is going to be bad. It's going to be bad. If you know, you know, like it it's just not going to be it's not going to be a good situation. Now, the unfortunate part, which we actually will talk about a little bit more um here in a second, is that even then, when Nvidia has beat their earnings by over 3%. It usually does kind of still fall anyway, right? We fell right here. If you go look back at this previous one, we fell right there. You go back, look at this previous one, we fell right here. Right? Nvidia does have a tendency to see the price pull back uh after their earnings reports. So coming in at, you know, 95 billion and $2.16 alone might not be good enough to save it, but at least it won't be as bad as it would be if they come in at expectations. Like if Nvidia comes in at 92 billion and $28, I'm telling you folks, it's going to be ugly. It's going to be bad. All right? So, we don't want to see that happening. Now, remember, when it comes to these earnings reports, looking at what happened in the previous quarter is only a small part of the whole earnings report. Very impactful, obviously, but only a small part. What really matters to the market is what they also say about the future. What does Nvidia say in their guidance for the next quarter, which is when they project how much they're expecting to earn over the next 3 months? That's what the market really cares about because remember it's a forward-looking market. And when it comes to Nvidia's expectations for their guidance, the market, Wall Street, is looking for them to guide at least a hundred billion dollar or more in a quarter for the first time ever, which would be roughly an 80% growth year over year from the same time just last year. So, the market's setting some high expectations. It says, look, this whole 90 billion thing is cool, but not good enough. We want to see hundred billion a quarter. And realistically, I do think Nvidia can easily do that, especially when you look at some of the financing deals that they've locked in recently and some of the customer partnerships and the announcements that we've seen. I think they're easily going to guide this. But man, if they don't, if they come in and say 98 billion, bro, I'm telling you, it's not going to be good. We're going to be looking at a nasty, nasty market, especially in the AI sector. Okay? So, you're going to want to watch to see if they come out with 100 billion. I'm expecting, I'm going to throw a random number out there, 103 billion. They're a company of 3%. I know Wall Street's looking for 100 billion. 3% more than that is 103 billion. I think that's what the market's looking for. Again, will that be good enough to stop Nvidia from crashing? Just to stop Nvidia stock from crashing, I don't know. It has a tendency to fall every time they report anyway, but it usually recovers somewhat decently quickly. And uh yeah, it's going to be very important. Okay. Now, some of the more fine details, okay, outside of their earnings and outside of the guidance are also going to be pretty important as well. Now, I'm not going to go too deep into this in today's video. I am going to save this for the next video that we do in preparation for the earnings report, but we're definitely going to want to pay very close attention to the data that they give us about Vera Rubin. Okay, you remember how I told you about two weeks ago that Vera Rubin is basically the successor to Blackwell. It's like their nextgen technology and it's going to be very important because uh that we watch to see the growth trajectory because they're in some ways saying that that's going to be the thing that carries their revenue into this next wave over the next few years. Well, we're going to get some details about that in this earnings report and it's going to be important because they said themselves that this fall is when that revenue ramp is supposed to start happening. So, we're going to pay close attention to that. But again, I'll talk about that a little bit more. Those are the details you probably won't remember until then. I'll remind you about 24 hours in advance. But nonetheless, as I mentioned before, if you are someone who has any of these stocks, which is everything in the S&P 500, we're going to be watching this close. Okay. Now, is it going to matter? Is there anything that Nvidia can do in order to stop their stock from falling? I don't know. I don't know, right? I I really don't know what's going to happen because at the end of the day, if you look at their last four, five, six, seven reports, every single time that they've beat realistically, they've ended up pulling back. The last time they didn't fall after report would have been way back here back in May of 2025. We're talking, how many reports ago was that? 1 2 3 four five reports ago. Five quarters ago was the last time that they didn't fall. Almost immediately. And even then they did kind of fall immediately, right? But they did end up continuing higher. But even before that, I mean, you go look at what happened and you just see these nasty, nasty pullbacks for Nvidia. Boom right there. Boom right there. Boom right there. It's so frequent. It's so common that Nvidia sees a pullback after their earnings report. So, I'm not quite sure that any of these numbers that, you know, we're looking for, whether it's the $103 billion in guidance or 97 96 billion in revenue. I don't know if any of that's going to be enough to stop Nvidia from pulling back, but we definitely, if we're looking at this from a more long-term perspective, those are the numbers that we're going to want to see. Okay, so Wednesday is going to be a big day. You got PCE in the morning, you got Nvidia at night. You combine those two things together, it's going to get real weird. All right. Now, Thursday is going to be a bit more of a relaxed day, but it's not a day where you can relax because although there is no news, Thursday is going to be the day where we really see how the market feels. It's going to have given everyone about 24 hours to or 12 to 24 hours to digest all of the information. The Asia market's going to wake up and decide how it feels. Remember, South Korea has a massive impact on the semiconductor market and they're going to be able to digest that semiconductor news from Nvidia and we're going to get to be able to kind of gauge what happens, right? You can usually tell the day after how the market feels about something. You give it the market 12 to 24 hours, you can kind of get a feeling for what the next week or two is going to look like. So on Thursday, it's going to be all about just gauging market response and sentiment. And then on Friday, the last day of the week, we're then going to jump into another event, which is Jackson Hole. Okay, so Jackson Hole is this big old event. They do it every year. And one thing that happens at this event is that the federal chair or the chair of the Fed, um, Kevin Wars, previously drone Powell, give like a keynote speech and they talk about the state of the economy and ideas that they have and what we're expecting moving forward. And all things considered, with the context of the world right now, with bond yields absolutely flying, hitting all, you know, 19-year highs, with inflation potentially starting to tick back up as a result of oil prices climbing, as a result of people thinking that there is a guaranteed chance that interest rates get hiked over the next 6 months, a lot of people are going to be tuning in to end the week to see what Kevin Worse says right here. Because look, the Fed's going to end up in a weird spot pretty soon here, right? If we continue to see the Treasury, Scott Besset and them going in and buying back these bond yields, I mean, what's going to happen is that this is in some way going to create some sort of inflationary pressure on the market. Maybe not substantially, but we could be talking of upwards of $200 billion. And if that is the case, I mean, and that does push up inflation knowing that we are not near that 2% goal that the Fed has. I mean, yeah, they might have to go in and start hiking up interest rates and that'll freak out the market, right? Like, this is a spooky little moment here in the economy. You got $40 trillion worth of US debt sitting on everybody's page right now, right? On everybody's front page. So, it's going to be a bit of a weird moment. And so, getting a bit of insight from Kevin Wars will be important. The thing that I will say though, usually Jackson Hole is a very important meeting because you're going to hear from the Fed and they're going to give you a lot of insight as to what you can expect. Kevin Worsh has been anti that. Kevin Worsh has done his absolute best to almost not answer anything or give any sort of insight as to what he is expecting or planning to do. And so maybe this time around is, you know, different than usual where, you know, drum pow maybe would have given a hawkish or a dovish tone. Maybe Kevin Worsh just doesn't do that. And I think that's a part of the reason as to why there's about a 69 70% chance of just a neutral tone from him because he doesn't really give off too much. But nonetheless, I'll be watching. I'll be watching. I'll be listening very closely to see what he says because it could give us a bit of insight into what we can expect from a more economic, monetary, and fiscal policy perspective from the US. Okay. That's going to be the way to end out the week. So, as you can see, man, it's just it's just going to be loaded. Monday and Tuesday are going to set the tone. See how the market feels about the bond yield situation. Consumer confidence coming out on Tuesday, which I'll talk about a little bit. Won't be too important. PCE date on Wednesday morning. Nvidia earnings Wednesday afternoon. Thursday, the market will have a chance to respond until Friday, which we go into Jackson Hole, just back to back to back. This feels like one of those weeks back in July where we had something to talk about every single day of the week. and it does make me go, "Ah, I should have enjoyed those two last weeks we just had a bit more when there weren't a lot of these big earnings reports." Okay, so we have a lot. We have a lot and it's going to move these portfolios around a decent amount, but we're going to be ready for it. Okay, we're going to be ready for it. And hopefully you guys have a clear understanding of each one. Remember, usually when we have big events like this, you know, PCE, Nvidia, I'm going to be making videos. I usually like to live stream, but this week I will still be making videos and shorts and all of that stuff updating you as it all does play out. All right, so with that in mind, let's take a second, switch gears a little bit, move out of the techn, you know, the fundamental news side of things, and let's move into a bit of the technical side of things. But hey, I did want to let you guys know something really, really quickly before we dive into the technical side of things. There is a link down below to TH Weekly. THW Weekly is basically a newsletter that I'm doing every Sunday now where everything you're hearing about in today's video, I write it out and I send it out to your email. And so whenever you get the email, you'll get a clear overview of everything that's going on. You know, a quick recap of what happened last week. Then I'm going to map out the week ahead, the important days, what you need to pay attention to in the stock market and the crypto market. I'll talk to you about some potential things that I'm looking to do, maybe buys or sells that I'm looking for in my portfolio moving forward, and much more. It's completely free. You don't have to pay a dollar for it. I just realize like I'm doing all this research to make these videos every Sunday. Anyway, I think it just makes sense to type it all out for those of you who prefer a more written format. Okay? So, if that's you, it is completely free. Again, check out the link. It's called THW Weekly. Feel free to get that down below. But with that in mind, as I mentioned before, let's dive into some charts because the charts are also telling us that we have a big week ahead. Now, the main thing that I want to focus on when it comes to the charts in today's video is what we are seeing on the weekly SPY chart. So, as you know, the spy is the SPDR, S&P 500 ETF Trust. So, this is a reflection of essentially the entire market or at least all the stocks that we really care about here on the channel. And what we can see is that something very important has happened throughout the month of August, which is that we are getting a back test. Now, if you don't know what a back test is, it's very simple. Do you see how we had this seller zone right here? This red line, which is where the previous all-time high was. It's where the sellers were stepping in and forcing down the price anytime we got closer to it. Well, back in the beginning of August, we broke through that seller zone. And now that we've broke through that seller zone, what happened is that we made a full push all the way up towards $780 before just getting a bit overextended. Do you see how we had the HCI turning red, which is this, you know, this this meter right here? It was turning red as you can see in the background there. We had bearish divergence there, bearish divergence there. It means that it took a lot of energy for us to break this red zone right here. And so, it needed to cool down. And so, the cool down is called a back test, which is basically when you break above a key level of um liquidity, in this case, resistance or a seller zone, and you come back down to test it, you're basically trying to flip this previous point of resistance into support. You're trying to flip this seller zone into a buyer zone. And last week um you know or sorry over the last few days SPY has honestly done a pretty decent job. We came down to it on Thursday. We held it very well there and then on Friday we actually bounced off of it. And so going into this week it's going to be very important to see if SPY is capable of maintaining the support because if SPY can maintain support on top of say $761 to $759, it's more than reasonable to assume that it's going to flip this seller zone into a buyer zone and those buyers are going to push this price up to try to chase down some sort of new all-time high. And I think you could be looking at SPY going all the way back up to, let's call it 784 to 790. I mean, I see no reason as to why it can't give you a as to why SPY can't give you a full extension up towards some of these extension levels up here. Unfortunately though, if we do see SPY getting rejected and it falls through that seller zone and it's unable to establish a bit of buyside support down there, yeah, you're probably coming back down to that bottom side golden zone which puts SPY somewhere around 740 to 730 bucks. I mean, there's a pretty big swing in either direction that is going to this is going to happen this week as a result of all of these earnings, as a result of all of this news. I do not believe that SPY is going to go sideways this week. I do not think that at all. I think that only has like a 10% chance of happening at most. I think it's much more likely that you're going to see a very clear move on Monday or Tuesday that's either going to be support being established which is going to give us an attempt towards the upside or support being lost which is going to open up SPY for a potential move down towards 740 or below. Okay. And naturally speaking if you do see that sort of strength to the upside or weakness to the downside that's going to influence the entire market. You're going to see Nvidia making a move based on that. Now Nvidia will be a little bit more isolated to its own you know chart because it does have earnings coming up but it's in a very similar situation. I mean, look what's going on here. Look at how Nvidia had its own seller zone right here. Check this out. Seller sold. Sold. Sold here. But we broke through it. We tried to get higher off of it. We were unable to. And now, guess what Nvidia is doing? It's coming back down to back test. Nvidia is trying to take this seller zone and flip it into a buyer zone. Will it be successful or not? I think Monday and Tuesday are going to give us that information. If Nvidia is successful, maybe this is one of those rare occasions where an earnings report continues to catapult Nvidia back up towards the top side and we're looking at an Nvidia chasing down 240. I would probably say that's only about 35 30% chance of happening, but it is still a card that's on the table. However, if Nvidia does come down into the seller zone over Monday and Tuesday, you see it start falling through, look, don't be surprised to see Nvidia try to take out $200 to $190. Coming back down into this little zone of liquidity around that trend line in that previous low is more than reasonable. I think anywhere in this little area right here is very possible. Okay, so again, Nvidia is another one that's going into this week with a very strong important back test and it's trying to flip a previous seller zone into a buyer zone. If it's successful, which I'll be able to tell you over Monday or Tuesday, great. We're probably looking at Nvidia chasing down an all-time high. That's going to be very hard to do. I would say that's only going to happen one in three times, maybe one in four times. I think what's more likely here is that Nvidia maybe loses a bit of support here on that zone and it does chase some of these lower 200s. Okay, but nonetheless, that is just me guessing. That is all just speculation on my end. And I'm purely just guessing, but you're going to want to play this very cautiously here and watch Nvidia super closely, especially considering Nvidia and Spy are both doing the same thing. Spy is retesting his previous all-time high. Nvidia is testing his previous seller zone. That means that a clear decision is being made on these charts. Same thing goes for Micron in a bit of a different way. Okay, in a bit of a different way when you look at something like Micron, when you look at something like SanDisk, both of these right now are also coming back down to try to find a bit of support. What you can see is that look, they got the breakout of the descending structure, hit that golden zone, met resistance, and came back down to the previous seller zone, and are now trying to flip it into a buyer zone. Right now, they're trying to build up momentum. They're trying to build up that that strength that was needed and try to go after this golden zone. And look, we're going to know really quickly into this week, Monday or Tuesday, if you see Micron coming back down and falling back towards 93, 923, guess what? You're probably falling into your mid to low 800s. Okay? But if Micron can hold this and continue to maintain, look, we might be seeing Micron pushing back up towards the top side of this gold zone. I think Micron's chasing down 1,100 bucks again. So I think there's going to be a 100 to1, you know, $50 swing in either direction depending on how it operates on Monday and Tuesday. So do you remember how I told you that Monday and Tuesday are going to be, you know, the tone setting days? This is what I mean. All of these decisions that are being made on the charts, all of these charts coming back to interact with these support levels, deciding whether or not they're going to hold or not, that's going to set the tone for the week. And that's why it's going to be so important. I can't tell you what's going to happen cuz I don't know what's going to happen, but I'm telling you, we need to watch it and come the end of the day, Monday, beginning of the day, Tuesday, we're going to be able to go, okay, this is the tone that's being set. Here's what's happening. Now, it even stretches outside the AI trade, right? If we go to things like SoFi, Sofi is making an important decision. Look how beautiful this is. As a result of the strength that we've gotten from the crypto market recently, SoFi is trying to make a break back up towards that topside seller zone. This is the exact zone that rejected us here, here, not really so much here, but definitely right here. SoFi is only about roughly I mean what is this a$110? No like 70 cents away or so roughly. So easily can try to push itself back up into this golden zone potentially as early as Monday morning guys. I mean depending on what happens in crypto potentially as early as Monday morning. And remember every time SoFi hits either the top side or the bottom side of this zone, you want to stop what you're doing and watching it closely because eventually SoFi is going to break out of this sideways range. And when it does, that's when all hell's going to break loose. So if you're a SoFi investor, you're going to want to watch this close. Now, one thing I don't love is the fact that we are seeing that bullish or sorry, that bearish divergence forming on SoFi right now as it is approaching that red zone. That can be a little bit problematic. So, definitely worth watching. But nonetheless, SoFi making a very, very important move too. Look at Robin Hood. Robin Hood coming back up to the bottom side of its golden zone off that bullish divergence. Look at that. Got the bullish divergence. Your HCI was down here around the minus 3.5 zone and now it's run back into the golden zone. So, Monday, Tuesday, we're going to find out. Does it start to push into the golden zone? Does it get rejected off the golden zone? Now, I don't need to keep going. I think you get the point that I'm trying to make. A lot of these major assets are either approaching key levels of resistance or they're back testing key zones of support. And Monday or Tuesday is going to set the tone to let us know who's in control, buyers or sellers. And if the buyers are in control, we could be looking at some really good gains next week that are being catalyzed by these events that are coming up. Okay? So, it's going to be so important that we're watching the charts. And again, I'm going to try my best to update you on what's happening with those charts even though I'm going to be on the road. All right? So, man, it's going to be big. It's going to be crazy. So, with all of that said, and now having looked at the charts, let's talk about what I'm going to do. Okay, let's talk about what I'm going to do in my portfolio. So, my game plan is very simple. If you guys know me, I try not to guess what the market's going to do too much. I try not to sit here and pretend like I can predict every move that's going to happen. I just like to assess the odds and I like to put a plan in place. And when I look at a lot of these different assets, right, when I look at SPY, when I look at Nvidia, I know there's a really good chance, a really good chance, just knowing how Nvidia performs around its earnings, I know there's a good chance that Nvidia comes through this zone of, you know, previous zone of resistance and fails to hold it as support. That's probably going to happen about 60 65% of the time you're going to fall through this. SPY, for example, about 55 60% of the time spies coming through this zone. And so because of that, what I'm doing is I'm saying, "Okay, I think what's most likely to happen is that they pull through these support levels this week. So what am I going to do as a result of that?" Well, my thought process is this. All of these things that are making the nervous right now, the market nervous right now are temporary. Whatever Nvidia says is just going to be temporary. Whatever happens with this whole bond yield situation, in my opinion, is going to be temporary. Whatever happens with the core PCE data, inflation data, it's going to be temporary. These are all temporary things. And so if I'm given the opportunity to accumulate my assets at lower prices this week cuz everyone's scared and freaking out, I'll do it. I love buying in times where people are going to be scared. And if this week starts going south, if Nvidia earnings starts going south, if Jackson Hole starts going south, this market is going to continue to get deeper and deeper into neutral and then eventually fear territory. And that's where I like buying. I mean, we were just in greed territory a few days ago and now we're already around a 5255 reading in neutral. And I think if you see a rough earnings report coming on Wednesday, guys, we're falling into fear. and I'm more than happy to accumulate at those levels. And so my thought process right now is just to load up a bit of cash. I got some cash ready to deploy. I got about a 1% 1% of my portfolio in cash that I'm ready to deploy right now. And I'm just going to sit back and watch. And yeah, if we do see this market pulling back to some of our key levels of support, you know, if we see, for example, SPY coming back down and we see it pulling to that bottom side golden zone 747, 730, yeah, I'll go in and I'll start doing a little bit of purchasing in those levels. While everyone's scared, I'll be purchasing. That's the sort of mentality that has kind of helped me win in this market as much as I have. And I'm not saying I'm the most successful investor ever by any means, but I do I I would say I've found a decent amount of success in this market. And that's the sort of approach I'm going to continue to take. That's the sort of approach that's kind of helped us out so much with the crypto market recently. You guys know we've been doing a whole bunch of buying in crypto over the last month. While everybody's hated crypto, everybody said that Bitcoin was dead. We were buying a bit of Bitcoin down at some of these lower levels. You know, we were buying some Ethereum down at these lower levels. And if I just quickly pop up those uh those trades that we have open on crypto. I know this isn't particularly related to stocks, but just to kind of prove a bit of a point real quick here, like I mean these trades are looking really good using that methodology. The XRP trade up 4,800 bucks. The Ethereum trade up nearly $7,000. Salana trade up $3,300. Bitcoin trade up $5,000. I mean, we're talking about about $20,000 of gains over in the crypto market using this mindset of going against the grain and accumulating and buying in the moments when everyone is scared. And so, if this week gets scary in the stock market and we see pullbacks and we're entering into some of my buy zones, I'm going to be buying. But what I didn't want to do is, you know, I I don't want to like try to react in the moment. No, I want to have this plan put in place now. And so, again, that's why I've loaded up cash already. I just have the cash sitting there. It's just ready. So, when the time comes, I don't have to think. I don't have any time to talk myself out of it. Boom. I'll just go fire it off. If SoFi, for example, sees some sort of terrible rejection. Let's say hypothetically, for some reason, Sofi just nukes all the way down into this green zone, $15, $14. Yeah, I'm just going to buy it. Like, I'm not going to think about it. I'm just going to buy it. If the S&P 500 pulls back 2%, 3%, I'm just going to buy it. There's no time to think. So, if you are somebody who's looking to potentially dollar cost average, I recommend get the cash ready now. Don't give your emotions time to talk you out of it. If that makes a lot of sense. Okay, so that's my game plan. It's going to be a busy week. It's going to be a week of a bunch of freakouts and a bunch of emotions and I want to go against the grain. Now, let's say hypothetically it's a great week. We see the market continue to just, you know, perform decently well. Let's say the best best case scenario happens. S&P 500 takes this previous resistance zone, takes the seller zone, flips it into a buyer zone, and rallies up towards an all-time high. Nvidia gives us a shocker and Nvidia does end up flipping this and running up towards 250. I'm going just let it happen, right? I I'm not going to go in and start just selling everything or shorting anything. No, I'm going just let it happen. You guys know we've been accumulating, right? We've been spying spy at these lower levels. So, Robin Hood at these lower levels. So, if I can just watch it go up, great. But what I'm not going to do is start chasing it. I'm not going to start buying it just because the price is going up. That's opposite, right? That's not the right game plan. Okay? So, that's my thought process. A very simple one. A very simple one for the week. In a wild week, I do simple things. That's always my thought process. In a wild week, I do simple things. If the price goes down, I'll buy some more. Keep it keep it easy. Don't try to get too wrapped up into the emotions. But yeah, that's what we got this week. again. It's going to be it's going to be all over the dangling place, dude. And it's going to be funny to try to be in a new city exploring something with my wife while also knowing that all this craziness is going on. So, it's going to be a good little lock in. I'm going have to get all dialed in. I'm going to have to try to ignore all the craziness throughout all this stuff. Okay? But, nonetheless, as per usual, again, I am going to be making videos every morning for you guys. Uh, every morning just updating you on what's going on, you know, with the whole bond yield situation, consumer confidence, preparing you for PCE data, preparing you for Nvidia's earnings and the exact metrics that you're looking for. Um, Jackson Hole, what do you need to be on the listen for from Kevin Wars, you guys know I'm going to update you on all that. So, if you have enjoyed all the content, especially these sorts of videos where I'm getting you ready for the week, don't forget to like this video, but also subscribe to the channel and turn on your notifications. So, even if my video doesn't send notifications out naturally, you'll still get those notifications. All right, so check that out down below. Don't forget that you can get th weekly in the description, I'm going to send more of a written version of this video out to you guys. So, even if during the week, you know, you forget a couple things, you can always go back in and uh yeah, give that a check. All right, so that's what I got for you all today. Of course, I hope you guys did enjoy. I'm going to be live tomorrow, so I'll probably see a bunch of you there. And I can't wait to see you all in the next one. Peace out everybody.

Commentaires 0

Aucun commentaire pour l'instant. Soyez le premier à partager votre avis !