Recommandations
L'entrée est le cours de clôture de l'actif à la date de publication. Le cours actuel est la dernière clôture enregistrée.
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Entrée $80 736,00 24 août 2026Actuel $79 775,00 25 août 2026Résultat −$961,00
That's what is driving liquidity, real money into Bitcoin. And that's why the price is likely to continue to rise.
Contexte "Which means you stop watching the podium... And you start watching the bond market. That's what is driving liquidity, real money into Bitcoin. And that's why the price is likely to continue to rise."
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Entrée $80 736,00 24 août 2026Actuel $79 775,00 25 août 2026Résultat −$961,00
that's the one you want to bet on
Contexte "That's the one you want to bet on."
Transcription Complète
Bitcoin absolutely ripped higher last
week, but Wall Street is telling you the wrong reason why. I'm going to tell you
the real reason because it is the same reason I think it will continue to rise.
Now, four pieces of crypto news landed in Washington last week. New stablecoin
rules on Monday, a surprise framework out of the SEC on Tuesday, and on
Wednesday, the president of the United States, sitting in the White House with
a room full of crypto executives, was there telling Congress to pass a crypto
bill. Bitcoin went up 24%. It's best week since March of 2023. And not one of
those three things is what moved it. Now, let me walk you through last week
in order cuz this is important. On Monday, the Treasury Department
published its proposed rules for stablecoins under the GENIUS Act. It's a
big deal for the industry. Bitcoin, however, did nothing. Tuesday afternoon,
the SEC dropped a surprise new framework for how crypto companies can raise money
legally in this country. The industry loved it. Bitcoin again did nothing.
Then came Wednesday morning. And the thing that finally broke Bitcoin
out of this range it's been in for months did not come from the SEC. It did
not come from the White House. It came from the office in the Treasury that
manages the national debt. They announced that they were doubling their
buybacks of long-dated government bonds from $2 billion per operation to at
least $4 billion. In fact, the Fed came back and said it's probably going to be
much higher than that. Now, why does this matter? Well, a buyback is is just
what it sounds like. Uncle Sam goes out to the open market and buys back his own
bonds. The 10-year, the 20-year, the long-dated stuff they can't find a
market. And when a new buyer of that size, of the federal government size,
shows up and buys in mass, not caring about prices, guess what happens? The
bond prices go up. And that's the whole point because when bond prices go up,
the interest rate on those bonds, the yield, goes down. So, yields go down and
the US Treasury makes it crystal clear that they're going to work to keep them
down and to drive them lower. Use all their tools with or without the Fed's
help. And that started a domino effect. Because suddenly, here's what people
realized. All that money, all our dollars that are sitting out there
getting paid handsomely to just sit in bonds and do nothing, suddenly won't be
getting paid quite so handsomely. So, those dollars, as they do, started
hunting for other safe stores of value. If bonds are off the table, that leaves
exactly two things, gold and Bitcoin. Gold went up, too. Bitcoin is the big
winner, though. Because it's a smaller market. Bitcoin started moving and that
triggered a short squeeze. Three billion dollars of shorts were forced to cover
and drove the thing even higher. Then the president comes out with his
comments. But, those came hours later that afternoon. Bloomberg's own headline
that day read, "Bitcoin surges most since March ahead of White House
meeting." By the time Trump spoke, the market had already made the bulk of its
move. So, why are these headlines out there giving credit to Trump? Well, it's
an easier story to tell. The president at the podium is much
easier to write about than some debt management operation you probably still
don't understand after I've tried to explain it to you. But, what at the core
of this is why, right? Why is the Treasury suddenly out there buying its
own bonds in the first place? And that, my friends, is the real story. And it
tells us everything we need to know about where Bitcoin is headed. Now,
before I get into this, that $5 Black Ops special is still going on. That
means you get an entire year of membership to my trading service for
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of it. Every week for a year, just five bucks plus bonus reports, plus my weekly
newsletter, tons of stuff there. I swear, $5, no strings. So, click the
link in the description, scan the QR code, or just go to trade with Ross.com
to get signed up. Now, here is why the Treasury is buying these 10- and 20-year
bonds. Nobody wants them. That quote there is
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent what he said on television Thursday.
He also said the buybacks are going to be routine. That $4 billion is not a
ceiling. In fact, they will likely buy much more. And the market interpreted
that, I believe correctly, as the federal government finally saying out
loud it has a debt problem, that no one wants
IOUs from Uncle Sam, that they don't trust the US dollar. And Bessent showed
again that the Treasury is ready and willing to step into the market to buy
its own bonds, to buy interest rates down. But there's another piece to this,
and not very many people seem to be connecting the dots.
Monday's stablecoin rules are a wolf in sheep's clothing.
Here's how this new law works. If you want to issue a stablecoin in the United
States, you have to back every single coin with cash and short-term US
Treasury bill. That's it. Only options. Not gold, not Bitcoin, not loans, cash
and government paper. Which means every dollar that moves into
a stablecoin is a dollar that turns around and buys American government
debt. Automatically. Whether the person holding it ever thinks about it or not.
Now, the stablecoin market today is a little over $300 billion.
Standard Chartered thinks it's a $2 trillion market by 2028. And that
getting there creates somewhere between $800 billion and a trillion dollars of
brand new demand for Treasury bills. Washington needed somebody to buy about
a trillion dollars of debt. And it writes a law requiring the fastest
growing industry in finance to buy a trillion dollars of its debt.
What a coincidence. And folks, this law has teeth.
Tether, as we know, is the biggest stablecoin on the planet. And roughly a
quarter of what's backing it, roughly 47 billion dollars, is sitting in assets
that these new rules don't allow. Gold, Bitcoin, loans.
And they have until 2028 to fix it or lose access to American customers
entirely. And breaking these rules carries up to a
million dollars and five five years federal prison. They're going to do it.
Now, before you go thinking you missed the thing, folks, let's remember
Bitcoin can move, okay? It went from 64,000
to 80,000 in 3 days. It's all-time high was 126,000 back in October, but let's
go ahead and take a look at what happened here. So, I am recording this
on Friday. You're probably watching it on Monday. So, if it did something crazy
Saturday and Sunday, that's why it looks outdated. Uh but, huge, huge move. And
if we look at this thing on a weekly chart, each week being a candle, look at
that big week we just had there. So, all summer long we've been in this
tightening little consolidation as price action compressed and tightened, volume
drying up, and in this massive breakout here to the upside. Now, the best way,
if you're trying to look at long-term targets, is to back up, look at several
years of data, and this is the important part,
put it in logarithmic scale. Arithmetic scale is
1 in is 20,000, next in is 20,000, next in is 20,000. Watch what happens to the
prices on this right axis when I go to log scale.
See how they get all wonky and weird? That's because each inch up the chart is
now the same percentage, okay? So, it says a move from 10,000 to 20,000 should
look the same as a move from 50,000 to 100,000. And that's true, because when
you look at things in logs in regular scales, oh man, look, he made all the
money at the end. No, it's because of the compounding, okay? So, when you back
this out and start looking at the trend trajectory, don't overcomplicate this,
folks. Just kind of build you some channels here
on what the growth in this industry or or
what this asset is with with the liquidity flowing into it, right?
Probably something like that. I mean, I probably want to ignore this parabolic
year back over in here, but you know, we look at the last 8 10 years here. This
is pretty much the trend. This is COVID. Everybody This is when we everybody's
buying uh uh what are those stupid things? The JPEGs of the monkeys and uh
pictures of rocks for a million dollars. Everybody just got real stupid, went a
little far, right? So, it had to come back in. But, this is pretty much the
trajectory here into this channel. And so, if if you fast forward this out
again, this is this is not like some super high-level finance here. I'm just
trying to get an idea of what we can realistically expect the the next couple
of years here. Well, this is kind of where we get back up in this channel.
So, you probably get a strong rise back up into here where we should have been.
And look at the number, folks. That gets you up here, you know, 180, 200, 250,000
dollars. And you might think, well, that's just a
couple of lines, Ross. That's silly, folks. It can happen,
and it probably will. So, here's what how I believe this plays
out. The thing that changed this week isn't a
bill or a rule. It's what Bitcoin is trading on.
For for the last 6 weeks, it traded like a crypto asset. It's been waiting around
on watching to see what happens. But, on Wednesday, it traded like a liquidity
asset. Something that moves based on capital flows, responding to that bond
market. And that is a very different animal. But that's the one you want to
bet on. Which means you stop watching the podium. You stop listening to the
live streams of of toddlers using words like hold and whale as they stream from
their mom's basement. And you start watching the bond market. That's what is
driving liquidity, real money into Bitcoin. And that's why the price is
likely to continue to rise. Folks, don't forget to subscribe to the channel. And
don't forget about my Black Ops trading service. Join me. Click the link. Join
me next Monday morning. We'll talk about all this live. I'll answer all your
questions. I'll look at your stocks. You'll start getting my newsletter every
Friday, plus indicators and bonus reports. You can even email my support
team if you need help there. So, just click that link, scan the QR code, or go
to trade with ross.com to get signed up. And I'll see you in the next video.
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