But I think Rick's probably going to call out some great ideas to look to get an entry on this one.
Contexte
Tim Bowen discussing CrowdStrike: "But yeah I mean as you know obviously all of our data is online and everything's online... And that's where CrowdStrike fits in. And yeah, big move on earnings, big pullback today. But I think Rick's probably going to call out some great ideas to look to get an entry on this one."
I already had Palantir on my, you know, radar all week, basically because it's, you know, getting ready to break out. I think it's going to not only break out on the chart, but we've got kind of a short squeeze scenario here.
Contexte
Tim Bowen discussing Palantir: "...I already had Palantir on my, you know, radar all week, basically because it's, you know, getting ready to break out. I think it's going to not only break out on the chart, but we've got kind of a short squeeze scenario here."
Transcription Complète
get your podcasts. Welcome back to trading 360. Now it's time for the big three. Three stocks, three charts, three trades. Rick Duquette is going to take us through the charts. And here to take us through the trades is Tim Bowen. He of course is the chief technical trader@stockstotrade.com. Great to see both of you. All right Tim I got to ask you big picture. What's your thoughts market. It keeps you know just defying everything right. Just goes up just goes up just goes up. But Nasdaq has notably lagged. I just want your general thoughts. Well I really appreciated the previous guest. You know kind of breaking down Kevin Walsh's testimony or not testimony presentation today. And you know, as a as a trader, you know, I, I, I come to this as a, you know, predominantly, you know, day trader, swing trader perspective. What I like to see was, you know, the reaction to the news, you know, we, we don't, you know, when it comes to really, you know, short term sector trends, hot ideas, you know, in that zoomed in area, we don't necessarily look that big picture down the road. We care about the reaction. And you kind of see, you know, as soon as he got done, we had that really big move to the upside. So that's what I like to see now. Like you mentioned, a lot of the, you know, a lot of the tech stocks that I'm going to be talking about, not as big of a reaction, but I think that short term, okay, you know, when it comes to AI, you know, I've been very, very clear about this since I first started joining you guys almost a year ago. About 100 times on here. I've called it the greatest technology in the history of mankind. And you look at some of the advancements. You look at Nvidia's earnings. I mean, you look at some of the stuff we are seeing on a day to day basis with these agents. You know, I first started talking about, you know, taking over everything in my life and my trading and everything with with AI agents back in January. Now you see what, you know, obviously anthropic and, and open AI and then grok bot. Okay. Like I, I've been talking about what grok was as a sleeper, just incredible technology. And I just go back to, if you zoom out and kind of don't focus on the day to day social media outrage or the problem of the day. I think we live in the greatest time in history. I think it is truly a golden age for, you know, for the human population, space and AI. I mean, there's so much to be bullish about. If you maybe close that social media and don't focus on the outrage of the day. So that being said, when it comes to a lot of these AI plays, I said it last fall during the AI bubble. I'm like, we're just getting started. I went on with Nicole last fall and I and she's like, is the AI trade over? And I'm like, no, 2026 is going to make 2025 look like a joke. And here we are. Almost all these stocks are breaking out. So if you focus on themes and sectors and the good news, there's just amazing opportunity out there in my opinion. Well you mentioned space. You mentioned grok and you mentioned AI, but we're going to hold off on that for a second before we get there. It's also opened up sort of a new frontier of security as well, with data maybe being a little bit more exposed, but names like CrowdStrike are trying to meet them in the gap on those type of things. And just incredible earnings. Once again, what are you looking at here in CrowdStrike? Yeah. So this was that idea. You know I shared a couple times on the big three over the previous couple of weeks. Had to miss last week for some travel. But you know just a massive reaction to earnings now pulling back today. But you know, when I sent the idea over this morning I was like, man, you know, it's kind of getting up there. Maybe not going to give some entries. We got some pullbacks, kind of some previous support levels. Looking forward to see you know the technicals from Rick. But yeah I mean as you know obviously all of our data is online and everything's online. But then AI is taking that to the next level. One of the reasons that I run, you know, these local AI models, I've got my own little data centers. I'm kind of concerned about security. I want to make sure that all my data is my data. It's on my hardware. I know where it is, and I know it's protected. But obviously, if you are a corporation or if you're a, you know, a government agency, like you can't do that. You can't keep it all in house. It has to be accessible. And that's where CrowdStrike fits in. And yeah, big move on earnings, big pullback today. But I think Rick's probably going to call out some great ideas to look to get an entry on this one. All right let's bring Rick into the conversation here. Take a look at the chart because it is an impressive one. Rick surprisingly contained. But whenever you're contained range is sloping upwards. Certainly could be worse. Sure. Right. And I think what you're referring to is this upward sloping channel type shape that we've established here between our two white dashed lines, our white solid lines, rather normal trend line going up across the lows, duplicate it, put it across the highs. In this case it matches up decently. So you could look for that as potential resistance. If the move to the upside solidifies once more and we start getting some traction. So we talked about as well about points to watch out for for pullbacks or or potential support. The first such area that many traders might have their eye on is 206, roughly the low point that we saw after our gap to the upside. You can often find that a strong push to the upside after earnings or some other piece of fundamental change to a stock here could result in a bull flag or bull pennant type of pattern. So be on the lookout for a period of sideways to downward consolidation and an eventual push to the upside that could retest these old highs that we established near about 227 to 229 or so. If we were to keep moving lower, the gap opened up here near 192. So that stands out as another area to watch. We also had a repeated series of lows here near 181. When we think about our moving averages next we can see that our five day EMA, our exponential moving average in dark blue representing one week comes in near about 208 30 at this point here. So that could be another area to look for potential support in the coming days. Obviously it takes some time for moving averages to catch up to price as they are lagging indicators. But look to that one in the coming days for short term signs RSI trending lower here. We would also, if you were bullish, would want to see a breakout above that trend line in tandem with price also continuing to make higher highs. So finally our volume profile shows we have a couple of rather distinct nodes here. We have one here and one here. Those are centered roughly around 170 and 190 or so. Yeah really impressive stuff. Especially considering this company was the one that took down tech infrastructure for like a whole day. How quickly we forget. Maybe it just proved how important it was. But as promised, let's talk about a name that, you know, I don't know if there's ever been a company that has had as much hype as this one. That, of course, is SpaceX. It's the convergence of all the themes you were just discussing, Tim. So I'm just going to guess that you like the stock but want to walk us through it. Funny note actually, Rick's probably heard me tell this story, but back to CrowdStrike, I was actually flying out of LaGuardia the morning that, you know, flight, you know, flights got halted, grounded everything. I walked in the airport, every monitor in the airport was a was a blue screen of death. You know, those looping screens of, of like binary code. I'm like, oh, I'm about to get on an airplane right now. But hey, I made it home. Fine. But anyway, back to, you know, SpaceX. So this was yeah, obviously you said it hottest IPO maybe ever. We'll see with anthropic and OpenAI coming up. But it was just one of those stocks that just, you know, people too much too soon. I actually was talking, you know, I actually did a trading a coaching session the day before the IPO. And I'm like, guys, just let this be. Let's let it shake out. It's going to blow off top. It's going to pull back. It's going to find support and there's going to be a time to buy space. I don't know if it's today like it's not the day of the IPO. And you know you look at how it played out basically two day two, three days after the IPO. I mean, it was almost read every single day. But then we firmed up. I think all those people that unfortunately piled in, you know, took all those early shares. And like, I even saw people taking out loans to buy shares the day of the IPO. It gave me literally anxiety. But that's what happens, you know, when the animal spirits get involved. But now, you know, here we are, you know, two, three months later, it's really starting to base here in the one 3140s, really just kind of been going sideways the last couple of weeks now, I think is a smart time to start looking to get into space because all of that mania is over. Unfortunately, those people made their decisions. Now, I think is where we start to make that turn. And, you know, speaking of just news, I mean, you look at Terra Fab, I mean, this is just a great American manufacturing story. I mean, how do you not be proud of America when you look at like a facility like Terra Fab? I mentioned Grok bot. I mean, I'm telling every one of your viewers, if you have not tried this out, okay, your weekend project, fire up grok bot, give it some tasks and see what it can do. It is absolutely incredible. Data centers in space. I mean, I have I think that we're going to look back and SpaceX will be, you know, arguably the greatest, most societal changing company in the history of the world. Now, as always, be smart with your trade plans. That doesn't mean you if the stock breaks down, you, you know, you believe, you know, you got to trade at the end of the day. But I just think that too much hype too soon. We finally firmed up. I think now is the time to start looking at some space. All right. Let's talk the technical picture because limited amount of information. Right. And so that said, we have, you know, started to have, you know, I don't know, a couple months of trading now you're starting to get some levels that stand out. What are you looking at here? A little linguistic fun. First, the word grok refers to deep intrinsic knowledge of a subject. So it's something that's come up a lot lately. And when we think about, you know, the chart more specifically, what we're looking at here is an hourly chart. Typically we look at daily charts here, but because of the short duration that this stock has been tradable, we're looking at a more granular take here. So one thing that sticks out to me right away is that we had a couple of old highs here near about 130. That's around where we topped out after earnings. And then that's been a consistent floor down the road here. So this area from early August is around where our range has began between about 130 to 150 is where price has remained during that time period here. So we are starting to see a shorter term trend line take shape here. Downward sloping trend line has been broken. We are perhaps going to make a retest of the 150 level in the coming days. If that were to happen, then the next area to watch out for that stands out the most would be this peak here near about 176 if we were to move downward. 130, as I said before, is one area that really has a lot of activity around it, but also here a similar type of zone where we had a low and then a repeated support around that area near about 136. Now to switch back to a daily chart to look at RSI, our measure of momentum, we can see that our shorter term downward sloping trend line has been broken. RSI looks a little funny here because we need the 14 days of activity for it to register here. But we are above the 50 mid line. We are trending upward here so far. Now we also have some simple moving averages to take a look at here. Our olive colored line is our 20 day SMA that comes in at 13456. Our darker blue one is our 50 day SMA coming in at 137 50 or so. So those are some other areas to, to consider here for technical, a technical perspective, our point of control on our volume profile, switching back to our hourly chart comes in at around 137138 or so. The node in which we find ourselves is largely between about 132 to 142. Things really start to thin out as well above 163 or so. So that would be another notable area to watch out for. Yeah, pretty incredible that it came back to be that point of control, given the really tremendous debut and sort of that early action right around that IPO price. Like these, these big investment banks have an idea of what they're doing. But hey, last one you got is Palantir. You know Ellen Jensen. These guys are superstars. One could make the case maybe you know Alex Karp's in that camp as well. What are you what are you watching here at Palantir? You know, listen, I've been very open on the big three of my, you know, major, major man crush on Alex Karp. I think that he is one of the greatest thinkers out there. I think Palantir is one of the greatest companies out there. And funny enough, I sent, you know, I send these ideas over early seven, 8 a.m. and, you know, already had Palantir on my, you know, radar all week, basically because it's, you know, getting ready to break out. I think it's going to not only break out on the chart, but we've got kind of a short squeeze scenario here. But I was walking out to the office and I got my limited edition number 128 of 250 of the Palantir trucker cap. And this is what I love right here. Just a great American company. They make all their swag in in America. How do you not respect that? They help the military in so many ways, you know, terrorism, law enforcement. Again, you look at Alex Karp and just an amazing technological company. And you look at, you know, what it's done over, you know, this year, pretty choppy, pretty messy. You look at the previous years before that, I mean, I love this stock in the single digits and the 20s. Now obviously 2026 is a little bit of a lost year, but we're back. The fundamentals have shifted. The technicals have shifted. And I mean, we're within just a few points of all time highs. And when that happens, you know that's going to bring in more buyers and it's going to really initiate that squeeze. And you know I said this six months ago when he first came out, there's only three things certain in life death, taxes. And Michael Burry is going to be on the wrong side of the AI trade. You can count on that. All right. Let's look at the technicals here. Rick. You know we always say one day doesn't make a trend. But in this case one day may have stopped a trend based on what we see now a huge earnings release really flipped the script here. What stands out. Yeah of course what you're talking about is right here, this big push to the upside that we saw after earnings that invalidated this downward sloping trend line that was formed starting with 207, which was the high point there. So now we have a narrow rather narrow, rather steep upward sloping channel type shape. You could draw the bottom trend line I just put across the top as I demonstrated earlier here. So this could be a some points to watch out for going forward here. So 180 was our short term ceiling that has been broken. Now we also seem to be pushing above this area here. A small double top that was formed near about 188 after a slight gap to the downside here, that could open the door to another set of post gap. Highs here near 196. Meanwhile to the downside 166 and 162 standout 166 here being a low point that we saw repeatedly in terms of closing prices, as well as a more recent stopping point. Additionally here, 162 was also a frequent point where price kind of lost its steam for for the day here. So when we also assess our moving averages, in this case, five day EMA dark blue 182 that would be our closest one here. A touch of the 21 day EMA below our channel here near 168 would represent another downside breakout RSI invalidating the trend line, pushing into the overbought area. That threshold above 70. Another bullish signal here. So we are getting into the more thinly traded area here at the upper areas of our chart. The push above 187 translates to the area where volume drops off very sharply here. So to the downside below 176. Things really also start to thin out and don't really pick up again until here around 151 60 Rick Ducat, you're the man. Thanks as always and thanks to
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