Recommandations
L'entrée est le cours de clôture de l'actif à la date de publication. Le cours actuel est la dernière clôture enregistrée.
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Entrée $99,31 31 août 2026Actuel $99,31 31 août 2026Résultat +$0,00
So Wayfair, ticker symbol W, is my top pick of the week.
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Entrée $797,47 31 août 2026Actuel $797,47 31 août 2026Résultat +$0,00
my top stock pick today is Caterpillar, a Zach's rank number one strong rated stock, ticker symbol CAT
Transcription Complète
Stocks our strategists feel are poised to deliver
positive returns are featured now in their top stock picks of the week. Hey everyone, Brian
Hayes here with Zach's Investment Research and welcome to our top stock picks of the week. This
week I'm joined by our director of ETF research, Nina Misra. We've got two exciting picks for
you. So let's jump right into the action. My top pick is one of the world's largest online
sellers of homegoods. They offer more than 18 million products from over 12,000 suppliers. The
company I'm referring to is Wayfair, ticker symbol W. So beyond its flagship site, Wayfair also
operates a family of specialty brands including Josen, Maine, All Modern, and the luxury focused
Paragold with international operations in Canada, the UK, and Germany. And what's changed is the
business model underneath. Management spent the past two years aggressively rationalizing costs,
exiting unprofitable geographies and rebuilding the platform around profitability rather than
growth at any price. The result is a company that now converts revenue growth into cash. Wayfair has
also been pushing into physical retail with large format stores. A notable pivot for a business
built online and one that appears to lift both brand awareness and digital sales in surrounding
markets. Wayfair just delivered its strongest US growth since the pandemic era and its best free
cash flow since 2020. And it did so while the housing market, the single biggest driver of home
furnishings demand, remains effectively frozen. That combination is rare and the market certainly
noticed. Shares closed roughly 30% higher on the day of the latest earnings report, one of the
largest single session moves for a large cap retailer this year. So, this is a stock that is
not only highly ranked by our Zach's rank system, but it's also outperforming the general market
off the spring lows from earlier this year. only stocks that are in extremely powerful
uptrends are able to make this type of price move. And these leaders are the types of stocks
that we want to focus on. So that's a bit about Wayfair's background and services. Let's shift
gears a bit and look at some fundamentals for this company. Wayfair is part of the Zach Internet
commerce industry group which currently ranks in the top 41% out of approximately 250
industries. And because it is ranked in the top half of all Zach's ranked industries,
we expect this group to outperform the market over the next three to six months. Historical
research studies suggest that approximately half of a stock's price appreciation is due
to its industry grouping. In fact, the top 50% of Zach's ranked industries outperforms the
bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to one. By focusing on stocks within the top 50% of Zach's
ranked industries, we can dramatically improve our stock picking success. And take note here of
the favorable characteristics for this industry group. We can see that the industries group has
been improving its positioning with a positive earnings outlook for its constituent companies. In
aggregate, stocks in this industry are relatively undervalued and are expected to experience above
average earnings growth, signaling a powerful combination that should lead to higher prices in
the future. And moving to our snapshot page here, we can see that Wayfair is a Zach ranked number
one strong buy stock. What really stands out is the company's ability to deliver positive earnings
surprises. They've surpassed estimates in each of the last six quarters and they've delivered a
trailing four quarter average earning surprise of nearly 22% reflecting strong execution. This
track record aligns perfectly with the power of the Zach rank system which prioritizes stocks
showing upward earnings estimate revisions. And as I mentioned earlier, the company's second
quarter results were emphatic. Total net revenue rose 7.5% to 3.52 billion, surpassing the
Zach's consensus estimate by 1% 1.5% while adjusted earnings of 95 cents per share also
topped the 94% consensus estimate by about 1%. US net revenue climbed 8.7% to 3.1 billion which
was the strongest domestic growth of the entire postcoid period. Free cash flow hit 301 million
the highest since 2020 and the balance sheet ended the quarter with 1.1 billion in cash and
short-term investments along with 1.6 billion of total liquidity. Management's commentary was
equally constructive. CEO Niraj Sha pointed to the best sequential second quarter growth since 2020
and noteworthy outperformance at Paragold. While CEO CFO Kate Golver said plainly that Wayfair
is taking share from traditional brickandmortar competitors while the housing market remains
stalled. For the fourth for the third quarter, the company got it to high singledigit revenue growth
against a street looking for roughly 5% with gross margin of 29.5% to 30.5% and the estimate
picture reflects all of this. The Zach's consensus estimate for the current fiscal year has been
raised 6.79% in the last 60 days to 2.99 $2.99 cents per share. That is the kind of revision
momentum that drives the Zach's rank. And let's see how that compares. So that $2.99 per share
reflects nearly 15% growth relative to the prior year. So these are exactly the types of trends we
want to focus on when narrowing down our list of potential stocks. Wayfair has transi transitioned
from a falling knife look in early 2026 to one of the better recovery stories in the market today
after bottoming near $56 a share. the stock has nearly doubled, sitting near $100 a share, not far
from a 52- week high. So, this is exactly the kind of stock we want to include on our portfolio, one
that is uh trending well and receiving positive earnings estimate revisions. Notice how shares now
reside above upward sloping 50-day moving average, a hallmark of a healthy uptrend. The momentum has
clearly built throughout 2026 with both improving fundamentals and a constructive technical
picture. Wayfairo appears poised to continue its outperformance. It's clear that this stock
is a leader in the current market environment. So Wayfair, ticker symbol W, is my top pick of the
week. A company growing share while its end market shrinks is a company with genuine competitive
advantage. And when housing does eventually turn, Wayfair will have that tailwind on top of
the share gains it is banking now. I see more upside ahead for this stock. Next up, Nina
will share with you her other top pick. Thanks, Brian. I'm Nina Mishra and my top stock pick today
is Caterpillar, a Zach's rank number one strong rated stock, ticker symbol CAT, C A T. So, we all
know about Caterpillar. Let me talk a little bit more about Caterpillar. Let me share my screen.
So Caterpillar as we know is known for its iconic yellow machines and it is the world's largest
construction and mining equipment manufacturer and now it has become a major player in the AI
boom because we know that uh all these technology companies they are building these massive AI data
centers and caterpillars, generators and power system. They provide electricity and backup power
for these massive AI data center that are really power hungry. Now the company reported excellent
results recently. Uh it was their best quarter ever in company's history. So second quarter
sales surged 24% to 25 20.5 billion and uh this was for the first time ever that revenues uh uh
topped 20 billion. Then adjusted earnings were up 73% yearoveryear and they beat the Zach consensus
estimate by more than 30%. The company also raised its full year outlook after that record quarter.
Now let me share the Zach's code page and uh let's go to the detailed earnings tab and you will see
that analysts have raised their estimates for the current quarter and the next quarter significantly
after those results. And that is one of the main reasons why the stock has climbed to Zach's rank
number one strong buy. Looking at the longer term price consensus and estimates uh EPS surprise uh
chart you will see that company has been topping estimates for the last four quarters and the
price has just gone vertical during this period. Now let's talk a little bit more about the company
and its results. So the order backlog that reached a record 72 billion at the end of the second
quarter that was up 92% yearoveryear. So that uh suggest suggested that uh customers are
placing orders years in advance. uh that provides the company predictable and guaranteed
income for years to come, a very strong revenue uh visibility. Um the main reason is uh every
machine that Caterpillar sells eventually needs replacement parts, maintenance and software
updates. So this continuous maintenance creates steady recurring revenue that earns higher profit
margin than selling the equipment itself. And uh then governments are also spending a
lot in on infrastructure. So that supports uh the demand for caterpillars heavy equipment
particularly uh you know there's high demand for mind metals like copper for electrics
grids and uh technology and another reason why I like caterpillar is that uh because it is
a dividend aristic trap. So Caterpillar has paid a cash dividend every year since the company was
founded and it has been raising its dividend for more than 25 years. So that is why it is in the d
dividend aristocrat index and recently also they raised their quarterly dividend by 8%. So very
strong cash flows and that is why they have been uh raising their dividends year after year and
because it's a Zach's rank number one stock. So it is definitely worth a look. Thanks for
watching. Make sure to check out zach.com/promo for an interesting offer. Make sure to subscribe
to our YouTube video channel so that you do not miss anything. And we will see you next week
with two more very interesting top stock picks.
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