Recommandations
L'entrée est le cours de clôture de l'actif à la date de publication. Le cours actuel est la dernière clôture enregistrée.
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Entrée $654,91 31 août 2026Actuel $654,91 31 août 2026Résultat +$0,00
GAINING ABOUT 3.2% AFTER THEIR TURN BULLISH ON AGRICULTURAL COMPANIES.
Contexte DEERE, A COUPLE THINGS TO HIGHLIGHT. GAINING ABOUT 3.2% AFTER THEIR TURN BULLISH ON AGRICULTURAL COMPANIES. THEY EXPECT AGRICULTURE -- ENTERING AN EARLY CYCLE RECOVERY BEGINNING NEXT YEAR.
Transcription Complète
>> THIS IS "BLOOMBERG
BUSINESSWEEK DAILY," REPORTING FROM THE MAGAZINE
THAT HELPS GLOBAL LEADERS TO STAY AHEAD WITH INSIGHT ON THE
PEOPLE, COMPANIES, AND TRENDS SHAPING TODAY'S COMPLEX
ECONOMY, PLUS GLOBAL BUSINESS, FINANCE, AND TECH NEWS AS IT
HAPPENS. "BLOOMBERG BUSINESSWEEK DAILY"
WITH CAROL MASSAR AND TIM STENOVEC, LIVE ON BLOOMBERG
RADIO, TELEVISION, AND BLOOMBERG ORIGINALS. TIM:
GOOD AFTERNOON, EVERYBODY. LIVE FROM THE "BLOOMBERG
BUSINESSWEEK" STUDIO IN NEW YORK.
WE ARE ON YOUTUBE, WE ARE ON RADIO. I'M TIM STENOVEC. THAT IS KRISTINE AQUINO, THE
MANAGING EDITOR OVER AT THE LIVE BLOG, HANGING OUT WITH US
TODAY, TOMORROW, MAYBE LATER THIS WEEK, TOO.
WE ARE GLAD TO HAVE YOU CURED YOU CAN COMMIT AFTER TODAY'S
SHOW. KRISTINE: WE WILL DECIDE TOMORROW. TIM:
SHE'S IN FOR CAROL MASSAR. IT IS THE LAST DAY OF AUGUST,
2026. STOCKS AND BONDS LOWER, OIL
HIGHER. SPEAKING OF GEOPOLITICS, ALL
EYES ON ASHEVILLE, NORTH CAROLINA, WHERE THE G20 IS
TAKING OFF. KRISTINE: YEAH. ABSOLUTELY. LOTS TO DISCUSS, OF COURSE, AND WE
KNOW TREASURY SECRETARY SCOTT BESSENT IS GOING TO BE THERE.
I'M SURE HE WILL GET A LOT OF QUESTIONS OVER FISCAL ISSUES
AND WHAT U.S. INTERVENTION HAS BEEN LIKE AS
OF LATE. TIM: YEAH. SHAWN DONNAN WILL BE JOINING US.
HE HAS A GREAT PIECE ALL ABOUT THE TREASURY SECRETARY AND A
CHALLENGE AFTER THIS INTERVENTIONIST SUMMER.
KALSHI TOOK A HIT AFTER AN APPEALS COURT SAID SPORTS BETS
ARE NOT SWAPS. WE HAVE THE FORMER CFTC
COMMISSIONER BRIAN QUINTENZ JOINING
US, WHERE IT GOES FROM HERE. THAT'S THE BIG QUESTION WE WILL
POST TO HAVE CURED A BLOOMBERG EXCLUSIVE, NVIDIA'S JENSEN
HUANG INTERVIEWED EARLIER BY ED LUDLOW, AND ED WILL JOIN US
LATER. HERE HE IS, CHARLIE PELLETT.
CHARLIE: THANK YOU, TIM AND KRISTINE. NVIDIA SHARES GAINING .9%, THE
DOW, THIS IS, NASDAQ ALL DECLINING RIGHT NOW. THE NASDAQ 100 INDEX AND
RUSSELL 2000 INDEX, SMALL CAPS SHARES. THIS AS OIL ADVANCES. OIL RALLIED BY 2.5 PERCENT. TALKING BRENT ABOVE $90, $90.30
ON BRENT CRUDE, WEST TEXAS INTERMEDIATE,
$85.61, A BARREL NOW HIGHER BY 0.26%.
A FLAREUP IN GEOPOLITICAL RISKS SENDING STOCKS LOWER. THOU INDUSTRIALS DOWN 3.16, A
DROP OF .6%. NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX DOWN
.3%, WHILE THE NASDAQ 100 AND NEXT DOWN BY .1%.
THE STOCKS PUSHING HIGHER. THE PHILADELPHIA STOCK EXCHANGE
SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX DOWN. THE TWO-YEAR 4.75%, AND THE
30-YEAR 5.25%. WILL MEANWHILE DOWN .5%, $44 34 THE BARREL, BY 4.26 PERCENT.
EXXON MOBIL UP 2.2% TO CHEVRON UP BY 1.5%.
CONOCOPHILLIPS UP BY 1.4%. RECAPPING, S&P LOWER BY .4%. TIM AND CHRISTINE, THAT IS A
BLOOMBERG BUSINESS FLASH. TIM: CHARLIE, APPRECIATE THAT ON
THIS MONDAY. WE WILL BE CHECKING WITH
CHARLIE FOR THE LATEST ON MARKET AND BUSINESS NEWS.
TREASURY SECRETARY SCOTT BESSENT, HIS SUMMER COME
ALREADY FACING CREDIBILITY QUESTIONS, NOW FACING TESTS
FROM GLOBAL FEARS GET AHEAD OF A MEETING FROM G20 FINANCE
MINISTERS IN ASHEVILLE, NORTH CAROLINA, THE TREASURY SECTOR
HAS DODGE CONVERSATIONS AMONG THE TOP POLICYMAKERS TO THE
CORE SUBJECT OF BOOSTING GROWTH. SHAWN DONNAN JOINS US FROM OUR
WASHINGTON, D.C. BUREAU. I LIKE TO GET TO WITH YOU.
FIRST OF ALL, I WANT TO DRIVE EVERYBODY TO THIS STORY.
IT'S A THING AHEAD OF THE G20 AND AS THE G20 HAPPENS.
THE IDEA OF GROWTH HERE, HOW MUCH MORE CONFIDENT AS GROWTH
IN THE U.S. IN THE FACE OF TARIFFS AND THE
STRAIT OF HORMUZ, THAT IS NOT COMPLETELY REOPENED? SHAWN:
YEAH. LOOK, SECRETARY BESSENT HAS GOT
INTO THE MEETING STARTING TODAY IN ASHEVILLE, THAT WILL RUN
THROUGH TOMORROW, AND HE REALLY WANTS TO GET THE WORLD ON HIS SIDE AND BUY INTO TRUMPONOMICS,
THIS IDEA THAT DEREGULATION WILL GET TO STRONGER GROWTH.
WE HAVE NOT FULLY SEEN THAT HERE IN THE U.S., BUT GLOBALLY
WE'VE ALSO SEEING GROWTH TICK DOWN. AND IF YOU TALK TO PEOPLE
OUTSIDE THE U.S., AND WE HEARD THIS DIRECTLY FROM THE GERMAN
FINANCE MINISTER, HEADING TOWARDS THIS MEETING, THE REAL
BIG THREATS TO GLOBAL GROWTH HAS BEEN THE IRAN WAR, THE
ATTACK ON ENERGY PRICES, THAT THEY WAR THAT WAS LAUNCHED BY
PRESIDENT TRUMP, ALONGSIDE THE ISRAELIS, AND ALSO TARIFFS,
WHICH HAVE ACTED ON A KIND OF DAMPER ON GROWTH AROUND THE
WORLD AND ALSO HERE IN THE UNITED STATES.
SO, YOU KNOW, THE REST OF THE WORLD IS COMING TO TOWN, AND
THEY ARE SAYING, OK, WE HAVE TO TALK ABOUT GROWTH AND DOING
WHAT WE CAN TO BOOST GROWTH, BUT REALLY RIGHT NOW, LOOKING
OUT AT THE WORLD, THE U.S. IS THE ONE SUPPLYING TWO BIG
BREAKS ON GROWTH. THERE'S ONE OTHER SIDE TO IT,
OF COURSE, THERE'S A HUGE AI INVESTMENT BOOM GOING ON IN THE
UNITED STATES, AND THERE ARE CERTAINLY COUNTRIES OUT THERE
BENEFITING FROM IT, ANYONE WHO EXPORTS CHIPS TO THE UNITED
STATES, WHETHER TAIWAN OR SOUTH KOREA, THEY ARE REALLY BOOMING
AS A RESULT, BUT THE BROAD STORY FOR MOST PEOPLE, THERE IS
HIGH ENERGY PRICES, TARIFFS, AND THAT'S NOT GREAT FOR GROWTH.
"BUSINESSWEEK -- KRISTINE: YEAH. SHAWN, I'M SURE THAT TREASURY
SECRETARY WILL ALSO BE ASKED BY WHAT WE CALL THAT
INTERVENTIONIST SUMMER, GIVEN THE TREASURY'S ROLE IN
INTERVENTIONS AND OF COURSE THE MOST RECENT ANNOUNCEMENT FOR
UPSIDE IN BUYBACKS. HOW DO YOU THINK THAT WILL BE
RECEIVED AT THE G20, AND IS THIS SOMETHING THAT COULD RAISE
SOME EYEBROWS AMONGST HIS CONTEMPORARIES, GIVEN THAT THIS
IS PROBABLY THE MOST INVOLVE THE TREASURY HAS BEEN IN THESE
MATTERS IN A WHILE, RIGHT? SHAWN: ABSOLUTELY.
IT FEELS LIKE SCOTT BESSENT THIS SUMMER HAS KIND OF
REWRITTEN WHAT THE TREASURY SECRETARY'S ROLE LOOKS LIKE,
RIGHT? WE'VE CERTAINLY SEEN THE MOST
INTERVENTIONIST TREASURY SECRETARY OUTSIDE OF A CRISIS
IN A LONG TIME, AND IT IS VERY UNUSUAL FOR THE UNITED STATES
TREASURY TO DIP INTO FOREIGN-EXCHANGE MARKET AND
SUPPORT ANOTHER CURRENCY, RIGHT? IT IS INCREDIBLY UNUSUAL FOR
THE TREASURY SECRETARY TO LOOK AT BOND MARKETS, TARGET LONG
END YIELDS. WE SAW STAN DRUCKENMILLER WRITE
AN OP-ED IN THE "WASHINGTON JOURNAL -- "WALL STREET
JOURNAL," KIND OF SMACKING HIS MEN SEE,
AND THEN YOU HAVE THIS -- HIS MENTEE.
AND THEN YOU HAVE THE IRAN SITUATION, YOU ARE WITH US OR
AGAINST US, AND WE WILL COME AFTER YOUR FINANCIAL
INSTITUTIONS IF YOU ARE NOT WITH US, AND THREATENING TO
KICK SYSTEMS OUT OF THE DOLLAR SYSTEM. EVERYONE ELSE IS COMING TO
ASHEVILLE AND HAS LANDED THERE, CERTAINLY HAS ALL THAT IN MIND.
TRY TO FIGURE OUT WHAT SCOTT BESSENT IS UP TO.
THEY ARE ALSO LOOKING AT WHAT FEELS LIKE A DIVERSIONS AND
GOALS BETWEEN SCOTT BESSENT AND KEVIN WARSH, THE NEW FED CHAIR.
IT SEEMS LIKE SCOTT BESSENT WANTS TO SEE LOWER INTEREST
RATES, AND WE KNOW, OF COURSE, THAT KEVIN WARSH ON FRIDAY WAS
TALKING ABOUT INFLATION AND MAKING CLEAR THAT RAISING
INTEREST RATES IS ON THE TABLE. THOSE ARE TWO DIAMETRICALLY
OPPOSED GOALS. WE SHOULD SAY SCOTT BESSENT
TODAY SPOKE WITH REPORTERS AND SAID THAT HE AND KEVIN WARSH
ARE ON THE SAME PAGE. HE TRIED TO PLAY DOWN THOSE
REPORTS. HE'S ALSO TRIED TO PLAY DOWN
SOME OF THE INTERVENTIONS THAT HE'S DONE OVER THE SUMMER, BOTH
IN TERMS OF THE YEN AND THE BOND YIELDS,
BUT, YOU KNOW, THIS IS A VERY DIFFERENT LOOKING TREASURY
SECRETARY, AND GOING INTO A MEETING TODAY THAT IS, WHEN YOU
THINK ABOUT IT IN THE KIND OF LONG RUN, IS AN IMPORTANT ONE
IN TERMS OF AMERICA AND ITS ABILITY TO PROJECT ECONOMIC
POWER. HIS CREDIBILITY REALLY IS AT
STAKE IN A VERY INTERESTING WAY IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TIM:
CREDIBILITY, THOUGH, FOR WHOM? IS IT FOR U.S.
INVESTORS, FOR G20 COLLEAGUES, OTHER FINANCE MINISTERS OF
DEVELOPED NATIONS AROUND THE WORLD?
WHO IS THE CREDIBILITY MOST AT RISK, WITH REGARD TO? SHAWN:
YEAH. LOOK, I THINK WHAT WE SEE IN
THE LAST FEW WEEKS HAS BEEN CREDIBILITY IN THE MARKETS,
RIGHT? THAT'S THE LAST BIG QUESTION.
THE YEN INTERVENTION ON FRIDAY, GO BACK TO BE 160 LEVEL THAT
HAD TRIGGERED THE INTERVENTION IN THE FIRST PLACE.
SO THE MARKETS HAVE NOT REALLY BOUGHT INTO THE RIGHT OF
INTERVENTION. WE ARE SEEING THE SAME THING IN
THE BOND MARKETS, RIGHT? WE SEE IN THIS PUSHBACK FROM
STAN DRUCKENMILLER AND OTHERS, REALLY KIND OF RAISING THIS
QUESTION OF WHAT THE TREASURY SECRETARY IS DOING.
THE NEXT QUESTION IS THE KIND OF GEOPOLITICAL ONE, AND THAT
IS, YOU KNOW, THE TREASURY SECRETARY IS A KEY ECONOMIC
POLICY MAKER IN THE WORLD'S LARGEST ECONOMY.
HE'S ONE OF THE MOST POWERFUL MEN IN THE WORLD.
AND HOW HE PROJECTS THAT POWER AND HOW HE USES THAT POWER IN
THE GLOBAL ECONOMY IS INCREDIBLY IMPORTANT.
AND BEHIND ALL OF THAT IS THE QUESTION OF WHETHER YOU BELIEVE
HIM OR NOT. WHEN HE SAYS THINGS. THAT IS THE CREDIBILITY
QUESTION HERE. THEY ARE LOOKING AT THE BOND
MARKET, THE CURRENCY MARKET, SAYING WELCOME OF THE MARKETS
DO NOT SEEM TO BELIEVE HIM. NOW THEY ARE THINKING AHEAD OF
THE GROWTH PEACE AND SAYING, HE WANTS MORE GROWTH, BUT LET'S
TALK ABOUT WHAT THE U.S. IS ACTUALLY DOING HERE RATHER
THAN WHAT IT IS SAYING. AND, YOU KNOW, COMING OUT OF
THIS, LET'S SEE IF THEY HAVE ANY QUESTIONS ANSWERED.
THERE'S A REAL RISK HERE THAT SCOTT BESSENT, YOU KNOW, OVER
SHOOTS, AND THAT HE COMES OUT OF THIS WITH LESS CREDIBILITY
THAN HE HAD GOING IN, AND THAT THAT HAS AN IMPACT ON AMERICA'S
ABILITY TO PROJECT ITS ECONOMIC POWER AROUND THE WORLD.
THAT IS SOMETHING WE ARE GOING TO SEE, SEE HOW IT PLAYS OUT IN
THE COMING MONTHS. TIM: SHAWN DONNAN, BLOOMBERG NEWS SENIOR ECONOMICS WRITER DOWN IN
WASHINGTON, D.C. THANKS FOR THE TIME.
WALL STREET IS CERTAINLY SQUARELY FOCUSED ON THE LATEST
OUT OF ASHEVILLE AND NORTH CAROLINA.
ALSO FOCUSING ON WHAT IS HAPPENING WITH THE WORLD'S
LARGEST ECONOMY BY MARKET CAP. THAT, OF COURSE, IS NVIDIA.
THE COMPANY INVESTING $3.5 MILLION -- BILLION IN MEDIATECH
COME AT A TIME WHEN IT IS WORKING TO PERSUADE MORE
COMPANIES THAT BUILD CHIPS TO PLUG INTO DOMINANT ECOSYSTEMS.
SEE OF JENSEN HUANG SAID ITS PARTNERSHIP IS A MASSIVE
ENGINEERING REALIGNMENT OF THE FIRMS. HE SPOKE EXCLUSIVELY WITH BTV'S ED LUDLOW AND
ANOTHER CEO, RICK TASAI. JENSEN:
MEDIATECH IS ALREADY INCREDIBLY POPULAR, SUCCESSFUL.
THEY MAKE MORE SOC'S THAN ANY COMPANY IN THE WORLD.
THE GREAT PLEASURE FOR US TO INVEST IN A TECH COMPANY IN
TAIWAN. IT IS A GREAT PLEASURE FOR US
TO INVEST IN MEDIATECH. THE INVESTMENT IS GROUNDED ON A
PARTNERSHIP THAT'S GOING TO SPAN MULTIPLE YEARS. RICK: I WANT IS ALMOST AT THE CENTER
OF THE ECOSYSTEM, BUT WE ALSO WORK CLOSELY WITH OUR CUSTOMERS.
IT IS TOUGH, BUT EVERY CEEO WILL DO THAT IN THE FUTURE. TIM:
NVIDIA CEO JENSEN HUANG FOLLOWED BY MEDIATEK CEO RICK
TSAI. ED LUDLOW DOING THOSE INTERVIEWS. THE CHIP FROM MEDIATEK, WHAT
EXACTLY DOES IT DO AND HOW DOES IT FIT INTO THE ECOSYSTEM? ED: MEDIATEK IN TAIWAN IS ANALOGOUS
WITH QUALCOMM, HISTORY WITH MODEMS, BUT THEY HAVE A PART OF
THEIR BUSINESS THAT IS YOUNG AND MORE NASCENT FOR A SIX,
CUSTOM CHIPS, JUST LIKE MARV L BROADCOM WORKS WITH
HYPERSCALERS IN FRONTIER LABS TO HELP THEM DEVELOP THEIR OWN
SHIPS. SO WHAT NVIDIA HAS DONE IS MAKE
AN INVESTMENT TO MEDIATEK THROUGH THE PURCHASE OF THESE
CONVERTIBLE BONDS. 3.5 BILLION DOLLARS DOES NOT
SOUND LIKE A LOT BUT IT IS NVIDIA'S BIGGEST EVER NON-US
INVESTMENT. THEY AGREED TO BASICALLY
PACKAGE THOSE TECHNOLOGIES TOGETHER. IF MEDIATEK HAS A CUSTOM CHIP
CUSTOMER, THEY BASICALLY GO TO THEM AND SAY, HERE IS A WAY
THAT YOU CAN TAKE THAT CUSTOM CHIP AND JUST DROP IT INTO A
DATA CENTER, EVERYTHING ELSE IS NVIDIA.
SO THE CONCLUSION THAT NVIDIA HOPES EVERYONE COMES TO IS
NVIDIA CONTINUES TO GROW EVEN IN A WORLD WHERE PEOPLE ARE
USING CHIPS NOT MADE BY NVIDIA, BECAUSE NVIDIA DOES NOT JUST TO
THE CHIPS, THEY DO EVERYTHING ELSE INSIDE THE DATA CENTER
NOW, TOO. KRISTINE: YEAH. A VERY INTERESTING POINT,
BECAUSE THIS DEAL MAKES IT SEEM LIKE A REALLY WANTS TO EMBED
ACROSS THE ENTIRE DATA CENTER. IS THIS ABOUT SHIFTING THE
MOAT, TOO MUCH BROADER ECOSYSTEMS FOR NVIDIA? ED: YEAH.
INTERESTING EARLIER CONVERSATION IS JENSEN HUANG
JUST ADMITS THAT CUSTOM SILICON IS HERE, RIGHT?
HE CALLS THEM XP YOU'S, BUT OTHERS HAVE CALLED THEM A SSICS
O R CUSTOM CHIPS. THEY ARE ALREADY HERE.
IT'S HARD TO MAKE IT REALLY GOOD ACCELERATOR FROM RUNNING
AI TO INFERENCE. IT'S HARDER STILL TO GET
EVERYTHING THAT GOES INTO A DATA CENTER. YOU LOOK AT CABINETS, NVIDIA IS
ALREADY PERVASIVE IN THAT. SO LITERALLY WHAT THEY ARE
PITCHING IS THE WAY THAT LOTS OF DIFFERENT SERVERS SPEAK TO
ONE ANOTHER, MD LINK. RIGHT NOW, THOSE LINKS ARE
DOING SERVICE WITH ANOTHER SET OF SERVICES, AND ALL OF NVIDIA
IS GREASING THE WHEELS FOR AS A WORLD WE HAVE A DATA CENTER,
THE SERVICE CENTERS HAVE GPU'S IN THEM, BUT NOW YOU WILL DROP
OTHER SERVERS AND THEY ARE BASED ON HIS OTHER CUSTOM CHIPS.
BECAUSE NVIDIA HAS GOT THAT DOWN, IT IS QUITE ATTRACTIVE TO
THOSE WORKING ON CUSTOM CHIPS. THEY DON'T HAVE TO GO OUT AND
READ THE DATA CENTER TO MAKE THE CHIP WORK CAROL:
CUSTOM IS HERE, BUT WHAT IS THE COMPETITION LANDSCAPE FOR THAT
AT THE MOMENT? WE KNOW COMPANIES LIKE BROADCOM
AND MARBELLA ARE COMPETING FOR THAT BUSINESS. ED: EXACTLY. THE PITCH FOR A CUSTOM CHIP,
LET'S CALL IT A CUSTOM ACCELERATOR, IS THAT IF YOU
DESIGN A CHIP DELIBERATELY TO RUN A SPECIFIC AI WORKLOAD, THE
ECONOMICS OF THAT PLATFORM ARE OFTEN BETTER ON A DOLLAR PER
TOKEN BASIS OR ENERGY CONSUMPTION BASIS.
THAT IS THE IDEA. EVERYONE RANGING FROM OUR TEAM
AT BLOOMBERG INTELLIGENCE, WE ACCEPT THE NVIDIA IS IN THE
WORLD NOW, WHERE THE FUTURE GROWTH WILL BE IMPACTED BY
VARIETY, OPTIONS. NVIDIA IS DIGGING IN. THEY CONTINUE THE IDEA THAT THE
ECONOMICS ARE NOT AS GOOD AS THE EXISTING NVIDIA TECHNOLOGY. IT IS PERVASIVE AND WIDESPREAD
AND REAL. THERE WAS A LITTLE SHADE THROWN
BY JENSEN HUANG WHEN HE WAS LIKE SURE, I KNOW ALL THE
CUSTOM CHIPS BEING ANNOUNCED, BUT I ALSO KNOW THE PROJECTS
THAT ARE BEING CANCELED BECAUSE IT IS A HARD THING TO DO.
HIS FORECAST IS THAT THE FRONTIER LABS, EACH LAYER OF
THE AI STACK, MOST PEOPLE WILL CONTINUE USING NVIDIA.
SO INTERESTING ON A DATE WHEN THERE IS PRESSURE IN THE EQUITY
MARKET TO SEE NVIDIA SHARES A LITTLE HIGHER. THERE IS CERTAINLY SOME
MOMENTUM CARRYING THROUGH FROM HER EARNINGS IN THE CONTEXT OF
NVIDIA DIGGING INTO ITS POSITION. TIM:
WE HAVE ABOUT 40 SECONDS LEFT. IN TERMS OF WHERE NVIDIA HAS
INVESTED, NOT NECESSARILY OUTSIDE OF ITS CORE COMPETENCY,
BUT SPACEX, INTEL, SOME NOKIA I RECALL. SHOULD WE EXPECT MORE, AND
WHERE? ED: IN THIS CONTEXT,, MEDIATEK IS A
PARTNER. THEY WILL SEE A BIG FINANCIAL
RETURN. IT IS IN LINE WITH THE TRENCHES
OF A COUPLE BILLION DOLLARS THAT NVIDIA HAS DONE ALL ACROSS
THE AI ECOSYSTEM. PROVIDING CAPITAL TO MAKE
THINGS HAPPEN. THAT IS WHAT THEY WOULD ARGUE.
TIM: ED LUDLOW, THE HOST OF
BLOOMBERG TECH. CHECK OUT MORE OF HIS INTERVIEW
WITH JENSEN ON THE BLOOMBERG TERMINAL. COMING UP NEXT, IT IS THE FIRST
MAN BY A CALL SHE. WE WILL JOIN -- WE WILL BE
JOINED BY A FORMER CT FC COMMISSIONER, NEXT. ♪ CHARLIE:
WE CHECK MARKETS ALL DAY LONG. WE ARE KEEPING AN EYE ON AMAZON
SHARES, DOWN BY 3% AFTER THE WALL STREET JOURNAL REPORTED
THAT THE FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION PLANS TO FILE A
LAWSUIT AGAINST THE E-COMMERCE GIANT, ALLEGING THE COMPANY
MANIPULATED PRICES THAT BUSINESS IS PAID, TO ADVERTISE
ON THE RETAIL PLATFORM. AMAZON SHARES DOWN BY 3%.
STAY WITH BLOOMBERG FOR THE LATEST. THE DOW, THE S&P AND
THE NASDAQ ARE ALL LOWER. GEOPOLITICAL RISK SENT STOCKS
AND BONDS LOWER. THE S&P DOWN BY ABOUT .4%.
WE HAVE THE DOW DOWN BY ABOUT SIX -- DOWN BY ABOUT .6%. THE NASDAQ, A DROP OF .3%.
THE VIX IS HOLDING JUST ABOVE 15 RIGHT NOW.
THE PHILADELPHIA STOCK EXCHANGE SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX IS UP .4%. THE THIRTY-YEAR IS AT 5.2 5%.
GOLD IS DOWN .5%, WHILE WEST TEXAS INTERMEDIATE CRUDE, UP BY
2.9%. AGAIN, AMAZON SHARES ARE
TRADING LOWER, BY 3% AFTER THE WALL STREET JOURNAL REPORTED
THAT THE FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION PLANS TO FILE A
LAWSUIT AGAINST THE E-COMMERCE GIANT.
FOR ON DEMAND NEWS, SUBSCRIBE TO BLOOMBERG NEWS NOW, WHEREVER
YOU GET YOUR PODCASTS. THAT IS OUR BLOOMBERG BUSINESS
FLASH. TIM: A LOT GOING ON IN PRODUCTION
MARKETS. GEORGE SANTOS WON'T BE ABLE TO
PLACE ANOTHER WAGE OR ONCOLOGY AFTER HE WAS BANNED FOR AFTER
LITERALLY MANIPULATING THE MARKETS. THE FORMER HEAD OF POLICY FOR
A16 CRYPTO, HE IS NOW ADVISING FINANCE IN TECH COMPANIES AND
IS A BOARD MEMBER AT KALSHI EXCHANGE. IT IS A POSITION HE HAS HELD
SINCE 2021, AND HE JOINS US IN THE BUSINESSWEEK STUDIO. BRIAN:
THANKS FOR HAVING ME. TIM:
THIS IS THE FIRST SUCH FINE ON KALSHI.
WHAT DOES IT TAKE TO GET BANNED BY THE PLATFORM? BRIAN:
WHAT WE SAW WAS A DELIBERATE LACK OF COOPERATION.
IT IS ONE THING TO VIOLATE THE RULES. YOU ALWAYS WANT TO SEE IN
EXCHANGE ENFORCE THOSE RULES. WE CAN'T LIVE IN A MINORITY
REPORT SOCIETY, WHERE WE JUST EXPECT NOTHING BAD TO EVER
HAPPEN. SOMETHING BAD WILL HAPPEN AND
IT IS IMPORTANT THAT THE EXCHANGE PROSECUTES THAT, FINDS
IT, IT REFERS IT TO THE CFTC. IN THIS CASE WHAT WE SAW WAS A
COMPLETE LACK OF COOPERATION AFTER BEING CAUGHT.
IF YOU ARE NOT GOING TO RESPECT THE ENFORCEMENT PROCESS AFTER
YOU'VE BEEN CAUGHT, WHY SHOULD WE THINK THAT YOU ARE GOING TO
RESPECT THE MARKET INTEGRITY IF YOU ARE ALLOWED TO TRADE AGAIN?
IN THIS CASE, I THINK A LIFETIME BAN WAS APPROPRIATE.
MORE EXAMPLES WE SEE OF THESE THINGS HAPPENING, HOPEFULLY
MORE OF A PROPHYLACTIC IMPACT IT WILL HAVE TO TWO PREVENTED
FROM HAPPENING IN THE FUTURE. >> HOW EFFECTIVE DO YOU THINK
IT IS GOING TO BE AS A PRESIDENT?
IT'D SENDING A STRONG ENOUGH SIGNAL TO OTHER POTENTIAL WHO
MIGHT -- OTHER POTENTIAL PEOPLE WHO MIGHT ATTEND SOMETHING LIKE
THIS? DO YOU THINK THEY WILL HAVE A
PAUSE AFTER THIS? BRIAN: AS A FORMER REGULATOR, AND PART
OF THE CALL SHE EXCHANGE BOARD, YOU NEVER WANT TO SEE BAD
THINGS HAPPEN, LIKE PEOPLE VIOLATING THE RULES OR
UNETHICAL PEOPLE TRYING TO COMPROMISE INTEGRITY.
THE REALITY IS IT HAPPENS. THE FLIPSIDE TO HAVING THESE
THINGS REPORTED ON, POSSIBLY INDICATING SOME KIND OF
NEGATIVE ISSUE WITH THE MARKET IS THAT THEY ARE BEING CAUGHT,
AND THEY DO PROVIDE THAT STORY THAT IF YOU DO SOMETHING BAD,
WE ARE GOING TO COME AFTER YOU. TIM:
FROM A CIVIL PERSPECTIVE, NOT A CRIMINAL PERSPECTIVE. BRIAN:
CALL SHE CAN ENFORCE THE ROLES ON ITS OWN EXCHANGE.
IT WOULD BE UP TO THE DOJ TO PROSECUTE CRIMINALS. TIM:
DO YOU THINK WE SEE THAT? BRIAN: IT IS POSSIBLE.
IT ALWAYS DEPENDED ON THE IMPACT OF THE BEHAVIOR. TIM:
MEANING THE NUMBER OF PEOPLE AFFECTED, THE AMOUNT OF MONEY,
THAT SORT OF THING? BRIAN: EXACTLY.
FRAUD IS A LOT EASIER TO PROSECUTE THAN MANIPULATION,
BUT CERTAINLY MANIPULATION CASES HAVE BEEN BROUGHT BY THE
DOJ. TIM: SO CALL SHE WOULD REFER TO THE
CFTC AND THEY WOULD DECIDE WHETHER OR NOT TO REFER IT TO
THE DOJ. BRIAN: CORRECT. TIM: I WANT TO TALK ABOUT SOME OTHER
NEWS WE GOT. THIS IS THE NINTH OPINION ON
FRIDAY. CALL SHE TOOK A HIT WHEN THE
U.S. COURT OF APPEALS SAID THAT SPORTS PETS ARE NOT SWAPS.
HERE IS WHAT THE JUDGE SAID QUOTE, FOR POLICY TO DENY THAT
SPORTS EVENT CONTRACTS ARE SPORTS BETS UNDER A REASONABLE
PERSON'S UNDERSTANDING IS DISINGENUOUS.
THAT SPORTS EVENTS CONTRACTS ARE IN REALITY SPORTS BETS IS
NOT JUST A KNOW -- JUST A I KNOW IT WHEN I SEE IT, BUT
RATHER EVERYONE KNOWS IT INCLUDING CALL SHE.
HOW DO YOU RESPOND? BRIAN: I THINK THE NINTH CIRCUIT
OPINION PROVIDED MORE CONFUSION THAN CLARITY.
IF YOU LOOK AT THE ISSUE AND WHAT THE CASINO INDUSTRY AND
THE STATES THAT HAVE ALLIED WITH THEM IN PROSECUTING THESE
CASES HAVE CHARGED OR CLAIMED, IT IS THAT STATES CAN CONTROL
OR DICTATE WHAT KIND OF CONTRACTS ARE LISTED ON
FEDERALLY RELATED EXCHANGES, AND THE U.S.
LAW DOES NOT PREEMPT THAT. THESE EVENTS AREN'T ACTUALLY
EVENTS, AND THEREFORE DO NOT QUALIFY AS SWAPS.
THE INTERESTING THING ABOUT THE NINTH CIRCUIT OPINION IS ON
THAT FIRST POINT, IT AGREED WITH THE THIRD CIRCUIT WHICH
RULED IN KALSHI'S FAVOR. THAT THE COMMODITY EXCHANGE ACT
DOES PREVENT STATES FROM REGULATING OR DICTATING WHAT
KINDS OF CONTRACTS CAN BE LISTED ON FEDERALLY REGULATED
EXCHANGES. BUT IT MADE THE CONFUSING
DETERMINATION, THAT WHETHER OR NOT THE SUPER BOWL OCCURS IS AN
EVENT, BUT WHO WINS IS NOT. I CAN'T NECESSARILY COMPORT
THOSE THINGS. ULTIMATELY THIS IS GOING TO
COME DOWN TO THE SUPREME COURT, AND IT WILL BE AN ISSUE THAT
REQUIRES THEIR INTELLECTUAL FIREPOWER AND PATIENCE AND
ATTENTION TO THE LAW, AS OPPOSED TO WORKING BACKWARD
FROM RESULTS. >> ONE OF THE QUESTIONS THE
DECISION BRINGS UP IS WHETHER IT DOES UNDERMINED THE
FOUNDATION FOR SPORTS MARKETS, MAKING A DETERMINATION BETWEEN
SPORTS BETS AND DISTINCTION THEM FROM SWAPS. BRIAN:
I VIEW BETTING IS SOMETHING YOU DO AGAINST THE HOUSE.
THE HOUSE ALWAYS WINS, IT SETS THE ODDS, THEIR INCENTIVES
CONFLICT WITH CUSTOMERS. NOT A MARKETPLACE WHERE TRADERS
ARE ENGAGING WITH EACH OTHER AND THERE ARE MARKET PRICES FOR
OUTCOMES. I THINK THE OTHER IMPORTANT
THING TO MENTION IS THAT STATES AND CASINOS ARE PURSUING A
ZERO-SUM OUTCOME. THEY ARE SAYING THAT THE ONLY
PLACE THESE KINDS OF FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES CAN KINDS OF
FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES CAN OCCUR IS IN A CASINO OR A STATE
REGULATED SPORTS BOOK. KALSHI IN THE CFTC ARE SAYING,
THAT IS FINE, YOU CAN DO THAT, BUT IF THEY ALSO QUALIFY AS
DERIVATIVES, THEY CAN BE LISTED SUBJECT TO CFTC RULES. TIM:
IT SEEMS LIKE IT IS A REAL HEADACHE FOR EVERYONE EXCEPT
THE LAWYERS WORKING ON IT. [LAUGHTER]
TRULY IT SEEMS LIKE A GAME OF WHACK-A-MOLE BETWEEN KALSHI AND
STATES THAT ARE COMING UP WITH THIS, WORKING ON THE CASES.
DO YOU GUYS EVER TALK ABOUT SAYING,
OK, WE WILL PUT SPORTS ON THE BACK BURNER, BECAUSE IT IS SO
CONTENTIOUS, AND WE WILL FOCUS ON EVERYTHING ELSE? BRIAN:
I THINK THE THING I THINK ABOUT IS, WHAT IS THE LAW ALLOW FOR
AND WHY? THE LAW WAS WRITTEN VERY
DELIBERATELY TO SAY THAT AN EVENT THAT HAS ANY FINANCIAL
COMMERCIAL OR ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCE CAN HAVE A VALID
DERIVATIVE LISTED ON IT, BECAUSE IT POSES RISK, AND THE
WHOLE PURPOSE OF DERIVATIVE MARKETS IS TO ALLOW FOR RISK
MANAGEMENT. I THINK ONE OF THE POINTS OF
YOUR QUESTION IS THAT IT IS A PERCEPTION ISSUE, AND I THINK
THAT IS WHAT THE QUOTE THAT YOU JUST READ FROM THE JUDGE KIND
OF INDICATED. BUT IF YOU GO BACK IN TIME, YOU
KNOW, QUORUM CONTRACTS WERE TRADED IN BUCKET SHOPS IN
CHICAGO, AND THEY SUED WHEN CORN CONTRACTS ULTIMATELY GOT
LISTED ON FEDERAL EARLY -- FEDERALLY REGULATED SYSTEMS,
AND THEY CALLED IT GAMBLING. WHEN YOU BRING ON A SECULAR
EARLY REGULATED EXCHANGE THAT POSES A THREAT TO THAT BUSINESS
MODEL, YOU WILL SEE THESE. KRISTINE:
DO YOU THINK THE DECISION ULTIMATELY BELONGS TO THE CFTC?
WHAT WOULD CONSTITUTE AS ECONOMIC OR USEFUL ENOUGH TO
BELONG UNDER THEIR JURISDICTION AS OPPOSED TO WHAT IT CURRENTLY
IS? BRIAN: I BELIEVE SO. I BELIEVE THE CFTC IS THE
ULTIMATE ARBITER AS TO WHAT CAN QUALIFY AS AN EVENT, AND THERE
HAS NEVER BEEN KIND OF A, YOU KNOW, SUFFICIENCY TEST OF
ECONOMIC VALUE, FOR ANY DERIVATIVE.
AND THE LAW WAS WRITTEN VERY BROADLY TO ALLOW FOR THE,
BECAUSE IT INCENTIVIZED INNOVATION OR EXCHANGES.
AND THERE ARE THOUSANDS OF PRODUCTS LISTED BY EXCHANGES
THAT DON'T GET LIQUIDITY AND THAT ULTIMATELY GET DELISTED.
TIM: YOU KNOW, A LOT OF STATES RESTRICT SPORTS BETTING TO 21
AND UP. BECAUSE SHE AND OTHER PLATFORMS
MAKE IT AVAILABLE AT 18. WE DID SEE ANALYSIS FROM CNN
THAT SAID THEY HAVE TRADED 5.4 BILLION DOLLARS ON KALSHI JUST
SO FAR THIS YEAR. IT WOULD BE RESTRICTING TO AGE
21 AND UP. WOULD KALSHI CONSIDER FOLLOWING
THAT? BRIAN: I CANNOT SPEAK FOR THE FOUNDERS
OR THE BOARD AT THE COMPANY LEVEL ON THAT.
I THINK THAT IS A GOOD CONVERSATION YOU HAVE
INTERNALLY. I WILL KNOW YOU DID SAY NOT ALL
STATES ARE UNIFORM IN HOW THEY APPROACH THAT AGE LIMIT, AND A
LOT OF STATES MADE THAT DECISION BECAUSE YOU COMBINE
CASINOS WITH LIQUOR. AND THE DRINKING AGE IS 21,
THEREFORE TO ENTER INTO A CASINO AND GAMBLE IS THEREFORE
21. BUT STATES LIKE RHODE ISLAND,
D.C., WHERE I LIVE, MONTANA, WYOMING, ALL HAVE AN 18
PLUS-YEAR-OLD THRESHOLD FOR THAT, SO IT IS NOT UNIFORM
RIGHT NOW. KRISTINE: YEAH. ONE OF THE OTHER THINGS I WANT
TO ASK AS WELL ARE MENTIONED MARKETS RIGHT? THIS IS WHERE, YOU KNOW, USERS
CAN PLACE WAGERS ON WHETHER PUBLIC FIGURES WILL SAY CERTAIN
WORDS OR PHRASES IN SPEECHES. WE DID GET AN INSIDER PROBE
RELATED TO, YOU KNOW, BETTING ON PRESIDENT TRUMP'S SPEECHES.
WHAT YOU THINK OF THIS AREA? IS IT SOMETHING THAT SHOULD BE
REINED IN AND CAN BE REINED IN AT THIS POINT? BRIAN:
I THINK THE BREADTH OF THESE MARKETS REFLECTS THE BRUNT OF
THE LAW, AND SO, YOU KNOW, IF THEY NEED TO BE REINED -- IN MY
VIEW, IT IS UP TO CONGRESS TO DECIDE WHERE THAT LINE SHOULD
BE DRAWN. THE REGULATOR MIGHT BE ABLE TO
TRY, BUT I THINK IT MIGHT BE HARD TO DO THAT IN WHEN IT IS
NOT ARBITRARY AND CAN, STANDARD UNDER THE ADMINISTRATIVE
PROCEDURES ACT AND HOW HE CAN MAKE DECISIONS. BUT, YOU KNOW, TO YOUR
POINT, I THINK WHEN THE FED CHAIRMAN HAS A NEWS CONFERENCE,
THE ENTIRE STOCK MARKET TURNS INTO A MENTIONED MARKET.
SO IT IS THE CASE THAT PEOPLE THAT SAY CERTAIN THINGS IN A
HIGH VELOCITY WAY CAN HAVE A FINANCE COMMERCIAL ECONOMIC
IMPACT, AND WORDS THEY USE AND WHAT THEY TALK ABOUT, AND
ULTIMATELY, YOU KNOW, THESE MARKETS ARE GAUGES.
THEY ARE GAUGES OF OPINION, OF SENTIMENT, AND THEY PROVIDE
USEFUL DATA, IN MY MIND, IN TERMS OF WHAT THE IMPACT OF
MENTIONING CERTAIN THINGS ARE. AS PRESIDENT TRUMP ONLY
MENTIONED IRAN ONLY ONE TIME IN A NEWS CONFERENCE AS OPPOSED TO
THE PRIOR TIME WHERE HE MENTIONED THAT 10, DOES THAT
INDICATE ANYTHING? AND HE MENTIONS IT ZERO TIMES
IN THE NEXT PUBLIC APPEARANCE, DOES THAT MEET HAVE A
CORRELATION THAT NEEDS TO BE PAID ATTENTION TO?
ULTIMATELY, IT IS HARD TO DRAW LINES BETWEEN THIS SPACE.
I LIKE TO START BROADER THEM NARROWER. TIM: BRIAN QUINTENZ, THANK YOU, A
BOARD MEMBER OF KALSHI EXCHANGE, A FORMER COMMISSIONER
OF THE CFTC, HE JOINS US IN THE "BLOOMBERG BUSINESSWEEK" STUDIO.
COMING UP NEXT, RHEINGOLD JOINS US FROM OUR DEALS TEAM. ♪ CHARLIE: 2:40 ON WALL STREET.
WE DO CHECK MARKETS ALL DAY LONG HERE AT BLOOMBERG.
WITH THE DOW, S&P, NASDAQ ALL IN THE RED.
AS A BEING CLOSE TO SESSION LOWS, DOWN 40 POINTS, 7671.
THAT'S A DROP OF .5%. A FLARE OFF IN GEOPOLITICAL
RISKS SENDING STOCKS AND BONDS LOWER. OIL IS CLIMBING.
THAT IS RAISING CONCERNS ABOUT INFLATIONARY PRESSURES THAT
COULD MAKE THE FED RAISED RATES. THE S&P AGAIN DOWN .5%.
NASDAQ COMPOSITE DOWN 137. NASDAQ LOWERED BY .5%. 2-YEAR YIELDS, 4.3 4%, 10-YEAR
4.75%. THE 30-YEAR, 5.25%. GOLD, $4429 THE OUNCE.
WEST EXIT -- WEST TEXAS INTERMEDIATE CRUDE CLOSING IN
ON $86 A BARREL, UP 3%. BRENT, $90.57 A BARREL COME UP
BY 2.8%. ELI LILLY PLANS TO BUY MERIDA
FOODS FOR $2.8 BILLION TO EXPAND AUTOIMMUNE DISEASES.
EXPANDING BE THE WEIGHT LOSS AND DIABETES MARKETS THAT HAVE
MADE IT THE LARGEST PHARMACEUTICAL COMPANY IN THE
WORLD. AMAZON SHARES NOW TRADED DOWN
BY 3.2%. THIS AFTER THE "WALL STREET
JOURNAL" REPORTED THAT THE FEDERAL TRADE
COMMISSION PLANS TO FILE A LAWSUIT AGAINST THE E-COMMERCE
GIANT TODAY, ALLEGING THAT THE COMPANY MANIPULATED PRICES THAT
BUSINESSES PAID TO ADVERTISE ON ITS VIDEO PLATFORM.
FOR ON-DEMAND NEWS 24 HOURS A DAY, SUBSCRIBE TO BLOOMBERG
NEWS NOW WHEREVER YOU GET YOUR PODCAST. I'M CHARLIE PELLETT.
TIM AND KRISTINE, THAT'S A BLOOMBERG BUSINESS FLASH. TIM:
THANK YOU. PRIVATE JETS ARE GETTING BIGGER
ABOUT THE AIRPORT IS NOT COME UNTIL NOW. MORE VALUE IN A CORNER OF
AVIATION ONCE REGARDED AS JUST A SERVICE BUSINESS FOR PRIVATE
JETS. RYAN GOULD IS BLOOMBERG'S DEALS
REPORTER AND JOINS US FROM OUR WASHINGTON, D.C. EURO.
I WANT TO START WITH ATLANTIC AVIATION. .
FOR PEOPLE WHO ARE NOT FAMILIAR WITH WHAT IT DOES AS A SERVICE,
RYAN, WHO ARE THEY, WHAT ARE THEY DOING? RYAN:
GOOD TO BE WITH YOU, TIM. THINK OF IT AS A PRIVATE JET
TERMINAL. IF YOU HAVE A PRIVATE JET, YOU
NEED TO TAKE OFF AND LAND FROM SOMEWHERE, AND GENERALLY, NINE
TIMES OUT OF 10, THOSE WILL BE MAJOR AIRPORTS LIKE NEW YORK,
JFK, OR LAGUARDIA HERE IN NEW YORK. THESE ARE GOING TO BE MORE
PRIVATE RESULT AIRPORTS, TETERBORO BE IN ONE, THEY
ESSENTIALLY ALLOW YOU TO FUEL UP YOUR PLANE, TAKE ON THE FOOD THAT YOU NEED -- FUEL YOU NEED,
A MUCH SMALLER FOOTPRINT. ATLANTIC HAS BEEN OWNED BY KKR
FOR 20 YEARS NOW. THEY JUST RECENTLY COMPLETED A
DEAL TO SELL CONTROL OR CO-CONTROL TO APOLLO.
HERE YOU HAVE TWO OF THE LARGEST CAPITAL PROVIDERS ON
WALL STREET DIGITALLY COMING TOGETHER HERE TO PUT WHAT IS
ANOTHER ROUND OF FRESH CAPITAL INTO THIS BUSINESS TO GROW IT
BEYOND WHAT IT IS HOPING IS GOING TO BE MORE THAN $10
BILLION OF VALUATION. KRISTINE: BREAK DOWN THE DEAL FOR US,
BECAUSE THIS IS QUITE A JUMP IN THE EVALUATION. SO, ATLANTIC WAS BOUGHT BY KKR
FOR $4.5 BILLION, NOW APOLLO IS BUYING FOR CONTROL OF NEARLY A
$10 BILLION VALUATION. WHAT'S WITH THE ENORMOUS
INCREASE IN VALUE? WHAT DID KKR ACTUALLY DO
OPERATIONALLY TO TURN BUSINESS INTO WHAT IT IS?
IT IS NOW A NATIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE PLATFORM. RYAN:
YEAH. TOTALLY. THIS IS ESSENTIALLY A PRIVATE
REAL ESTATE STORY, DISGUISED AS A PRIVATE JET STORY. KKR WAS ESSENTIALLY A BOARD OF
BUSINESSES LOCALLY MANAGED. AROUND 67 LOCATIONS.
FAST FORWARD TODAY, THERE ARE 108 LOCATIONS.
THIS IS ALSO AN LAID IT OUT HERE AND WHAT YOU SEE IS KKR
ACQUIRED A TON OF OTHER OPERATIONS IN AIRPORTS AROUND
THE UNITED STATES, BRING THEM TOGETHER AND BUILD UP THAT BACK
OFFICE. THINK OF THINGS LIKE PROCUREMENT, FUEL HANDLING,
EVEN JUST HOW MANY ENGINEERS IT TAKES OR HOW MANY SERVICES IT
TAKES FOR ONE AIRCRAFT. THEY BUILT A PROPRIETARY
OPERATING SYSTEM. THEY PUT THE NUTS AND BOLTS
ALTOGETHER AND NOW YOU CAN SEE AT ONE GLANCE ON A MAP WHERE
YOU'VE GOT PLANES TAKING OFF FROM, WHERE THEY ARE COMING IN,
HOW LONG THEY WILL BE ON THE GROUND.
PLANES GENERALLY ONLY MAKE MONEY WHEN THEY ARE IN THE AIR.
TIM: LAST WEEK, WE HAD THE U.S.
PRESIDENT OF VISTAJET. SHE TALKED ABOUT DEMAND FOR THE
SERVICE GROWING, NOT JUST IN THE U.S. BUT AROUND THE WORLD.
WE ALSO SAW A REPORT THAT THE CANADIAN BUSINESS JET MAKER
WANTS TO EXPAND MANUFACTURING CAPABILITIES, BECAUSE DEMAND IS
SURPASSING EXPECTATIONS. ALL OF THIS TO SAY THAT THE
PRIVATE JET INDUSTRY IS ABSOLUTELY SOARING RIGHT NOW.
RYAN: THAT IS ONE THING THAT THE
ATLANTIC CEO SAID TO ME IN AN INTERVIEW, NO ONE IS REALLY
BUILDING THESE AIRPORTS AROUND THE UNITED STATES NOW. PALM BEACH AIRPORT IS ITS OWN
SPACE, BUT THESE SITES AREN'T GETTING BIGGER.
PUT THAT TOGETHER WITH A PRIVATE JET ECONOMY THAT IS
BALLOONING, THINK ABOUT SOME OF THESE STATISTICS.
GLOBAL BUSINESS JET DEPARTURES ARE UP 5% OVER THE PAST 12
MONTHS. I THINK COMBINED ORDER BACKLOGS
ARE SOMEWHERE IN THE REGION OF $60 BILLION.
THE FLEET IS EXPANDING, BUT THERE IS NOWHERE ELSE TO PUT
THESE PLANES, UNLESS YOU ARE DOING THINGS LIKE KNOCKING DOWN
EXISTING OLDER TERMINALS AND BUILDING THEM OUT TO TAKE
ADVANTAGE OF EXISTING FOOTPRINT. KRISTINE:
TAKING A LOOK AT ATLANTIC, GATEWAY TO MANHATTAN, THEY ALSO
HAVE LOCATIONS IN LAS VEGAS, FLORIDA, ASPEN.
THESE ARE DESIRABLE LOCATIONS. DO WE FORESEE HOW THIS
DEVELOPS, IS THIS SOMETHING THAT MOSTLY WILL BE CONTAINED
WITHIN THESE DESIRABLE DESTINATIONS, OR COULD THIS
SHIFT THE BUSINESS MODEL AND THE LANDSCAPE, TO TURNING A NOT
SO DESIRABLE LOCATION INTO SOMETHING MORE DESIRABLE? RYAN:
I THINK SO. YOU THINK ABOUT SOME OF THE
HEADWINDS WE HAVE -- THE INDUSTRY FACED DURING THE COVID
PANDEMIC, WHEN COMMERCIAL AIRLINES LARGELY SHUT DOWN OR
HAD VERY LOW PASSENGER VOLUME, AND PEOPLE SHIFTED TO MORE
PRIVATE AVIATION. YOU WANT TO BE WHERE THE MONEY
IS. CENTERS OF COMMERCE LIKE NEW YORK, MIAMI, CALIFORNIA.
I THINK IN THE MIDDLE, YOU COULD END UP SEEING A SCENARIO
WHERE OPERATORS LIKE ATLANTIC GO OUT AND BUILD IN THOSE
PLACES WHICH ARE NOT SO OBVIOUS. THAT IS THE NEXT LEG OF THE
STOOL HERE. FOR ATLANTIC, YOU THINK ABOUT
HOW MANY ACQUISITION OPPORTUNITIES THERE ARE AND I
THINK ATLANTIC IS COMPETING AGAINST OTHER MAJOR PLAYERS IN
THE INDUSTRY. ONE IS OWNED BY BLACKSTONE AND
GIP. THIS IS A SMALL CONCENTRATED
PART OF THE PRIVATE AVIATION INDUSTRY, AND I THINK THESE
GUYS ARE DUKING IT OUT, TO FIGURE OUT HOW TO BEST GET TO
THOSE LOCATIONS, BEFORE THE OTHER DOES. TIM: IT DOESN'T HURT THAT A LOT OF
THESE EXECUTIVES ARE USING THESE SERVICES. KKR ACQUIRED IT FROM A QUARRY
IN 2021. NOW APOLLO IS ACQUIRING A
CONTROL OF ATLANTIC. WHAT IS NEXT?
IS IT ANOTHER SALE OR IS IT AN IPO? RYAN:
THAT'S A GOOD QUESTION, ONE THAT I WAS WONDERING AS I WAS
PUTTING THIS PIECE TOGETHER. SIGNATURE WAS ACQUIRED BY
BLACKSTONE A FEW YEARS AGO. IT WAS KIND OF THE LAST MAJOR
PUBLIC COMPANY IN THAT SPOT. WE ARE IN A SITUATION WHERE THE
LIKES OF ATLANTIC IN SIGNATURE DON'T HAVE A TRUE PUBLIC
COMPARISON. I DO THINK -- YOU MENTIONED THE
SCALE AND HOW FAR THE VALUATION HAS BEEN. I THINK MAYBE AN IPO IS AN
OPTION IF THEY CAN CONTINUE TO SHOW THIS GROWTH ON THE TOP END.
TIM: TAKE PRIVATE, SOLD BY ANOTHER
PRIVATE EQUITY FIRM, NOT BY PRIVATE EQUITY AND TAKEN PUBLIC
AGAIN. CERTAINLY OF INTEREST. RYAN:
WE LIKE ROUNDTRIPS. TIM: RYAN GOULD, DEALS REPORTER FOR
BLOOMBERG NEWS. CHECK OUT RYAN'S A ON THE
BLOOMBERG TERMINAL. STOCKS ARE ON THE MOVE, NEXT. ♪ >> THIS IS BLOOMBERG
BUSINESSWEEK DAILY WITH CAROL MASSAR AND TIM STENOVEC. TIM:
IT IS BLOOMBERG BUSINESSWEEK DAILY. THAT IS CHRISTINE DIO. CHECK OUT THE TERMINAL.
ANY TIME SOMETHING HAPPENS IN THE TRADE, LIKE WHAT JUST
HAPPENED, I JUST TYPE IT IN AND YOU AND YOUR TEAM ARE ON IT.
SPEAKING OF THE MARKETS LIVE BLOG, LET'S LOOK AT HOW THINGS
ARE GOING ON THIS LAST TRADING DAY OF AUGUST. HALF A
PERCENTAGE POINT ON THE DOW. I GOT MY EYE ON COMMODITIES
SPECIFICALLY OIL AS WE DO SEE BRENT -- WTI, SEEING 85.75.
KRISTINE: A DIRECT IMPACT ON YIELDS TODAY.
WE SEE TREASURY YIELDS HIGHER ACROSS THE BOARD.
WE SAW THE 10 YEAR YIELD EARLIER, PROBING SOME OF THOSE
MULTIYEAR HIGHS. A LOT OF INFLATION FEARS COMING
BACK TO THE MARKET, ESPECIALLY AFTER WE HEARD FROM FED CHAIR
-- FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH AT JACKSON HOLE. TIM:
WE WILL GET MORE DATA IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS.
A LOT OF DATA COMING IN BEFORE THE MIDDLE OF SEPTEMBER.
WE ALSO HAVE OUR JOBS NUMBERS OR PAYROLLS REPORT ON FRIDAY.
A LOT OF ECONOMIC DATA. I'M TIM STENOVEC, ALONG WITH
KRISTINE AQUINO. FOR STOCKS ON THE MOVE, LET'S
TAKE A LOOK. HOW ARE YOU? >> PRETTY GOOD.
WE HAVE TO START OFF WITH AMAZON. CURRENTLY FALLING NEARLY 3%,
THE MOST INTRADAY IN A LITTLE OVER A MONTH.
THAT'S AFTER THE WALL STREET JOURNAL REPORTED THAT THE FTC
IS CLICKED -- PLANNING TO FILE A LAWSUIT AGAINST AMAZON,
ALLEGING THE COMPANY MAY PLEAD AT THE PRICES THAT BUSINESSES
PAID, TO ADVERTISE ON ITS PLATFORM.
FTC OFFICIALS SAY THEY EXPECT MORE THAN 20 STATE ATTORNEYS
GENERAL TO JOIN THIS LAWSUIT. THE TRADE DESK INCHED UP A
LITTLE BIT BECAUSE OF THIS REPORT. THAT COMPANY TECHNOLOGY COMPETES WITH AMAZON AS WELL.
KRISTINE: A LITTLE LEGAL TROUBLE FOR
AMAZON. TIM: AND ONCE AGAIN, THE U.S.
FTC, PREPARING TO SUE AMAZON OVER CLAIMS THE COMPANY MISLED
ADVERTISERS. KRISTINE:
SPEAKING OF LEGAL ISSUES. IT LOOKS LIKE EDISON IS DEALING
WITH A SIMILAR PROBLEM. >> IT IS CURRENTLY SINKING 23%,
THE MOST SINCE 2018, AND THAT IS AFTER THE CALIFORNIA
LEGISLATURE REJECTED GOVERNOR NEWSOM'S EFFORTS TO LIMIT HOW
MUCH PEOPLE COULD RECOVER FROM UTILITIES COMPANIES LIKE
EDISON, WHEN THEIR EQUIPMENT CAUSES FIRES.
INSTEAD, THE BILL ON SATURDAY, AND HAS A LOT OF THOSE MEASURES
TAKEN OUT. NOTING THAT THE STATE BILL
DELIVERED MARGINAL IMPROVEMENTS. INVESTORS WERE HOPING THE
LEGISLATION WOULD SOCIALIZE WILDFIRE RISK AND ESTABLISH A
PERMANENT LIABILITY CAP REFORM. EDISON IS ONE OF THE BIGGEST
LAGGARDS ON THE S&P 500 THIS AFTERNOON. TIM: PG&E ALSO TOOK A HIT.
DOWN 18.5% AS WELL, SAME REASON. LET'S GO TO THE GREEN TRACTOR. >> DEERE, A COUPLE THINGS TO
HIGHLIGHT. GAINING ABOUT 3.2% AFTER THEIR
TURN BULLISH ON AGRICULTURAL COMPANIES.
THEY EXPECT AGRICULTURE -- ENTERING AN EARLY CYCLE
RECOVERY BEGINNING NEXT YEAR. THIS ECHOES WHAT WE'VE ALREADY
HEARD FROM THE MANAGEMENT ON THEIR EARNINGS CALLS EARLIER
THIS MONTH, WHEN THEY WERE ALSO SAYING THEY EXPECT 2026 TO MARK
THE BOTTOM OF THE CURRENT CYCLE. DEFINITELY SOMETHING WE WILL
KEEP A LOOK ON. KRISTINE: INTERESTING, HOW THAT WILL PLAY
OUT WITH A TARIFF SITUATION. THE U.S.
AND CANADA ARE BACK AT IT. TIM: I THINK THAT IS THE CHALLENGING
THING IF YOU ARE A FARMER IN THIS COUNTRY, PLANNING FOR WHAT
THINGS LOOK LIKE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF YEARS. YOU DON'T KNOW HOW MUCH BEEF
THE U.S. IS GOING TO IMPORT FROM OTHER
PARTS OF THE WORLD. FOR DECADES, IT HAS BEEN
CHALLENGING ENOUGH, BUT THIS IS A CHALLENGING TIME AS WELL.
-- HAS STOCKS ON THE MOVE. IF YOU ARE INTERESTED IN MORE
CONVERSATIONS LIKE THIS, YOU CAN CHECK OUT OUR STOCK MOVERS
PODCAST. FIVE MINUTES EPISODES ON THE BIGGEST WINNERS AND
LOSERS OF THE STOCK MARKET. GET IT ANYWHERE YOU GET YOUR
PODCASTS. THAT IS KRISTINE AQUINO, IN FOR
CAROL MASSAR. I AM TIM STENOVEC, AND THIS IS
BUSINESSWEEK DAILY. IF YOU'RE STICKING WITH US ON
RADIO, WE HAVE A GREAT PROGRAM COMING UP. IT IS THE END OF AN ERA, OR IS
IT, BECAUSE IT IS TIM COOK'S LAST DAY OFFICIALLY, AS CEO OF
APPLE. THE HARDWARE CHIEF IS TAKING
OVER. IS THIS JUST TIM COOK 2.0? THAT IS A QUESTION WE WILL BE
POSTING. HE IS STILL GOING TO BE HANDLING THE CHINA STUFF, THE
TRUMP'S STUFF. ECONOMIC STATECRAFT.
WE WILL SEE. IF YOU ARE STICKING WITH US ON
TV, THE CLOSE IS UP NEXT.
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