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3 Overvalued Stocks to Avoid in September

3 Overvalued Stocks to Avoid in September

Morningstar, Inc.
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  1. 01 STX NASDAQ VENDER +0,00%
    Entrada $783,18 16 set 2026
    Atual $783,18 16 set 2026
    Resultado +$0,00
    vs. índice +0,0% SPY +0,0% no mesmo período

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    …r discretionary stocks to struggle most. His stocks to avoid were SanDisk, Ciena, and Brinker. Today, we're sharing three more stocks to avoid this month. These overvalued and consumer stocks could be vulnerable in a stock market downturn. Our first overvalued stock to avoid this month is Seagate Technology. Last quarter, the company shattered its own records for gross margin and operating margin, and its guidance suggests the artificial intelligence-driven storage cycle is still accelerating. This maker of disk drives remains tricky to value …

    Our first overvalued stock to avoid this month is Seagate Technology.

    Contexto extraído por IA Hi, I'm Susan Jabinski, co-host of the Morningstar Filter podcast. On a recent episode, Morningstar Chief US Markets Strategist Dave Sekera said that September is historically the worst month for stocks. If we were to experience a stock market sell-off, he'd expect overpriced tech stocks and consumer discretionary stocks to struggle most. His stocks to avoid were SanDisk, Ciena, and Brinker. Today, we're sharing three more stocks to avoid this month. These overvalued and consumer stocks could be vulnerable in a stock market downturn. Our first overvalued stock to avoid this month is Seagate Technology. Last quarter, the company shattered its own records for gross margin and operating margin, and its guidance suggests the artificial intelligence-driven storage cycle is still accelerating.

  2. 02 CAVA NYSE VENDER +0,00%
    Entrada $49,76 16 set 2026
    Atual $49,76 16 set 2026
    Resultado +$0,00
    vs. índice +0,0% SPY +0,0% no mesmo período

    Citar esta recomendação Ver trecho original (80s) *

    Contexto da transcrição original
    … to experience material pricing erosion. But for now, we think Seagate has a clear path to an earnings compound annual growth rate above 30% for years. Even so, the stock trades well above our $700 fair value estimate and looks overvalued. Our second overpriced stock to avoid is Cava Group. The fast-casual chain's Mediterranean bowl concept has resonated with consumers, driving 41% average annual system sales growth over the past 7 years. But in an industry with low switching costs and low barriers to entry, we don't think Ca…

    Our second overpriced stock to avoid is Cava Group.

    Contexto extraído por IA Even so, the stock trades well above our $700 fair value estimate and looks overvalued. Our second overpriced stock to avoid is Cava Group. The fast-casual chain's Mediterranean bowl concept has resonated with consumers, driving 41% average annual system sales growth over the past 7 years. But in an industry with low switching costs and low barriers to entry, we don't think Cava has carved out an economic moat.

  3. 03 DRI NYSE VENDER +0,09%
    Entrada $208,26 16 set 2026
    Atual $208,08 16 set 2026
    Resultado +$0,18
    vs. índice +0,1% SPY +0,0% no mesmo período

    Citar esta recomendação Ver trecho original (118s) *

    Contexto da transcrição original
    …at investors are overestimating Cava's ability to rapidly expand its footprint and underestimating the costs required to maintain its value proposition. We assign Cava stock an $18 fair value estimate, and shares trade way, way above that. Our final pricey stock to avoid is another restaurant name, Darden Restaurants. The largest full-service dining operator globally, Darden's portfolio includes the brands Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse, as well as fine dining's Capital Grille and Ruth's Chris, among others. We think the company has carved out a n…

    Our final pricey stock to avoid is another restaurant name, Darden Restaurants.

    Contexto extraído por IA We assign Cava stock an $18 fair value estimate, and shares trade way, way above that. Our final pricey stock to avoid is another restaurant name, Darden Restaurants. The largest full-service dining operator globally, Darden's portfolio includes the brands Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse, as well as fine dining's Capital Grille and Ruth's Chris, among others.

Transcrição Completa
Hi, I'm Susan Jabinski, co-host of the Morningstar Filter podcast. On a recent episode, Morningstar Chief US Markets Strategist Dave Sekera said that September is historically the worst month for stocks. If we were to experience a stock market sell-off, he'd expect overpriced tech stocks and consumer discretionary stocks to struggle most. His stocks to avoid were SanDisk, Ciena, and Brinker. Today, we're sharing three more stocks to avoid this month. These overvalued and consumer stocks could be vulnerable in a stock market downturn. Our first overvalued stock to avoid this month is Seagate Technology. Last quarter, the company shattered its own records for gross margin and operating margin, and its guidance suggests the artificial intelligence-driven storage cycle is still accelerating. This maker of disk drives remains tricky to value given how closely its fortunes are tied to the AI cycle. If supply were to exceed demand, we'd expect Seagate to experience material pricing erosion. But for now, we think Seagate has a clear path to an earnings compound annual growth rate above 30% for years. Even so, the stock trades well above our $700 fair value estimate and looks overvalued. Our second overpriced stock to avoid is Cava Group. The fast-casual chain's Mediterranean bowl concept has resonated with consumers, driving 41% average annual system sales growth over the past 7 years. But in an industry with low switching costs and low barriers to entry, we don't think Cava has carved out an economic moat. We do think that investors are overestimating Cava's ability to rapidly expand its footprint and underestimating the costs required to maintain its value proposition. We assign Cava stock an $18 fair value estimate, and shares trade way, way above that. Our final pricey stock to avoid is another restaurant name, Darden Restaurants. The largest full-service dining operator globally, Darden's portfolio includes the brands Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse, as well as fine dining's Capital Grille and Ruth's Chris, among others. We think the company has carved out a narrow economic moat thanks to its cost advantage. And over the next decade, we forecast system sales to grow 5.1% on average. We think Darden stock is worth $156 per share, and it looks overpriced today. For more stock ideas, be sure to tune into The Morning Filter each week wherever you get your podcasts, and visit morningstar.com, too.

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