I COVERED MOST OF MY SEMI-SHORTS TODAY AS WELL AS TESLA. THE SHORTS ARE DOING PRETTY WELL IF THEY SHORT AT THE RIGHT TIME WHEN IT COMES TO SOME OF THESE MEMORY NAMES.
Contexto
TOM THORTON TODAY, WHO SAID, I COVERED MOST OF MY SEMI-SHORTS TODAY AS WELL AS TESLA. THE SHORTS ARE DOING PRETTY WELL IF THEY SHORT AT THE RIGHT TIME WHEN IT COMES TO SOME OF THESE MEMORY NAMES.
I COVERED MOST OF MY SEMI-SHORTS TODAY AS WELL AS TESLA. THE SHORTS ARE DOING PRETTY WELL IF THEY SHORT AT THE RIGHT TIME WHEN IT COMES TO SOME OF THESE MEMORY NAMES.
Contexto
TOM THORTON TODAY, WHO SAID, I COVERED MOST OF MY SEMI-SHORTS TODAY AS WELL AS TESLA. THE SHORTS ARE DOING PRETTY WELL IF THEY SHORT AT THE RIGHT TIME WHEN IT COMES TO SOME OF THESE MEMORY NAMES.
Transcrição Completa
>> THIS IS "BLOOMBERG
BUSINESSWEEK DAILY," REPORTING FROM THE MAGAZINE
THAT HELPS BUSINESS LEADERS STAY AHEAD.
PLUS, GLOBAL BUSINESS, FINANCE, AND TECH NEWS AS IT HAPPENS.
WITH CAROL MASSAR AND TIM STENOVEC, LIVE ON BLOOMBERG
RADIO, TELEVISION, AND BLOOMBERG ORIGINALS. CAROL:
A VERY GOOD AFTERNOON, EVERYBODY. THERE IS A LOT GOING ON.
WE THINK IT IS THE RIGHT THING TO DO, THOUGH, AND HONORABLE
THING JUST TO TAKE YOU TO THE NATION'S CAPITAL RIGHT NOW.
THERE IS A SERVICE GETTING READY TO BE UNDERWAY AT THE
WASHINGTON NATIONAL CATHEDRAL. A LIVE SHOT RIGHT NOW.
FOR THOSE LISTENING ON THE RADIO, WE ARE SHOWING VICE
PRESIDENT JD VANCE, DONALD TRUMP, MEMBERS OF HIS CABINET.
SECRETARY OF STATE MARCO RUBIO IS THERE AS WELL, OBVIOUSLY
GATHERED THERE. THERE ARE SOME LEADERS IN TOWN
AS WELL. PRIME MINISTER NETANYAHU OF
ISRAEL IS SAID TO BE PLANNING TO ATTEND, SO WE WILL OBVIOUSLY
KEEP A WATCH ON THIS EVENT AND BRING YOU ANYTHING THAT NEEDS
TO BE BROUGHT TO YOUR ATTENTION. TIM:
THE TOPIC OF CONVERSATION ABOUT THE LIFE AND LEGACY OF THE LATE
SENATOR HAS BEEN HIS SUPPORT AS A HAWK OF SOME OF THE CONFLICTS
THE U.S. IS CURRENTLY INVOLVED IN, HIS
SUPPORT FOR THE STATE OF ISRAEL, HIS SUPPORT FOR
UKRAINE, AND HIS SUPPORT FOR THOSE WARS AT A TIME WHEN IN
THE PAST COUPLE OF YEARS, THERE HAD BEEN PRESSURE ON
REPUBLICANS NOT TO SUPPORT THE UKRAINIAN GOVERNMENT TO THE
SAME EXTENT IT HAD BEEN SUPPORTED. CAROL:
AT A LOT OF BIG ISSUES, AND YOU WONDER WHO SPEARHEADS THEM
GOING FORWARD. NEVERTHELESS, PRESIDENT TRUMP
AND VICE PRESIDENT JD VANCE AT THE WASHINGTON CATHEDRAL.
WE WANT TO GET YOU TO SOME OTHER THINGS HAPPENING THIS
TUESDAY, THE FED MEETING HAPPENING IN THE NATION'S
CAPITAL. A DECISION EXPECTED TOMORROW. TREASURY YIELDS ALSO DOWN
AFTER STRIKES STOPPED IN IRAN AND OIL PRICES ALSO DOWN. TIM: ON THE EQUITIES SIDE, WE ARE
WATCHING WHAT'S GOING ON WITH APPLE.
SHARES WERE HIGHER EARLIER, IN FACT, BECOMING THE SECOND
COMPANY TO HIT THE $5 TRILLION MARK.
THE KOREAN KOSPI DOWN MORE THAN 10% OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUED
PRESSURE. KIND OF THE SAME STORY OVER
AGAIN. CAROL: I DO FEEL THAT. WE WILL GET INTO THAT. WE WILL ALSO TALK ABOUT WHAT WE
GOT ON THE TERMINAL, CITADEL SECURITIES TALKING ABOUT A FED
RATE HIKE, UNEXPECTEDLY PERHAPS FROM AN FOMC TOMORROW.
WE WILL ALSO TALK ABOUT BUILDING OUT THE SPACE
INFRASTRUCTURE. GOT A GREAT CAST ON THAT. THEN A BIT OF A SPORTS CAST.
THE WORLD CUP IS OVER, BUT FIFA IS THINKING ABOUT MONEY. TIM:
AND IT IS REALLY CONTROVERSIAL. WE WILL SPEAK TO SOME FOLKS
ABOUT THAT. CAROL: BEFORE WE CHECK ON MARKETS,
SOMETHING WE WANT TO BRING TO YOUR ATTENTION, A NEW FEATURE
EXCLUSIVELY FOR BLOOMBERG.COM SUBSCRIBERS AND TERMINAL
CLIENTS. WE WOULD LOVE TO HAVE YOU
PARTICIPATE IN OUR WALL-TO-WALL COVERAGE OF SOME BIG TECH
EARNINGS. META PLATFORMS, QUALCOMM, AND
MICROSOFT THAT WE ARE GETTING. ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS SUBMIT
QUESTIONS FOR OUR TEAM OF ANALYSTS AND EXPERTS TO ANSWER
LIVE ON AIR. GO TO BLOOMBERG.COM/ASKRADIO.
EXCLUSIVE TO BLOOMBERG.COM SUBSCRIBERS AND TERMINAL
CLIENTS. AND THEN JUST LISTEN TO US. TIM:
CHECK OUT BLOOMBERG RADIO. YOU CAN WATCH ON BLOOMBERG
ORIGINALS. YOU CAN WATCH ON YOUTUBE.
THAT STARTS AT 4:00 P.M. TOMORROW. CAROL:
WE WANT YOU TO BE PART OF THE CONVERSATION SO WE ARE LOOKING
FORWARD TO YOU SENDING IN QUESTIONS.
LET'S GET TO THE MARKET TRADE ON THIS TUESDAY.
A LOT GOING ON FOR THE WRAP UP OF WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW. >> I THINK YOU GUYS CORRECTLY
IDENTIFIED ALL FOUR MAJOR THEMES FOR MARKETS.
THE SEMICONDUCTOR SELLOFF, THE PRICE OF OIL SLUMPING, AND ALSO
TECH EARNINGS, AND THE FED THIS TIME TOMORROW WE'LL FIND OUT
WHAT THEY DO AND WE WILL BE LOOKING FORWARD TO THE NEWS
CONFERENCE, KEVIN WARSH'S NEWS CONFERENCE, HIS SECOND COMING
UP. RIGHT TO THE NUMBERS, WE ARE LOOKING AT GAINS ON THE S&P 500
INDEX. AN INTERESTING DAY BECAUSE WE
STARTED OUT WITH THE S&P DOWN 30 POINTS, DOWN .4%.
RIGHT NOW LOOKING AT A GAIN OF .3%. THE S&P UP 21 AT 70 434.
THE DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE UP 594 POINTS.
SHERWIN-WILLIAMS LIFTING THE DOW TODAY.
THE NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX DOWN 31, A DROP OF .1 PERCENT.
WEAKNESS IN SEMIS. THE PHILADELPHIA STOCK EXCHANGE
SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX DOWN NOW BY 4.4%. ALL OF THIS WITH THE VIX
HOLDING ABOUT 18. THE TWO-YEAR 4.27%, THE
10-YEAR, FOUR POINT 6%, AND A 30-YEAR, 5.09%.
SPOT GOLD DOWN 1.9%. CRUDE HOLDING BELOW $80. BARELY BRENT, 84 DOLLARS $.15,
A DROP OF 4.8%. AMONG SOME OF THE CHIPMAKERS,
MACRON DOWN 8.9%. INTEL DOWN 5.4%.
AMG LOWER BUT SEVEN POINT 5%. NVIDIA BUCKING THE TREND, UP BY
.3%. CAROL: THANK YOU SO MUCH, CHARLIE
PELLETT. I THINK IT IS SAFE TO SAY THAT
INVESTORS CARE ABOUT TO THE BIG THINGS, WHAT WE GET FROM THE
FED TOMORROW AND ALSO THE AI TRADE, BUT WE WILL START WITH
TOMORROW'S FED DECISION. TIM:
SOME EXPECTATIONS THE FED WILL RAISE RATES THIS WEEK.
TRADERS, STILL PRICING IN AN UNUSUALLY HIGH AMOUNT OF
UNCERTAINTY ABOUT A POTENTIAL HIKE. CAROL: WE WILL SEE WHAT HAPPENS.
24 HOURS FROM NOW, WE WILL KNOW WHAT THE ECONOMY NEEDS OR
DESERVES WHEN IT COMES TO FED ACTIONS.
WE WANT TO BRING IN MICHAEL MCKEE, BLOOMBERG TELEVISION AND
RADIO INTERNATIONAL CORRESPONDENT.
HE IS IN THE WASHINGTON, D.C., BUREAU. TIM: HIS SECOND HOME.
CAROL: IF YOU LIKE IT OR NOT, IT IS.
HE WAS CONSUMER CONFIDENCE FELL IN JULY.
LET'S START FIRST WITH HOW THE U.S. ECONOMY IS DOING.
HOW IS IT? MIKE: THE U.S. ECONOMY IS DOING QUITE WELL,
CONSIDERING EVERYTHING WE HAVE BEEN THROUGH WHEN YOU START
ADDING UP THE SHOCKS TO THE ECONOMY.
WE HAVE SEEN A GROWTH HANG IN THERE. IT IS A LITTLE LOWER THIS
QUARTER, BUT IT HAS BEEN 2% OR A LITTLE BETTER FOR A WHILE.
WE ARE LOOKING AT INFLATION THAT IN THE LAST MONTH CAME
DOWN. WE CAN GET INTO THAT MORE IN
TERMS OF WHAT THE FED WILL DO, BUT OVERALL, BUSINESS SPENDING
IS STILL STRONG AND CONSUMER SPENDING IS HANGING IN THERE.
WHEN YOU THINK ABOUT EVERYTHING THAT HAS HAPPENED OVER THE LAST
COUPLE OF YEARS AND EVEN GO BACK TO COVID, IT'S AMAZING
THAT THE U.S. ECONOMY IS AS DYNAMIC AS IT IS.
TIM: WHY IS THAT? I WILL NOT SAY SO MANY THINGS
DID NOT TURN OUT THE WAY WE THOUGHT THEY WOULD -- CAROL:
PIXIE DUST. TIM: I DON'T KNOW, IS THAT WHAT IT
IS? WHAT IS IT ABOUT THE U.S. ECONOMY THAT MAKES IT SO
RESILIENT BACK IN MICHAEL: WE DON'T EXACTLY KNOW.
I WAS SPEAKING WITH A FORMER ATLANTA PRESIDENT WHO SAYS THAT
IS ONE OF THE THINGS THAT KEEPS HIM UP. HE WORRIES THAT CANNOT
CONTINUE, BUT HE CANNOT FIGURE OUT WHY IT IS HAPPENING SO HE
CANNOT FIGURE OUT WAYS IT WILL GO WRONG.
AS WE SPEND A LOT OF MONEY ON BUILDING OUT AI, YOU WILL HAVE
THAT BUSINESS SPENDING. THE QUESTION IS WHAT HAPPENS
WHEN THE BUILDING IS DONE AND AI COMPANIES HAVE TO SHOW
PROFITS? CAN THEY DO THAT? IF NOT, WHAT HAPPENS TO THE
STOCK MARKET? THEN WHAT HAPPENS TO CONSUMER
SPENDING IF STOCKS GO WAY DOWN? AND AT SOME POINT, DOES THE
MORE -- DOES THE LORE START TO INFLUENCE CONSUMER SPENDING?
CAROL: CITADEL EXPECTS THE FED TO RAISE RATES TOMORROW IN A
SURPRISE MOVE, STRENGTHENING KEVIN WARSH'S CREDIBILITY IN
THE BATTLE WITH INFLATION. HOW OFTEN DO NEW SHARE -- NEW
CHAIRS WANT TO COME IN AND SHOW THAT THEY ARE IN CHARGE EARLY
ON IN THEIR TENURE, AND IS IT IMPORTANT FOR THEM TO DO
SOMETHING TO SAY, I'M IN CONTROL, I'VE GOT THIS KIND OF
THING? MICHAEL: THERE'S A CERTAIN KIND OF
IMPORTANCE TO MAKING THAT IMPRESSION.
I DON'T THINK ANY OF THE PREVIOUS FED CHAIR'S WOULD SAY
I CAME IN AND RAISE RATES BECAUSE IT WAS IMPORTANT TO
SHOW THAT I HAVE CREDIBILITY, BUT IT IS A HISTORICAL FACT
THAT PAUL VOLCKER RAISED RATES TWO MONTHS INTO HIS TERM. BEN BERNANKE AND JAY POWELL
RAISED RATES A MONTH INTO THEIR TERM. ALAN GREENSPAN AS WELL.
EXCEPT FOR JANET YELLEN, WHO INHERITED RATES ALREADY A ZERO
-- AT ZERO, THERE HAS BEEN A TRADITION OF EARLY RATE MOVES
BY FED CHAIRS. AS A MATTER OF FACT, THE STORY
IS THAT WHEN ALAN GREENSPAN FIRST RAISED RATES AT HIS
SECOND MEETING, PAUL VOLCKER SENT HIM A NOTE THAT SAID,
CONGRATULATIONS, YOU ARE A REAL CENTRAL BANKER AND OUT. TIM: THE QUESTION IS -- DOES KEVIN
WARSH BECOME A REAL CENTRAL BANKER TOMORROW? MICHAEL:
IT'S A REALLY OPEN QUESTION. ALL MEETINGS ARE ALIVE AS ANY
FED OFFICIAL WILL TELL YOU, BUT THIS ONE PERHAPS MORE THAN
OTHERS BECAUSE THERE IS AN INFLATION PROBLEM OUT THERE AND
WE DON'T KNOW WHERE WE ARE GOING WITH THIS.
WHAT DOES THE FED DO -- LOOK THROUGH IT OR THINK THAT THIS
COULD DEVOLVE INTO A FURTHER INFLATION PROBLEM?
AT THE SAME TIME, YOU HAVE KEVIN WARSH WHO IS NEW ON THE
JOB BUT HAS MADE IT CLEAR THAT INFLATION IS ENEMY NUMBER ONE
AND NEEDS TO BE SLAIN. THERE'S ALSO AN ANGLE THAT SOME
PEOPLE HAVE POINTED OUT THAT IF YOU RAISE THE SHORT RATE, THAT
EASES SOME FEARS ABOUT INFLATION GETTING OUT OF
CONTROL OR BEING AROUND FOR TOO LONG, AND LONG RATES COME DOWN,
WHICH WOULD BRING MORTGAGE RATES DOWN AND THAT WAS IN
THEORY MAKE THE PRESIDENT HAPPY AND TAKE THAT OFF THE TABLE. THERE ARE A LOT OF MOVING PARTS
HERE. SOMEONE ASKED ME TODAY, HOLD OR
HIKE? I SAID YES. CAROL: WELL DONE, AS ALWAYS.
WE LOOK FORWARD TO YOUR COVERAGE TOMORROW ON THE FED
DECISION. WE MENTIONED AT THE TOP A
COUPLE OF THINGS CERTAINLY ON OUR MIND.
WE HAVE BEEN WATCHING THE NASDAQ 100 TRADING THEIR
CORRECTION AS THE SELLOFF IN SEMICONDUCTOR STOCKS TURNED A
LITTLE UGLY WITH INVESTORS ONCE AGAIN QUESTIONING THE AMOUNT OF
MONEY THAT BIG TECH IS SPENDING WHEN IT COMES TO AI. TIM:
SHARES OF MICRON RIGHT NOW DOWN MORE THAN 9% JUST IN TODAY'S
TRADE. SANDISK ALSO UNDER PRESSURE.
I WANT TO BRING IN OUR THIRD ANCHOR AT "BUSINESSWEEK DAILY."
CAROL: MY HUSBAND SAID YESTERDAY,
WHERE'S MANDEEP? TIM: GOT A NOTE FROM TOM THORTON
TODAY, WHO SAID, I COVERED MOST OF MY SEMI-SHORTS TODAY AS WELL
AS TESLA. THE SHORTS ARE DOING PRETTY
WELL IF THEY SHORT AT THE RIGHT TIME WHEN IT COMES TO SOME OF
THESE MEMORY NAMES. MANDEEP: THEY ARE, BUT WHEN YOU LOOK AT
THE INDEX, IT IS UP MORE THAN 30% IN THE LAST MONTH.
THERE'S ALWAYS POINTS WHEN YOU WILL SEE SOME CONSOLIDATION,
SOME SIDEWAYS MOVEMENT, AND FUNDAMENTALLY, WHEN YOU LOOK AT
THE EARNINGS THAT HAVE COME SO FAR, AND WE WILL LEARN MORE
THIS WEEK, ALPHABET POINTED TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE RAISING THE CAPEX, SO IT IS A POSITIVE
OVERALL FOR THE SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX.
EVERYONE HAS TALKED ABOUT HOW THERE ARE SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS.
TO ME, NOTHING HAS CHANGED FUNDAMENTALLY, BUT THE MARKET
IS ALWAYS LOOKING AHEAD, SNIFFING FOR WHAT COULD GO
WRONG DOWN THE LINE, AND THAT'S WHAT WE SEE. CAROL:
PREPPING FOR THIS, WE WOULD LIKE, HE'S GOING TO BE LIKE,
I'VE ANSWERED THIS QUESTION A MILLION TIMES. TIM:
MAYBE TOMORROW YOU WILL ANSWER IT, TOO. CAROL:
WHAT WOULD POSSIBLY SAY TO YOU NOW THERE IS A PROBLEM? MANDEEP:
EVEN IF THE COMPANIES THAT ARE REPORTING DO NOT RAISE THEIR
CAPEX, TO ME, THAT IS A NEGATIVE.
BECAUSE OF THE MEMORY PRICE INCREASES, EVERY COMPANY HAS TO
RAISE THEIR CAPEX TARGETS JUST TO ACCOUNT FOR HOW MUCH THE
MEMORY PRICES HAVE GONE UP. THEY ARE NOT RAISING THEIR
CAPEX, THAT IS A SIGN THEY ARE CUTTING SOMEWHERE ELSE.
THAT IN ITSELF IS A NEGATIVE INDICATOR THAT THEY ARE HOLDING
THEMSELVES BACK. WHY IS THAT? IS IT BECAUSE THEY ARE NOT ABLE
TO TRADE THE LATEST MODEL OR THERE IS SOMETHING MORE TO IT?
TIM: WHICH COMPANY DO YOU THINK WILL
BE FIRST TO HOLD OR CUT? MANDEEP:
META TO ME LOOKS LIKE THEY DO NOT STILL HAVE A CLOUD MODEL,
BUT EXPECTATIONS ARE THERE GOING THAT ROUTE.
IF THEY COME OUT AND SAY THEY ALREADY HAVE A CUSTOMER, THEY
ARE LOOKING FOR ANTHROPIC TO USE THEIR COMPUTER, THAT IT IS
-- THAT IS A POSITIVE SIGN. ALSO, THERE WILL BE MORE
DETAILS AROUND THEIR OWN MODEL, THE MUS MODEL -- WITH ALL THIS
NEWS THIS WEEK, IT FEELS LIKE THERE IS A LOT OF MOMENTUM THAT
SUDDENLY IS BEHIND THE CHINESE OPEN SOURCE MODELS.
WHAT THAT WILL MEAN FOR THE OVERALL ECOSYSTEM WE STILL HAVE
TO DISCERN. CAROL: THE AI CIRCULAR FINANCING
FEARS, IS THAT LEGIT? SHOULD WE BE CONCERNED ABOUT
THAT EVERY TIME WE BRING UP THAT DIAGRAM? MANDEEP:
ABSOLUTELY. THERE'S NO DENYING THE FACT
THAT NVIDIA WITH THEIR BIG BALANCE SHEET IS BACKSTOPPING A
LOT OF THIS BUILDOUT. OPENAI DOES NOT HAVE A BALANCE
SHEET LIKE THEY DO, SO THEY NEED
HYPERSCALE SUPPORT OR THEY NEED NVIDIA'S SUPPORT TO SAY EVEN
THOUGH YOU ARE BUYING CHIPS FROM US, I'M BACKSTOPPING THE
USE. IF NOBODY IS THERE, I’M GOING
TO BACKSTOP IT. CAROL: WHY DON’T THEY JUST TAP
INVESTMENT MARKETS TO DO THAT? MANDEEP:
THE COST OF CAPITAL FOR OPENAI WOULD BE WAY MORE THAN WHAT
GOOGLE IS PAYING, WHICH IS MORE LIKE 10%.
AND THE RETURN GOOGLE HAS TO EARN IS MORE LIKE 20% TO SAY
IT’S A GOOD INVESTMENT. FOR OPENAI, THE BAR WILL BE
MUCH HIGHER, SO THAT’S WHY THE COST OF CAPITAL MATTERS HERE.
CAROL: OK, INTERESTING. TIM: I’M LOOKING AT SHARES OF
MICRON, DOWN ABOUT 30% GOING BACK TO JUNE 25. CAROL:
IN A MONTH. TIM: OVER THAT TIME, IT’S DOWN.
CAROL: HOW MUCH IS IT UP THIS YEAR?
TIM: THIS YEAR, UP 185%. BUT THE THING IS, IT’S STARTING
TO LOOK LIKE THE SAME SHAPE THAT WE SAW PRE-COVID, GOING
INTO COVID, AND THEN POST-COVID, WHERE THINGS REVERT
TO NORMAL. MANDEEP: THE BIG RISK FACTOR, WITH ALL
THESE INVESTMENTS, THERE’S ALWAYS ONE BIG RISK FACTOR.
IN THE CASE OF APPLE, IT HAS SO MUCH WEIGHT WHEN IT COMES TO
CONSUMER DEVICES. IF THEY’RE ABLE TO QUALIFY ONE
OF THE CHINESE PROCEDURES, THEN THAT’S A BIG THREAT TO ALL
THESE MEMORY PLAYERS, BECAUSE NOT ONLY YOU’VE GOT A PROVIDER
AND THEN YOU’VE GOT THE LARGEST CONSUMER HARDWARE COMPANY
LOOKING TO USE THAT. TIM: IS THAT A REAL THREAT TO THE
BIG THREE? MANDEEP: I THINK SO. BUT WHAT WE HAVE LEARNED SO FAR
IS BECAUSE THERE IS SUCH A BIG SUPPLY-DEMAND MISMATCH, THESE
COMPANIES COULD ALLOCATE A LOT MORE OF THEIR WORDS THAN THE
CONVENTIONAL DRAM. TIM: HIGH PERFORMANCE COMPUTING.
MANDEEP: AND HIGH BANDWIDTH MEMORY, YEAH.
BUT DRAM IS WHERE THEY’RE GETTING ALL THEIR PRICING LIFT.
TIM: WHAT DOES THAT MEAN FOR THE CONSUMER SIDE OF THINGS?
APPLE SAYING A FEW MONTHS AGO THAT IT’S RAISING PRICES ON
THIS STUFF. THAT’S HERE TO STAY. MANDEEP:
THAT IS HERE TO STAY, AS LONG AS THEY’RE RELYING ON A MICRON
AND SK HYNIX OR DRAM. REMEMBER, APPLE DOESN’T NEED IT
RIGHT NOW. THEY’RE NOT BUILDING DATA
CENTERS. THEY NEED MEMORY CHIPS FOR
THEIR SMARTPHONES, AND THEY JUST NEED THE DRAM.
SO DRAM IS WHAT HAS GONE UP IN PRICES, PARTLY BECAUSE OF ALL
THE WAFERS THAT ARE NEEDED FOR HBM.
SO THERE ARE A LOT OF MOVING PARTS TO THIS, BUT CXMT IS A
PLAYER THAT SELLS DRAM. THE MODIFIESED MEMORY CHIPS.
CAROL: WE’VE ONLY GOT 20 SECONDS, BUT
SHOULD WE BE WATCHING WHAT CHINA IS DOING? MANDEEP:
ABSOLUTELY. ON THE OPEN WEIGHT MODEL SIDE,
EVERYONE WROTE THEM OFF, AND SUDDENLY THEY’VE GOT THE
SUPPORT OF HUNDRED-PLUS COMPANIES HERE IN THE U.S.
SAYING WE WANT TO SUPPORT CHINESE OPEN MODELS. CAROL:
WILD, WILD. THANK YOU FOR COMING BACK.
I KNOW WE ASK THE SAME QUESTIONS, BUT WE NEED YOU. TIM:
WE’LL SEE YOU TOMORROW. CAROL: WE WILL, WE HOPEMENT MANDEEP
SINGH OF BLOOMBERG INTELLIGENCE. CHARLIE:
WE DO CHECK MARKETS I’M DAY LONG HERE AT BLOOMBERG.
THE DOW, S&P, THEY ARE BOTH HIGHER.
WE’VE GOT NASDAQ AND THE NASDAQ 100 INDEX, WE’LL THROW IN THE
RUSSELL 2000, ALL IN THE RED. A SELLOFF IN SEMIS IS
CONTINUING WITH THE SOX, THE PHILADELPHIA STOCK EXCHANGE
SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX, DOWN BY 4.6%.
THE NASDAQ 100 INDEX DOWN .9%. NASDAQ COMPOSITE DOWN .2%.
BUT THE S&P 500 INDEX REVERSING EARLIER LOSSES, HOLDING ON TO A
17-POINT GAIN NOW, UP BY .2%. DOW INDUSTRIALS UP 555, UP BY
1.1%. SHERWIN WILLIAMS LEADING THE
DOW HIGHER. THE BLOOMBERG MAG 7 INDEX UP BY
.8%, JUST AHEAD OF EARNINGS FROM FOUR OF THE SEVEN MEMBERS
COMING UP TOMORROW AND THURSDAY. THE V.I.X.
ABOVE 18 WITH A TWO-YEAR YIELDING 4.27%.
THE 10-YEAR, 4.60%. AND YOUR 30-YEAR AT 5.09%.
GOLD AT 4,028 AN OUNCE. SPOT GOLD DOWN 1.2%.
WEST TEXAS INTERMEDIATE CRUDE SLUMPING 4.4%.
BARREL OF BRENT, 83.89. BRENT CRUDE DOWN BY 5%.
SPACEX SHARES BOUNCING BACK TODAY AFTER TEMPORARILY RAISING
A FIFTH OF THEIR VALUE FROM THE RECORD-SETTING DEBUT OF ELON
MUSK’S COMPANY. SPACEX SHARES RIGHT NOW, YOU’LL
RECALL, THEY DID GO PUBLIC AT 135. SPACEX SHARES NOW AT $116. SPACEX TODAY UP BY 2.8%.
RECAPPING, S&P 500 INDEX UP 19, A GAIN OF .3%.
FOR ON-DEMAND NEWS 24 HOURS A DAY, SUBSCRIBE TO BLOOMBERG
NEWS NOW WHEREVER YOU GET YOUR PODCASTS. I’M CHARLIE PELLETT.
TIM AND CAROL, THAT’S A BLOOMBERG BUSINESS FLASH. CAROL:
CHARLIE, APPRECIATE IT. FOLKS, WE’VE BEEN WATCHING
SHARES OF ROCKET COMPANIES. THEY’VE BEEN UNDER PRESSURE,
NAMES INCLUDING INTUITIVE MACHINES, ROCKET LABS, AND RED
WIRE AMONG THOSE LOSING GROUND TODAY. THIS IS HAPPENING AS ELON
MUSK’S SPACEX SHARES HAVE DROPPED 20% BELOW THEIR INITIAL
PUBLIC OFFERING PRICE OF $135 A SHARE.
SO ERASING ROUGHLY 1/5 OF THEIR VALUE.
FOR THOSE WATCHING ON YOUTUBE AND TV AND BLOOMBERG ORIGINALS,
YOU CAN SEE JUST AFTER THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS OF
TRADING, WHERE THE STOCK SHOT UP. WE HAVE BEEN IS SHELY IN A
DOWNWARD MOVE HERE. SPACEX SHARES I SHOULD MENTION
BOUNCING AROUND TODAY, THEY’RE UP A LITTLE BIT MORE THAN 2%,
BUT THEY WERE DOWN EARLIER IN THE SESSION. TIM:
JOINING US ON SET TO TALK ABOUT THIS, THE C.E.O.
OF NEBX, THE MARKET INFRASTRUCTURE PLATFORM FOR THE
GLOBAL SPACE ECONOMY. GOOD TO HAVE YOU BACK ON THE
PROGRAM. LAST TIME YOU WERE WITH US, YOU
WERE C.E.O. OF AXIOM SPACE, SO A JOB SWITCH.
BUT YOU’RE STAYING IN THE SPACE SPACE, JUST MAKING SURE. >> SPACE SPACE, YOU GOT ME. TIM:
OTHER TOP-TIER VENTURE FUNDS INCLUDING A BANKING
RELATIONSHIP WITH J.P. MORGAN. WHAT ARE YOU SETTING OUT TODAY
THAT YOU WEREN’T ABLE TO DO AT AXIOM? >> THANK YOU FOR HAVING ME BACK.
WE MET A FEW TIMES, ALWAYS LOVED OUR CONVERSATIONS.
I FEEL LIKE I REMEMBER VIVIDLY YOUR STORY ABOUT YOUR FATHER,
THE GENERAL CONNECTION WE ALL HAVE FOR SPACE.
REALLY COOL TO BE HEARING YOU TALK ABOUT VARIOUS SPACE
STOCKS, SPEAKING EING LIKE IT’S A REAL ECONOMY.
IT’S NOT A REAL ECONOMY YET OR A REAL ASSET CLASS YET. TIM:
WHY NOT? >> SPACEX, THE LARGEST I.P.O.,
VERY EXCITING, DOING WHAT PUBLIC STOCKS DO, AND THIEF
CREATED A TON OF VALUE. THE QUESTION I WOULD ASK IS WHY
IS THERE NO REMOTELY CLOSE SECOND PLACE?
EVERY OTHER SECTOR, I KNOW THE PREVIOUS GUEST WAS TALKING
ABOUT A.I., RIGHT? 20 YEARS AGO, IT MIGHT HAVE
BEEN SEARCH OR CLOUD OR MOBILE. IN EVERY MAJOR REVOLUTION WHERE
THERE’S HUGE VALUE CREATED, THERE’S MULTIPLE MASSIVE
WINNERS, RIGHT? LOOK AT THE BIG FOUR, YOU KNOW,
WE USED TO TALK ABOUT IT A WHILE AGO, THERE’S ALWAYS OTHER
ONES. TIM: BUT LAUNCHING A ROCKET AND THEN
LANDING IT ON A BARGE, WHICH, YOU KNOW, SEVEN YEARS AGO WAS A
BIG DEAL, BUT NOWADAYS IT HAPPENS SO FREQUENTLY, WE DON’T
EVEN NECESSARILY SHOW IT. THAT’S A PRETTY BIG MOAT. >> ABSOLUTELY.
BUT AGAIN, WHY IS THERE ONLY ONE THAT’S BEEN DOING IT?
I THINK THIS IS WHERE NEX X COMES IN.
WE A BELIEF THIS IS A MAJOR TRANSFORMATION FOR INDUSTRY AND
CIVILIZATION. WE’RE BUILDING WHAT WE CALL THE
COMMERCIAL RAILS TO GO ON THE PHYSICAL RAILS, THE PHYSICAL
RAILS BEING THE ROCKETS THAT GO UP AND DOWN.
WE’VE SEEN THIS OVER AND OVER AGAIN, PARTICULARLY IN NEW YORK
QUITE A BIT. WHEN THE RAILROADS WERE BUILT,
THREE GENTLEMEN IN BUFFALO, NEW YORK, CREATED AMERICAN EXPRESS
TO GUARANTEE GOLD. WHEN THEY REALIZED THEY’RE
GUARANTEEING IT FROM ROBBERS AND GANGS LIKE JESSE JAMES,
THEY REALIZED THEY DON’T ACTUALLY HAVE TO SEND THE GOAL,
AND THAT WAS AMERICAN EXPRESS IN TRAVELERS CHECKS. J.P.
MORGAN, 1871, STANDARDIZES THE SHIPPING CONTAINERS, THE FIRST
LETTERS OF CREDIT BETWEEN GLOBAL BANKS, GUARANTEEING
TRADE. SO WE’VE SEEN THIS TIME AND
TIME AGAIN, BUT IN SPACE, EVERYONE HAS BEEN FOCUSED ON
THE HARDWARE, THE PHYSICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.
WHEN WE TALK ABOUT INFRASTRUCTURE, A LAUNCH A DAY
IS INFRASTRUCTURE. LAUNCHING GIANT ROCKETS AND
LANDING ON A BARGE EXACTLY ON THEIR X LOGO, THAT’S INCREDIBLE
INFRASTRUCTURE. TENS OF THOUSANDS OF SATELLITES
IN ORBIT, THAT’S INFRASTRUCTURE. EVERY OTHER COMPANY IS PUTTING
UP DEMOS, SO WE FEEL THERE’S THIS WIDE-OPEN SPACE RIGHT NOW
FOR A COMPANY TO BRING THE REST OF THE ECONOMY ALONG.
ONCE THOSE RAILS ARE SET GOING UP AND DOWN, WHAT’S THE NEXT
TRAVELERS CHECK? WHAT’S THE NEXT SHIPPING
CONTAINER? WHAT’S THE NEXT TRADING
PLATFORM THAT ALLOWS AN ECONOMY TO SCALE? CAROL:
THE OTHER THING I WOULD SAY WITH SPACE IS, YOU WANT TO MAKE
SURE THERE AREN’T PROBLEMS, IT’S COMPLICATED, IT’S
DIFFICULT. I ALWAYS THINK ABOUT MY DAD.
HE WOULD HAVE BEEN BLOWN AWAY BY THE IDEA THAT YOU COULD
ACTUALLY BRING A ROCKET BACK AND MAKE IT LAND, BECAUSE
THAT’S NOT THE CASE WHEN HE WAS DOING IT.
SO THERE ARE REGULATIONS TO MAKE SURE THINGS ARE SAFE AND
SECURE. LIVES CERTAINLY AT STAKE IN
THIS CONCEPT OF BUILDING OUT SPACE AS A PLACE FOR PEOPLE TO
LIVE OR DATA CENTERS TO EXIST. WHAT DOES IT TAKE IN TERMS OF
INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AMONG ENTITIES, COMPANIES, AND THEN
THE FINANCIAL ENTITIES? >> YEAH, AND AGAIN, WE’VE SEEN THIS IN OTHER AREAS, AVIATION
FROM THE WRIGHT BROTHERS GOING FROM LINDBERGH TO PARIS.
WE SAW WITHIN A FEW YEARS AIR SHOWS EVERYWHERE.
THE WARS HAVING MULTIPLE AIR FORCES, AND WITHIN A RUN YEARS,
THAT COMPLETELY CHANGED OUR LIFE.
THE INTERESTING THING ABOUT SPACE, AND I DISCOVERED THIS IN
MY PREVIOUS ROLE, I’M NEW TO THE GOOGLE, IT WAS MY CHILDHOOD
DREAM TO SEND ASTRAZENECA THOUGHTS TO SPACE.
I TOOK MY SHOT, SENT 16 ASTRONAUTS TO SPACE, 12
SOVEREIGN NATIONS, BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF REVENUE.
AGAIN, ALL AS AN OUTSIDER. AS SPECIAL AS I BELIEVE I AM,
AS SPECIAL AS MY PARENTS THINK IT IS.
THERE ARE EIGHT BILLION SPECIAL PEOPLE IN THE WORLD, WHY IS
NOBODY ELSE CRACKING THIS CODE? I THINK WE UNCOVERED RIGHT
UNDER OUR NOSE A GOLD MINE, WHICH IS LITERALLY THE ONLY
INDUSTRY LEFT ON THE PLANET THAT HASN’T BEEN TOUCHED BY
MODERN FINANCE. AND THERE’S A GEOPOLITICAL
HISTORY BEHIND THIS. BACK IN YOUR FATHER’S TIME, THE
SPACE RACE, JOHN F. CONDITION DE, WE ABOUT TO THE
BOND, NOT BECAUSE THEY’RE EASY, BUT THEY’RE HARD.
I THINK WE ALL GET GOOSE BUMPS. THAT’S THE OTHER ENGINE STORY,
SPACE AND THE UNITED STATES. AT THAT SAME TIME, SCHOOLS WERE
TRAINED TO GET UNDER THEIR DESK. IT WAS AN ARMED RACE, AND
EVERYTHING CAME OUT OF THAT AND ORIGINALLY THE FIRST
COLLABORATION BETWEEN THOSE TWO SPACE SUPERSTARS WAS WHAT
EVENTUALLY BECAME THE INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION.
AND TO REMOVE COMPLEXITY AND POLITICS FROM IT, THEY DECIDED
NO MONEY WILL EXCHANGE HANDS, AND IT WORKED. AND IT WORKED. NOW WITH A COMPANY LIKE SPACEX
AND STARLINK AND STARSHIP, WE NEED FINANCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
TO MODERNIZE THE INDUSTRY. CAROL:
WE ONLY HAVE FOUR MINUTES OR SO LEFT, SO I WANT TO GET TO WHAT
YOU PLAN TO DO IN THE DEALS AS THIS PLATFORM GETS UP AND
RUNNING. I ALWAYS BELIEVE THAT IF THERE
IS MONEY TO BE MADE, MONEY WILL GO THERE.
YOU STARTED OFF SAYING, WHY ARE THERE NOT LARGER COMPETITORS TO
SPACEX? IF THE MONEY HAS NOT GONE THERE
ALREADY, MAYBE IT HAS NOT GONE THERE FOR GOOD REASONING, AND
MAYBE YOU NEED TO HAVE IT CONCENTRATED IN ONE HANDS OR
GOVERNMENT STILL CONTROLLING A LOT OF STUFF. >> I THINK YOU NAILED IT.
I DON'T THINK IT IS CAUSE AND EFFECT.
IF YOU FOLLOW THE DOLLARS, IT IS A MASSIVE MARKET TODAY.
LAST TIME I WAS HERE, WE SPOKE ABOUT PHARMACEUTICALS AND SPACE
MANUFACTURING. THAT IS VISION.
WE CAN LOOK AT EXACT NUMBERS IN 2026. WE CAN FOLLOW THE DOLLARS,
WHICH IS WHAT WE ALL SHOULD BE DOING, AND EVERY DOLLAR GOES
BACK TO MAKE GOVERNMENT BUDGET. THE BEAUTY OF GOVERNMENT
BUDGETS IS THEY WERE APPROPRIATED FIVE YEARS AGO.
THE BEAUTY OF GOVERNMENT BUDGETS IS IT IS PUBLICLY
AVAILABLE DATA. THE EXACT DOLLAR AMOUNT THAT
WAS TRANSACTED IN 2026 IS $137.4 BILLION, SO WE KNOW THAT
THAT IS A MASSIVE MARKET NOW. SO THERE IS NO GUESSWORK THERE.
IT IS COMING FROM GOVERNMENT BUDGETS. THE REASON IT HAS NOT ACCELERATED IS BECAUSE IT HAS
BEEN A SOVEREIGN TO SOVEREIGN BUSINESS, AND NOW WITH
COMMERCIAL SUPPLY, IT IS CHANGING. TIM:
WHO ARE YOUR FIRST CUSTOMERS GOING TO BE? >> WE ARE A FINANCIAL EXCHANGE
CROSS-BORDER FOR SPACE TRANSACTIONS.
WHEN GOVERNMENTS NEED TO BUT COMMERCIAL SUPPLY FROM ANOTHER
COUNTRY, IT GETS COMPLICATED, AND BASICALLY, THAT IS EVERY
SINGLE SPACE TRANSACTION. IMPORT/EXPORT. TAXES, TARIFFS, POLITICS,
POLICY , PROCUREMENT RULES. FOR MANY EUROPEAN COUNTRIES,
MONEY CANNOT ACTUALLY LEAVE THEIR BORDERS.
THEY INVOKE WHAT THEY CALL THE BARTER SYSTEM -- THERE'S NO
REAL BARTER SYSTEM, BUT IT IS SOME SORT OF VALUE IN KIND
BILATERAL TRADE THAT AGENCIES WILL DO.
THERE IS NO NEUTRAL CENTRAL CLEARING SETTLEMENT SYSTEM FOR
THESE DEALS, WHICH FORCES EVERY DEAL TO BE BILATERAL AND
SEQUENTIAL. THERE IS NO PARALLEL PROCESSING.
WHEN COMPANIES ARE GOING AFTER GOVERNMENT CONTRACTS, THEY HAVE
IN THE CONTRACT, GET THEIR PAYMENT, HIT THEIR NEXT
MILESTONE -- CAROL: HOW DO YOU TAKE THE POLITICS
OUT IN A WORLD WHERE GEOPOLITICS DOES DETERMINE WHO
YOU SELL WHAT TO, AND IT IS HEIGHTENED IN THE SENSITIVITY. FORGIVE US, WE ONLY HAVE 30
SECONDS. >> I CAN ANSWER IN 15 SECONDS.
WHEN I WORKED AT GOOGLE, I HAVE NEVER SPOKEN TO A WORLD LEADER
BEFORE. IN A SPACE, YOU DEAL WITH
PRESIDENTS AND RUN MINISTERS. I DON'T EVEN PRETEND TO SAY I
UNDERSTAND POLITICS, BUT WE HAVE THE MOST MISSION VEHICLE
AS HUMANS TO SOLVE THAT IN MARKETS. SO, CAPITAL MARKETS.
YOU MENTIONED THE RELATIONSHIP WITH J.P. MORGAN.
IN THIS TIME WARP THAT HAS BECOME SPACE, THE SPACE
BUSINESS IS STUCK IN 1969. THIS BUILDING IS A COUPLE OF
BILLION DOLLARS. THE BANKERS WHO FINANCE THIS
GET PAID IN TRANSACTION FEES, ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT.
YOU CANNOT GET THE DAY -- THE TIME OF DAY OF ANY WALL STREET
BANKER TO FINANCE IT. DOING IT AT SCALE, BRINGING
CAPITAL MARKETS IN MAKES IT A MONEY PROBLEM, NOT A POLITICS
PROBLEM. CAROL: GLAD TO HAVE YOU BACK.
COME BACK SOONER. LET'S NOT WAIT A YEAR OR SO.
AS WE HAD TO BREAK, WE WANT TO TAKE YOU TO THE NATION'S
CAPITAL, WASHINGTON, D.C., AND THE NATIONAL CATHEDRAL.
PRESIDENT TRUMP CURRENTLY GIVING THE EULOGY FOR SENATOR
LINDSEY GRAHAM. THIS SERVICE AND FUNERAL BEING
HEARD. AS WE GOT A BREAK, YOU CAN
FOLLOW THIS, JUST HAD TO LIVE GO -- JUST HEAD TO LIVE GO.
THIS IS BLOOMBERG. CHARLIE: IT IS TO:
40 ON WALL STREET. WE DO CHECK MARKETS ALL DAY
LONG. STOCKS ARE HIGHER, OIL IS
MOVING LOWER, AND CHIPS ARE SELLING OFF .
THE PHILADELPHIA STOCK EXCHANGE SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX NOW DOWN
4.6%. THE NASDAQ 100 INDEX DOWN .9%.
THE NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX DOWN .2%. S&P KEEPING IT ALL IN CONTEXT,
UP .2%, AND THE DOW IS UP 560 POINTS, A GAIN OF 1.1%.
DOW INDUSTRIALS GETTING A LIFT FROM EARNINGS FROM
SHERWIN-WILLIAMS PEER THE BLOOMBERG MAG 7 INDEX UP .6%.
WE WILL HEAR FROM FOUR OUT OF THE SEVEN MEMBERS IN THE NEXT
TWO DAYS. THE TWO-YEAR YIELDING 4.27%
WHILE THE 10-YEAR YIELDING 4.6 0%. SPOT GOLD DOWN $52 AN OUNCE.
THE PRECIOUS METAL DOWN 1.3 PERCENT.
WEST TEXAS INTERMEDIATE CRUDE HOLDING BELOW $80.
IT IS DOWN 4.1%. EARNINGS NEWS, COCA-COLA HAS
RAISED ITS FULL YEAR OUTLOOK, BOLSTERED BY DEMAND LAST
QUARTER WHILE IT SERVED AS A MAJOR SPONSOR FOR THE FIFA
WORLD CUP. WE'RE LOOKING AT COCA-COLA
SHARES ADVANCING BY FOUR POINT 4% NOW.
ARRIVAL PEPSICO IS TRADING HIGHER AS WELL, UP BY ONE .8%.
UNITED PARCEL SERVICE BOOSTED SALES GUIDANCE FOR THE YEAR TO
ABOUT 91.2 BILLION DOLLARS, UP FROM A PRIOR FORECAST OF $89.7
BILLION. FOR ON DEMAND NEWS 24 HOURS A
DAY, SUBSCRIBE TO BLOOMBERG NEWS NOW WHEREVER YOU GET YOUR
PODCASTS. CAROL: THE FANS ARE BARELY BACK HOME.
SOME OF THEM ARE STILL PLAYING AROUND IN THESE GREAT CITIES.
TIM: TIM BURCHETT IS STILL SELLING.
MY DAUGHTER IS WEARING ARGENTINA TODAY. CAROL:
THE WORLD CUP IS DEFINITELY STILL A NEWSMAKER, NO DOUBT
ABOUT IT. CHARLIE TALKED ABOUT COCA-COLA
BOLSTERING DEMAND LAST QUARTER WHILE IT SERVED AS A MAJOR
SPONSOR OF THE FIFA WORLD CUP. TIM AND THERE'S THIS, FIFA
PLANNING TO RAISE AS MUCH AS $1.2 BILLION FROM FOREIGN
INVESTORS AS IT OPENS ITSELF TO OUTSIDE INVESTMENT.
I DID NOT EVEN KNOW THAT ONE COULD PERHAPS INVEST IN
FOOTBALL'S GOVERNING BODY. CAROL:
ARE YOU GOING TO SELL YOUR CRYPTO AND GO IN DEBT? TIM:
I'M STAYING RIGHT HERE. CAROL: BLOOMBERG NEWS SPORTS BUSINESS
REPORTER JOINS US NOW. SHE IS COHOST OF THE BUSINESS
OF SPORTS PODCAST. SHE IS HERE IN STUDIO, AND ALSO WITH US IS
BRENDA WILLIAMS, ANOTHER COHOST OF THE BUSINESS OF SPORTS
PODCAST. THANK YOU SO MUCH. RANDALL, YOU'RE IN D.C..
WE WILL GET TO THAT IN A MOMENT, BUT I WANT TO GET TO
WHAT IS GOING ON HERE. FIFA PITCHING TO OUTSIDE
INVESTORS. I THINK WE JUST KIND OF ASSUMED
OUTSIDE INVEST -- OUTSIDE INVESTORS WERE INVOLVED. TIM:
I THOUGHT IT WAS THE OPPOSITE. I THOUGHT IT WAS A GOVERNING
BODY SUPPORTED BY ITS MEMBERS. >> THAT IS EXACTLY WHAT FIFA IS
SUPPOSED TO BE. IT IS A NONPROFIT, A GOVERNING
BODY. THEY ARE SUPPOSED TO SUPPORT
THEIR 211 MEMBERS. CAROL: I GUESS I'M USED TO
AMERICANIZED SPORTS. >> THAT'S EXACTLY WHAT PLAYS
INTO IT. THEY JUST CUT THE WORLD CUP IN
THE U.S.. GIANNI INFANTINO IS A CLOSE
FRIEND TO TRUMP. ONE OF THE OTHER INVESTORS IS
CLOSELY RELATED TO THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION IN A WAY. CAROL:
HE IS THE BROTHER-IN-LAW -- HE'S THE BROTHER OF THE
SON-IN-LAW OF THE PRESIDENT. >> RIGHT. THEY HAVE THIS IDEA TO -- THIS
HAD BEEN IN THE WORKS A LITTLE BIT, BUT THEY HAD THIS IDEA TO HAVE A FOUR-PROFIT --
FOR-PROFIT PART. CAROL: MONEY IN SPORTS?
HOW COULD THAT HAPPEN. TIM: IT DOES SEEM STRANGE THAT YOU
WOULD HAVE OUTSIDE INVESTMENT COMING INTO A GOVERNING BODY,
ESPECIALLY WHEN THERE ARE SOME ASTERISKS AROUND WHAT YOU CAN
DO WITH THAT STEAK OF FIFA. >> EXACTLY. WHAT >> EXACTLY.
IF THERE IS A NONPROFIT BODY, HIGHWAY DO THEY COINCIDE WITH
EACH OTHER? WHO’S GETTING PAID? WE DON’T REALLY UNDERSTAND AS
FAR AS WHERE IS THIS MONEY GOING TO GO?
A LOT OF TIMES PRIVATE EQUITY AND VENTURE FIRMS AND FUNDS ARE
INVESTING INTO TEAMS, THEY’RE DOING IT FOR A PURPOSE.
THEY’RE DOING IT TO HELP WITH STADIUM ISSUES.
THEY’RE DOING IT TO HELP WHEN OWNERS HAVE BILLIONAIRES AND
TAXES AND DIFFERENT THINGS LIKE THAT.
THEY’RE HELPING WITH THINGS THAT ARE ALLEVIATING STRESS FOR
BILLIONAIRES. THIS IS QUESTION MARK, QUESTION
MARK, QUESTION MARK, WHY IS A NONPROFIT RAISING BILLIONS OF
DOLLARS? CAROL: WHAT DOES FIFA SAY, RANDALL?
RANDALL: FIFA WILL TELL YOU THIS IS FOR
THE GOOD OF THE SPORT, ENHANCE FOOTBALL AROUND THE GLOBE, AND
THEY’RE LOOKING FORWARD TO THE 2027 WOMEN’S WORLD CUP AND THE
2030 MEN’S WORLD CUP. TIM: UEFA IS NOT SO HAPPY ABOUT
THIS, VANESSA. GILES TURNER WRITING ON THE
BLOOMBERG TERMINAL JUST IN THE LAST 20 MINUTES OR SO THAT UEFA
IS CONSIDERING A BOYCOTT OF FIFA EVENTS, INCLUDING THE
WORLD CUP AND THE CLUB WORLD CUP IN RESPONSE TO FIFA’S
PROPOSALS TO SEEK PRIVATE INVESTMENT.
DO YOU THINK, VANESSA, THIS COULD BE THE TYPE OF THING THAT
DOESN’T HAPPEN AS A RESULT OF PUSHBACK? VANESSA:
I THINK WE HAVE SEEN PUSHBACK LIKE THIS BEFORE IN CERTAIN
THINGS, AND FIFA HAS PROPOSED IDEAS LIKE THIS, BUT NOT THIS
EXACT IDEA BEFORE, BUT THEY HAVE PROPOSED THINGS BEFORE
THAT THE GOVERNING BODIES HAVE SAID NO TO.
211 MEMBER ASSOCIATIONS HAVE TO SAY YES FOR THIS FORD TO
HAPPEN, AND ALL OF THE OTHER ENTITIES LIKE UEFA AND CONCACAF
WOULD PROBABLY NEED TO BE ON BOARD.
THEY’RE NOT NECESSARILY THE MEMBERS, SO IT’S DIFFERENT.
BUT I THINK THAT UEFA’S STRONG FEELINGS ABOUT IT COULD
POTENTIALLY CAUSE SOME ISSUES. TIM: EUROPEAN FOOTBALL BODY.
VANESSA: EUROPEAN FOOTBALL ASSOCIATION,
RIGHT. THEY SAID THIS ABSOLUTELY CROSSES THE LINE.
NO FOOTBALL GOVERNING BODY SHOULD BE DOING THIS.
AND WE’LL SEE WHERE IT LIES, BUT I THINK THAT FIFA, THEY’RE
THE ONES WHO CAME OUT WITH THIS STATEMENT, AND THEY’RE CLEARLY
VERY FAR ALONG. CAROL: RANDALL, COME ON IN. RANDALL:
I JUST ADDED, YOU HAVE TO REMEMBER THE MEMBERS THAT ARE
IN EUROPE. IT’S NOT JUST ANYBODY.
IT’S FRANCE, IT’S ENGLAND, IT’S PORTUGAL, IT’S ALL OF THOSE
COUNTRIES THAT ARE CONSIDERED SUPERPOWERS AND HAVE SOME OF
THE MOST POPULAR PLAYERS IN THE WORLD.
THIS IS A COLD WAR BREWING. AND WE’RE GOING TO FIND OUT IN
MANY MONTHS, MAYBE YEARS TO COME IF IT’S GOING TO BOIL
OVER, AND WHAT IS THE RESULT? WE HAVEN’T SEEN ANYTHING QUITE
LIKE THIS IN THE GLOBAL SPORT OF FOOTBALL, PROBABLY SINCE THE
SUPER LEAGUE, WHICH WAS GOING TO COMBINE A BUNCH OF CLUBS
AROUND THE WORLD AND TRY TO, YOU KNOW, MAKE THE COMPETITION
AS HIGH AS IT POSSIBLY COULD BE, AND THAT EVIDENTLY WAS GONE
AWAY WITH. SO THIS IS SOMETHING SIMILAR,
BUT AT A HIGHER LEVEL. IMAGINE THE JUSTICE LEAGUE
VERSUS THE AVENGERS VERSUS, YOU THROW ANOTHER TEAM IN THERE YOU
ALL LIKE AND THIS IS FOOTBALL. CAROL:
FIFA FORWARD ENTERPRISE WILL REMAIN UNDER ITS CONTROL,
INVESTORS PERMITTED ONLY MINORITY STAKES.
IT COULD SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASE DEVELOPMENT FUNDING FOR ITS
211-MEMBER ASSOCIATION, SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE,
GRASS ROOTS PROGRAMS, AND WEAPONS’ PROGRAMS. DO THEY NEED
THE MONEY? VANESSA: THEY JUST MADE $15 BILLION FROM
THE WORLD CUP. SO I DON’T THINK THAT THEY
NECESSARILY NEED THE MONEY. BUT THEY’LL ALWAYS SAY, LIKE,
YOU JUST SAID, THIS IS TO THEN SUPPORT THE FURTHER GROWTH OF
THESE OTHER, OF THE MEMBERS. CAROL: HYDRATION BREAKS, RIGHT?
TIM: ARE YOU JOKING? VANESSA: WELL, THEY SHOULD.
I THINK ONE OF THE THINGS WE’LL SEE HERE IS HOW IT, NEXT YEAR
IS THE 2027 WOMEN’S WORLD CUP, WHICH WILL HAVE 48 TEAMS AGAIN
COMPETING WITH 104 MATCHES, WHICH ON THE WOMEN’S SIDE, THIS
INVESTMENT ACTUALLY COULD PROBABLY USE MORE INVESTMENT
FOR THESE SMALLER COUNTRIES. TIM:
RANDALL, I HEARD YOU JUMPING IN THERE. RANDALL:
I WAS JUST GOING TO SAY, I DO THINK IF THE WORLD CUP IS GOING
TO EXPAND TO 64 TEAMS, THEN WHAT COULD HAPPEN IS THAT THESE
EARLY-ROUND GAMES MATTER LESS. THAT’S GOING TO UPSET THE
NATIONS THAT ARE SUPERPOWERS, ENGLAND, FRANCE, ARGENTINA,
BRAZIL, BECAUSE THEY DO HAVE TO PLAY TEAMS THAT MIGHT NOT HAVE
QUALIFIED IN PREVIOUS TOURNAMENTS.
SO IF FIFA DOES BY THEIR WORD AND SAY THIS MONEY IS GOING TO
THE PROGRAMS AND IT’S GOING TO DEVELOP TALENT, WE COULD SEE
GLOBAL SUPERSTARS FROM CAPE VERDE SOMEDAY AT A YOUNGER RATE
THAN THIS YEAR, WHERE THE GOALKEEPER WAS OVER 40.
WITH THAT IN MIND, IT SOUNDS GOOD.
BUT THE QUESTION IS, DOES THE WORLD OF FOOTBALL TRUST IT?
I’M NOT SO SURE ABOUT THAT. CAROL: MONEY IN SPORTS. TIM:
I LOVE THIS. CAROL: NEVER WOULD HAVE THOUGHT IT
WOULD GO TO THE LEVEL IT IS HERE IN THE U.S., BUT HERE WE
ARE, RIGHT? VANESSA: WE’RE THE ONES WHO MADE IT THAT
WAY. CAROL: WELL SAID. VANESSA, RANDALL, THIS IS
"BLOOMBERG BUSINESS WEEK." >> THIS IS "BLOOMBERG BUSINESS
WEEK DAILY" WITH CAROL MASSAR AND TIM
STENOVEC, ON BLOOMBERG RADIO AND TELEVISION. CAROL:
ALL RIGHT, EVERYBODY, WE ARE HEADED TO THE LAST HOUR OF
TRADING, GETTING INTO IT. WE GOT A LOT COMING UP STILL ON
"BLOOMBERG BUSINESS WEEK DAILY." IN THE MEANTIME, QUICK UPDATE
ON THE TRADE ON THIS TUESDAY. REMEMBER, THE FED KICKED OFF
ITS TWO-DAY MEETING, THE FOMC SPECIFICALLY, SECOND MEETING
CHAIRED BY THE NEW INCOMING FED CHAIR, KEVIN WARSH.
WE’LL GET A DECISION TOMORROW. SOME INTERESTING CHATTER, IF
YOU WILL, ON THE BLOOMBERG ABOUT CITADEL SAYING MAYBE
WE’LL GET THE SURPRISE, A SURPRISE RATE INCREASE. TIM:
MIKE MCKEE WAS ASKED IF THE FED WOULD HOLD OR RAISE RATES
TOMORROW, AND MIKE REPLIED YES. CAROL: EXACTLY.
IT’S AN INTERESTING TIME, SO WE’LL SEE WHAT WE GET.
LOOKING FORWARD TO THAT PRESS CONFERENCE.
IN THE MEANTIME, ON THIS TUESDAY, YOU ARE LOOKING AT A
S&P LITTLE CHANGED, THAT AMOUNTS TO ABOUT .3% HIGHER IN
PERCENTAGE TERMS. DOW IS UP MORE THAN 600 POINTS, UP MORE
THAN A PERCENT. NASDAQ 100 UNDER PRESSURE. TIM:
WHAT ABOUT THE CHIP STOCKS? THOSE ARE UNDER PRESSURE.
THE THREE NAMES ARE HIGHER IN THERE, NVIDIA AND SKYWORKS,
EVERYTHING ELSE, THE OTHER 27 NAMES IN THE SOX ARE LOWER
TODAY. MICRON DOWN 9%. ARM HOLDINGS DOWN. AND A.M.D.
DOWN 8%. CAROL: ALL RIGHT, LET’S GET TO SOME
MOVERS. STOCKS ON THE MOVE TODAY, I’M
CAROL MASSAR ALONG WITH TIM STENOVEC. WITH US IS OUR MARKET
CORRESPONDENTS, NORAH MULINDA, IN STUDIO.
LET’S KICK IT OFF WITH SOME WELL KNOWN BRANDS, ACTUALLY.
JET BLUE. NORAH: A LOT OF CONSUMER-FACING ONES.
THE STOCK IS HIGHER BY ABOUT 9.5% RIGHT NOW AS WE SPEAK.
THIS COMES AFTER THE COMPANY REAFFIRMED ITS FULL-YEAR
GUIDANCE AND ESSENTIALLY SAID IT WILL REACH POSITIVE CASH
FLOW NEXT YEAR. NOW, THIS, OF COURSE, BUOYING
THE STOCK HIGHER. WE DID SEE A LOT OF STRONG
DEMAND FOR THE COMPANY. I’M CURIOUS, I DON’T KNOW IF
YOU GUYS RIDE OR FLY JET BLEW OFTEN.
I HAVEN’T FLOWN IT SUPER OFTEN. TIM:
WE FLEW IT ABOUT A YEAR AGO. I CAN SPEAK FOR CAROL. CAROL:
EAST COAST, WEST COAST. NORAH: YOU THINK OF IT AS A BUDGET
AIRLINE? TIM: IT HAS NO IDENTITY, THAT’S THE
CHALLENGE. IT USED TO BE AN UPSCALE BUDGET
AIRLINE, BUT ANYWAY, THIS IS THE WHOLE ISSUE WITH JET BLUE.
BUT THEY HAVE A PREMIUM PRODUCT WITH MINT. NORAH:
THAT’S VERY TRUE. BUT BECAUSE OF THE BANKRUPTCY
OF SPIRIT AIRLINES, JET BLUE IS GOING TO BE EXPANDING ITS
OPERATIONS IN NEW YORK CITY AT LA GUARDIA AIRPORT, SO THEY
ACTUALLY DID PURCHASE BOTH TAKEOFF AND LANDING SPOTS AT LA
GUARDIA AIRPORT, THOSE LEFT OVER FROM SPIRIT.
SHARES OF JET BLUE UP 30% SO FAR THIS YEAR. CAROL: YOU KNOW, IT’S A $5 STOCK, $6
STOCK. IT WAS $21 A SHARE BACK IN
EARLY 2021. I MEAN, I REMEMBER WHEN THEY
INTRODUCED MINT. THEY WERE JUST SUCH AN
INTERESTING, YOU KNOW, THEY DIDN’T HAVE ANY LEGACY, YOU
KNOW, THEY DIDN’T HAVE PLANES, THEY HAD NEW PLANES, THEY DIDN’T HAVE ANY OF THE LEGACY
METRICS, IS IT WAS SUCH A DIFFERENT CARRIER, GIVING THE
CHIPS, LIKE, IT WAS JUST A WHOLE DIFFERENT TAKE. TIM:
BUT THAT WAS 25 YEARS AGO, AND IT WORKED. CAROL: I KNOW. TIM:
YOU GET ON ONE OF THE PLANES NOW, AND LOOKS LIKE THE MONITOR
IS STILL FROM 2006. CAROL: RIGHT.
THE PLANES ARE A LITTLE ROUGH, YEAH. AND I STILL LIKE THE MINT
SERVICE, LIKE I LOVE IT. WE TALK ABOUT, YOU KNOW,
THERE’S ONE ROW WHERE IT’S JUST ONE SEAT. TIM:
THERE’S TWO ROWS, WHERE YOU HAVE YOUR PRIVATE CABIN. CAROL:
AND IT’S REALLY KIND OF A SWEET RIDE. BUT YOU’RE RIGHT, TIM.
THEY LOST THEIR PERSONALITY, WHO THEY ARE.
BUT NONETHELESS, INVESTORS LIKE IT TODAY, RIGHT? NORAH:
SPEAKING OF SUITE, SEEMS AS THOUGH CONSUMERS ARE NOT LIKE
THE SWEETS AND CALORIES. COCA-COLA, SHARES ARE HIGHER
AFTER IT LISTED ITS OUTLOOK. CONSUMERS ARE INTERESTED IN ITS
SUGAR-FREE SODA SAYS, SO MAYBE PEOPLE NOT INTERESTED IN THE
HIGH-CALORIE, SUGARY DRINKS THAT WE SEE ON COMMERCIALS ALL
THE TIME. BUT NOT ONLY THAT, WE’VE BEEN
TALKING A LOT ABOUT THE FIFA WORLD CUP.
THIS COMPANY GETTING A BOOST, BEING A MAJOR SPONSOR OF THE
FIFA WORLD CUP. AND YOU’RE SEEING THAT
REFLECTED IN SOME OF THE PRICE ACTION THAT WE’RE SEEING ON
WALL STREET. J.P. MORGAN SAYING THAT IT IS A
POSITIVE STAND JOINT, ONLY LOOK AT AT THE MIX OF SOME OF THE
EARNINGS WE’VE BEEN GET SOG FAR. CAROL:
COLA-COLA IS UP 26% YEAR TO DATE. GO FIGURE.
AND I WOULD ARGUE STILL ONE OF THE BEST KNOWN BRANDS, GLOBAL
BRANDS THAT ARE OUT THERE. ALL RIGHT, NOW WE GO TO ZILLOW.
NORAH: YES, REAL ESTATE. SHARES OF ZILLOW HIGHER.
WE SAW A FEDERAL JUDGE DISMISS A LAWSUIT AGAINST ZILLOW THAT
ESSENTIALLY DID CLAIM THAT IT WAS TRICKING BUYERS INTO
WORKING WITH ITS PARTNERS AND ALSO INCENTIVIZING AGENTS TO
STEER CONSUMERS TOWARD ZILLOW HOME LOANS.
IT WAS ABLE TO BYPASS THIS OVERHANG, AND SO YOU ARE SEEING
ANALYSTS ON WALL STREET, SOME AT JEFFRIES, SAYING THEY THINK
IF THEY CAN GET A WIN HERE, MAYBE THEY CAN WIN SOME OF
THESE OTHER CASES THAT THEY’RE UNDER SCRUTINY FOR.
BUT THE STOCK IS DOWN ABOUT 51% THIS YEAR. CAROL:
IT’S SHORT, TOO. SO THERE’S DEFINITELY A LOT OF
NEGATIVE SENTIMENT THIS ONE. GREAT NAMES, REALLY APPRECIATE
IT. NORAH MULINDA THERE WITH SOME
STOCKS ON THE MOVE, OUR MARKET CORRESPONDENT.
CHECK OUT HER STOCK MOVERS PODCAST. FIND IT ON APPLE,
SPOTIFY OR ANYWHERE YOU GET PODCASTS. TIM:
MARKETS ARE MIXED ON THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON, A FED
TUESDAY, AS THE FED OPEN MARKETS COMMITTEE IS MEETING AS
WE SPEAK. WE’LL HEAR FROM THEM TOMORROW.
THE S&P DOWN .3%, UP, EXCUSE ME, .3%. NASDAQ DOWN .1%. CAROL:
THEY’RE PROBABLY HAVE TEA AND COOKIES RIGHT NOW, A LITTLE
AFTERNOON SNACK.
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