THIS IS THE REASON THAT YOUR STOCKS ARE DOWN TODAY!

So, the global bond sell-off is pressuring stocks right now. You can see that the entire NASDAQ's down 345. Uh, Dow's down 129. We're going to dig into this. This is the reason that pretty much your entire stock portfolio is down today. Nvidia is down about five plus percent. Uh, you can see Micron is down 7% today. Uh, it's dropping $72. So, it's indicative of a pretty significant hit to the AI sector, tech sector. uh in what we're seeing with this global uh bond sell-off pressure impacting stocks. Okay, so if we take a look at another indicator which is the state street technology select sector spider ETF say all that really quick with ticker XLK uh down 2.84% right now. So that's an interesting uh indicative marker there. So the bond market is doing some interesting things. It's daring the Fed to hike. Okay. Um, but Wall Street, we're getting some mixed signals. So, Wall Street is backing away from a September Fed hike. The bond market's going the other way. So, we've got kind of an interesting scenario playing out. So, right now, the the chance of a hike at the Federal Reserve September 16th meeting, we were expecting about a 100% chance here in the orange uh in late July uh roughly to one-third. Okay. And so, that's what's interesting. And so, it's actually dropping. So, it's it's it's creating a scenario where, you know, the less likely a Fed hike gets, the higher long-term rates are going to go. The 30-year Treasury yield is in the green. You know, chance of September hike, you can see, uh, is is right there. And so, it's interesting to see how this is kind of playing out. Okay. So, uh, it does kind of look or feel backwards. Investors are expecting less tightening from the Fed, but longer term borrowing costs might be expected to ease as well. Instead, they are rising. So, we've got kind of some again some disconcerting different signals here. So, look, this puts Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Worst back in an increasingly familiar spot cod between what the central bank is doing and what financial markets appear to want. And this is having an impact obviously on your stocks. we mentioned, you know, Micron, Nvidia, uh, you know, this particular indicator, the XLK spider ETF, the State Street, State Street Technology, uh, ETF. So, it's interesting to see how this is playing out. Uh, and I think we're going to continue to see this. Okay, so markets have already flipped the script on worse by dramatically loosening financial conditions since his July meeting, even with longterm rates elevated. So, Walsh did leave September open. So ultimately this is coming back to the Fed right and we'll see how this kind of continues to play out. Um people familiar with this thinking Fed the chairman Worsh says that he could consider a hike inflation uh came in hot and markets move towards expecting higher borrowing costs. Instead the odds of September hike have fallen now which is interesting. Okay long-term rates have not followed. That is the puzzle that we've been kind of thinking about right. I mean this is one that I've been kind of looking at for you guys and and thinking about. So kind of wanted to make a kind of video to see what what we're looking at. So ultimately, you know, the Fed beam began cutting rates back in 2024, lowered benchmark by 1.75. We know this. The 10-year Treasury yield is roughly one percentage point higher, while the 30-year has risen about 1.3. That's the dynamic, okay, behind the bond vigilantes vigilantes doing the Fed's dirty work. Fed controls a crucial short-term interest rate, but investors ultimately decide what they require to lend money for decades. So, it's interesting. So, look, what we will see from here, we got to keep an eye on. But I wanted to make you aware of what we're seeing play out. 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