this is where it's a good time to start considering dollar cost averaging into this asset
Contexto
“What you'll see in Bitcoin is we have these times where we get into this discount zone... this is where it's a good time to start considering dollar cost averaging into this asset.”
Dollar cost average in if you feel that it's right for you at the specific levels
Contexto
“Micro Strategy is an interesting thing... Dollar cost average in if you feel that it's right for you at the specific levels.”
Transcrição Completa
A short squeeze wiping out $3 billion in just one
day. Joining us today is Joel Peterson with the crypto code to talk about this historic rally in
Bitcoin. Joel, there has been a very quiet summer in Bitcoin where not a lot has been happening
except a very down market and then all of a sudden we have this massive runup and this historic short
squeeze. Really the largest short squeeze we've ever seen in Bitcoin history. Let's talk about
it. Yeah, it's a pretty pretty interesting. For eight weeks, we've been coiled up um going pretty
much chopping sideways in Bitcoin. So, we were either going to break up or down. We went up and
a huge huge short squeeze. Um these happen every so often, about once a year, once about every nine
months or so in Bitcoin, you get some squeeze like this, either up or down. And this one decided
to go up. Let's talk about how it compares. So, everyone remembers when Bitcoin kind of crashed.
That was back in October. And let's talk about how this one compares to what we saw last year um
and even what we've seen historically in Bitcoin. Yeah, initially when this first started squeezing,
you know, we thought, okay, it's going to be a little less than last October. It was actually
larger, a larger liquidation, and that just means a lot of the shorts got hit out of the market,
over 3 billion, which is one of the largest, if not the largest in Bitcoin's history. That's
a pretty significant amount. And it also means that a lot of people who trade spot, you know,
just our regular traders who are on Coinbase or some of these other exchanges, they're probably
sidelined right now. They probably been waiting like a lot of people do traditional investors
kind of wait for it to unfortunately till it gets to the top when it's pumping high at new highs
before they want to buy. They are not interested at the bottoms. And uh that's what we've been at.
We've been forming a bottom here on Bitcoin. And I think this is a very very good sign that we're
either at the trend change or close to. Well, we have a lot to cover in this video today. Joel
is the crypto expert, but he's also going to talk about some of the crypto stocks in the market,
too, and what strategies investors should be looking at when it comes to Bitcoin and any stocks
related to Bitcoin in the market. So, we're going to cover all of that in this video yet today. I
think the first point to start out talking about, Juel, is just what caused this rally on Wednesday.
And it wasn't just Bitcoin. There are also other major coins out there that saw a huge rally on
Wednesday. What caused this? You know, normal market markets do what market's going to do. When
you have um Bitcoin coiling up for like 8 weeks, consolidating, going boring, nobody's interested,
crypto's a scam. You've you've heard it all, right? You know, this is the bottom. It's going
to go to zero. Everyone's saying it's going to 40 50k. Usually when that happens, something gets
ready. And then yesterday, the Treasury announced that they were doubling their buybacks on bonds
and that caused all markets to quickly pump up, including gold. If you notice, I had like a 4% to
rally yesterday and continuing up today. I just kind of looking at that. But Ethereum, which is
like the silver to Bitcoin, had an enormous pump um 17 plus% in one day. And that's actually
really important for the whole crypto space. I think you're going to see if not many a few of
these select altcoins, which is anything that's not Bitcoin as an altcoin. You're going to see
some bottoms and some things that have started to pump up. And you know, in the long term, some of
these will be uh be good uh get some good gainers in the future if you play the altcoins. Yeah, I
want to talk about those gains a little bit more for investors who've been on the sidelines or who
are maybe in crypto right now, too. The rally was a a great rally. Again, really impacted that that
short squeeze sector the most. The dollar numbers there are a little wild, but let's talk about uh
where this rally got us to in both Bitcoin and Ethereum. It was a really nice rally, but nowhere
near a recovery to the highs that we were seeing, you know, uh a couple of years ago in this crypto
space. How much further of a runup do you think we could have? Will this be just the start of
a longer runup or could we see some volatility pullbacks again? What is your prediction
on where the crypto market could be heading uh based on what you've seen historically?
So, Bitcoin trades in cycles like any asset will trade in a cycle and Bitcoin's on about a
4-year cycle. If you look historically at Bitcoin, we have our runups and we have our uh declines. Um
and they're pretty volatile. you know, we'll have declines as much as 85 78%. This ones we've had
over just a little bit over 50%. But what you'll see in Bitcoin is we have these times where we get
into this discount zone. You can see here we get into kind of like these golden zones where this is
the value area. This is the discount. This is when nobody wants to buy, but this is where it's a good
time to start considering dollar cost averaging into this asset because you never know how much
longer you're going to have to buy in these golden zones. If you look at historically, we have had
times back in 2018, we just had a brief amount of time, brief amount of time, run up one more time
during the COVID crash and that was it. The last cycle here, same thing. We kind of had everything
you can see in the in the the golden zones there is the time to start dollar cost averaging in
there. Then we get our last call signals and then we're we're off to the races and then we do
it again. And you can see right now we're kind of in this cycle window between now and probably
January where we'll have these opportunities for these discount zones and and could this have been
the bottom? This definitely could have been the bottom. I think the government showing that they
are ready to manipulate the markets again to try to save the economy with these buybacks. It's a
smaller amount, but it's showing that liquidity is going to be they're going to they're going to put
liquidity back into the market. Stealth QE looks to be back and that will we know what happened
last time that happened. We had a tremendous run up in the crypto markets. uh clearly you are so
well-versed on the crypto markets and I know that there are plenty of areas of the stock market that
are also affected by crypto. So if you're not in crypto at all and you just care about the actual
market and and the stocks that it might impact, we're going to talk about that too and we've got
some specific names to cover in this video yet today. But if you uh have been avoiding crypto
or have just been worried about being in that volatile market and you're learning about it for
the first time or want to improve your knowledge on crypto, clearly Joel is a great person to learn
from who has been in this market for a very long time and doing very well playing these different
crypto cycles. If you want to learn from him, he is offering a free workshop for our market beat
viewers. So you can scan the QR code or click the link in the description to check out that free
workshop today. Hey, there's a few different free gifts you'll get for going through that workshop,
too. If you want to check that out, again, we've got that link in the description for you to
check out that free workshop with Joel. All right, Joel, let's move on to a little bit of you've
given us what you can expect in the cycle for Bitcoin and and where you expect this to go. Let's
talk about more of that broader market impact, too. You already kind of covered a little bit of
those economic factors and how that can play into crypto. How can crypto and what's happening
there play into the rest of the market? If you're looking at the stock market and look
at any cryptoreated company that's actually doing something that's creating revenue, that's
creating value, many of these should do fairly well during this uh this next crypto bull run. And
remember, bull runs are started at the bottoms, not at the tops. And so look at these companies,
these value companies that are actually creating value. I I mentioned circle here just a moment.
This isn't a this isn't a buy signal or anything, but USDC is a stable coin which is pegged to the
dollar. And you notice that the US government has starting to really embrace crypto. Uh the stable
coin act um is going to be a big part of our society. You'll see that many people will start
transacting in stable coins. Just like you think of like Venmo, when you pay for things, you'll
have this time where you get to to spend stable coins and then throughout the world, people will
start interacting with these stable coins, USDC, USDT. They'll be able to spend dollars, and that's
what the US wants. They want the rest of the world to hold dollars and spend dollars. So companies
backing these stable coins, my opinion, have a tremendous upgrowth over the future. Yeah. Let's
look at CRCL and their chart a little bit too with the rally that we saw in Bitcoin yesterday and
in the whole crypto market yesterday. Clearly, this stock is also having a really good week. It
was uh it's up about 16% in the last five days, but it seems to be rallying really well.
Clearly, it's still very far off of its highs, though. So I I love what you said about these uh
crypto rallies start at a bottom. They don't start at a top. Do you think that we are still very
close to the bottom where if you believe that a rally is coming now would be a good time to get
in or is this too volatile of a time after this big rally we saw yesterday for investors to think
about getting in right now? Yeah, I think that uh we're at the beginning right now and this is the
time to look at crypto tickers as companies and invest in only the ones that are actually creating
value to the network. I talked about Ethereum and Ethereum creates value. It actually does things uh
things like Salana, some of these other companies, they're actually backing these cryptos. It's not
just some speculative meme coin like Dogecoin or something. Although some of those do, you know,
pump up quite as well if you want to play that game. But for the long term, dollar cost averaging
into these Ethereum and Salana and some of these others that have the potential, which we've
already seen historically, to have some pretty great runs. Ethereum is one example. Huge pump up
yesterday. It's actually turned green on our cycle pro chart. If I were going to say we can come back
here in three years, I think Ethereum is going to be one of the biggest winners this this crypto
cycle. The charts are just looking prime for it. That's a big call for sure talking about this as
being your your big winner in this next cycle. I I want to talk a little bit more about those cycles
before we get back to those stock tickers, too. We have a lot of naysayers in the market who say
crypto is going to go to zero. This is going to be nothing. Um, and is that something that we've
heard over these four-year cycles? Anytime you see it getting close to that bottom where people are
completely uh losing faith that there could ever be a future in crypto. Have you been hearing a
lot of that, Joel? Yes. And we love hearing that because that lets us know that that's when we're
close to the bottoms. I'll tell you a story. I had a family member last month called me and
said, "Hey, I think I'm thinking of selling all my Ethereum and buying back lower." And when he
said that, I went, "That's it. That's it." This is the kind of sentiment we get when it's down. And
people have to really change their emotions. And this involves in any kind of trading and investing
is buy when you don't want to buy, sell when you don't want to sell. And we have to work against
our emotions and just look at the charts and look at the data and look at the the sentiment in the
market and uh realize that uh this is a long-term plan, a long-term gain. we're at those areas
between now and the next 6 months where there's going to be some great opportunity and then uh
you know fast forward 3 months from there that's when a lot of the FOMO will start people will be
kicking themselves saying man I didn't get started I wish I would have got started and then we repeat
the cycle again yeah it's all based on those emotions for sure is the headlines that we saw
on Wednesday enough to create that FOMO frenzy at least a little bit in the short term are we We've
been seeing that Thursday morning a little bit. Do you expect that to last the next few days or
weeks or will it really take a few months before we get to that super high crypto level again where
everybody is feeling like they they missed out? It'll it'll take some time. Nothing goes up in a
straight line. So, these kinds of short squeezes, these kinds of upward momentum and then we'll have
something pull back. We could definitely pull back into the mid60s, maybe even the high50s or not.
Maybe that was the bottom. Maybe we hit the bottom and but we'll chop around sideways. These will
take a while. Um and then you'll start to see these moves onward and upward and then that's
when the FOMO starts to kind of kick in, but it takes a while. It's not going to be overnight, but
it's something to start paying attention. We are in these value zones, these discount zones, and
in the long term, some of these are going to do, my personal opinion, from my experience, going
to do extremely well. So, we'll see. If the stock market uh tanks later this year, that could
definitely um affect the crypto markets and you'll see a you'll see a retracement downward. But in
historically looking at the numbers, uh we're primed for uh some good dollar cost averaging
areas in some of your your favorite assets. Yeah, let's get back to talking about for those who
would rather invest in crypto. Uh looking at the traditional market and buying some of those
stocks that are very closely tied to crypto. We're getting back to one that you mentioned as
a recommendation. You talked about looking for stocks in the market tied to crypto markets, tied
to Bitcoin that are actually producing some value and one you mentioned is Circle. Why does this one
stand out to you as a better option in the market at looking to invest in the cryptocurrency market
but staying in the traditional stock market? Yeah, Circle's a US-based company with a stable coin
called USDC and stable coins are going to get bigger and bigger. Um, the US is embracing them.
We passed laws about these already. It's a way to get the dollar out there throughout the world.
It's easier to transact to send stable coins than it is to do like a wire transfer. Um, a transfer
is a way to move money a lot faster. You're going to start seeing throughout the world, people will
be using these stable coins. You're going to go around just like you see these little Venmo, you
know, QR codes. People will start paying in these stable coins. So the companies behind these stable
coins, I think they've got a lot of movement like I said and Circle is down at the bottoms and there
are uh I think there's a lot of upward momentum potential in companies like this when nobody is
paying attention. That's one example. I think circle I think it has some promising uh movements
in it in for the future as it as it starts to grow and stable coins get bigger and bigger. I think
when you look at some of the traditional metrics uh that a lot of investors will look at for
stocks, you can see the um I don't want to say misunderstanding, but the the hesitancy in
the market, especially you look at what analysts are saying. There's a decent amount of analyst
coverage on this stock, but the price targets of what the value of the stock is are really all
over the place. Even here in August and July, you've got price targets of $37 and price targets
of $130. So you've got analysts in the same week saying very different things about what the value
of this stock actually is right now. Does that surprise you at all that we're seeing that kind of
mixed reviews from the analyst community of trying to understand where is the actual value of the
stock? Yeah, it doesn't surprise me at all. And I would treat Circle as anything a very speculative
type asset. Um if you're going to be investing in the stock in that that would be definitely where
you want to take some more your higher risk type of an asset. But no, it doesn't surprise me at
all because it's the same thing. What are people saying about Bitcoin? Oh, Bitcoin is going to go
to zero. And they've been saying that uh since it came out. But I do think that if you look at these
companies that actually have value behind them, that are actually creating revenue that have
the backing and support of the US government because they want the dollar to go out there
and USDC, stable coins, USDT, there are way to get the dollar out there. and I can see it only
growing bigger and bigger over time. So, I think uh speculative asset, but it may be worth nibbling
at it. All right, let's move on to another stock ticker again for those who would rather invest in
what's happening in crypto in the market. There's the very obvious ticker and that's Micro Strategy.
What are your thoughts about that stock? Yeah, Micro Strategy is an interesting thing. Usually,
you'll see Micro Strategy run up before Bitcoin does or about the same time. It kind of stays in
line. It kind of trades around with Bitcoin. So, I think we're going to see the same thing again
this cycle. I think that uh Micro Strategy will probably have a nice uh run up again just like it
did this last time. Probably top before Bitcoin tops as well. Again, like anything, I would look
at the charts. I would take a look at where we're at. And then obviously, like anything, it's
a high-risk asset. Dollar cost average in if you feel that it's right for you at the specific
levels. And what I always tell people is uh look at those charts. Uh buy when you when buy when
you don't feel like buying and sell when you don't want to sell. Yeah. Let's look at you're
talking about profitable companies too. Looking at the earnings report especially the most recent
one here at the end of July. Uh not so great news for Micro Strategy looking at those earnings but
we know that this this company really is all about uh the value of Bitcoin and all about the value
of the crypto market. And so it's trading right alongside that. know if the value of the Bitcoin
market does recover does that also mean that Micro Strategy becomes a profitable company again?
Yeah, absolutely. They've Micro Strategy's taken a walloping in the news in the media. Um because
Michael Sailor, you know, the whole thing was like never sell your Bitcoin, never sell your Bitcoin.
And what did Micro Strategy do? They sold some of the Bitcoin and they had just proved to the
shareholders that they would do that. Um but uh like any company they took a lot of negative press
for that because of you know statements that said never sell your Bitcoin and they've sold their
Bitcoin. They're a smart company. They're you don't you're not a billionaire because you create
stupid things. Let's just say that. I think that uh I think that they have some great products. I
think that you're going to see some staying power and then as you see Bitcoin go back to go back up
everyone will be happy and hooper and hollering again and you'll see these go up. And like I said,
Micro Strategy I think is going to be around for for the long run and it'll it's like I said, it's
got its down times, but look for look for those for opportunities. I do think Micro Strategy will
turn around and that'll be the time when everyone starts FOMOing in. Yeah, the FOMO is real and we
we've seen that time and time again with Bitcoin. Um, but we have also seen people getting burned
and I want to talk about that a little bit. I don't know if the naysayers out there on crypto
have watched this far. if you're still here, thanks for sticking with this conversation. Um, I
think one thing to talk about is maybe someone is anti- crypto markets, anti- Micro Strategy because
they've been burned badly before. Uh, they've bought during that FOMO stage and have lost a
significant amount of capital from buying during those stages. I What do you say to those people
um who are investing in a in a kind of currency that maybe a market they don't understand or just
something they've been burned by before and are now afraid to get back into it? What I would say
is that it's most likely in those cases you've traded on emotions and you it's a timing thing
and so you really need to look at these charts and look at the data and look at the the timing
of these charts rather than just buying on emotion buying just because somebody says they think it's
going to go up. You really need to look at the charts and look at the data and that'll actually
tell you. I look at assets as a chart. I don't really I never get emotionally tied to anything
even Bitcoin. I just trade the charts in front of me. And once I've learned to do that and become
emotionally detached from any asset, doesn't matter if it's Nvidia, you know, Microsoft,
anything, I just look at the charts and I look for these these buy opportunities and that's
when I buy. And that's usually when the opposite of what the crowd is thinking. Um, we can see so
many examples of that in stocks just recently. You know, no, it's down and no one's excited and
then all a sudden, you know, Microsoft pumps up 42% in one day. It's all about reading the charts.
So, that's what I'd say. If you've been burned, it's mostly likely because you've been trading
on emotion and not using the data in the charts. Always good advice to to not let your emotions
in on something. And I think that one area where emotions can come into play is in some of these
altcoins, some of these more like meme coins that come out there have maybe burned a few investors
too who get really excited about the quick moves that happen there or somebody's talking about one
of these altcoins and then all of a sudden that crashes very very quickly. So let's talk about
that market in particular. I call altcoins if you like to go down to Las Vegas and take a little
of your money and throw it away on in Vegas and sometimes you win when you go to Vegas. That's
what I would say. Don't ever spend any money on on meme coins unless you it's like Vegas money.
But for regular altcoins, there definitely are some good ones backed by real companies that are
creating revenue. And those are the ones that I would focus on the long-term ones. You want
to play in the Vegas world, you can do that, you'll lose. Uh some of you might get lucky and
win a little bit. The one thing about altcoins, I I will say this is you don't there's a thing in
crypto called hodddle hold. Never ever huddle or hold an altcoin cuz you'll see these huge 85%
pullbacks, 98%. Um, altcoins are for trading, not for holding. And so, same thing, um, look
at the chart. The data is in the charts. Don't go on your emotions, and don't trust anything that
anyone just says. Verify it by looking at a chart, looking at the data, and looking at the companies
behind them. I think that's a solid advice for any kind of investing, including all of the videos you
watch on our channel here. Anytime somebody talks about a stock, don't just trust what they have
to say. Verify the information and go look for yourself. That's such important advice for
everyone. Joel, thank you so much for your time today and diving into what is happening in
the crypto market after a very quiet last eight weeks or so. It's nice to see some new headlines
on Bitcoin. If you want to hear more from Joel, we did have him on u in the middle of that quiet
8week period talking about making sure you buy at the bottom. And again, if you want to hear more
about his theories on how to invest in crypto to get the biggest gains and the biggest benefits,
watch that other full interview with Joel
Comentários 0
Entre para participar da discussão.
EntrarAinda não há comentários. Seja o primeiro a compartilhar sua opinião!