10 Stocks to Buy! Value Investing Quadrant Update 2H 2026

Good day fellow investors. Q2 results are mostly in. So it's time to update our value investing quadrant and there are some very interesting situations there. Let's start immediately with SpaceX which is on the bottom left corner. So we have reward on the x axis, less reward on this side, more reward on this side and risk on the y axis, high risk on the bottom and less risk on the top. So if I'm in the corner, this should be the absolute highest reward and lowest risk purchase, which is value investing. And then we have others good reward, good return compared to okay or acceptable risks which in the most expensive market in history is already something. At the end we'll also add some of the most recent stocks that we discussed to the quadrant. But let's start with SpaceX. SpaceX or translated mask on space steroids has been very volatile up from 130 above 2020 I think for the year down more than 50% now up again who knows where it is where you will be watching this. However, this is just a musk bet, very unlikely to ever be profitable and therefore it is here at the lowest possible reward and highest possible risk when it comes to investing. Next one, ASML. Much less risk there from a business perspective. However, risk from a price perspective because we discussed ISML a year and something ago. Good risk and reward here. It was on this part of the quadrant where we'll discuss other buys. But then what happened? The stock price went from 560 to almost 1,500. The business is still the same. The P ratio was in the 30s 20s. Now it is in the 50s. That changes the risk and reward for a long-term investor. If I look a little bit at the earnings, okay, total net sales 43 to 45 billion. If we look at their investor day here, we are already at the lower end of sales. They project the higher end of sales will be reached by 2030. And then if I look a little bit at net income as percentage of sales going up 30%, everything looks good. So let's say they reach 70 billion in revenues by 2030 times 30% that's 21 billion in profits. 21 billion in profits on a 600 billion market cap is still down the road a P ratio of what 30 a little bit less. However, I'm investing to double my money let's say in a few years. So to double my money the market cap of ISML needs to go to 1.2 trillion still have a big P ratio like now five, six, seven years down the road. Will it hold? It might but it is too risky and I have seen ISML risky go to less risky now it's risky again if the bubble pops and it goes down we will move it somewhere here again in the quadrant and then it will be a less risky buy because a P ratio 57 is not value investing then we have US treasuries interest rates have gone up a little bit 10 year 4.2 two here now it's 4.7 so close to a 5% return why it is high risk well given the fundamentals of the US government if inflation is 5% four 5% over the next 10 years give it a recession give it money printing give it this it's not much more than the 5% and it could be very risky for an investor still not a fan of bonds given the situation I think The 5% yield is still not enough for fairly valuing US government bonds, not given the debt situation. We'll discuss this situation more on Saturday. So tune in then for this more government fiscal money value video. Then we have this bunch of companies BHP, Nutrian, Archer, Daniel Midland, the dividend yield doing okay. the PepsiCo, but those companies, especially BHP, doing really good for me, too expensive. Still this commodity bubble. So, I'm going to skip those a little bit, leave them, and then perhaps turn back to them when the price is better. I don't know, next year, in two years or something. Next one, we have Birkshshire Hatway. We did a few videos recently after the earnings. I have said that if I would own Birkshshire, I would sell but Birkshshire as a long-term investment will deliver. And this is why I put it at similar to the US Treasury, but much less risk or practically no risk. I know that Bergkshire will deliver its 6% long-term return no matter what happens. If there is inflation, Berkshire is a business protected from them. There will be ups and downs, insurance issues, things like that. That's why I'm saying I'm not buying it. I would sell it now and then when it gets more fairly valued because all the good that Bergkshire has is now priced in. So long-term will deliver a good return but not a great return. Is Birkshshire risky from a price perspective? In the short to medium term, yes. In the long term, you know what you get with Birkshshire at the current price. Sooner or later, you will get that five six% long-term return. Whether you will have to wait 10 or 20 years, that's something I don't know. A very interesting business, Ryioneer. We have discussed it in a video. The stock hasn't moved much, but the dividend yield is 5%. The trees are still growing. So if you're interested in that and all our mentioned stocks deep dives, check the videos in the link in description below. Every video that I mention will have its respective link. Amazon now I have had it here at a 7% return but I am the one that was discussing Amazon at 90 as a buy value. Now it's much different. And another component of our value investing quadrant is this intrinsic value table where we have most of these companies that we analyze compare from a valuation intrinsic value perspective. If I look at Amazon, if I click here, if I use the earnings as input, if I look at the growth rates, I always expect for comparative reasons a return of 10% that therefore the discount rate of 10% be ratio of 20 down the road, Amazon is slightly overvalued for that. If they grow at a higher rate 20% for the next 5 years than 15 P ratio of 25 then it's actually undervalued now from a ugly margin of safety bad recession market crash scenario then it is nearly overvalued but let's put some percentages probabilities from what the market is expecting Amazon is not expensive if I put here an 8% return Amazon is fairly priced for an 8% return. If I put it in the comparative table, here you have it around 8%. So from that perspective, I think it is a good buy now, but I'm a value investor. I need great buys, not good buys. My target and my performance over the last eight years has been 15%. I'm always looking for those 15% potential returns. And when I look at Amazon, I'm waiting for that recession, for that ugliness, for that bad investment, something that goes wrong that say, "Oh, this was a mistake." But the underlying business staying healthy and that is the downside and that is all you need one year in the next 10 years to add a great business like Amazon to your portfolio. That's why we have it on the quadrant to follow it over the next 10 years and we build portfolios. So, I'm leaving Amazon there. Perhaps as the stock price went a little bit higher, I'm putting it a little bit towards the left for a 7% return. Next one is Gregs. That's a UK. What was it? The worst not that's German. Something that they love in the UK. 24% up. It was an interesting dividend. Now the dividend yield is a little bit lower. P ratio is a little bit higher. still the same business. So I'm moving it and a little bit towards the left. Calm main foods discussed in a video. It's the egg segment depending on egg prices, things like that. I'm going to skip it for now. Check another when the aven flu is there or not there during the winter. We have Verizon there. It's at 50. It was in the 30s. Now everyone starts to like it. the dividend, the safety, the P ratio, things like that. I am moving it a little bit from here with an 8% return, moving it to a 6% return, the dividend yield went down and therefore it is risky earned. We have then meta platforms Facebook when it comes to meta B ratio even lower than represented. You have again it here you have the links also here to the videos of the research. So you can click also here. You can download this for free in my free value investing course in the link in description below. Now earnings per share adjusted for the lawsuits 8% growth rate 10% return P ratio of 20. Meta is fairly priced for a 10% return. If they grow a little bit faster on AI, you can make a six time return on meta stock. Worst case scenario, okay, that would be crazy. 3% perhaps. That's too crazy. Let's put 5%. Let's put a P ratio 15 just not to be called crazy. Too much. I like what people call me crazy, but too much is too much. So, present value in this scenario 700. That means 12% return something like that from meta. Therefore, I am pushing it a little bit more to the right 10 11% return. We'll see how the AI story ends up the investment. So, I'm just more positive on it as the price went lower. The China internet ETF, this is something very interesting. 26% down year to date. Nobody likes China. We have also discussed 10-centent process in a recent video. Tencent is the core holding. But there is something more important. When an ETF representing a great basket of businesses like China internet shares does nothing for a staggering 13 years. The stock price did nothing. When that happens, you know, there's something either wrong with the companies and there isn't because these are the biggest companies in the world, especially in China and consequently Asia world. Scaling, growing, working, the businesses grew significantly over the last 15 years. Nothing happened to the stock price. That means there is some potential hiding there. So, I'm pushing que here. 10% return and then let's see where it goes and how I structure it in my diversified portfolio them that I'm developing on my research platform. For now I have three really great lowrisk highreward investment opportunities. Check that out too. QSR Brands Accenture. I looked at this in the video. Now the stock is already up since I looked at this. So if I didn't like it that much there I said it has been fairly punished dividend good okay now it's already at 180 I didn't have any heartbeat when I relooked at it now same as QSR brands 3% dividend it's all there something good something yes did the video you can check the video nothing has changed but I'm going to delete those just to not crowd too much the quadrant and that's also something that I just want to explain. You follow a business over time and then you look again, you make an analysis, you come back to it and then you know better, you understand, especially I read your comments, you knew something more something this and then you can make a decision on thinking okay will I ever add this to my portfolios. I don't need to own every stock. I don't need to know every stock. So I'm always learning. It's always a process that we are building. Then we have Netflix down already up a little bit. We go to our calculation table. Netflix one of the last ones 80 free cash flow growth double digits has to grow 15 to 12% and then a P ratio of 25 to be really undervalued but also this is not bad. I have put perhaps it will grow at these rates with all what's going on. conservative scenario there is room for downside but let's say 8% so the stock is a little bit up it was better earlier at 70 but it's not bad however you have to play that momentum so I have moved it a little bit to the left coart uh we did a video analysis the stock is down significantly over the last year and then here again great comments everyone was discussing sven the value of the land the value of the land margin of safety then I looked at corporate again market cap 30 billion now and I said okay if there is value in the land that's something very interesting but then I look at the total assets property net equipment 3 billion let's say that they acquired those over the years so that's six to 8 billion but that land is the producing asset of the profit so yes it is valuable But it is working capital or you can say that it's not like they can sell it, refinance, do buybacks and do shenanigans but then they destroy the long-term value of the business. Equity is 8 billion. If it would be 20 billion, then we would be closer to margin of safety. Yes, if the stock goes down, it's unlikely it will ever go below this value, but something to think about. So not really wow margin of safety but just okay you know a few billion extra but 8 billion to 30 there is still plenty of room to go. We'll keep following updating you and know over time you see okay at some point it might get interesting. So something that I'm not cancelling but it's a little bit up. So just a little bit to the left, Aden, the European payment system. The market got scared because it went from 25% growth to 20% growth now 19. But then they are still growing at 19% P ratio 30. And now the market is liking it again a little bit. So it's still a 19% growth company. when you put it here in our valuation still there the 8% return a little bit of the left so that's something now something very interesting we discussed HPQ printers things like that PCs and it was cheap the dividend was 6% the buybacks were very high and now the stock is significantly above the levels we discussed we also made a video whether to sell HPQ now. Well, we went there at 25. So, it was smart for those that didn't sell, but the dividend yield is now 4%, the buybacks are still there, so there will be some growth, but I have to move it higher on the risk and lower of the return to put it here like a 7%. It's not as great as it was in the past. Whether to sell or not, I wish I knew where the stock price goes. I'm always saying look again at the fundamentals. Look how those fundamentals and returns on equity, owner's earnings, build your portfolio, and then make a decision. Did you buy it for 50% up or did you buy it for the dividends long-term business that is HPQ? That's something you have to decide. Domino's Pizza still good 5% dividend. So, Gregs went up a little bit. This is something interesting. So, it stays there. Nomad Foods. The stock went up a little bit over the last few months. The dividend is there. They're planning some restructuring, improving things in the second part of the year. If it works, it might go even higher. We have Microsoft there. Stock up 38%. If we look at the value, 487 stock price. If we look at the value intrinsic value if they keep on growing at 15% to 10% then yes there is value if they grow faster even more if they slow down then it looks much much risky and given that we discussed Microsoft how all the growth comes from entropic and open AI so fake revenues I'm putting at a high risk reward now from that perspective another >> [clears throat] >> one ferf and it is down. New CEO doesn't look that great but the stock price has stabilized. P ratio is low. Some segments like Clover is still growing there. And this is really a 2027 2028 situation. If they hit some of their targets, the P ratio will be eight and the business will be growing 8 time 15. That's much better than the current stock price, but not yet. I have also updated on my research platform a little bit and now it's to see the strategy. I own it in my diversified portfolio and we'll see whether I will add more next month. So, it stays there. Next one. Mercado Libé. I didn't buy at 1500. Now, we are at 2,000. Good results. Everything looks okay. Credit issues. as there are issues if nothing happens over a few months then those issues subdue and we are back to the story of growth so I'm leaving it there let's look a little bit at some of the latest videos 10centent and process that is now covered on my research platform gave you the analysis the implementation will remain on my research platform then we discussed other companies Nike tomorrow there will be a big fashion video and then you will see how it might fit your portfolio. Uber, okay, that's something we can add to the platform. Ahold also and we have the elevator stocks. As you can see, I'm really working on a lot of research, a lot of businesses, Iman's everything in order to develop my diversified portfolio on my research platform. So Uber looks like a great buy but on the quadrant goes on the bet sides which is a special video that will discuss all those bets some very interesting bets next week subscribe for that elevator stocks I have put them here 6% return likely and then thinking about it the verdict is there is competition that's eating up the growth the margin so it's not that good as It looks likely Chinese competition. I hold discussed it yesterday. Put it here. 4% dividend 4% buybacks. That's 7 8% defensive business. That would be the buys. We'll discuss this next week. And then you have to see perhaps the best buy for you is Birkshshire. Perhaps you want to own trees. Perhaps you want more growth, more risk, more ideas. Perhaps you want more China. Perhaps you want more value, perhaps more growth Latin America. And these are all interesting risk and reward buys and you have to see how those fit your portfolio. Look at all the specific videos if you're interested in some specific stocks in the links in description below. If you're interesting in what I do, check my research platform. Thanks for watching and I'll see you