The New AI Super Cycle just Started... (DON'T GET LEFT BEHIND)
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Entrada $30,97 31 ago 2026Atual $30,97 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
within software Zeta Global, Rubric, UiPath, Service Now, Zscaler, HubSpot, MongoDB, Snowflake, Data Dog, Back Blaze Pegasin even someone like a Reddit and Palenteer.
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within software Zeta Global, Rubric, UiPath, Service Now, Zscaler, HubSpot, MongoDB, Snowflake, Data Dog, Back Blaze Pegasin even someone like a Reddit and Palenteer.
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within software Zeta Global, Rubric, UiPath, Service Now, Zscaler, HubSpot, MongoDB, Snowflake, Data Dog, Back Blaze Pegasin even someone like a Reddit and Palenteer.
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within software Zeta Global, Rubric, UiPath, Service Now, Zscaler, HubSpot, MongoDB, Snowflake, Data Dog, Back Blaze Pegasin even someone like a Reddit and Palenteer.
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within software Zeta Global, Rubric, UiPath, Service Now, Zscaler, HubSpot, MongoDB, Snowflake, Data Dog, Back Blaze Pegasin even someone like a Reddit and Palenteer.
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Entrada $237,04 31 ago 2026Atual $237,04 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
within software Zeta Global, Rubric, UiPath, Service Now, Zscaler, HubSpot, MongoDB, Snowflake, Data Dog, Back Blaze Pegasin even someone like a Reddit and Palenteer.
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Entrada $14,13 31 ago 2026Atual $14,13 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
within software Zeta Global, Rubric, UiPath, Service Now, Zscaler, HubSpot, MongoDB, Snowflake, Data Dog, Back Blaze Pegasin even someone like a Reddit and Palenteer.
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Entrada $36,81 31 ago 2026Atual $36,81 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
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Entrada $367,95 31 ago 2026Atual $367,95 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
these are some of the ones that I like within robotics, Tesla, Rockwell Automation Symbiotics Zebra Technologies
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these are some of the ones that I like within robotics, Tesla, Rockwell Automation Symbiotics Zebra Technologies
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Entrada $39,67 31 ago 2026Atual $39,67 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
these are some of the ones that I like within robotics, Tesla, Rockwell Automation Symbiotics Zebra Technologies
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Entrada $353,55 31 ago 2026Atual $353,55 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
these are some of the ones that I like within robotics, Tesla, Rockwell Automation Symbiotics Zebra Technologies
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Entrada $86,39 31 ago 2026Atual $86,39 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
I like Wells Fargo. I like Robin Hood. I like SoFi. I like Fizzerf. I like Rue Lemonade, Oscar, Regional Banks, right?
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Entrada $104,81 31 ago 2026Atual $104,81 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
I like Wells Fargo. I like Robin Hood. I like SoFi. I like Fizzerf. I like Rue Lemonade, Oscar, Regional Banks, right?
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Entrada $17,88 31 ago 2026Atual $17,88 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
I like Wells Fargo. I like Robin Hood. I like SoFi. I like Fizzerf. I like Rue Lemonade, Oscar, Regional Banks, right?
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Entrada $52,23 31 ago 2026Atual $52,23 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
I like Wells Fargo. I like Robin Hood. I like SoFi. I like Fizzerf. I like Rue Lemonade, Oscar, Regional Banks, right?
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Entrada $29,96 31 ago 2026Atual $29,96 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
I like Wells Fargo. I like Robin Hood. I like SoFi. I like Fizzerf. I like Rue Lemonade, Oscar, Regional Banks, right?
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Entrada $268,74 31 ago 2026Atual $268,74 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
I like Royal Caribbean. I like Norwegian Cruise Line, Celsius, Blooming Brands, ELF at the right price.
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Entrada $16,14 31 ago 2026Atual $16,14 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
I like Royal Caribbean. I like Norwegian Cruise Line, Celsius, Blooming Brands, ELF at the right price.
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Entrada $31,45 31 ago 2026Atual $31,45 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
I like Royal Caribbean. I like Norwegian Cruise Line, Celsius, Blooming Brands, ELF at the right price.
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Entrada $10,30 31 ago 2026Atual $10,30 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
I like Royal Caribbean. I like Norwegian Cruise Line, Celsius, Blooming Brands, ELF at the right price.
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Entrada $6,96 31 ago 2026Atual $6,96 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
Sweet Green, Airbnb, Hilton, maybe Nike, that's a that's a contentious one for me at this point, but I could get behind it if you want to own it.
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Entrada $183,22 31 ago 2026Atual $183,22 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
Sweet Green, Airbnb, Hilton, maybe Nike, that's a that's a contentious one for me at this point, but I could get behind it if you want to own it.
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Entrada $316,28 31 ago 2026Atual $316,28 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
Sweet Green, Airbnb, Hilton, maybe Nike, that's a that's a contentious one for me at this point, but I could get behind it if you want to own it.
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Entrada $39,06 31 ago 2026Atual $39,06 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
Sweet Green, Airbnb, Hilton, maybe Nike, that's a that's a contentious one for me at this point, but I could get behind it if you want to own it.
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Entrada $43,81 31 ago 2026Atual $43,81 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
If you believe in Nike, Las Vegas Sands, Uber, you know, these these are awesome companies that as the hardware trade falls out of favor even more over the next couple of months, these are some of the stocks that are going to see more capital inflows to them.
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Entrada $75,65 31 ago 2026Atual $75,65 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
If you believe in Nike, Las Vegas Sands, Uber, you know, these these are awesome companies that as the hardware trade falls out of favor even more over the next couple of months, these are some of the stocks that are going to see more capital inflows to them.
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Entrada $219,70 31 ago 2026Atual $219,70 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
I even like like a Take Two Interactive, you know, GTA 6, dude. Yeah. Like I would much rather own that than Nvidia or the next guy, the next AI hardware stock.
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Entrada $220,78 31 ago 2026Atual $220,78 31 ago 2026Resultado +$0,00
I even like like a Take Two Interactive, you know, GTA 6, dude. Yeah. Like I would much rather own that than Nvidia or the next guy, the next AI hardware stock.
Transcrição Completa
What if I told you that the momentum trade just had its worst month in 40 years? This quote unquote momentum trade is AI hardware stocks. But what if I also told you that the AI hardware trade is over with and the new AI trade is beginning and this opens up a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. Now, I realize I've talked about this on the channel quite a bit, but a lot of you guys are brand new to the channel, and I don't want you to miss the opportunity either. In this video, we're going to do a couple of things. I'm going to explain the problems behind the AI hardware trade, why that trade is slowly dying, what the new AI trade actually is, and then I want to share with you guys some of these segments from this 12 minutee long clip on CNBC today where basically they went around the table today. the Goofy Gang and uh talked about the AI trade, their thoughts, their expectations, what's happening, why these AI hardware stocks are not doing well, and then we're going to wrap this video off with my favorite stocks within the new AI trade. Ladies and gentlemen, the only thing I ask for in exchange for this video is to hit the like button for the YouTube algorithm. Let us know you are listening and you are prepared to capitalize on this yes once in a lifetime opportunity in the stock market. It helps push these videos out to more people so they can also benefit from it. And look, keep in mind I'm not a financial adviser. This is not a recommendation. This is not a solicitation to buy, sell, or trade anything and contact a financial adviser before making investment decisions. I do run a program where I point out opportunities. I share what I'm investing in, how I'm finding these opportunities, what characteristics are of the companies we're investing in, and why I think Wall Street is wrong. We are up 99% year to date. The best performing hedge fund is up 72% year-to- date. We would be the best performing hedge fund in the stock market this year. So, look, you don't have to listen to me, but we've been incredibly accurate this year. That's all I'm going to say. If you guys do want to come trade and invest alongside of us, that link is obviously down below in the description of today's episode. I'm going to shout it out when I have the chance to, but it's not necessary. Okay, so you guys are going to hear in this video a lot. Okay, I want to start with the problems around the AI hardware trade, why hardware stocks are selling off, why that trade is over with, and what the new AI trade is. We're going to get to the CNBC clip. We're going to get to the stocks that I like. We're going to get to all of these things. But I want to start here. [snorts] I I just want to lay it out for you guys. So, if you don't care about anything else, at least you know, at least somebody told you about the once in a-lifetime opportunity before everyone else knew about it. Okay, here's the problem with AI hardware stocks. As simply as I can put it, Enthropic and OpenAI missed their revenue estimates and gave disappointing 2027 guidance. That's it. That's the big problem. Why? Because Enthropic and OpenAI have over $1 trillion worth of commitments and purchase obligations from hyperscalers, who else knows who over the next couple of years. Their revenue simply doesn't support it. What does that mean? They're going to have to take on a lot of debt. They're going to have to issue a lot of bonds. They're going to have to go to private credit. [snorts] They're going to have to have very successful IPOs. and it's just becoming unsustainable at the scale in which we are now currently at. That's the bottom line if you want to boil it all down to that. That's the problem. We no longer have a sentimental issue like a deepseek moment or oh my gosh, China's producing a new chip. Like that's not what this is. This is a fundamental problem. And there's a big difference between a sentimental problem and a fundamental problem. Part of the reason I'm up 99% year-to- date in the trading community is because I love absolutely love taking advantage of sentimental emotional crap that investors go through, right? Investors, they get scared all the time. And if it's a for a sentimental reason that is not fundamentally changing the business, you can make a lot of money in those opportunities. But you want to be very careful when the fundamentals are shifting. And this is what is happening in the AI hardware trade, at least for now. Robotics are going to come, humanoids are going to come, things are going to ramp up again for AI hardware, but it's it's going to take a while. Number two, circular financing is hitting problematic levels. Nvidia is literally taking on debt and spending all of their money to give it to other companies to buy Nvidia products. The cat's out the bag. This is unsustainable. People just don't know when it's going to stop. Okay, so that's a big problem. Number three, politics around data centers. You're going to hear a lot about that in the clip today on CNBC in this video. There's a lot of problems around that. Number four, we have high expectations overall. So, think about it like this. If you're investing in a stock, if we think things are good, great. If they're good and that's what we get, you're not going to make money on that. You don't get rewarded for being correct. You get rewarded for being more bullish than the markets were. And at this point, with expectations as high as they are for AI hardware, it's really hard to impress investors. That's the that's the fact. It's just almost impossible at this point to give you something that's new or much better than expected. So, that's just a hindrance on the entire trade at this point. Number five, there are other better opportunities in the market that have been outperforming and people are slowly starting to figure that out and to shift shift capital into other areas. And then number six, Elon came out over this weekend and said there's about 15 gawatts worth of data centers that are expected to come online in 2027 and we simply don't have the power to bring them online. So on top of everything else, there's this power concern. These are the problems with AI hardware. Now, I will be totally honest with you guys. I'm not the bubble popping kind of guy. Eventually, the debt's going to catch up with AI hardware. Eventually, there's going to be a problem. There's probably going to be bailouts. I will tell you that. I don't know when it's going to be. The circular financing could go for longer than we think. It could be 5 years from now before the bubble pops and we have some kind of recession from this. Eventually, it'll likely happen. I don't think we're close to that. But I do think AI hardware stocks are slowly drifting out of relevance. Okay? They will become smaller waitings in the S&P over time. Investors will shift their attention to other stocks. This happened with SMCI in 2023 and 2024. SMCI was the company. SMCI misses on earnings. Oh my gosh, it's terrible for the markets, right? Nobody cares about SMCI anymore. Eventually, the AI trade will get to that point where, oh, bad news for Nvidia. Who cares? Bad news for Dell, who cares, right? right now and recently it's been kind of uh bad news destroys the whole trade. You you're going to slowly start to fade out of relevance over time. That's going to take a while. It's not going to happen overnight, but two years from now, nobody's going to give a about AI hardware anymore. Not to the same extent they do today. So, those are the problems right now with the AI hardware trade. And it doesn't help that we're heading into a seasonally volatile period like the month of September during a midterm election year. September historically is either really good or really bad. Like there's there's no in between. Most of the time you tend to fall in September, but there are some instances where you can have a really good September. And look, we have our Fed meeting on September 16th. The markets are pricing in about a 65% probability of a Fed rate hike. Look, if we have a hike, stocks are going to crash. Okay? I don't think I have to tell you that if the war with Iran ends, regardless of what the data looks like, we're not going to get a hike and stocks are going to rip. There's a scenario where the war with Iran ends and we get good inflation data. We get a bad jobs report on Friday and we have this ultra aggressive upside rally in the month of September. There's another scenario where the war with Iran does not end and maybe the jobs report is really bad on Friday and maybe inflation is really good next week and we don't get a rate hike either. You know, there's so many different outcomes right now. We don't know what's going to happen. So, I don't want you guys to like think about this as a short-term thing in my portfolio. I'm investing in this new AI trade for the next one to three years. Eventually, the new AI trade, which we'll talk about here in just like 30 seconds, bear with me. Eventually, the trade will get wore out just like hardware is today. Eventually, the opportunity will be gone. But I think we are literally in the infancy stage. Okay? We we haven't even started to grow up yet. Okay? If we're putting this in like a baby analogy, your girlfriend's still pregnant. Okay? The kid ain't even here yet. What is the new AI trade? Four areas. Robotics, automation, AI software, cyber security. Why is this the new the new AI trade? It's the natural evolution of the AI trade. It's just happening right now. And Wall Street, they're really bad at predicting where the puck is going. They're really good at chasing the puck. Like Wall Street is the best chasers in the world. If you're trying to make a lot of money though, you have to position before Wall Street. That's it. The fact that Wall Street's not even talking about this new AI trade yet means you're very early. So robotics automation AI software and cyber security. Why is this the new AI trade to be more specific? These are some of the companies in the stock market that have the best margins, that have the lowest cyclicality to their business models. Most of these companies, if not all of these companies, sell directly to other businesses that need their product, that need their service. These are not business to consumer companies, right? These are not companies that have to raise a lot of debt. They're very shareholder friendly. They have massive they're massive winners from AI. Not building AI, but enabling and using AI. like AI software companies, they're not the ones that benefit from Nvidia selling GPUs. You know, these software companies, they're benefits, benefits, beneficiaries, however you want to put it, of real companies adopting AI in a real way. And that's going to take some time. That's going to take years for this to happen. Just like the internet, people didn't go out and make websites overnight. It took years for companies to figure out what was going on. I think AI is going to move faster. I think, you know, within the next year, year and a half, you're going to see massive inflection in the amounts of companies using AI. Who's going to benefit from that? Robotics, automation, AI software, and cyber. But yet, they're also the companies with the highest margins, lowest cyclicality in their business models, right? Most shareholder friendly, low to no debt at these companies, right? It's the natural evolution of the AI trade. And look, I don't know what's going to happen in the next four weeks, but I am damn certain 12 months from now, the stocks that we're about to talk about are going to be much higher. That's my opinion. I'm exposed to this. I'm talking my books here. Again, I made a lot of money on this theme already, but we're we're very early, right? We haven't even got to like the S-curve starting point of enterprise AI adoption. You might think so. call up ju dude go read some transcripts out there like nobody is actually using AI in their business in mass right now it's just not happening there's a lot of bottlenecks to that most companies have very unstructured data so they'll have like video files next to video files next to text files with you know new things being generated via their chat bots right there's all of this unstructured data and that's why like a data dog and snowflake have so much demand right now it's because companies are trying to rearchitect their data to actually be able to use AI in their businesses, right? It's a process. And and there's other reasons why AI is not fully adopted yet. Like people just don't know how to use this Like back in the 80s and 90s, one of the big reasons why the internet did not catch on faster was because people didn't know how to use it, right? They tried to slap internet or internet and computers onto legacy things they were doing. you kind of have to rearchitect the whole thing for the new technology. Okay, I could talk 30 minutes about that, but it's coming. And Wall Street, they generally price things in before they happen. So, what you're going to see happen is robotics, automation, AI, software, cyber security, they have massive demand coming over the next couple of years. That is starting right now, but it's very early. It's going to ramp up over the next 12 months, over the next 24 months, three years from now. These companies are going to be fundamentally different companies than they are today in a better way. In my view, you got to be early if you want to make a lot of money. And that's even why like six months from now, these stocks are going to be a lot higher than where they are today. In my view, again, not a financial adviser, not a financial planner here. I am talking my book and I I hope this makes sense to you guys within software Zeta Global, Rubric, UiPath, Service Now, Zscaler, HubSpot, MongoDB, Snowflake, Data Dog, Back Blaze Pegasin even someone like a Reddit and Palenteer. You know, there's others, right? But these are some of the ones that I like within robotics, Tesla, Rockwell Automation Symbiotics Zebra Technologies, and then of course with Cyber, you can kind of I think all cyber is going to benefit here, but again, I like Rubric. I like Zcaler. I think those offer the best, you know, riskrewards here. I also like things outside of the new AI trade. I think financials outside of AI financials like JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs and uh Morgan Stanley, they've kind of been ignored for a while. Financials are trading at really low valuations. I like Wells Fargo. I like Robin Hood. I like SoFi. I like Fizzerf. I like Rue Lemonade, Oscar, Regional Banks, right? I like healthcare. I like cyclicals. I like Royal Caribbean. I like Norwegian Cruise Line, Celsius, Blooming Brands, ELF at the right price. I actually sold ELF this year because the valuation's kind of insane, but at the right price, I like E.L.F. Sweet Green, Airbnb, Hilton, maybe Nike, that's a that's a contentious one for me at this point, but I could get behind it if you want to own it. If you believe in Nike, Las Vegas Sands, Uber, you know, these these are awesome companies that as the hardware trade falls out of favor even more over the next couple of months, these are some of the stocks that are going to see more capital inflows to them. Now, again, robotics automation AI software cyber security, that's where the crazy growth is going to be, right? That's where the trend is going for the AI trade. But these are also companies that are going to benefit from implementation of AI. It's going to take a while, but these are in my view kind of lower risk, lower reward ways to play the AI trade that I believe will still outperform AI hardware. Like I still think Royal Caribbean is going to outperform an AI hardware stock. Now, some hardware will do okay. You know, it's not like they're all screwed, but I just the riskreward is terrible in hardware. I even like like a Take Two Interactive, you know, GTA 6, dude. Yeah. Like I would much rather own that than Nvidia or the next guy, the next AI hardware stock. Now, again, ladies and gentlemen, I do want to play for you guys parts of this um this clip from CNBC. It's it's it's kind of long, but I do think, you know, hearing what I just said after you listen to this clip, it's going to resonate with you a lot, I think, about the new AI trade, where the opportunity is, where the value is, etc. >> Are up, oil's up, and thus stocks are down. Iran and the US trading military strikes. So, that's got a little bit of unease in the market. And as we said, September historically the worst month for returns for stocks. That's looming large. I thought we'd start with what is our takeaway from what happened last week was which was such a consequential week going in. Uh Nvidia, what did they do? They validated the AI story as much as they had to and where demand is >> currently sitting. And the war speech, he was definitely hawkish, but I mean that doesn't mean September is a shoe in in any by any means for a rate hike. So >> what now? Where does that leave us as we have September looming? Oh, I still think we're stumbling a little bit as we go into September, specifically related to the momentum. >> Oh, I knew you were going to go there. >> You knew I was going. >> I I'm glad you did. Um, so tell me more and then I'll bring in, you know, something to add to that conversation because the Wall Street Journal was was writing about that today and the some of the stats that they have are are pretty staggering. But you tell me what's on your mind. >> I had hoped and I and I think Brenn can confirm this. I had hoped that you'd get that shot of adrenaline into the momentum factor as a derivative of the Nvidia earnings call. You really didn't get it, Scott. It was it was somewhat disappointing in that regard. I don't think Micron or Corning really went anywhere. The following day, you heard from Marll. That was a second opportunity to kind of restart the momentum trade too because that didn't do anything either. >> It didn't. So, we kind of had this inability to do that. I I think that leaves us in a position where focusing on positioning as you move into September and October, momentum funds like myself, they're kind of getting more confirmation of moving away moving away from that high beta AI exposure into your healthcare into your energy and by the way into commodities. We're going to talk a little bit about this as the show evolves, but I will tell you agriculture prices right now are on fire. The momentum is clearly intense in that commodity. >> I think strategists are are speaking to exactly what you're talking about. >> As for momentum, and I mentioned this piece uh in the journal by Greg Zuckermanman and uh Gjen Banerjee. I thought it was interesting. The momentum index has tumbled more than 9% since July 1st, lagging behind the S&P's 2.8% gain. The index is on track for the biggest quarterly underperformance in 25 years. July was the second worst month for the momentum trade in around 40 years. That's according to Bank of America estimates that they cite. The only month that was worse was April of '09 when we were right in the midst of the the financial crisis. So if you needed more evidence of just how tough it's been Shan for momentum, say no more than that because that paints it pretty clearly. Wolf points out on Marll the rallies come to a screeching halt. If that trade has come to a halt, is it a problem or not? Well, I think if you look at the the proportion of the names that have essentially led this momentum rally over the last year or so, then I think that if you look at the index itself, that is a challenge and you're looking for some form of catalyst that can drive semis and other AI related momentum plays higher in this environment. And the challenge is is that just as you and Joe said, Scott, Nvidia didn't do it. And I think that again, you're looking for some sort of use case or um tangible change in terms of demand that's going to drive these names higher over the course of the next six to eight weeks. >> I'm not even sure what do you need a change in demand? I mean, demand is off the charts. >> I I think what you need is I think you need a new I think you need a new narrative. I I think you need somebody this has been essentially priced in in my view in terms of what does that demand look like? We're not at risk. I don't think the AI narrative is at risk, but I think in terms of that next step function higher in terms of some of these names, I do think it's challenging right now to just look at those as being the market leaders. The other thing that's happened is that the sectors that have been performing better over the course of the last couple of months. The challenge is is that they don't make up enough of the index to really move the needle. >> I'll tell you have this confluence of events with the data centers. I think it's really important. last week, you know, X or Twitter found a bot swarm of 200,000 Chinese bots, you know, having misinformation about data centers and energy. And I think unfortunately the politicians on both sides are just eating it up. I mean, I know that Centerpoint here in Texas just announced $5 billion initiative to pay back to residents large in large part from the data center buildout. PG&E out in California just announced the same thing. And so I do think I agree with you Scott. I think the data center is real because not only do we need this buildout to go, but also outside of data centers getting push back from people from Abbott all the way to Newsome, we also have that, you know, 60% of the planned data centers that have been approved to come online in 2027 haven't even broken ground. So I think this comes this air pocket that we're seeing whether it's G for down 10 Nvidia should have rallied but didn't. I do think you have to like ask the hard questions why aren't these stocks rallying. Genova should be over a thousand but it's not. So I think that we are setting up right now especially going into midterms going back to the 60s. The data is really clear from September to November we typically get about a 10% draw down in most years. I don't think this year will be any different. That being said, on the other side of that, after midterms, returns are very, very positive. But I do think investors need to like ask the questions. You know, going back to what Joe said on Nvidia, you know, I did not like that 60% of their revenues this last quarter were account receivables. Like, why is that? Why can't these people just pay their bills? Why why does that need to be such a big number? And so I'm trying to look look through the tea leaves and just take from the market what it's telling me and say is there something bigger coming on here that's going to cause the bigger draw down. I don't know the answer at this point but I think you can't just be polyiana about all of this and you need to be pragmatic as an investor. >> So let me know your thoughts on this down below in the comment section. Hit the like button as well as subscribe to the channel if you guys have not done so already. If you guys again want to come trade and invest alongside of us, that link is down below in the description of today's episode as well.
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