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the only thing there is to do is to is to prepare and accumulate.
Contexto extraído por IA “The only thing there is to do is to is to prepare and accumulate. Manage your risk.”
Transcrição Completa
Incredible crypto charts playing out right now. This is Bitcoin on the daily. It's this move, the 50-day moving average printing, getting ready to print above the 200 day moving average, the golden cross. While if you go look at an altcoin dominance chart right now, for almost a year going back to October of 2025, altcoin dominance excluding top 10 has been trending upwards. And right now on this monthly chart that you see currently still 24 days left. We are having this moment an April 2020 style moment for altcoins. And the total crypto market cap chart right now is getting ready to enter a very special phase. And I say that to you, whether you think it's a four-year cycle that we're on, a business cycle, whether you just don't care or you do care, it doesn't matter because right now something is happening on this chart that just happens and signals when we get bull moves. So, we're going to kind of dissect all of these things in a very meaningfully and simple way. And I want to start with Bitcoin because right now we have some crazy things going on on Bitcoin in terms of structure. We were kind of tracking this channel that Bitcoin has been in on the daily. We got the fake breakout to the downside, a pull back into the channel, and now we're kind of testing this lower trend line. But there's something more, I would say, clear if we zoom in on the charts a little bit. And I really do want to talk about this because what you see here is a 4hour chart. I'm going to show you in like 30 seconds why what you see here. We're going to visualize it on a weekly chart. Why this moment is so critical for crypto. This is a potential inverse head and shoulder setup, right? That's the structure that's playing out. The question is, do we get a confirmation, a right shoulder to bring us to the neckline? But that is just the thing because this is not just your everyday regular neckline right here. This entire region that Bitcoin kind of keeps failing at here that if you go over here, let me let me change this to a weekly chart. That's a 4hour chart, 4hour structure. But what we're contending with right now is macro cycle style resistance, this 50week moving average. So that 4hour chart very zoomed in. We're wondering what will happen. Look at this. Bitcoin is right here at this weekly chart, this 50week moving average. And you might be like, well, Bitcoin, it's a it's kind of above it for me. This is you can see this last weekly close, right? This just happened. That is not that is not very convincing to me. What I like to see is an escape and a separation of this. I would like to see Bitcoin. It's going to be very interesting and fun. Not only just the next seven days, the next 14 days because what happens leading into clarity and then after into the clarity act vote and then after it's like what the 15th is closure the the vote, right? So what is price action going to do but I want to see separation but it's all kind of coming together on the 4hour chart and we're going to get a sense. I mean this might fail. We have to be very very careful for a pullback. If we go to Bitcoin back on the weekly chart, let me just demonstrate this for you. If this fails, and it is a very normal thing if it does, I I want to just underline that by saying even if it fails and we dip back to the 60s, we are in a cycle shift from bare market into bull market. As far as I see these charts, that's all it is. It's just it's just how I'm seeing things. But we have this potential inverse head and shoulders over here in play. We're coming back down. Maybe we're testing the 200week moving average in the 60s again. Bears are celebrating. There's nothing to celebrate really. If you're a bear or a bull, the only thing there is to do is prepare in this range. We are in accumulation range. I've talked about it non-stop. We're in a lower risk range, a way lower risk range. That is the only thing to do is is to is to prepare and accumulate. Manage your risk. Figure out what your own risk tolerance is. But this is what's going on here on the weekly chart. And so there's a story playing out both on the cycle weekly chart, but as well as a 4hour chart. And that becomes exciting to me. And what I want to mention though is kind of getting away from Bitcoin, but at the same time keeping in mind the resistance and this this grappling that Bitcoin is at right now. I want to go over here and I want to look at the total crypto market cap. We are approaching the special moment. It's very simple. It's the technical level. That's why I said doesn't matter if you think four cycle, business cycle, it doesn't matter. When Bitcoin or not Bitcoin, when this chart breaks this green line, the 20-month moving average, it's just bullish. I mean, just look at it. This this indicates bull moves, bull markets right here. Right here, right? Right here. And here's what's exciting to me, and we're really going to start dissecting this now. This move was bullish. That wasn't even the bull market, right? This was a bull market to me, defined as a bull market. We had very nice just parabolic gains to new highs for all of crypto. We had the expansion of the business cycle because that's what this graph is at the bottom of the screen. This is incredibly meaningful to me. And it's the same in the 2020 cycle. Everything went to all-time highs. Expansion of the business cycle. This the diff the difference is not everything went to all-time highs this time. But notice there was no expansion of the business cycle. Guess what? We are having expansion of the business cycle now. similar to the 2020 bull as well as back here in the 2016 and 2017 bull. That's where we are right now. And it becomes even more exciting when you start going to look at the the uh the altcoin dominance excluding the top 10 because I said we're at this kind of 2000 and uh 20 April 2020 moment is because look at this. We have the 20-month moving average being broken right now. So interesting to me is since quantitative tightening ended at this line in December 2025, this chart has trended up. Last cycle, well July 2019 when QT ended, this chart altcoin dominance started trending up. And what was this is it was a pivot out of contraction into expansion of this business cycle that you see here. The the economic expansion that the US kind of went through. And so this is exactly what's happening right now. We have the QT ending, altcoin dominance trending upwards. And we have a shift out of contraction now into expansion for the first time in like 5 to 6 years, everybody. And you know what's happening at this 20-month moving average right now? And we can compare it to back here because it yeah, it looks the same, but this April 2020 area, May 2020 area, you know what was happening back then? Let me go to the Bitcoin daily chart. We've noted the 50-day moving average getting ready to make its way above that red line. That is the 200 day moving average. Well, you know what was happening back here in May, April of 2020 when altcoin dominance was getting ready to explode into its bull market. Check it out. May 2020, there it is. The 50-day moving above the 200 day moving average. We have an incredible confluence of things coming together that it's not clickbait. It's not hype. as I present this data to you within like 10 minutes. This is not something that happens like every six months or something. The last time that we've had these events line up in this manner is literally back here in May of 2020, April of 2020. And it all is kind of playing out right now in real time. We have to prepare for volatility, prepare for pullbacks and dips. And you know, Bitcoin and crypto could fall, but it doesn't change the fact that I really think we are in a massive and beautiful cycle shift out of a very, very, very long winter into a bull summer. Don't care what you call it, but these are my thoughts. I wanted to kind of bring it to you. I wanted to take the zoomed out as well as the zoomed in and kind of try and tell the story and pull it all together. So, I appreciate you. If you got any value from that, hit the subscribe. That means a ton to me. Hit the like button. That also helps the channel a I I will see you in the next video. God bless.
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