Bitcoin is About to CRASH!!!

All right, guys. Sorry I haven't made a video in a while, but I wanted to make an update for you cuz some very interesting kind of strange things are going on. We got an announcement from old Trump later on today, and we may have some extreme volatility hitting these markets. So, I want to update you with my Bitcoin trades, my recent altcoin trades. Some are doing phenomenally, others are actually lower than where I entered. So, I want to always be fully transparent with you guys and give you an idea as to what I'm seeing right now because there's actually some price action happening with Bitcoin that not a lot of people are talking about and it's quite interesting. So, I'm going to go over all of that with you. Please remember this. Just before we jump into the video, please remember nothing in this video is financial advice. I am not a financial adviser. Crypto is extremely risky and no results are guaranteed. There are some affiliate links in the description and I may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. Please excuse my setup right now. I am sitting in the airport heading back home. But we can see Bitcoin right now 81,500. And I'm sure people aren't very happy with where Bitcoin is sitting right now. I know it can be a little bit frustrating at times. But what I wanted to actually point out is something quite interesting that I haven't seen many talk about yet. And that is kind of this retest that's happening, this breakout and this retest. So first of all, you know guys, I'm looking at this 50 uh day moving average or the 50. Actually, this is on the 50 week. So the 50week moving average has always been a support for a bull market. A lot of people claim that right now we are definitely in a bull market. So if we are guys, we should expect that Bitcoin sits above this 50WE moving average. However, it's completely normal in a bull market even just after we break out to retest the 50WE. You see right there, we tested it right here. We tested it right here as well. And then when we lose it and we actually close a weekly candle below, that actually signifies the end of the bull market. Checking this out, you can see we didn't actually start the bull market the first time we broke it back here in 19. We actually went back down into it when the old rona broke out. But if COVID didn't happen, potentially the bull market really started here, which would be a similar start to the bull market in 23 and a similar start to the bull market in potentially 2026. Now this is where the money is made. If you can manage to enter and sustain the volatility. Now there will be volatility. The least amount of volatility right now in my opinion will be a retest of the 50WE. Then the next level of high or the higher level of volatility from there will be the 200 day that we see on the chart. If we switch it down to the daily, you're going to see the 200 day right now sits at about 72,000. Now, on top of that, we have a phenomenon that I just noticed when I was studying the charts to try and figure out what might happen. And this is interesting because it seems so obvious, but I don't see a lot of people talking about it. But you see where this low was, right? It was just below the all-time highs back in 2021. All right. So, if we go down there, you can see that we are about 16% lower than the all-time high in 2021. Now, let's take a look at the last bare market. the bare market bottom in 2022. What does that line up with? Just below the all-time high of 2017. So, we can see here if we take our measuring tool and we go down, it's about 20% just under 20% from the high all-time high in 2017 to the low of the bare market. And guys, guess where we sit right now? We are, of course, still above the all-time high of 2021. And this is where lies a potential of us figuring out where we might go. So if we take the all-time high, we put it right around here, and then we drag it down about 16 to 20%. That's about $55,000 for Bitcoin. So we have three areas to watch in my opinion here. Now, as you know, I was uh expecting a new low to happen, right? But now we've broken out of the bare market uh resistance, right? The the local high of the bare market resistance. So now, in my opinion, it's more likely that we are actually heading into the bull market. So therefore, my mind switched. I get more risk on into my trades, which we're going to talk about in a second. But it also means that now I'm analyzing the market with my bullish lens on rather than expecting more likely there'll be a new low. I'm actually expecting more likely that we simply have a pullback to retest a certain area and then the bull market then starts. Right? And guys, this lasts a few years. This isn't something that happens overnight. You have to be uh uh patient and willing to sustain the volatility. And that's the reason we're having this discussion right now. It's the sustaining of the volatility that makes the winners in these moments, right? I made all of my money in crypto. Not all of it, but the majority of it uh or my first substantial win was in 21 because I could sustain the volatility in 2019. 2019 there was that massive crash for COVID. But because I sustained the volatility, I made all the money again. repeated it again in 22 23 and then the 24 25 bull market. Incredible. And now we do it again. We rinse and repeat. We know it works. So I'm not trying to reinvent the wheel. But what that means is one of our lows is a $55,000 Bitcoin. So we have a few options here. $55,000 uh for Bitcoin if we get exactly the same price action in comparison to the previous high that we've seen in the last two bull markets and bare markets that I've been in. Now in the daily we have the 200day moving average which sits right now at 72,000. So 55,000 72,000 and if we jump back to the weekly we know the 50 week currently sits at 76,000. So why am I saying this? Well guys, if you are bullish like I am or at least you think that there is a higher probability of the bull market starting then I've just given you three very very important levels to watch. These are the most likely levels according to history for us to bounce. So if we don't bounce at the 50w week, we might bounce at the 200 day and we might also bounce at that $55,000 region. All very important regions to watch and these are zones that I would consider going long with size with Bitcoin. Now if I was to do that right, I would be doing it by looking closely at the other data that coincides with this. basic TA, which is what we've just done, coupled with the leverage data. So, we talk about the leverage data all the time here on this channel. Let's get this to the 30-day. See where we sit right now. This is exactly what I want to see. So, if we continue down to these regions, it's getting more and more likely or probable in my eyes that I can do a swing trade on Bitcoin, 3x to 10x leverage, and actually make profit looking at these three extremely important zones. Because right now, we see 11.12 billion. in shorts. At the same time, we have about 5.18 billion in longs, which shows me more than double the market is bullish on or sorry, bearish on Bitcoin. And they're willing to take these leveraged positions. So, I do the opposite. Now, let's jump into the trade. The last one that we opened, $91,000 on this one and probably about $50 or $60,000 in the other account. Yeah, $60,000 in the other account. So, $150,000 in profit. I've already taken profits from these trades and now we wait. Even though I expect pullbacks, I'm waiting. And that might seem weird for some people. But even with a pullback, right, there's still opportunity. Look here, the ENA trade that I shared with you, this had 15 or so thousand of profit right around there. Now we're back down to 4.8. I want to ride these positions into the bull market. These are not shortterm trades. These are longerterm swing positions that I want to have substantial size in going into the bull market. So what this shows me is now I have an entry or an opportunity to build this position. I can use my available margin to double my position at a better price rather than doing what the majority of the market do which is sell here right and buy here. So I'm not doing that. And then remember the other trade that I shared with you guys tia now $18,700 in profit which is unbelievable. 444% profit in a marketwide pullback with only $3,400 margin. So, $3,500 into $18,000 in just about a week or two since I alerted this in the free group. So, with that said, guys, I have a completely free group linked below this video if you want to see when I maybe add to that ENA trade or when I open my new altcoin trade. It's going to be the second link below this video and you will be alerted when I make these trades. This is free in partnership with exchanges that I work with and all you have to do is use those exchanges. So, pause this video now and go and get it because right now there's incredible bonus. There's airdrops waiting for you in that free Telegram group. Position airdrops on these partner exchanges. So, go and make the best of that. And if you are looking for an exchange to trade on, guys, Kelshi is also the first link below this video. Now, you can see I've been trying out Kelshi's platform. I've been trading and if I get up to $1 million in volume on Kelchi Perpetuals, I can get myself $500 in a trading bonus. Now, this is exactly what I want in a market environment like this, trying out a new platform. By the way, this is a regulated platform and they're giving $500 trading bonuses away to people who are actually using the platform right now. On top of that, if you are in the US and you uh sign up using the affiliate link in this video, remember it's the first link below this video in the description. If you sign up and you're in the US, you can also get yourself a $50 bonus. So, make sure you get that before these bonuses run out, guys. As you know, I like to trade on a bunch of different exchanges here. I like to uh spread out my risk. All right? I like to have different exchanges, and having these partners gives me the opportunity to give you guys the best possible bonuses while giving you platforms that I actually use and actually think are very good in these markets. So, if you want to get that $500 bonus and $50 bonus, Kelshi will be the first link down there in the description. And then, of course, I do want to share with you guys that it's not always profitable these trades, right? I opened a 10,000 Sooie trade, 10,000 Sooie tokens trade uh about 3 days ago or so on the pullback. And right now, we are in the red. Right now, I'm holding this position and I actually want to build this position, right? So if we get a significant pullback, I'll probably double up this position size cuz I want a sooie position going into the bull market. Guys, in the last bull market, I had a sooie position. I opened it at token 2049 in 2024 and I absolutely printed on that trade and the price of sooie was in and around the same price it is right now. I think it was like maybe 70 to 90. We rode that trade all the way up to I think $3 or so making tens of thousands of dollars using leverage in the correct way or at least the way I think leverage should be used. Right? So that's what I share on this channel every day. My views on the market, specific areas of Bitcoin that I'm watching that I think are going to be really important and of course the macro that you need to know. Now you need to know that today Trump is set to make an announcement from the Oval Office at 1:30 p.m. ET. markets will be paying attention to what he says and to whether any of the implications it has on the economy, trade, and geopolitics. Why is this important? Well, right now, guys, I tell you, the stock market is in a little bit of a shaky area, right? We're close to all-time highs, but because it's at all-time highs and people basically believe this can't last. The AI trade is going to blow up. It's going to be a 2008 financial crisis all over again. This is how the market is thinking. So therefore, every time there's a little bit of bad news, there's a little bit of worry or wobbles, we get a big pullback in the market. Now, if we get a sustained pullback in the stock market, my plan is to divert a lot of my income directly into the S&P 500, directly into the NASDAQ. I have the stock channel, Connor Kenny Stocks, link there, where I talk about this, right? But that's what I want to do. Right now, the stock market's at all-time highs. So, I'm not excited. Remember, I'm a contrarian, right? I got very excited about the stock market in the middle of 25 when Trump crashed the markets because of tariffs. We had a pullback 20% on the S&P, 30% or so. Somewhere between 15 and 25% on the S&P and the NASDAQ. That's when you want to be paying attention. Where is Bitcoin right now? It's where we want to be paying attention, especially if we get a pullback to those three zones that I spoke about. Now, remember my uh my base case is now the bull market is starting. That's why I'm only talking about those zones. But could we get further pullbacks? Could things get worse? Absolutely. I just think the probability is lower that the bare market is extending from here. It doesn't mean it's not. So, make sure you use my videos as the first part of your research. And then you go out and continue your research using other people, using other platforms, and using other resources. Come up with your own strategies. And then once you have your own strategy, you can put them into play using, for example, Kelshi. And the reason why I'm suggesting it is because they have this $500 bonus plus another $50 if you are in the US. And you're only going to get this guys if you use the link below this video. So if you want to check out Kelshi guys, $500 trading bonus in the description plus the free Telegram groups that I have in partnership with these exchanges, other exchanges. You get the opportunity to see my trades in real time when I open these trades, when traders in these groups are opening trades, and what my macro analysts are seeing in the market. So, I think it's an absolutely phenomenal opportunity and all you need to do is use the exchange to get this free access. All right, guys. So, all of the links that you need are in the description. Free group is link number two. Kelchi is link number one. And even the crypto school is also linked down there in the description. So, if you want to check out all of that, guys, I would love to have you in any of those places. Feel free to start your research using those links. And I'll catch you in the next one. Peace.