BUY, HOLD, or SELL? I Tested My AI Portfolio - And The Results Are Shockingly Insane - Act Fast!!!
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Entrada $940,76 18 ago 2026Atual $1.027,77 09 set 2026Resultado +$87,01vs. índice +9,9% SPY −0,7% no mesmo período
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…remain important risks. The stock still trades at a relatively low forward earnings multiple compared with major semiconductor peers. Based on the performance sheet, my stance remains undervalued with a target price of approximately 1,500. I would continue holding and consider gradually adding during meaningful pullbacks. Next is Microsoft. Microsoft has advanced approximately 20% from the initial covered price of 400. The company continues benefiting from Azure growth, enterprise AI adoption, and increasing demand for Microsoft 365 Copilot. Its enormous co…
I would continue holding and consider gradually adding during meaningful pullbacks.
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Entrada $481,63 18 ago 2026Atual $491,65 09 set 2026Resultado +$10,02vs. índice +2,7% SPY −0,7% no mesmo período
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…oft offers customers access to several AI models, reducing dependency on any single provider. The stock remains below the 555 target shown in the performance sheet. My stance remains undervalued, although the margin of safety has narrowed. I would hold existing shares and add only during market weakness. Number three is Nvidia. Nvidia has generated approximately 8% since being covered near 207, with the stock now around 220. The company remains the dominant supplier of accelerated computing infrastructure, providing GPUs, networking equipm…
I would hold existing shares and add only during market weakness.
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Entrada $219,74 18 ago 2026Atual $223,67 09 set 2026Resultado +$3,93vs. índice +2,4% SPY −0,7% no mesmo período
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…tes suggest that the forward PE could decline considerably if earnings meet expectations. The performance sheet maintains an undervalued stance and a target of 310. Competition, export restriction, and custom accelerators remain risks, but I would continue holding and gradually add during significant corrections. Number four is Nabiax. Nabiax gained 31% from the original covered price of 204, rising to around 268. The position has already exceeded the 250 target shown in the performance sheet, and the trade is marked as closed. An alert was sent to…
I would continue holding and gradually add during significant corrections.
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Entrada $17,66 18 ago 2026Atual $17,33 09 set 2026Resultado −$0,33vs. índice −1,2% SPY −0,7% no mesmo período
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…uisition expense. SoFi also raised its full-year revenue outlook, reinforcing the growth thesis. The performance sheet maintains an undervalued stance and a target price of 30. Credit quality, loan exposure, and valuation remain key risks. I would hold existing shares and accumulate gradually during pullbacks. Next is Oracle. Oracle has returned approximately 16% from the initial coverage price of 126, rising to around 146. The company is transforming from a mature database provider into a rapidly growing AI and cloud infrastructure platform. Or…
I would hold existing shares and accumulate gradually during pullbacks.
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Entrada $569,77 18 ago 2026Atual $574,29 09 set 2026Resultado +$4,52vs. índice +1,5% SPY −0,7% no mesmo período
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…manufacturing, networking, and AI infrastructure. However, it remains concentrated among its largest holdings and can decline sharply during semiconductor corrections. The performance sheet maintains an undervalued stance and a 700 target. I would hold the position and use broad industry pullbacks to accumulate rather than attempting to pick one winning company. Next is Taiwan Semiconductor. TSMC has gained approximately 2.4% from the coverage price of 421. Its performance has been more modest than several other selections, but the central thesis remains intact. TSMC manufactures many of the world…
I would hold the position and use broad industry pullbacks to accumulate rather than attempting to pick one winning company.
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Entrada $413,41 18 ago 2026Atual $435,36 09 set 2026Resultado +$21,95vs. índice +6,0% SPY −0,7% no mesmo período
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…kaging capacity, and rising AI accelerator production support long-term growth. Geopolitical tensions, enormous capital requirement, and equipment costs remain significant risks. The sheet maintains an undervalued stance with a 550 target. I would hold and gradually accumulate during market-driven weakness. Next is SpaceX, my most controversial and hated stock pick. SpaceX has produced approximately 30% return since being covered around 110. The thesis is supported by growth across launch services, satellite connectivity, and cloud-related in…
I would hold and gradually accumulate during market-driven weakness.
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Entrada $158,25 18 ago 2026Atual $146,44 09 set 2026Resultado −$11,81vs. índice −6,8% SPY −0,7% no mesmo período
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…d free cash flow have all demonstrated strong growth. The main concerns are dependence on Google search traffic and uncertainty surrounding future AI licensing agreements. The performance sheet shows an undervalued stance and a 220 target. I would continue holding and accumulate cautiously during pullbacks. Next is SanDisk. SanDisk is the strongest performer on the sheet gaining approximately 33% from the covered price of 1344. The original thesis focused on tight net supply, improving pricing, accelerated earnings, and management's unusually…
I would continue holding and accumulate cautiously during pullbacks.
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Entrada $1.625,78 18 ago 2026Atual $1.764,17 09 set 2026Resultado +$138,39vs. índice +9,2% SPY −0,7% no mesmo período
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…olatility associated with memory cycles. Analyst commentary also reinforced management's confidence through 2030. The stock remains below the performance sheet target range of 2100 to 3000. Despite the rally, my stance remains undervalued. I would hold existing shares and consider adding only during significant corrections. Next is Lumentum. Lumentum has gained approximately 3% since being covered near 942 reaching around 969. The stock has not moved significantly yet, but the operating momentum remains encouraging. Lumentum supplies EML and continuous wave l…
I would hold existing shares and consider adding only during significant corrections.
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Entrada $873,31 18 ago 2026Atual $988,98 09 set 2026Resultado +$115,67vs. índice +13,9% SPY −0,7% no mesmo período
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…d margin expansion. Management believes gross margin still have room to improve. The performance sheet maintains an undervalued stance at a 1300 target. Because the valuation already assumes considerable growth, execution remains critical. I would maintain the position and use temporary pullbacks for gradual accumulation rather than chasing short-term rallies. Next is Coherent. Coherent has gained approximately 4.2% from the coverage price of $337 reaching roughly 351. Its latest results confirm strong AI-related momentum with data center and communications revenue growing rapidly and becoming t…
I would maintain the position and use temporary pullbacks for gradual accumulation rather than chasing short-term rallies.
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Entrada $306,43 18 ago 2026Atual $303,48 09 set 2026Resultado −$2,95vs. índice −0,3% SPY −0,7% no mesmo período
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…pcoming co-packaged optics products support continued growth. However, the stock's elevated forward valuation leaves limited protection if growth or margins disappoint. The performance sheet shows an undervalued stance and a 461 61 target. My position remains a cautious buy, preferably accumulated gradually during pullbacks rather than purchasing all at once.
My position remains a cautious buy, preferably accumulated gradually during pullbacks rather than purchasing all at once.
Transcrição Completa
On this channel, we have discussed many investment opportunities, but did those ideas actually work? For the benefit of my viewers and to provide transparency and measurable results, today I'm revealing the complete performance of every stock covered on this channel since I made my first ever face cam video. Since July 21, I have covered 13 stocks including Micron, Microsoft, Nvidia Navios SoFi Oracle SMH TSMC SpaceX Reddit SanDisk Momentum and Coherent. Based on an equal investment in every selection at the price when it was first identified, the portfolio has generated an average return of approximately 15% During the same period, the Nasdaq returned only 4.5%. That means our research-based portfolio has outperformed the Nasdaq index by more than three times. An assumed investment of 10,000 in each selection would show a combined gain of more than 20,000. Several picks performed well. SanDisk, SpaceX, and Navios gained more than 30%. Microsoft rose 20%, and Micron and Oracle advanced 16%. Please note that stock prices and calculated returns may vary depending on when you watch this video. These results do not guarantee that every investment will succeed, and the performance period is short. These results demonstrate that disciplined research, valuation, and focusing on business fundamentals can produce results. So, today instead of introducing a new stock, I will review every company I have covered so far. I will explain what has changed, whether my thesis remain intact, and whether each stock is still a buy, hold, or opportunity to take profits. Before going into details, please note that although I hold a master's degree with specialization in finance, I'm not a certified financial analyst. These videos are for information and entertainment purposes only. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decision. Please consider subscribing and liking the video if you find the information interesting. Now, let's start with our number one pick, Micron. Micron has gained approximately 16% since I first covered it near 865, even though the stock fell as low as 730 at one point. Even today, my investment thesis remains supported by strong AI demand for high-bandwidth memory, DRAM and NAND. Revenue growth, margin expansion, and long-term customer agreements provide greater visibility than previous memory cycles. However, supply expansion and pricing normalization remain important risks. The stock still trades at a relatively low forward earnings multiple compared with major semiconductor peers. Based on the performance sheet, my stance remains undervalued with a target price of approximately 1,500. I would continue holding and consider gradually adding during meaningful pullbacks. Next is Microsoft. Microsoft has advanced approximately 20% from the initial covered price of 400. The company continues benefiting from Azure growth, enterprise AI adoption, and increasing demand for Microsoft 365 Copilot. Its enormous commercial backlog provides strong future revenue visibility, while its relationship with the OpenAI is only one part of a broader AI strategy. Microsoft offers customers access to several AI models, reducing dependency on any single provider. The stock remains below the 555 target shown in the performance sheet. My stance remains undervalued, although the margin of safety has narrowed. I would hold existing shares and add only during market weakness. Number three is Nvidia. Nvidia has generated approximately 8% since being covered near 207, with the stock now around 220. The company remains the dominant supplier of accelerated computing infrastructure, providing GPUs, networking equipment, software, and complete AI systems. Hyperscale spending remains a major tailwind while the transition toward larger computing clusters strengthens demand for Nvidia's networking products. Future EPS estimates suggest that the forward PE could decline considerably if earnings meet expectations. The performance sheet maintains an undervalued stance and a target of 310. Competition, export restriction, and custom accelerators remain risks, but I would continue holding and gradually add during significant corrections. Number four is Nabiax. Nabiax gained 31% from the original covered price of 204, rising to around 268. The position has already exceeded the 250 target shown in the performance sheet, and the trade is marked as closed. An alert was sent to our Discord community members yesterday before market open. The original thesis centered on demand for third-party AI computing capacity as hyperscalers and AI developers struggle to secure enough infrastructure. Nabiax also indicated that the payback period on new AI contracts had shortened considerably, supporting the economics of its expansion. However, after such a rapid move beyond the target price, the risk to reward became less attractive. Closing the trade protected gains while avoiding unnecessary exposure to valuation and execution risks. I would consider adding Nabiax if it falls below my target price. Next is SoFi. SoFi has gained approximately 13% since being covered around 16, reaching roughly 18.5. Its latest results showed strong growth across revenue, adjusted EBITDA, membership, deposits, and financial products. The company benefits when existing members adopt additional services such as lending, investing, and credit cards because this generates more revenue without requiring another customer acquisition expense. SoFi also raised its full-year revenue outlook, reinforcing the growth thesis. The performance sheet maintains an undervalued stance and a target price of 30. Credit quality, loan exposure, and valuation remain key risks. I would hold existing shares and accumulate gradually during pullbacks. Next is Oracle. Oracle has returned approximately 16% from the initial coverage price of 126, rising to around 146. The company is transforming from a mature database provider into a rapidly growing AI and cloud infrastructure platform. Oracle cloud infrastructure growth, its expanding contracted backlog, and multi-cloud database partnerships support the long-term thesis. Its database services can operate inside Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services, and Google Cloud, increasing distribution. However, enormous data center investments create financing, execution, and free cash flow risks. The performance sheet shows a 250 target and an undervalued stance. I would continue holding while monitoring capital spending, debt, and the conversion of backlog into recognized revenue. Next is VanEck Semiconductor ETF. The ETF has gained approximately 10% since being covered near 540. SMH offers diversified exposure to the semiconductor industry, including chip designers, manufacturers, and equipment suppliers. This reduces the company-specific risk associated with owning only one semiconductor stock. The ETF benefits from continued spending on GPUs, memory, advanced manufacturing, networking, and AI infrastructure. However, it remains concentrated among its largest holdings and can decline sharply during semiconductor corrections. The performance sheet maintains an undervalued stance and a 700 target. I would hold the position and use broad industry pullbacks to accumulate rather than attempting to pick one winning company. Next is Taiwan Semiconductor. TSMC has gained approximately 2.4% from the coverage price of 421. Its performance has been more modest than several other selections, but the central thesis remains intact. TSMC manufactures many of the world's most advanced processors for companies such as Nvidia, AMD, and Apple. It therefore earns revenue regardless of which chip designer gains market share. Advanced node demand, packaging capacity, and rising AI accelerator production support long-term growth. Geopolitical tensions, enormous capital requirement, and equipment costs remain significant risks. The sheet maintains an undervalued stance with a 550 target. I would hold and gradually accumulate during market-driven weakness. Next is SpaceX, my most controversial and hated stock pick. SpaceX has produced approximately 30% return since being covered around 110. The thesis is supported by growth across launch services, satellite connectivity, and cloud-related infrastructure. Management commentary indicated strong demand, improving capital efficiency, and increasingly attractive the payback periods on computing infrastructure. The company also discussed ambitious recurring revenue and long-term growth objectives. However, its valuation, capital requirements, execution risks, and potential share supply events can create severe volatility. The performance sheet maintains an undervalued stance and a 200 target. After such a strong gain, I would continue holding, but avoid chasing the price, reserving additional purchases for meaningful corrections. Next is Reddit. Reddit has gained approximately 9% from the initial covered price of 150. Its investment thesis combines rapidly growing advertising revenue with the long-term value of its human-generated data. Reddit remains one of the most visited websites, and its conversations are valuable for search recommendations and AI model development. Revenue, users, net income, and free cash flow have all demonstrated strong growth. The main concerns are dependence on Google search traffic and uncertainty surrounding future AI licensing agreements. The performance sheet shows an undervalued stance and a 220 target. I would continue holding and accumulate cautiously during pullbacks. Next is SanDisk. SanDisk is the strongest performer on the sheet gaining approximately 33% from the covered price of 1344. The original thesis focused on tight net supply, improving pricing, accelerated earnings, and management's unusually strong visibility into future demand. Customers are reportedly signing multi-year agreements improving revenue predictability and reducing the historical volatility associated with memory cycles. Analyst commentary also reinforced management's confidence through 2030. The stock remains below the performance sheet target range of 2100 to 3000. Despite the rally, my stance remains undervalued. I would hold existing shares and consider adding only during significant corrections. Next is Lumentum. Lumentum has gained approximately 3% since being covered near 942 reaching around 969. The stock has not moved significantly yet, but the operating momentum remains encouraging. Lumentum supplies EML and continuous wave lasers used in high-speed optical connections across AI data centers. Revenue growth has accelerated while supply shortages have provided meaningful pricing power and supported margin expansion. Management believes gross margin still have room to improve. The performance sheet maintains an undervalued stance at a 1300 target. Because the valuation already assumes considerable growth, execution remains critical. I would maintain the position and use temporary pullbacks for gradual accumulation rather than chasing short-term rallies. Next is Coherent. Coherent has gained approximately 4.2% from the coverage price of $337 reaching roughly 351. Its latest results confirm strong AI-related momentum with data center and communications revenue growing rapidly and becoming the majority of total sales. Coherent supplies lasers, optical components, and transceivers needed to connect GPUs and AI servers. Its partnership with Nvidia, manufacturing expansion, and upcoming co-packaged optics products support continued growth. However, the stock's elevated forward valuation leaves limited protection if growth or margins disappoint. The performance sheet shows an undervalued stance and a 461 61 target. My position remains a cautious buy, preferably accumulated gradually during pullbacks rather than purchasing all at once.
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