Buy, Sell, or Hold? Louie Rates YOUR Stocks (+ His #1 Pick)

Buy, Sell, or Hold? Louie Rates YOUR Stocks (+ His #1 Pick)

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  1. MU NASDAQ COMPRAR +0,00%
    Entrada $1.088,00 07 out 2026
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    Contexto da transcrição original
    …king money as stocks go from negative to positive earnings. And uh this is uh another example of it. >> Okay, we've gone through a ton of your stocks. Now it's your turn, Dad. If you had to pick one stock you like right now, what is it? >> Well, the memory stocks are clearly the best near-term buy. I would still pick Micron over everyone else. Uh six times forecast earnings, but I think we should give everybody a bonus stock, and it would be ECO, which is a tanker company having uh record profits. Uh the the tankers are still at sea. The roots are longer than ever, the day rates…

    Well, the memory stocks are clearly the best near-term buy. I would still pick Micron over everyone else.

    Contexto extraído por IA Well, the memory stocks are clearly the best near-term buy. I would still pick Micron over everyone else. Uh six times forecast earnings, but I think we should give everybody a bonus stock, and it would be ECO, which is a tanker company having uh record profits.

Transcrição Completa
This is the video you guys have been asking for. Our comment section has been flooded with tickers. So today, Louis is going through your stocks one by one. And here's the deal. If you like this video, let us know because we want to make this a regular series on this channel. So, hit that like, drop a comment, and tell us if you want more. Also, stick around to the end because Louis is going to share the one stock he likes the most right now. And if you only care about one ticker, the chapters are down below, so feel free to skip around, but you might miss something. So, Dad, you were just at the money show. When investors walked up to you, what was the number one question you were getting this year? >> There's unquestionably a lot of excitement about the uh the AI and the data center boom. Um, most people know that there's record earnings. I have to say the money show is getting more and more sophisticated. It's predominantly credit investors, but yeah, they they want to grow stocks and uh so that's what I do. So, we had a lot of very positive sessions >> and that's interesting because our comment section sounds a lot like that, too. But before we get into your stocks, you mentioned that people are wondering whether this market can keep going. There's a headline that the US corporate profits are running away from the rest of the world. Is that real? >> Yeah, you're shown a chart from Ed Yardini showing exactly what's happening. And uh a lot of it's because the US is leading the AI revolution. Some of it is the onshoring that's underway and we're younger. Uh we assimilate immigrants. We just do it better here in America than other countries do. So if you look at a lot of our billionaires, they're immigrants that came here to grow and prosper. And that's what America is about. And uh America is about innovation and prosperity. And you know, China is about um replicating things and um um sometimes stealing technology. Uh and then finally Europe's about regulation. So you have to decide which model do you want to work under and the US just is a better model? It has nothing to do with who we elect. We're just an very innovative place. >> You mentioned energy costs help those margins. So oil is flowing through the hormuz again. Should investors relax or is that a false sense of security? >> Yeah, the Wall Street Journal did an excellent article. Thanks to the naval escorts, more and more oil is going through the straighter hormuz. So that's the good news. The bad news, it's not what it once was, but it's it's helping to alleviate the bottleneck. Also helping to alleviate the bottleneck is seasonality. Worldwide demand drops. >> And over in Europe, France has this magic money habit of borrowing like it's free. Is that a France problem or a problem for us, too? >> It's a big problem. It's getting worse. I mean, if you read Bloomberg, the Wall Street Journal, I mean, the headlines are just horrific. The problem is France started with a student protests, they expanded beyond that. You know, the students were burning the schools down. They didn't want to learn about French history and culture, apparently. Of course, a lot of the students are immigrants. Here's the deal. France is going to have an election in the spring. Marie Le Pen will probably win. She leads a national party. She controls parliament right now. She's uh wants to cap government borrowing and she wants to cut expenses and you know the French government is a big part of the economy. Her comments, of course she's not elected yet, have really really caused bond yields to spike and it it's a global thing. It's happening here in the US, but it's it's worse in France. What Bloomberg is talking about is the ECB is going to have to step in and do quantitative easing, which is money printing. That's the magic money France likes. So, what that is going to do, it's going to continue to weaken the euro, which last I looked was the 17month low. The euro is probably going to be at par uh with the dollar soon, and it might go all the way down to 90 cents on the dollar. Um, Europe is also in the midst of this demographic uh crisis uh because they got old and you know, no offense, as you get older, you just aren't paying as much money in the system as you used to, unless you can get immigrants that grow and prosper. And that's been the problem is that transition. What a mess. And uh that's why the US is an oasis and that's why our earnings look better than everybody else. But you know, energy as a percent of the economy is so much lower here and uh over there it's much higher. This is why the bond vigilantes are so excited and uh they're not done yet. As I speak to you today, yields are soaring. >> So nervous money in Europe ends up flowing here. >> Absolutely. Because um their currencies are decaying. Uh Britain, all the euro. And what happens when a currency gets weak? It actually creates inflation over there. It actually helps us with inflation because everything we import gets cheaper. Okay. But um over there it causes even more inflation. So you get a vicious uh loop that's uh devastating. >> Well, that's a perfect segue because a lot of that money is going into exactly the kind of stocks you guys asked about. Let's get into it. You guys have a lot of chip questions. The comment section is basically a semiconductor conference. So, let's get to the first stock. Everyone wants to know about Micron. Memory has been on an absolute tear. Is it too late to get in? >> No, it's actually a perfect time because all the memory stocks, Micron, which makes the DRRAM very fast memory chips and the solid state companies like Western Digital, Seagate Technology, SanDisk, all are down here. And they went down on news of a a potential strike in Taiwan. Now, just if we go back in time, uh, a few months ago when the South Korea was really impacting things, there was threatened strikes in Korea, but the workers got more money. And so, I'm sure that Taiwanese workers are going to get more money. So, I think the threat of strikes is a big deal about nothing. But Micron obviously had phenomenal earnings last week, even better guidance. They said 207 is going to be better than 2026. But obviously, if there's a strike and you don't get all your chips, you got a problem. So Micron does have a plant in Taiwan, but you know, they have US plants as well. So that is what happened. You know, Wall Street reacts first and thinks second. So smart investors are going to think and now it's time to buy. But you know, buying the memory stocks is a little like catching a knife because to say they're volatile is a bit of an understatement. But at least uh as they pull back, the volatility should start to diminish. >> You mentioned their sister stock Seagate. We got a lot of questions about this one as well. Should people still be excited about this? Yeah, I mean, let me just give you an example. Their sales are supposed to be up 56.7%. Their earnings are supposed to be up 181.6%. The analysts have revised their estimates from $5.71 a share uh 90 days ago to $7.35 a share today. That's a big upper revision. They have a good surprise history and last quarter they had a a 12.1% surprise. So yeah, uh Seagate's checking all the boxes in that eight factor fundamental model. >> Now let's talk about Lamb Research. These are the companies that make the machines that make the chips. So is this a safer way to play AI? >> Not really. We have companies that help you know build the chips. You know, ASML would be a good example. But let's just talk about Lamb. And Lamb is not recommended in my newsletters and is not in our portfolios. But as I look at it now, it's it is impressive. Sales are supposed to be at 52.8%. 8% earnings supposed to be up 72.9%. The analyst have revised their estimates from $182 to do $28 a share in the last 90 days and they have a good surprise history. Last quarter was 8.1. So Lamb is a classic example of a stock that's ranks well in my system and is on the cusp of possibly being added to my newsletters, but I haven't added it yet. >> And now this one came up a lot. Can AMD actually take a real bite out of Nvidia? >> The answer is no. And the reason the answer is no is no one competes with Nvidia's GPUs. Okay. And graphics processing units. AMD uh is involved in AI. It's not as sophisticated as what Nvidia does. There's going to be a lot of what we call dumb AI, not regenerative learning. So dumb AI is optimizing correlated things, things that are statistically relevant. Regenerative AI is machine learning where it looks at everything. But AMD is getting contracts. We do have recommended the newsletter. We have in our portfolios. Sales are supposed to be at 41.2%. Earnings are forecasted to be up 60.8%. We do have positive balance revisions. Not as dramatic from $181 90 days ago to $1.93 today. And it does have a good surprise history, but not that big. Last quarter was only 3.2. They're building out all this infrastructure and AMD is making alliances with certain uh AI related companies and building out their own infrastructure. But again, we're going to have regenerative AI. We're going to have uh just normal I call it dumb AI, which is you're not going to look at everything. You're just going to look at correlated things. >> Now, we have a less common name, AXTI. What do they do? And is it worth the risk? >> AXT. Yeah, it's it has key ingredients you need in semiconductors. They're used in the data center. So, the other sales are spectacular. They're forecast to be up 136.1%. Earnings supposed to be up 1,126.7%. The analysts have revised their estimates from literally 10 cents a month ago to 31 cents today. That's a huge revision. And last quarter, it earned a surprise of 163.9%. So, this is a classic example of how smart our subscribers are. This is a classic example why we have that stock grader that's AI enhanced. So you can go do a data dive in stock grader and come up with stocks like this. And this is an example how our subscribers found a stock before I did. And this stock should be added to my newsletters but it's not there at this time. >> Great. Now let's talk about this next group cuz it includes some of the biggest names on the market. So I know a lot of you guys are holding these. Let's start out with Apple. Dad, you've talked about the iPhone Ultra before. Is Apple finally getting its AI story together? >> Yeah, that's why they kind of delayed the Apple TV. I think the announcement's on the 13th and it's just going to have more AI stuff, better Wi-Fi, but they were waiting to upgrade the chips. So, apparently the new Apple TVs will be a lot smarter. I guess it'll just tell you what to watch more than they currently do. Apple is in a upgrade cycle. There's a lot of exciting MacBooks coming out. There's supposed to be a MacBook Ultra. They're supposed to be OLED screens, new generation chips. They just raised the prices of all their services, so they got the service revenue up. But by far, the phones are supposed to be the biggest hit. And I think the iPhone 18 is okay, but the duo should be incredible because it's basically going to be a cult item. >> All right, next up we have Coree. This one is polarizing. People either love it or it's a house of cards because of the deck. But where do you land? >> Coreweave was probably the most act asked about stock at the money show. So here's the dirt on Coreweave. It didn't surprise till last quarter. Before that, it had two earnings appointments. Sales are supposed to up 159.2%. Obviously, that's excellent. But they're not making money yet. They're supposed to lose a $119 a share. And 90 days ago, they were forecast to lose 89 cents a share. So that means the analysts are still slashing at their estimates. But with that said, it did have a 14% surprise last quarter after having two huge disappointments. So Core Weeave is not recommended by me for a variety of reasons. First, earning surprise history is not that solid. Second, analysts are cutting estimates uh going from negative to more negative. Third, it doesn't earn money. I will be all over coreweave when it makes money. Okay? and it checks more of my eight fundamental factors, but this is a hot one and it was talked about a lot um at the money show. >> Then we have App Loving huge run but also some short reports. Is this noise or a real warning? >> I sold App Loving in my newsletters. It's still a good stock but I sold to buy better stocks. So most of the stocks I sell are still going to go higher. I'm just trying to replace them go even higher with less volatility. So here's uh what's going on with Apple. Their sales are supposed to be at 47.4%. 4%. Their earnings are supposed to be up 70.6. And the analysts uh have trimmed their estimates from $4.51 uh uh 7 days ago to $4.35 today. In the second quarter, they missed by 5.73%. So, they had earnings disappointment. So, that's why I sold it. We got analyst trims, we got earnings miss, still has good sales and earnings, but you know, if you miss, uh Wall Street punishes you. So, yeah. Uh I know the stock's come back a bit but uh that's why I sold it. But you know any stock with good sales and earnings will continue to meander. >> Now this is a related one. The trade desk it's been beaten up badly. Is this a bargain or a falling knife? >> I have never recommend trade desk to my knowledge. I've seen it show up on my radar uh from time to time, but it doesn't check all the boxes on the eight factor fundamental model. So here's what's going on. their um earnings have um missed the last two quarters. Okay. Their sales are forecasted to decline 11.9%. And their earnings are forecast to decline of 43.9%. And the analysts have cut their estimates from 50 cents 2 months ago to 25 cents today. So, uh that's a problem. You've got negative sales, negative earnings. Analyst cuts and uh two big earnings misses last quarter. They miss again by 14.6%. So yeah, doesn't fit my model. >> Now in a totally different direction, we have Sprouts. Dad, I know sometimes you shop at Sprouts in San Diego, but is this a good stock to own if the market gets shaky? >> Sprouts I used to recommend. I did sell it, not because it's a bad stock, just because it's uh sales growth was slowing down. It competes with Whole Foods and stuff. But just so you know, their sales are supposed to be up 6.3%. Their earnings are supposed to be up only 1.1%. and the analysts have trimmed their estimates from A130 to A123 in the last 90 days. So, yeah, it's just not checking all the boxes. So, that's why we >> All right, these last three are what I call the spicy tickers. They're smaller, riskier, and you guys clearly love them. The first one is LS. What do you think about them? >> Laser uh Fontonix is a 75 cent stock. As I pull it up, I don't see any fundamentals. So, I'm not going to recommend it. Um, because apparently it's not filing with the government. So, I think it's being hyped by somebody. Maybe it'll be great someday, but until they file their fundamentals, I won't go near it. >> And what about PGEN? >> Okay. Uh, PGEN, uh, another lowp price stock, $7.51 a share. Um, they beat the last three quarters. Sales are ridiculous. They're supposed to be up 2,374.6%. Obviously, that's good. But it looks like it's a turnaround stock. It was losing money and now uh it is forecasted to maybe start making money. So, if it does make that transition from losing money to making money, wonderful. But, uh I don't have earnings estimates from the analyst committee on this. I don't think there's many analysts following this stock. Only four apparently that I see. So, uh this is a wild card. Good luck with this one. I'm not recommending it. And lastly, we have Clover Health, CL OV. This one has a whole fan club in our comments. So, Dad, what do you tell them? >> Clover Health um is pretty exciting. Their sales are supposed to be up 48.6%. Their earnings are supposed to be up 203%. This is another stock making the transition from negative to positive earnings, but the analysts are estimating that it will earn 1 cent per share uh in the third quarter. However, they're estimating a loss of minus 2 cents in the in the fourth quarter. But they are estimating it will earn money this fiscal year and next fiscal year. So this is another stock making the transition from negative to positive earnings. Now as far as earning surprises are concerned, they have surprised the last three quarters in a row. Last quarter was a 48% surprise. If I get a positive earnings estimate for the fourth quarter, this will probably show up on my radar. But I'm not going to take the lunge on this. But yeah, we have some very smart subscribers making money as stocks go from negative to positive earnings. And uh this is uh another example of it. >> Okay, we've gone through a ton of your stocks. Now it's your turn, Dad. If you had to pick one stock you like right now, what is it? >> Well, the memory stocks are clearly the best near-term buy. I would still pick Micron over everyone else. Uh six times forecast earnings, but I think we should give everybody a bonus stock, and it would be ECO, which is a tanker company having uh record profits. Uh the the tankers are still at sea. The roots are longer than ever, the day rates are very high. So, uh, yeah, I have seven oil tankers companies. ECO is the best. >> It's funny that you also mentioned the tanker stocks because we did an old video of four tanker stocks to buy a couple months ago and that video is actually getting a little bit more traction now and we've been getting comments of, "Oh, we wish we watched that." So, stay tuned, guys. We're telling you the real deal in the real time. That's your stocks plus Louis top pick. If you want us to turn this into a series, hit that like and let us know in the comments. Drop your tickers because if we do it again, yours could be next. Thank you all so much for watching and we'll see you this Sunday for a new video.

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