Emergency with 1 of my stocks‼️‼️

I want to say a big congratulations, a huge congratulations to all of you guys that are Elf on a Shelf shareholders. Look at this. We're now way over a double up from those lows it was at just a few months ago. Now, at this point in time, next move up for Elf on the Shelf, this Flapjack Flipper itself, 140, baby. 140. That's next move up. Now, with that being said, we've got some problems, and I mean some big problems. Okay, so the long end keeps moving up. These treasuries keep going higher and higher and higher, which is scaring the market to a certain extent. It hasn't caused certainly a correction or crash in the market, but it's certainly something people are looking at like, uh-oh, like what's going on here? Right? And you're looking at mortgage rates continue to go higher and higher and higher at this point in time, right? as well as if you're a big corporation or corporation in general and you want to refinance debt, uh you're going to likely have to do it at bigger numbers than you were expecting, which could then impact your earnings per share over time. So, it's just something to keep in mind here. Right now, in today's video, ladies and gentlemen, I want to do three things. Okay? One is we're going to talk about I want to do a little teaching part at the beginning of this video and explain how I buy a stock and the the the way I do it. And this is one of the keys to my success over the years is how I go about buying a position. And the way I buy a position, oh my gosh, it sets you up in in a great position because I can tell you uh a lot of people get this wrong and they wonder why they didn't make nearly as much money as they could have. Okay, second thing we're going to get up into in this video here today is we got a big problem with a stock of mine. Big problem. Some numbers came out here today. Oh boy. Okay, and this is a very important stock. Probably a stock a lot of you guys own. we need to talk about this and uh what are my views on this and all those sorts of things. Okay. Number three thing we're gonna get into in this video here today is we're gonna talk about the worstase realistic downside for my my new generation of buys. So I have like a new generation of stocks I'm buying right now. Um it's a few of them. And of this new generation I'm looking at these stocks. I'm trying to think like what's the worst case scenario because a lot of these stocks that I'm buying right now are already beaten up heavily. But how much more could they get beaten up realistically? And so I want to give those numbers in this video so everybody's kind of mentally prepared for worst case scenarios with those particular stocks. Okay, one thing one thing all I need from you guys, I need you to smash that like button for me. If you could do that for me, that would mean the world for all the people that's already done it. Thank you so much for doing that. Make sure you subscribe here to the channel as well. If you're not already subscribed, it'll show you my videos in the future. Okay. All righty, ladies and gentlemen. Listen, if we look at some of my newer buys in the public account, right? They're going to be stocks like American Express and RH and Netflix. Okay? And these are positions I'm building out actively right now. Right now, the thing you got to understand about me in regards to buying stocks is I don't do an all-in one day buy. So, one of the worst things you can ever do in the stock market is just like go all in one stock in one day, right? Um that's you're you're almost never going to buy the bottom. And it's a very it's a very kind of like immature, inexperienced way of adding to stocks. The way you really want to do it is you want to add to a position over a period of time. Now, this period of time can be maybe a 3 to 6 month span. That's a lot of times that's kind of my situation. I'll buy a stock over a 3 to 6 month span, accumulate shares, accumulate shares until it's a big enough position, maybe, you know, and it depends on how much risk the stock has. the more risk it has, the lower I can make the size of the position relative to the portfolio. So, if it's a high-risisk, high reward stock, I might make it 1% or maybe 2% of the portfolio. If it's a stock that doesn't have a lot of risk, but still I believe has great upside momentum for the next several years, I might make that one 3, five, maybe 7% of the portfolio somewhere in there roughly, right? And then let that ride up from there. Uh sometimes I'll buy a stock over a 2 or threeear span, but that's a little more rare in regards to those situations. But it does happen sometimes where I'll buy a stock on and off for a 2 or three year span. But usually it's over a 3 to 6 month span and I'll accumulate more and more shares of that stock until it's at the position sizing I need it to be at. Right? So there are certain stocks like American Express. I would love to buy some more American Express shares. Um, that's one that doesn't have a significant amount of risk over the next three to five years in my opinion, but has actually a great upside reward for me over the next three to five years. A stock like RH on the other hand comes with a lot more risk than an American Express, but also comes with dramatically more upside. So, a stock like RH, I would probably only be able to make that maybe 2% of my portfolio somewhere around there roughly. And then that's maxed out and then I need to just have it ride from there. Okay. a stock like Netflix very low risk over the next you know we call 3 to 5 years but great upside reward there so that one I could feel comfortable making all the way into maybe a 5 to 7% position size there right now certain positions as they grow you know if they have a lot of success they're going to become massive positions like look at AMD AMD for me he's up 1.36 million so it's become 31% weighted the portfolio but it's not because I put so much into it that it's like whoa it's because it went up so much, right? So, I really think about the percentages in regards to what's portfolio size and how much am I putting into it versus a portfolio size. Okay? So, that's the way I like to think about it. So, if you look at my stocks, you're going to see me buying it over a period of time, right? Look at AMD for instance, right? I got these shares I bought February 6, 2025. I'm up uh $225,000 in those shares. I bought these shares December 9th, 2024, right? Up $24,000 there. April 23rd, 25, April 3rd, 2025, February 18th, 2025, February 27th, December 18th, right? And so you see me consistently buying over a period of time in that particular stock, right? Look at a stock like Palunteer. Palanteer, listen, I sold the majority of my shares obviously last year, right? We all know that, right? So I don't have all my, you know, different shares I had, but if you would had seen my because I at one point I owned 5,555 shares of Palanteer, right? And then once again, I sold obviously the far majority last year. I only hold a thousand shares of Palunteer in the public account now, right? But if you would have seen like you would have saw me buying Palanteer over like a year, if not over a year span at a bunch of different prices essentially. And even of the shares I still have, I got some from November 22nd, 2022, November 10th, 2022, and September 1st, 2022, right? 718, 743, 7:35 on those. Look at Meta. Meta. This one was a consistent buy in 2022. But, you know, I I took a huge bunch of profits in Meta last year, right? But if you would have seen those shares, I had some shares I sold last year of Meta, right? That I had bought in 2018, 2018. So, you want to talk about buying on and off a stock over many, many years. Meta is a great example. And there's certain stocks in the market that are just phenomenal phenomenal to build out um a position like over a longer period of time, right? And so what is the number one key number one key to being a successful investor and doing what I do and building up a huge net worth over time? Here's what it is. More income than expenses. This is the same thing I've been doing since like 0809, right? And in those days it might have been I I saved an extra 100red 200 bucks a mark uh a month to put in the market right and then I got my job at Quicktrip started working in management started having an extra,000 $2,000 $2,500 a month to put into the market right and we kept building as years ticked on. And this is this is the whole game. If you have more income than expenses, you're in a position to what? Be a buyer in the market. You don't fear corrections. You don't fear crashes. You welcome them. You say, "Come, baby. Come. I'll be happy because guess what? I got more income than expenses. So, I'm ready to buy. And I'm ready to buy heavily." Right? If you have more income than expenses in 2020 in that crash, great. You got to buy. You had more income than expenses in 2022, you got to buy that whole crash, right? The end of 2018 crash, you got more income than expenses, you were ready to buy. Great financial crisis, you ready to buy, right? And so, and keep in mind, even if you're not going through a crash or a correction, there's going to be a bunch of stocks probably in your portfolio that you would love to add more shares of that are at big discounts at the particular time. Like right now, we're not in a market crash certainly, right? Markets, the markets overall is doing just fine because the biggest stocks in the market are really holding up the whole show while a ton of stocks beneath that are just getting devastated right now. Right? So, it's like you have a non-market crash going on with a market crash going on, right? And it's just like the market crash isn't top of the market. It's everything else, right? But the top dogs are are doing just fine. But if you are looking at any small caps right now or any of these interest rate sensitive stocks, there's steel deals all over the place. And if you have more income than expenses, you're able to put that money in your portfolio and buy and buy and buy and build out these these positions in these stocks and uh put yourself in a in a great position, right? Um, you know, for I went away from more income than expenses for a little over a year when my first son was born. I left Quick Trip and I didn't do anything for like over a year. Didn't start businesses, didn't do anything, right? And um it's not that fun. I can tell you it's not that fun. Having more income than expenses is fun. And uh that's the number one thing you got to focus on before you can really take these games serious at building wealth. And you know, sometimes people will see like what I do and they see the success, right? Like, "Oh my gosh, he just made $65,000 in a day, right?" And what they don't know is like all the, you know, time you put in, but also like all the times you bought stocks, bought stocks, bought stocks, right, on a weekly basis. And uh, you know, every week I buy in the public account. It's a small amount of money relative to the portfolio, obviously, but it's still something. Uh, same thing with the Patreon portfolio. Every week in the Patreon, I buy $250 worth of stocks every single week, right? And um and and so that's the part that that people don't see. And so sometimes they want to have this success and it's like, do you even have your income versus expenses in a good place? If you have that, we can talk now. We can talk about building. We can talk about growing, but if you don't have more income than expenses, how are you going to grow? How are you going to grow a portfolio? Like it doesn't make sense. Like it no. And what we're doing, we're investing. We're not trading in and out of stocks. You're going to lose all your money. You do that over a period of time, right? So, um, income versus expenses is everything in this game, right? And that's how I buy and, you know, take advantage of opportunities. And so, before you ever worry about the private group and joining there and all those course curriculums and learning all the stuff I got up here and how I identify the next great opportunity in the market, all that stuff, right? You got to get your income versus expenses right. If you have your income versus expenses, right, then you can join my private group and you can take advantage of all the courses and the software I use and all those sorts of things, right? And um you know, get focused on really building your portfolio. But until you got your income versus expenses straight, don't even worry about the private group. Don't worry about any of that stuff. You're not in a position yet to uh be able to do that, right? And there's no excuse. You got to get in position like like you want to give me I can give you tough love. You got to get in position. If you if I'm talking to you right now for the retired folks, you're retired. You're watching this and I got some retired folks that watch channel. Respect. You're retired. Okay, you you dumb, you played the game already, okay? But for you guys that are still in your working years, right? Get your income versus expenses straight. There's no excuse. I don't care. There's no excuse. Get your income versus expenses straight, man. There's no excuse. I don't care what you want to say about inflation and what Biden did to you and what Trump did to you and what Obama did to you and what uh Bush did to you and Nah. Nah, we're not playing that game. Get your money straight, okay? Like, get your money straight. Like, that's just what you got to do as a person in the real world. You It's up for you to go make it happen and um it's up for you to keep your expenses in check and keep that income as good as you can possibly have it, right? And there's always opportunities for you there's so many there's so much opportunity for you to grow. your income. It's ridiculous. From business opportunities to passive income ideas, like there's a billion ways, right? There's always job opportunities out there. There's always ways. Even in the great financial crisis, there was ways. And so there's there and nowadays there's more ways to make money than ever before. So even if it's like, let's say you got like a 60k job and you're like, man, I really want an 80k job, but I can't land an 80k job right now. Can you not make an extra 20k on the side? Yes, you can. in in this world with all these opportunities to get in front of people's faces on Instagram and Facebook and YouTube and Tik Tok and you tell them you can't do something and all these, you know, Uber Eats and Door Dash and Uber driving and Lyft and all like you're going to tell me there's no there's nothing there's nothing there's no way you can bring in an extra 5 10 15 20,000 a year. Come on, man. Yes, you can. It's it's up to you though. If you don't want to do it or you don't believe you can do it, then you're not going to do it. But I mean, if you actually got the work ethic, give me a break nowadays. It's insane. There's so much opportunity. It's ridiculous out there nowadays. Okay. All righty, guys. Let's get rolling into the next subject here. Let's talk about a big problem with the stock of mine. Some news came out for a particular stock of mine today. Mhm. And um it might be a stock a lot of you guys hold as well, but here's what happened and here's my take on it. Let me explain this cuz this could be a little confusing for a lot of individuals and what all this means. Okay, listen. This came out of beverage insights here today on X. There something I follow on X. Um I'm not sure if you guys even use X or not. It's really X can be really valuable if you're do stuff like I do like stock market investing, right? Um that's why I always am posting different stuff on X. But this came out here today. Celsius, the wealthiest. Do you own it? Are you interested? Well, energy drink volume was up 9.8% with 6.6% average price gain for 4 weeks through September 19th. Per the Neielson data. Celsius family dropped 20% while Alani New was up 73% or 74% with a 4% average cut to Alani. So, this can be very confusing to people when they first read this. They're like, "Wait a minute, what? Celsius volumes are up 9.8% with a 6.6% 6% price gain, but the family Celsius family dropped 20%. But Alani New was up 74%, but Alani New had a 4% average price cut. So people are like, "What in the math is going on here when they first hear that, right?" Unless you're really good with math, then you could, you know what's going on here. Okay, so let me explain this. Okay, so Celsius Holdings, this is overall company. Okay, the overall company. So the overall company saw volumes up 9.8%. Right? And it saw price up 6.6% for the overall company. Right? So that would mean about 17% revenue growth roughly there. Now if you break out just Alani, just the Alani side of the business, volume was up 74.3%. And it had a 4% price cut. So the Alani side of the business alone, we're not talking Celsius, just Alani, should have revenue growth of about 67%. Okay. Now, here's the next part, right? So, they talk about Celsius family, right? Um, dropping 20%. So, think of Celsius family as just the Celsius brand there. Okay? The Celsius brand. So, not talking Alani. Okay? Right? But overall, still volume was up. But it's because the Lonnie business was up so substantially. Now the Celsius side of the business, just Celsius brand is still huge, right? It's much bigger than Alani. You're talking about 68.4 of total volume is Celsius versus Alani's 31.6%. Right? If Alani was a much bigger size of the business, then you would have been in a position where you know um overall volume would have been even up a lot more, but Alani is still a relatively small business uh for Celsius. So something to kind of keep in mind there, right? So that that's the math on this. I hope that all makes sense there. Right. Okay. So, next up here now, you know, as far as the Celsius side, like the Celsius volumes are obviously very weak, right? And it's not like this has come out of nowhere. Volumes have been very very weak and kind of down, you know, for quite a while now for the Celsius brand, right? And so, there's a few things going on here. One is Celsius has exited many of their Celsius exited many of the uh different SKs that they might have had in stores uh that might have been ones that didn't sell. Right? So that's something to keep in mind here. Right? But I said this is also my estimated guess and I posted this inside my private stock groups Discord chat today. I said this is my estimated guess. I said Bloom Energy drinks um have hurt Celsius volumes over the past year or two. This is my opinion. Okay. Um, and I was even at Target literally like two nights ago and I was looking at the Bloom, you know, shelves and I was looking at Celsius and how it was positioned versus Alani and versus Celsius and whatnot. And a lot of times where you found Bloom Energy, you found Celsius and Alani, right? So I think this Bloom Energy is actually the biggest direct competitor in the very very short term for Celsius and Alani, right? I said Bloom launched in 2024 and started to get decently big last year and really big this year in 2026, right? I said they have a major presence in Target, for example. They're supposedly doing $500 million plus in revenue. A portion of that has to be coming from Celsius. Now, here's the other thing I said. Okay, listen. I don't think that Bloom has a long-term brand. I just don't. Okay, I could be wrong about that, but I do not think they're creating a long-term brand there. I think they're going to be much more of a fad where it's like a bunch of people are drinking uh this Bloom right now and you know a few years from now it's going to be like non-existent. From everything I've seen with the brand, it's just one of those like viral things that have gone crazy in the very very short term. I just I look at the way they've been building Celsius over the years and I look at the way they build Nolani and those seem like long-term brands that they're building for 2030, 2035, 2040, 2050, right? Which is what you want to do in the drink space. You want to create Pepsi. You want to create Coca-Cola. We're talking about brands that are here for decades, not just, you know, a little fad for the short term for two to three, four years span, right? And so what I'm seeing is I'm seeing Bloom like the branding like what they're doing there. I I understand like it's worked in the very short term, but I just don't see that being like a huge success long term. And that could change, right? They they could but it just seems like it seems like a getrichqu company. Like I look at how they structure the financing um in regards to VCs backing this with like $90 million and whatnot and kind of the push out there. It feels like, let's try to grow this brand really quick, get it in everywhere, try to have it go viral, and then we're going to sell it to somebody, right? That's what it feels like to me. This doesn't feel like a uh like a like a long-term sustainable brand. That's my opinion just reading through the situation. I've been in these drink companies on and off for a long, long time, right? And so, just something to kind of keep in mind there. That's my opinion on that. Okay. Next up here, right? Um, one of our members in the private stock group said, "Can we please buy Bloom and take their CEO?" I said, this is what I said about this, cuz you could say, "Well, maybe we should buy Bloom, right?" I said, "Getting sales is not the hard part of running a food or drink company. It's actually making money and being successful for the long term." You would have a lot of brands that come out of nowhere in the drink space or food space and all a sudden it's like, man, never heard of that, but all it's popped up in all these grocery stores and all these stores in general and in like a 2 or 3 years span, right? That's not the hard part of running a food or drink company. The hard part is actually making money from what you're selling and actually putting your brand in a successful place for the long term where people buy your products year in and year out for decades or generations to go, right? Like if like I love Pepsi Max, I love Coke Zero, right? They've done a good job selling me that over the years and I've been drinking those for, you know, a decade plus. And you know, I'll probably be drinking those for decades to go in the future. That's the sort of customer we want to build, right? That's the sort of customer in the food and drink space. You want somebody that you're locking in for years to decades to go in the future, right? I said, "Look at Prime." I don't know if you guys remember Prime. Prime was huge uh just a few years ago, like everywhere. It seemed like it was so viral, kids were buying it left and right. I said, "Prime was huge a few years ago and is now virtually has no brand strength and the company has imploded." I said, "I lost a million dollars plus on TTCF stock, right?" I said they were getting they were great at getting sales. Like TTCF was great at getting sales. The revenue was skyrocketing. It was like they were getting in every store you could imagine. It was like so exciting. It was like whoa, right? And the company still imploded, right? Still imploded. I said, you got to make money and you got to have a successful long-term brand. If you don't do those, you know, you're just here today, gone tomorrow trying to make some money in the short term, right? So, that's something to kind of keep in mind there, right? Uh, another private group member asked, uh, you know, why do we think Celsius core brand is not the next prime? Its growth has been non-existent. If they hadn't bought a Lonie, they would be a dying company, right? And I said, you know, cuz if we're comparing like Prime to like a Celsius and trying to figure out like, you know, is Celsius the next Prime, right? And I said, well, how did Prime grow? Who was their customer base? Did their customer base keep coming back? I said, answer the questions. uh then come back to Celsius and see if there's similarities or any major differences. And so Prime just went crazy because of Logan Paul and KSI and and those are two of the biggest influencers and they got some other huge influencers involved in that whole situation as well. I think uh I showed Speed was involved and it was just like this is like you know the kids loved those guys over the last you know five years and so like they just got all this branding and they had cool bottles for a little bit and so like all these kids went out and bought all these Prime bottles right and I know even my son he had a bunch of the different Prime bottles my oldest at that particular time a few years ago he had like all different Prime bottles in his room he doesn't drink Prime doesn't care to drink Prime nowadays right so they went crazy because it was just like the short-term phenomenon, you know, that's not Celsius. Like Celsius actually has an adult customer base who buys that product, right? So, something to kind of keep in mind there. Now, the next thing I'll bring up here, if you guys don't know my history, I used to own a company named Hansen's Natural Beverage. Hansen's Natural Beverage ended up becoming Monster Beverage over time. Okay? And so, it was just weird. It was called Hans's Natural Beverage for a long time, even though Monster was the dominant brand they had. Okay? So the interesting thing about Monster is you've had a lot of moments in this company where you can make an argument that the brand the sales volume was dying, right? And so maybe the brand is dying. So even look at just a few quarters ago, right? 1% revenue growth for Monster, 4% revenue growth from Monster, negative -2%. Like you could have said Monster is done like as a dying brand, right? And then they came back with 11% growth, 16% growth, 17% growth, 26% growth, and 20% growth, right? So you could have made that assumption, but it was a wrong assumption, right? Look at this time period back in 2013, 2014. So they had 6% sales growth here, 6% sales growth here, 7% sales growth there, right? Weaker numbers and likely Celsius is posting right now. And you could have said, man, maybe Monster's in trouble. Like look at them. They they're growing pretty weakly, right? And ultimately look at where Monsters revenues have gone over the years up and to the right, right? It's been a beautiful thing to watch. Now, if you go back to the earlier days of Monster Growth, keep in mind, Monster launches as a product. If I recall, um it was 2002, right? So, 2002 is when their revenue growth starts to accelerate, right? And before that, it was like a juice company and they had some other products out there, right? But look at this. They went from 5% growth in 2001 to then 9% in 2002 when Monster launches. Next year, 20% revenue growth. Next year, 63% revenue growth. Things really start to take off. The next year, 93% revenue growth in 2005. Then it went down to 73% in ' 06, down to 49% in ' 07, down to 14% in08, and all the way down to 10% in 2009. Now, at this particular moment, you could have made a very strong argument, a very strong argument that Monster's best days were behind it. that at the end of the day this company is becoming a stagnant company, right? Because when you go from 93% revenue growth to 73% to 49% to 14% to 10%. That's a clear trend. It's not like that's an like like a a very short-term trend like you know some of these quarters where no that's a multi-year that's a five-year trend of sales growth decelerating rapidly, right? So then you start to assume maybe in 2010 the company doesn't grow, right? Or maybe grows 5% or something like that. And so you can assume like this is going to be a company stuck at a billion to$2 billion of revenue for the next 10 years, right? But that ultimately be ended up being wrong obviously. And the company accelerated growth to 14% after that, then 30% and the rest is history, right? And so I posted this inside the private stock groups discord chat inside Celsius as well. said monster early growth curve was um amazing then kind of died. Argument could have been made Mon company peaked or was peaking in uh prior to 2010. Uh Monster Stock by the way since January 2010 is up 2,600%. So you could have made that assumption it's going to be dead but you missed out on 2,600% gain. Now that doesn't mean Celsius over the next 15 16 years is going to return 2,600%. But just understand, don't assume that when a company's early in on its growth cycle and it goes through a rough patch that the brand is done and the company is done. If they're building a long-term sustainable brand, they're going to find ways to grow that brand and, you know, be very very successful over time. And so that that's kind of my two cents in regards to this particular subject. Right now, for the other energy drink, so you want to also look at how the other companies are doing in the energy drink space. So, Red Bull volume was up 3.4% along with 5.7% average price increase uh for the four weeks. Uh the summer edition still doubling up 119%. So, that was really strong for Red Bull. So, Red Bull, you got to understand that Red Bull is still getting outgrown by substantial margin by Celsius's whole company. Right? Now, if you just say the Celsius brand, then obviously not, right? But if you're looking at because we're also considering this the Red Bull the whole company, Monster the whole company, right? which if at the end of the day like volumes are up pretty substantially. You can say that's because of Alani, but it's still up massively for Celsius and it's growing at a rapid clip if you compare them to Red Bull, right? So ultimately you would say they're more of a market share stealer now. Monster Energy excluding Bang had its first stumble in a long time. Uh volume slipped 1.6% but its average price gain was up 6.2% for the uh for the four weeks. Bang is not uh getting traction as volumes dropped 24% with a 3% average increase. Now, this is really this is really important and I don't know why Beverage Insights worded it like this. I think it's kind of strange and suspect, but at the end of the day, they excluded Bang from Monster, right? Um and volume slipped 1.6%. So, if you included Bang into this, the number should have been down actually much more substantially for Monster. So we got Celsius as a whole company growing quite nicely actually while Monster the whole company is actually shrinking in volumes. Okay. So just something to kind of keep in mind there. Energy drink segment sales remain strong. Volume up 8.8% along with 2.7% average price increase for 4 weeks. So that is something I definitely like. Right. So the the energy drink category continues to grow. Volumes are strong. Uh you have certain ones that are winning more in the short term, certain ones that aren't winning as much in the short term. All right. Now, Celsius, here's the deal, okay? If and when, and I believe this will happen, Celsius brand volume start going up, you're going to see Celsius stock absolutely go on a tear. I have no I have no disbelief that Celsius, the brand, Celsius brand, will get back to growth. I believe absolutely they'll get back to growth and it probably happens within the next one to two quarters. And if and when that does happen, which I believe it will, Celsius stock is going to absolutely soar higher. And it's going to soar higher likely from the moment you get any news like way before a quarterly report comes out cuz you get these like monthly reports. Once you get the Celsius brand volumes going up, we're going to be flying. And um by that moment, if you haven't gotten in this rocket ship, it's going to be too late, right? So, no, of course you could have the be of the belief that Celsius volumes just go down forever and I don't believe that at all. And uh I'm just telling you once that turns and keep in mind it could turn even before that. So once you see the Celsius brand, just a Celsius brand, not the whole company, just a Celsius brand. Once you see that start to get to a place where maybe it gets close to growth like maybe it's a shrink but it's a very small shrink even then the stock could already start moving cuz people start assuming things right and so if you go from negative 20% uh for your for that particular brand to 10% to negative 5%. People are already going to say saying okay they're about to turn positive right cuz that's the way we work right and also the AI programs all work like that as well. they start seeing a trend and then they're like, "Oh, no different than right now. It sees a trend down 20%. It's like, oh my gosh, Celsius is done." Right? Um, and then all a sudden you get things to flip and then all a sudden it's like, "Oh, this trend is going the other way. We need to buy this stock now." Right? So, something to keep in mind there, baby. Okay. Next up here, let's talk about worst case and realistic downside for my new generation of stocks I'm buying. Okay. You ready, baby? Let's go. Celsius. So Celsius is not really a new generation buy for me, but it's one of the stocks I'm most intrigued in buying right now. Right? So I thought I would throw this one in here, but I've been buying this one on and off since 2024, the end of 2024. Right? Here's the deal with Celsius. Worst case scenario, goes down to a dosey do goes down to 22. That's absolute worst case scenario I can see. Can I see it going under 20? No. I would love it to go under 20. I would love it go down to 22. Heck, I would love it go down to 25, but no, I I don't see it going lower than 22. 22 is the worst case scenario, but I welcome anything. And in the stock market, you always got to be prepared for potentially anything to happen, right? Like, you know, craziest things can happen. Stocks can go down way more than you ever expect it. But, um, even down here at 26 is just like stealing money in my opinion for the next three years, right? Keep in mind, I recorded a video a couple days ago here on the channel. Seven stocks to buy now that I spoke about a lot of stocks. I didn't speak about Celsius in that particular video. I forgot Celsius. I'm like, I shouldn't have made eight stocks cuz Celsius is definitely one of the best buys in the market in my opinion right now. But um you know, if you didn't get to check out that video, watch that baby. There's some banger stocks in there that are just going to be absolutely on a tear. 2027 through 2029. There's some stocks in there I just believe are going to go insane. Okay. Uh next one up here, RH. So RH is 115 right now. The worst case scenario like is zero, right? Like let's say the stock market crashes. uh the real estate market crashes, right? You get a great financial crisis type situation. RH is be questionable if it would make it, right? Um because you could get a massive pullback on furniture spend and it would just be awful. So RH is one of those that could always go to zero. Robert Dairo last action hero. And that's why you don't see me go crazy into RH even though it has so much potential upside for the next 3 to 5 years. You're not going to see me make it into some massive position just because it comes with a lot of risk, right? uh realistic worst case scenario I see is 102 to 107 somewhere in there. So I actually think we're um pretty darn close to a bottom at this point in time. We really need rates to bottom sometime soon and RH will start to move up from there. Right. But I would like RH to be in a lower place for the remainder of this year ideally so I can get my position all added because I'm not done building out RH as a very new buy. Next one. Winning Resorts. So, by the way, Win Resorts has gotten to a place I might add it to the public account. And that's big dog. You get added to the public account, you be able to holy field. The main issue I have is there's several stocks in the public account that I want to buy more shares of right now. So, to then go buy win when I have all these other stocks I want to buy, it's a little tough, but winds at 74 right now. Uh worst case scenario, if we had a big major correction or crash in the market, I think it goes down to 59 to 64. And uh but yeah, this one's an incredible buy right now. It's gotten devastated this year, obviously, right? But I I'll give you a different frame of thought and how to you know because wind's such a different stock than I think people usually own. Like how many people have really owned a resort company before? Not many. Okay. So I want to give you a different frame of thought about win resorts. And I'm not here to sell you on a stock. You know, buy whatever stocks you guys want to buy. I don't care. You do your own thing. Okay. I want to give a frame of thought about this stock because I like to explain why I'm very excited to buy this stock right now and add to this position over the next three to six months. Okay, so when you're buying win resorts, like what are you getting? You're getting the most profitable resort in the United States of America, think about the United States, how big it is. Think about how many hotels, how many resorts are in this country. And to think you're getting the most profitable resort in the whole United States, I think there's something to be said about that. That's pretty darn epic, right? So, you're getting that. What else are you getting? Think about how massive Asia is. Think about how many people live in Asia, right? Think how much wealth is in Asia in general, right? In total, you're getting the number five and the number 10 most profitable resorts in all of Asia when you buy Win Resorts. Okay? And then Wind's opening the property in the Middle East next year. That property has a great opportunity to be the most profitable property in all of the Middle East. And I would say, you know, there's a pretty high probability that will be the most profitable property in the entire Middle East within two to three years of opening, right? So I think that's a more powerful way of looking at wind resorts rather than just thinking about they make this much net income or they have this much ebidar or they have this or that. Like what is it when you get the most profitable resort in the whole United States of America? What is it if you get the most profitable property in the entire Middle East? What if you have the two of the most top 10 most profitable resorts in all of Asia, right? Think about that for a moment. That's pretty big time. Now, additionally, when it comes to win resorts, they're carrying almost $1.6 billion of cash in the balance sheet. So, if you get into a recessionary scenario, they can certainly uh make it through that no problem, right? And you know, something funny is with Winds um assets. They have property and equipment at 6.6 billion. And I think that number is kind of laughable because if you were to go build Wind's properties nowadays, you're going to need at least $15 billion plus to try to replicate those. Between land cost and the construction cost of these properties, like you know how much construction's gone up over since their properties have been built easily, you're $15 billion plus deep. And they have, you know, property and equipment list at 6.6 billion. So I just think that's something interesting, right? What about the next one? Netflix. So this one uh the flicks I would say 65 is worst case scenario for Netflix. Yeah, that one is uh you know can I see the flicks going into the 50s? No, I would love it by the way. I would love it but I can't see it. Next one up here, American Express. So American Express, it's already down so much. Um in this one at 300 it's a steel deal but worst case scenario in this one 250 to 275. They would put the forward P probably at the 12 to 13 range somewhere around there roughly which is just crazy. I mean it's already so heavily discounted it's insane but I mean you know it's always possible right 250 to 275. Could I see going down to something with a one in front of it? I don't know. Next one up here SoFi Technologies not really necessarily a new buy for me but one I'm very interested in right now. Worst case scenario for SoFi is probably like 11 to 12. But you know I can't see SoFi going back to the single digits like it was many years ago. But if you got a real market correction or crash, 11 to 12 probably right for so far. Okay. All righty, ladies and gentlemen. Uh once again, you might want to watch that video I released a couple days ago here on the channel, seven stocks to buy before October 31st, 2026. And additionally, the pinned comment down there today will be for those of you that are ready to join my private group and you're in the financial position to join that. You want to learn much deeper. You want to take your investing up to the highest level possible, learn how to build, learn how to grow a sustainable portfolio for the long term. That will be the pinned comment down there.