Quadrant Bets - July 2026 - Some 3x to 5x Potential...

Good day, fellow investors. We recently updated on our whole risk and reward quadrant. You can check that video if you want, but today I want to focus on the bets part of that quadrant, and let's immediately start with Adobe. Now, Adobe P ratio of 12, the stock has rebounded a little bit from the downturn, let's say. It will all depend on next earnings. Everything looks good. It will depend on how AI, how marketing, how all these things work, but from just a feeling, when looking at this and analyzing the sentiment, I'm going to put Adobe here in green because I think that if you buy it now, you're likely looking at the positive risk and reward situation. Maybe in a year, maybe in a two. It has its own niche, so I understand the comments. It looks interesting. Too much of a bet for me, so not for me, but I must say it looks interesting. And we'll do the same for all the companies. Uh is it green, orange, or red? Constellation Software, diversified cash flows, acquisitions, growth, that's a little bit different than Adobe's business, so I have put it here into orange. Cash flows, everything looks good, but perhaps more, or you tell me in the comments, less prone for AI disruption. Alibaba was getting interesting, and now we have it jumping 11% as Gwen AI, who did a video 13 days ago how Alibaba is the cheapest AI stock out there. Well, that's something, but still, if you look at Alibaba from a long-term perspective and the AI bet, it's a green thing to bet on. Flower Foods dividend cut, stock down. I'm looking at these branded companies. We discussed Pepsi, things like that, and the competition is extremely fierce. Therefore, I'm sticking to red here. They made a big acquisition, a terrible one, that might put more pressure over the coming years with the debt and everything. I would not take that bet, just from a sentiment perspective. CNH Industrial, will the market revert? They need higher growing demand in industry, agricultural machinery demand. For now, it's not moving, it's not going down, but also not moving up. I'll put it on the orange side. Now, we have three oil stocks that we discussed. I have put them in the bet side. Here was on the fundamental, as we have seen on the quadrant, again showing the power of the quadrant. Then, as prices of oil went here, I put these stocks in the bet side. I will put them back in the quadrant when oil goes back to 60, because then it's an investment, not a bet. Now, with all the skirmishes going on, perhaps it will go higher again. So, I'll stick to the bet side, put it on orange, because we cannot predict what will go on with the war, but supply chains are adjusting, producing more, things like that. So, we'll see. We have then Pabrai Wagons. The stock didn't do much. It was feeling good here for Monish, then it's going down, likely on emerging market Asia pressures. People are hot about it, but about AI. The rest of it, as we seen with QWEB, is not that. and then if we're looking here, we have Turkey, Turkey, Kazakhstan, India, India, then some others, and CSU was also there. So, some bets I don't like that kind of bets because I think that Monish does great by buying Warrior and things like that, but being in such a fund means he needs to always buy things. And that simply doesn't work. Such bets work at the right time, not always. So, that's his strategy. He's managing a fund, so he's cursed by that. I think that he would not buy everything like that, which is then a down for me, let's say. Warrior Met Coal, it is up significantly. Now, we have to look at the spikes there. Again, I have put it on the red side for risk and reward, just my sentiment because it's a bet, so I cannot give you more than sentiment. Pinduoduo, down 50% based on negative sentiment for Chinese e-commerce. That's why I'm putting it in the green. Seems like oversold. These things go up and down. As people start selling and getting away from the Hynix and TSMCs, things like that might come back to the real economy. Kuaishou, similarly like that. Again, perhaps this is now the cheapest AI with their clean AI. I'll put it in greenish there. Charter Communications, we discussed both Charter and Comcast. I still think that this is a bet. It might be a free 5X. They can buy back the company in a few years, or it will continue to succumb to the It's simply a zero or a free X. Comcast is more expensive because of the dividend, because of the parks, because of the DIS, but that's the outcome, lower upside. So, I'll stick to Charter Communications as a bet situation. So, look also at the quadrant, check my research platform for a great buy if you're interested. Thanks for watching. Looking forward to your comments, and I'll see you in the next video.