MEMORY STOCKS READY TO RALLY THIS WEEK

As we get ready for this upcoming trading week, are memory stocks ready to rally? That's what we're going to be talking about in this video. We're going to talk about Micron, Skhinx, Samsung, all of them. We'll also talk about them in the context of the overall broader market and the pretty significant selloff we had towards the end of last week, the impact on all of our memory stocks and all that and uh everything. ultimately with the goal of just helping you understand what's going on so that you can create more value, create more profit in your stock trading and uh and and roll into this coming week with kind of a better feeling of what we're going to see play out. Okay, so let's take a look at overall what we've what we've got coming up. So, are we going to see a rally this week? I want to start off and really talk about one major thing. And that major thing especially for memory stocks is that the fundamental story around all of our memory stocks you know u Micron Skhinx Samsung you know if maybe let's say you own the uh round memory ETF what have you the fundamental story has not changed HBM high bandwidth memory DRAM NAND all of that the conditions are still in place for everything to exceed supply but we saw a significant selloff we saw all pretty much all of our AI stocks sell off. Like I said, you know, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, and we're going to really talk about that and then kind of look at this coming week. Okay, so again, the fundamentals are very strong. The sell-off really looked like a profit- takingaking event, not a trend reversal. Now, we still have a lot of things at play. Uh we still have the the themes and the narratives at play, and those themes are is capex spending going to slow? is something going to fundamentally shift in that direction every single week. We see that little golden gem, if you will, kind of trotted out and and and discussed and, you know, it's it's really fretted over and all that. And I'm not minimizing that because if capex expenditures from the hyperscalers, major enterprise clients, big big companies, if they do start to change their theme and their narrative and we start to see, you know, a a shift in what they are going to do, then that is a significant discussion point and some variables that we need to we need to talk about. But right here, right now, we're not seeing that. Okay? And so I really want to stress that. Okay? So let's kind of dig into this and look at what we've got here. So kind of looking over here on number one again the fundamental story. Let me zoom in on that just a little bit for you guys. You can kind of see that a little bit better. Okay. Yeah. The fundamental story has not changed especially for memory. Okay. SKH industry could face its worst memory shortage in 2027. We've heard that from the CEO. We've heard that from uh the CEO of Micron. Uh everybody is pretty much singing the same song and that's specifically a quote coming from their CEO. Um remember that demand is expected to stay uh well ahead of supply beyond 2030. That's really a fundamental scenario there. And so ultimately what does this come down to? It comes down to higher prices being driven from Micron Skhinx and Samsung. Um because quite frankly, let's call it what it is. They can charge those higher prices. Those higher prices help to vastly improve the margin structures associated with memory. We we we've really kind of gotten out of the the cyclical nature of the memory business. Although again, Wall Street will trot that out every single week almost, it seems, and worry about that and fret over that. Fret's my new word of the day, by the way. Um and and just continue to to to kind of create uncertainty around those two main narratives. Is memory still cyclical? No, it is not. Remember those strategic customer agreements that we've seen companies like Micron put into place and SKHX has put those into place as well. uh all of those all of those narratives are still intact. Those those themes, those discussion points, they're still there. And don't lose sight of those is really what I'm trying to say. Okay. Number two, right here, recent sell-off was really profit taking and not weakness. Now, there are some of you, you know, there's some out there that would say, well, this has changed in the market, that's changed in the market. And and really, if you're really watching the market, no, it's not. A lot of what we're seeing though here, guys, is speculation. It is speculation. Um, in the financial news networks, all the distribution channels like finance.yahoo and talking heads on the finance channels, it's speculation. Is capex expenditures going to slow? Is this going to change? What if companies don't do this? What if memory is still cyclical? What if, you know, and what if and what if? And I want to remind you that that is speculation. Now, right now, speculation can drive sell-offs like we've seen. We have seen that. Okay. So, I'm just I'm just reminding you of that of that scenario. So, still here on number two, you know, TSMC reported strong earnings, but we saw a sell-off in the market. Why? Because TMC said one thing and then they said that prices will most likely start to rise and that triggered a sell-off. It it it really did, especially in the memory sector. Samsung reported strong results but didn't quite like everything in their earnings report. Saw a sell-off, you know, and that's where we're at. It's those expectations around everything coming out from the earnings and andor you know the stories around these companies and it's just really really uh driving some of these sell-offs because stocks sold off because of expectations. We expectations are extremely high around Micron, Skhinx, Samsung so forth. It's still it's high around the the the chip stock. We saw a major, you know, we saw a significant selloff in semiconductors obviously as well. Okay. So again, number three, money did rotate right back into memory stocks. We saw SKHIX, you know, up 17%, Micro Micron up four and a half plus percent. Memory stocks outperformed the broader tech seer tech sector. Get it right, Austin. Okay. And just remember as you are getting ready for this week, remember that a lot of what we're seeing playing out is expectations around these stocks, but it's also speculation. It it really is speculation and kind of let's specifically talk about this week and what we're probably going to see. We're going to see some volatility. Um, we're going to see as we as we roll into the week, expectations being high, um, fear, uncertainty, concern, we're going to see those same old storylines continue to come out. We are going to see that. And so, you need to understand that and go, okay, I'm prepared for that. And I will bring you back to a really simple thing. And that simple thing is like this right here, back to number one over here on number one. And specifically the second bullet, demand is expected to stay well ahead of supply beyond 2030. I will bring you to that. I could stop the video right there and go that's really where it comes down to is that remember with how they're bringing fabrication f facilities online skinex and micron Samsung etc. They're bringing those fab facilities online and they're also managing how and when they're going to ship those chips. And and the way that works is that as they ship, they recognize that revenue. And so you you you can guarantee that the the executives of from the management perspective are going to be managing supply associated with fabrication manufacturing, but they're al also going to be managing how they ship and how they how they ship and recognize that revenue to ultimately drive towards managing earnings on a quarter by quarter basis and managing expectations and all that kind of stuff. And again, remember the the customer agreements, the 16 strategic customer agreements coming like from Micron, that's going to help manage that process as well. All those things in place. Okay. So, I just want you to kind of remember that as we roll into this week, yeah, this week could be volatile, but if you also look at it more from a long-term standpoint, I I always come back to kind of that that second bullet point over here on number one. Demand is expected to stay well ahead of supply. And I know that because there strategic customer agreements and I know as they roll forward that that ultimately Micron and SKH Highix specifically because you can buy and sell those here in the States now from a stock standpoint especially obviously Micron you always could but Skhinx um I think that's why I feel very comfortable with these investments from a long-term standpoint at least obviously until 20 2028 and and beyond as long as we continue to see visibility and continue to see the earnings in in line with what we're trying is trying to drive to and the trends and the themes and the narratives don't change. If we start to see major major companies come out and say, "Okay, yeah, we are going to slow capex expenditures. We are going to slow some of this AI spend," then that's a different scenario, but we're not seeing that right now. Okay, kind of moving on and looking at number four here. Analysts keep raising price forecasts. UBS now expects uh DRAM prices to continue rising through through 26. NAND prices continue increasing. HBM demand to grow another 90%. You know, and we're and you know, and you got to remember that memory goes beyond the hyperscalers. Memory goes beyond that. You know, if you look at like, for example, Micron, the deals they put together with General Motors and and Ford, we're getting a lot of a lot of uh visibility into that is that, you know, memory chips go into everything. It's not just putting the memory chips onto the semiconductor chips that are going into the data centers. remember that that it's a much broader bigger thing and we're not even really talking about right here right now the memory demand for robotics for for the you know when the deployment of humanoid robotics like the Tesla Optima um Optimus robot coming from Tesla as we see that roll out I mean the demand for memory is going to be ast absolutely astronomical and again that goes to that point right there in number four HPM demand to grow another 90 plus percent we're going to see that demand grow and grow and grow over time and ultimately here's what we're Looking at over here on the right hand side, the outlook for this week, 60 to 70% memory stocks bounce and continue trending higher after last week's volatility. So, we're looking at most likely a north of definitely a north of 50 plus percent and a 60 to 70% that we're looking at a pretty good week. There's a 20 to 30% chance the stocks trade sideways. Okay, that's fair. Um, as investors wait for earnings and more data. That's always that's always the case. It's always the expectation. And I think we're looking at a less than 10% chance that we could see a continuation or more of a market sell-off uh that drags a semiconductor sector lower despite strong fundamentals. And if we see the semiconductor continue to drag down as an example like we saw last week, that really had nothing to do with memory. It was a semiconductor selloff that that that bled over and impacted uh you know memory uh stocks as well. Okay, so let's go back over here. So kind of looking at specifically Micron and SKH Highix as an example right here down here at the very bottom you see um Micron again we're very bullish right we are very I am extremely bullish I think we as a sector are very bullish HBM demand remains extremely strong signing long-term supply agreements those 16 strategic customer agreements we we know two of the main ones are General Motors Ford we also we don't have clear visibility because it's not been divulged we can guarantee that that some of those um 16R hyperscalers. We know that and and things of this things of this nature. And here's here's another here's another another interesting point. We we we continue to kind of see the scenario or or one of the trends or one of the the kind of the story the story uh the story lines of um you know companies are going to get out of their agreements with Micron. Okay, let's talk about that. Are they really? If I was a company and my business, like let's just say I'm just using it as an example, Ford, my product that I sell, one of the key components of it is obviously the entire electrical system in that in that vehicle. What's a core component of that? I mean, in just one component, it's memory. It's memory chips. You're telling me, you're saying, hm, is Ford going to kill a a an agreement with Micron to no longer be at the front of the line to get those memory chips to go into their product so that they can sell it? Do you really believe that companies are going to walk away from these strategic agreements? No, they're not. But it's a storyline that we do see from Wall Street that they, oh, these companies could could cancel those those agreements. You have to remember, ask yourself, is that company really going to cancel that agreement? because these strategic customer agreements move those companies to the front of the line. Adding as an example, so what I see we're going to have what I see is going to happen is that we're going to see even more strategic customer agreements coming from Micron, coming from SKHIX. Why? Because the companies are lining up. They want to be essentially moved to the front of the line by signing these strategic agreements so that they can guarantee a supply of crucial components, memory chips to go into their product so that they can sell their products and you know for their business. Just remember that, okay? Just remember that because a lot of people lose sight of that. Oh my god, they're going to, you know, Ford's going to cancel it. Really? Come on. SK Hanix strongest pure play. I think the SK is extreme is extremely pure play. Uh earnings report coming on July 29. Investors will watch for confirmation that HBM pricing and margins remain exceptional. I think we should see good things from SK Heinix. The only issue I have with what we're going to see there, and we've seen this time and time again, especially like with Taiwan Semiconductor, the entire a lot of the sell-off we saw in memory was because SKHX on their executive earnings call mentioned that the pricing their pricing was going to go up and just everybody just freaked out. Okay, so we risk to watch as we roll into this week. Another broadened market NASDAQ correction. You know, like yesterday or excuse me on Friday, everybody everywhere you turned it was, you know, AI AI semiconductor and AI is dragging the market lower yet SKHX bounced 17%. Micron bounced 4 and a.5%. And the headlines were screaming all this bad stuff. And but and and the NASDAQ was down 200 points, but if you looked, no, they weren't there. you know, there wasn't a broad market sell-off. There was at one point, but it all rebounded. And that's really again what I want what I want to talk about. I don't think we're going to see profit taking. Profit taking seems to have already played itself out. We had major major major funds that had gotten in early to Micron and SKHX and AMD and Envy and Intel and we saw we saw a massive amount of profit taking going on at a at a pretty large scale. We are waiting for earnings. Yes, we are. Okay. But again, if we see any negative news or if if we see the storylines and and the the narratives change from major major hyperscalers andor trend, you know, major major companies come out and say we're we're scaling back. That's a different story. That's a different narrative and we will obviously address that uh as we, you know, as we roll in. Okay. So the big takeaway from this very lower left very bottom here on this on this graphic that I've built for you guys is the AI memory super cycle is still intact and I think it's going to cont continue. I think we're going to see the trend continue. we have visibility into via the you know strategic customer agreements and via production cycles and all this that we know beyond a shadow of a doubt that it's going to continue well past 2028 and into 2030. There simply is not the manufacturing capacity right now to deliver on the massive amount of demand. And I'll point you back to number four here uh on HBM. HBM demand is set to grow another 90% this year. Okay, last week's sell-off may have been a reset, but not the beginning of the end. And I think that was the fear a little bit. And that fear is running rampants because we've seen such massive valuation changes. We've seen such massive runup in these stocks over a period of the last year and so forth. So now now there's that rampant fear in the market that's always seemed to be underpinning any story line we see. Oh my god, is it about to end? And I don't. And if you kind of take a step back and you take your emotions out of it and you just look at the market and you look at the things you see on this graphic, you can kind of go, okay, I have more visibility. I understand more these play at things at play. Remember the story I told you about? Do you really think that that companies are going to stop buying memory like Ford and General Motors? They they're not going to stop buying memory. have to they have to have those components that are crucial for them to manufacture their own products. And that storyline plays out across multiple sectors, multiple industries that are manufacturing products to deliver to sell obviously, you know, to their customers. And always remember that and bring that back. Okay? So, thanks for giving me a few minutes. I appreciate you your time. Um, I'm going to leave you with this. If you're interested in trying to make even more money selling stocks, let me show you this. 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