… ready for the four tier framework? Here's tier one. Lowest risk, the foundational layer. This is yield where you keep your keys, you keep custody, and you're being paid for securing a network, not for handing your coins to a counterparty. Ethereum staking. The network APY currently sits around 3.3%. But if you run your own validator with 32 Ethereum, you're looking at 4 to 5% including me awards. No custodian, no trust us layer. You're being paid by the protocol itself for validating blocks. Now, Salana also has native staking, curren…
Ethereum staking. The network APY currently sits around 3.3%.
AI-extracted context
"Tier one is the foundation. Solo Ethereum staking, native Salana staking, and Babylon for Bitcoin. You keep your keys."
…etwork APY currently sits around 3.3%. But if you run your own validator with 32 Ethereum, you're looking at 4 to 5% including me awards. No custodian, no trust us layer. You're being paid by the protocol itself for validating blocks. Now, Salana also has native staking, currently advertises around 6% and this is the trap I told you to wait for. Salana's reward model is inflationbased, meaning the network prints new Salana and hands it out to stakers. Every year that issuance rate drops by about 15% and the more capital that stakes, the thinner each slice gets. So, if you're earni…
Salana also has native staking, currently advertises around 6% and this is the trap I told you to wait for.
AI-extracted context
"Tier one is the foundation. Solo Ethereum staking, native Salana staking, and Babylon for Bitcoin."
…ence and handed back to you, are you actually earning anything? That's why math over trust isn't a slogan. It's the work. The number on the staking dashboard isn't lying. It's just not telling you the whole truth. And then there's Bitcoin. Babylon's TVL has scaled into the billions with the pitch being native Bitcoin staking. Your Bitcoin never leaves the Bitcoin network. No wrapping or bridging and you retain custody throughout. That's a Cippher punk aligned design and I respect the architecture, but just be honest about what you're being paid in, which is partner tokens, not Bitcoin. The yield is real, bu…
Babylon's TVL has scaled into the billions with the pitch being native Bitcoin staking. Your Bitcoin never leaves the Bitcoin network.
AI-extracted context
"Tier one is the foundation. Solo Ethereum staking, native Salana staking, and Babylon for Bitcoin. You keep your keys."
Full Transcript
$12 billion, 600,000 earned depositors who thought they owned their coins, one promise of safe yield. That was Celsius at its peak. And that's what evaporated when the withdraw button stopped working. Right now, Bitcoin is sitting around 42% off its all-time high as I'm recording this. The market is bleeding and in your feed, your inbox, every comment section you're reading through, the same pitches are crawling back out of the woodwork. Earn 12% on your Bitcoin. Safe, stable coin yield. Make your crypto work for you. Now, we need to talk about that. The next Celsius is being marketed right now to the exact same people who lost everything to the last one. By the end of this video, you're going to have a four tier framework for evaluating every single yield pitch you'll ever see, including two specific traps hiding inside numbers that look completely safe. One of those traps is a yield number I'm going to show you in a few minutes that's mathematically equal to zero, even though the platform advertises around 6%. The other is the largest staking protocol on Ethereum, sitting a handful of percentage points away from being able to influence the entire network. We'll get to both, but stay with me. Before we get into it, are you on our free newsletter? If not, please head over to learningcrypto.com and sign up. It's free. It lands in your inbox, and you'll be the first to receive exclusive announcements, market updates, and exciting offers. All right, let's get into it. So, this video exists now for a reason. Scared underwater investors are the easiest people on earth to sell a yield trap to. The banking system trained us for exactly this moment. You deposit your money. The bank tells you it's safe. You earn 0.05% while they earn 5% on treasuries with your capital. They keep the spread and you keep the counterparty risk you didn't know you had until SVB collapsed in 48 hours. Remember that crypto was supposed to fix that. Transparent yield and verifiable solveny with no extractive middlemen taking a cut. Then Celsius arrived, copied the bank model with worse disclosures and higher leverage, slapped 18% APY on the front of it, and detonated $12 billion of retail capital. And here's the part nobody read carefully. Celsius's own terms of use stated that depositors were not account holders. When you deposited, you transferred ownership of your crypto to Celsius in exchange for a contractual promise of yield. When bankruptcy hit, the roughly 600,000 earned depositors discovered they were unsecured creditors with no priority claim, no deposit insurance, and no coins coming back. When a platform offers you 18% APY on Bitcoin and calls it safe, why aren't you asking who's on the other side of that trade? And what happens when they can't pay? Now, hold that question cuz we'll come back to it. All right, you ready for the four tier framework? Here's tier one. Lowest risk, the foundational layer. This is yield where you keep your keys, you keep custody, and you're being paid for securing a network, not for handing your coins to a counterparty. Ethereum staking. The network APY currently sits around 3.3%. But if you run your own validator with 32 Ethereum, you're looking at 4 to 5% including me awards. No custodian, no trust us layer. You're being paid by the protocol itself for validating blocks. Now, Salana also has native staking, currently advertises around 6% and this is the trap I told you to wait for. Salana's reward model is inflationbased, meaning the network prints new Salana and hands it out to stakers. Every year that issuance rate drops by about 15% and the more capital that stakes, the thinner each slice gets. So, if you're earning around 6% while the supply is inflating roughly 6% in real terms, you earn nothing. You ran in place. If your yield is just inflation being printed into existence and handed back to you, are you actually earning anything? That's why math over trust isn't a slogan. It's the work. The number on the staking dashboard isn't lying. It's just not telling you the whole truth. And then there's Bitcoin. Babylon's TVL has scaled into the billions with the pitch being native Bitcoin staking. Your Bitcoin never leaves the Bitcoin network. No wrapping or bridging and you retain custody throughout. That's a Cippher punk aligned design and I respect the architecture, but just be honest about what you're being paid in, which is partner tokens, not Bitcoin. The yield is real, but it's denominated in something that can and maybe very well could go to zero. This is the safest layer because there's no human counterparty to fail. Your risk is technical things like slashing, validator selection, and occasional smart contract bugs. Not did the CEO lie on a podcast. All right, moving on to tier two, medium risk, lending and tokenized treasuries. This is where you accept smart contract risk and sometimes counterparty risk in exchange for higher more predictable yields. A is the benchmark. USDC supply rates on A V3 are currently running in the low single digits with TVL hovering in the mid teens of billions across all chains. You can verify utilization, collateral, and bad debt on chain in real time from your phone right now. That verifiability matters. In April of 2024, the EZF DPEG cascade triggered substantial liquidations across DeFi, including positions collateralized on A. The mechanics were ugly, but the recovery process happened in public on chain with every wallet visible. Now, compare that with Celsius. With onchain lending like a you could see the bad debt building. Watch who was withdrawing and make a decision with actual information in front of you instead of a frozen withdrawal page. Now with Celsius, the first time depositors knew there was a problem was when withdrawals stopped working. The same kind of loss, radically different visibility. That's the difference between trust us and mathematically auditable accounting. Real world assets or RWAs are the other tier 2 play. The current sector currently sits north of $30 billion in onchain value with tokenized US Treasury products accounting for several billion of that. Ono's USDY pays around 5.3% APY tracking short-term duration treasury bills and Black Rockck's Bidd alongside OUGg sits in the 3.4 to 4% range. And the skeptic in me has to step in. Black Rock's Bidd lives on chain, sure, but it's heavily concentrated in its top holders, requires KYC, and it has admin keys. That's not crypto. That's Black Rockck using Ethereum as plumbing. Decent yield, but please understand what you're actually buying and what you're going to give up to get it. Onchain does not mean decentralized and decentralized does not mean trustless. So listen carefully when you hear those words used interchangeably. Now for the second trap I promised you. Leo, the largest liquid staking protocol on Ethereum controls roughly a quarter of all staked Ethereum. And if that number crosses 33%, Leo could theoretically influence Ethereum's consensus mechanism itself. The top node operators within LEO are heavily concentrated among a small set of firms. This is what concentration risk looks like. The yield is fine, sitting around 3.2 to 3.5% on STF after fees. The systemic exposure is the problem. In June of 2022, STF deped during the 3AC, three Aeros Capital and Celsius Cascade, and significant collateralized positions were liquidated across DeFi during that single window. The yield is mid single digits, but the tail risk is structural. So, let's actually do the math on what patient yield looks like over time. Because once you understand the framework, the small numbers start to matter. So, let's take 10 Ethereum staked at 3.3% compounded for 5 years. That's about 11.76 Ethereum. If Ethereum appreciates, that gain compounds on top of the price action. Now run $10,000 in USDC on A at roughly 3.5% for the same window and you land around $11,847. Now you can stretch USDY at 5.3% out to 10 years and you redeem for roughly $16,800 having done nothing except hold. The yield came from real verifiable Treasury bills. These numbers don't sound sexy, but they're real and you can audit them yourself. The people who earn them still have their stack. The people who chased 18% mostly don't. So, here's the four tier framework. Screenshot this if you need to. Tier one is the foundation. Solo Ethereum staking, native Salana staking, and Babylon for Bitcoin. You keep your keys. The risk is technical, not human. Move up to tier two and you're in yield enhancement territory. A or more for stablecoin lending, tokenized treasuries like USDY or OSG for treasury exposure. You accept smart contract risk and some counterparty risk for higher, more predictable yields. Tier three only exists for capital you can size for loss. That's leveraged liquid staking loops and more exotic DeFi strategies with real yields and real liquidation cascades when things break. And tier four, don't touch it. Centralized earn products promising 10% or more on stable coins or Bitcoin. Any platform where the terms of service say you transfer ownership of your assets. any platform where you cannot independently verify solvency. If the offer sounds like Celsius, it is Celsius, just maybe with a new name. And one final question to run every position through. If you can't withdraw on the worst day, do you actually own it? That question matters more than any APY number. Leo's withdrawal queue can stretch to several days under stress. Staked Ethereum has deeged before when leverage unwinds and centralized platforms freeze withdrawals the moment they can't honor them. The exit liquidity test is non-negotiable. So test it before you need it, not after. The thesis under all of this is simple. Patience is a yield strategy. Verification is a yield strategy. And surviving the cycle with your stack intact is the highest return most people will ever earn. You don't need to chase 15% to win. You need to not become an unsecured creditor in a bankruptcy filing you didn't realize you signed up for. Small verified self-custody yield held for years beats a chase yield that vaporizes in a weekend. Every cycle without exception. Thanks so much for watching. I hope you enjoyed it. Hit like and subscribe. We really appreciate it. I'll see you in the next video.
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