NEW stock I bought today‼️‼️

Put your cuffs up, ladies and gentlemen. Or maybe flip a flapjack or something. Another one. Another new all-time high for the public count here today. Closing at $4.84 million. Uh, not a very big day. Up 3K, but we will take what we can get. Congratulations to everybody out there. Hitting all-time highs in your portfolio. I hope you guys are doing tremendous as always. Can you say it with me? AMD AMD stock up a whopping $72,000 here today in the public account. Back over a million dollar of gains in AMD stock in the public account alone. What a runner it is. All righty, folks. In today's video, we got four uh subjects to cover. Okay, one, I want to talk about Celsius stock. In this video, we're going to talk about how long can you get this stock for cheap prices. Are we talking about a few weeks? Are we talking about months? Uh, I thought that'd be an important subject because I know a lot of people are interested in buying Celsius or have started buying that stock. So, I want to share my opinions and perspectives there. Two, AMD. What's going on with AMD? Where's that stock headed from here? I think that's a very important subject we cover in this one here today. Number three, I want to talk about market sentiment in this video here today. And reason being is there's a lot of confusion on if we're in a bullish market when it comes to sentiment, a bearish market, a kangaroo market. I want to talk about that in this video here today and show you data regarding that and talk about where the market's headed from here. And fourth subject we'll get into here today is I bought a brand new stock today. Brand new brand new stock. We'll talk about what stock it is, why I bought it, how much I'm looking to put in the stock, my projections for where this stock is going over the the coming years, all that good stuff. This is an action-packed video for you guys here today. One thing, one thing only. I need from you. If you have not already done so, just smash a like button for me. That lets me know you enjoy videos like this. Also, if you smash the like button, there's a higher probability in the future when you come on to YouTube, it's going to show you my videos cuz that let you that let YouTube know, hey, I like this guy's videos. Can you please show me them in the future? If you don't smash a like, lower probability. It might not show it to my videos next time you go to log on, right? So, very, very important you do that. Uh, additionally, make sure you subscribe to the channel as the sign of my garage says. Very important. Okay. All right, guys. Appreciate you joining me for this one. Let's get rolling here. Listen, Celsius. Where's our stock headed from here? You know, how long do we have the stock to to buy the stock for cheap? Okay, first thing you got to understand with Celsius is my average cost in the public accounts 2634. Okay, so up about $21,000 on that stock so far, which means it has gone lower recently as in the past few years. And so it could go down there again, right? All things are possible. So that's the first thing to understand. It's not like it hasn't gone lower than 2956 where it's at today. It could always go lower, right? Look at some of these shares I have from this these ones. February of 2025, 21.95, February 2025, 22.99, February 2025, 21.95, November 2024, 258 August 7th uh 2026 23.86. So, the moral of the story is here, um, if it was to go lower than this or even go down to 25 or lower, it wouldn't be like it hasn't happened in recent years. It absolutely has happened in recent years. Okay? So, that's just something important to to understand. That does not mean it's going back down there, but it's important to understand. It can go lower than where it's at today. Right now, there's a few things to to look out for here. Okay. First one will be the next earnings. That's going to be a huge market moving event for Celsius. that's going to those earnings should drop in about 2 months from now. They have not announced a specific date on when their next earnings are coming out, but it'll be likely um just a little after Halloween. So, expect it roughly 2 months from now. Okay. So, that's going to move Celsius stock in a major way. Okay. The other thing that could move Celsius stock between now and then is the next beverage data, which will come out in about 2 to 3 weeks from now. the new beverage data. Here's the thing, okay? The Celsius side of the business has not been the best at all recently, right? The the thing that's really strong for Celsius is actually Alani. Okay? So, if the Celsius brand can get back to growth, the stock's going to move heavy upward. Celsius is the biggest part of the business. So if that reverses and starts going positive or even gives a glimpse of like, hey, it's about to go positive, you're going to see Celsius stock move up significantly when that new data drops cuz that will be spread everywhere. Uh the algorithms trade off that. Big investors that care anything about Celsius trade off that information as well. And so that will come out about 2 to 3 weeks from now and that's going to matter significantly. So be on the lookout for that. Okay. So, the best case scenario, now keep in mind I'm a buyer of Celsius stock. So, I want Celsius as low as possible, for as long as possible. Like, if Celsius could be $2 a share, I want it for $2 a share. If Celsius could be two pennies a share, I could take it for two pennies a share, right? Like, the game, the name of the game is I want my stocks that I'm buying to be as low as possible for as long as possible so I can gobble up as many shares as possible over a given period of time. Okay? So the best case scenario for that would be the stock stays in kind of this 27 to 33 range uh through Q1 of 2027. That's about as far as I could possibly see the stock staying in a much lower place. Okay. The worst case scenario here is that stock pops huge within the next 3 weeks once that new beverage data comes out. if the Celsius brand is growing again, uh the stock will already start to move up significantly essentially right way before earnings come out because the stock will trade off of that data as well. Now, if the ear if the numbers come out bad the next uh beverage reports and Celsius is still in a bad spot with growth or lack of growth, then the stock will stay in this lower place, maybe even go down to that 25 range or under, right? But assuming that data starts to bounce back, you're going to see the stock already move up significantly, which it puts you under a little bit of a time crunch because that wouldn't be ideal cuz next thing you know, the stock would be 35, 36, $37. And it's like, shoot, man. Like, you know, it wasn't that long ago was $23. So, the stock is very, very volatile in these ranges. I mean, you know, I have shares I bought just somewhat recently uh for for what, 23 and some change. All right, the name of the game is buy low, sell high, right? And that's an important thing you always got to remember in the stock market is buy low, sell high. And so don't fear the stock going down short term if you just started to build a position in the past few weeks, the past few months in the stock, right? If anything, you should root for the stock to go lower in the short term so you can buy more shares, right? If you really love Celsius for the long term. Um, you know, some people play this game the opposite way. They buy high and they sell low. uh that's not the name of the game, okay? We're trying to buy as many shares as we can in great companies as low as we possibly can and build out those positions significantly over time. Right now, for those of you guys that care about Celsius stock, definitely consider joining my private group. In the private group, we got a ton of Celsius shareholders in there and uh it's phenomenal to surround yourself with other shareholders. Like we had a bunch of people in the private group that were buying Celsius shares today, right? always sharing new data, information coming out in regards to Celsius, things we find out there, um, new store data, all that sort of stuff. So, if you care anything about Celsius, join the private group. That'll be the pinned comment down there today. You also get access obviously to all our other stock chats, AMD chats, always very, very, very busy as well. And, uh, all the other stocks as well. Get access to all my course curriculums, thousandx.com, all that good stuff. But, you'll definitely enjoy the Discord chat if you're a shareholder of a company like Celsius. I mean, the amount of postage just about sales today was a lot. Okay. All righty, guys. Next up here, number two, let's talk about AMD. What's going on here? Where's the stock headed from here? Listen, AMD, huge move. We know that, right? But the thing you got to understand about AMD is we're in a period of just like good news, good news, good news, good news, good news, good news, good news. Okay? Just cycles of great news. And we're going to remain in that cycle for quite some time here. Okay, so AMD just came out here and was at the City Global TMT conference and they talked about they stated that the total addressable market for artificial intelligence could reach $2 trillion by 2030. The numbers are getting so insane it's ridiculous, right? Data center revenue. The company expects data center sales to approach $70 billion in 2027, which is roughly double the expected size of the business in 2026. Those are incredible numbers, right? These aggressive long-term projections and strong growth forecasts boosted investor confidence in the chipmaker's competitive position in the AI infrastructure market. You know, it's for me it's not really any news. We know this market is massive. We know AMD is going to grow to become a much bigger player and they will take a market share over the next few years. Those are things we do know. Right now, the thing you got to understand about AMD is AMD is still about 13% off of its all-time high. Okay? So, like there's a significant upside in AMD just to get back to all-time highs. We're not even talking about going 600, 700, 800. Uh, just to get back to alltime highs. We still got a significant move there right now. If you look at the stock, you see what you see a trend of lower highs, lower highs, lower highs, lower highs, lower highs. So, you can't get too excited about the stock price of AMT until we break out of this trend of lower highs. If we break out to like a 520 and above, look out. We're we're running and gunning again. Okay, but even today, we didn't take out the recent lower high on the stock. So, it's one of those situations where it's like, this is exciting. We're moving back up in the right direction. But let's see if we break, you know, 515 up to that 520 and then we can talk about, okay, we're finally out of that trend of like lower highs and lower highs and lower highs, right? No, my opinion is $750 is possible on the stock before Q2. It's a it's a realistic possibility in my opinion, right? And the reason being is, you know, we're going to get a shock and a guidance from AMD eventually. Like we've been waiting on that shock and a waiting on that shock and all. It's going to come. You know, it's like waiting at the roulette wheel and it like keeps coming up black. Keeps coming up black. You're like, "Dude, we're we're due for the red. It's coming." And uh the thing that gives me confidence about it is looking at AMD's customers and looking at the average selling prices AMD is likely getting for their products, especially as a new generation of products and looking at kind of these companies capex numbers. And so that's what really gives me the confidence that the shock and awe is coming on AMD. We didn't get it last quarter unfortunately and that's what held back the stock and pushed it down the 400s, right? But um I think we're going to get that. And so I think there's going to be more hype and excitement that comes in AMD and we can see the stock go 750 or above in Q2. Right now the big thing that's happening for AMD is we got the flipping happening in 2027. And that's why the stock is going to remain the most exciting stock in the stock market. And so what's going to happen here is earnings per share is expected to go up triple digits next year, right? Triple digits. But keep in mind these numbers are going to be a lot better than what analysts are expecting. AMD comes in and beats revenue and earnings per share pretty much every single quarter. Okay? Like it's almost like a guarantee. And so when you see these analyst projections, just understand AMD's numbers are going to be significantly above this. The the triple digit growth in earnings per share is going to be way stronger than what you're looking at here. Additionally, when you look at revenue, right, revenue, we're looking at some quarters next year. Analysts are expecting 74% growth, 77%, 79%. On my opinion, we're going to be getting some of these quarters close to 100%. Some of these quarters are going to be over 100% revenue growth. Triple digits, ladies and gentlemen. Triple digits. Now, this is what's very exciting because you look at Nvidia. Nvidia has been growing exponentially bigger the last several years in AMD, right? Uh earnings per share for Nvidia is expected to be much more modest than somebody like an AMD, which is going to be up triple digits, strong triple digits, right? Nvidia expected to have like 65 69% type, you know, uh, earnings per share growth, which is still great. It's just exciting because AMD is finally going to pass them, right? In regards to revenue growth percentages and earnings per share. So, if you look at Nvidia's revenue growth percentages, they're kind of around that 70%ish number, right? And if you look at AMD, they're much more toward the high 70s. And keep in mind, AMD is the one that has much more upside for those revenue estimates u next year as well. So you're going to likely see those push more toward the 100% or above, right? And Nvidia just doesn't have that sort of wiggle room because you need such a crazy increase in capex to get there, right? So it's not a bad thing for Nvidia. It's just it's a very exciting moment for AMD in terms of like, whoa, they're actually finally growing at a faster clip than Nvidia. Nvidia's got a way bigger business. So that's something to keep in mind there. Right now, if you look at the last time AMD had revenues going at a growing at a faster clip than Nvidia, it was back in 2022. Now, the issue was 2022, the NASDAQ crashed. Okay, so from the peak in 2021 to the trough in 2022, the NASDAQ fell like 37%. Okay, so we went through a crash, literally a crash in the NASDAQ. And so AMD and Nvidia stock both sucked in 2022. So it's not really a good comp in terms of like how did these stocks perform in the past. So the previous time period that AMD grew at a faster clip than Nvidia. It was back in 2019 and AMD that particular year went up 148% while Nvidia did great, but it was up 76%. Okay. Um Nvidia's revenue actually was down that particular year while AMD was not up pretty modest 4%. So, we're going to go through kind of an unprecedented time here. And this is very important everybody understands this. What we're about to go through with AMD, we've never really gone through this before. Okay, listen. We're going to go through a time period when AMD is growing at a faster clip than Nvidia, but the the revenue growth is going to be like triple digits, right? Or close to triple digits. And the earnings per share is going to be at a much faster clip than like like deep in the triple digits. And so that's not something we've gone through. And so you just got to understand this is unprecedented what we're about to go through here with AMD. And I think that's why AMD is the most exciting, the most compelling stock of any of the massive companies out there because AMD's market cap's pushing closer and closer to a trillion dollar market cap, right? So if you look at all the super exciting um huge companies, let's call call the ones that are close to a trillion dollar market cap or above a trillion dollar market cap, right? which is probably about 20 20 to 25 stocks in total that are close to a trillion or over a trillion, right? It's the most exciting one for 2027 and and it's it's not even close between them and the next company. Like it's a significant difference. And so at the end of the day, if you want to be in the most exciting stock in the market in 2027, you better own AMD. And so that's why I think AMD is going to continue to see momentum over the coming months and more and more momentum and excitement because people are going to look at that and it's like that's the play to be in, right? And remember the stock market, you know, is a very short-term focus. The stock market is very next 6 to 12 months, right? And so people are going to look out there and they say, "Where can I get the massive growth the next 6 to 12 months?" It's AMD. It's AMD. And the best thing about AMD is it's a very public company. Everybody knows Lisa Sue. Everybody knows AMD and uh they know the sort of returns that stock can provide over a given period of time and uh and so that's why I have a lot of confidence in not only AMD's business model and where the numbers are going but also stock price. So the way I look at it is like we got an Enzo Ferrari here, right? And this is AMD in 2026 and 2027. We got the Enzo Ferrari. Everybody wants one of these, right? And we got it. And my view is just like I have no interest in selling my Enzo Ferrari anytime soon. Like that that's the way I personally look at it. I'm like why why would I do that? Like like why would I want it out of AMD right now? It's just not the timing is not right. Um we got something that everybody wants. Everybody wants this thing and um it's the most exciting semiconductor stock in the market. The memory stocks have already had their time, right? that that doesn't mean like memory stocks are doomed and they're going to go down. They already had their time. Nvidia already had its time. That does not mean Nvidia is doomed. Like the numbers are going to be amazing. We all know that, right? Um but they've already had their moment when the whole stock market was talking about them, right? Nvidia had that moment for several years. Memory stocks have had that this past year and AMD's just kind of gone a little bit under the radar. It's AMD's moment for this next 12 month span where everybody in the stock market is going to be talking about AMD, AMD, AMD. It's going to be the stock everybody can't stop talking about. And uh it's exciting times if you're a shareholder. It's exciting times, right? No. Also very exciting times in the private group, right? Today my wife had me sign up uh 12 people in the private group hit seven figures plus in the portfolio. Another 12 people hit $100,000 plus. Right? But the one of the things I teach you in the private group is to how to run projections, right? And this can come in clutch, especially in a in a situation where you're like looking at a stock like AMB and like what is the right price to sell this at? 500, 600, 700, 1,000, 2,000, 1,500, right? Run your projections. When you run your projections through,000x and you know how to do it properly, right? you're going to be able to have confidence. Like I know specific prices that I'm in a like if AMD was certain prices today. I know what I'm selling at and I know how much of a percentage of my stake in AMD I'd want to sell given if it was at this price. Like if AMD was at 800 today, I would be selling a portion of my AMD shares. Would I be selling them all at 800? Absolutely not. But I would be selling a portion. If AMD was $1,100 today, I'd be selling a portion of AMD. I know exactly in my head how much of AMD I'd be willing to take off the table if that stock was $1,100 today. Still wouldn't be all my shares, but it would be a portion, right? And you get to that place by running your projections and knowing how to do that, right? And so if you don't if you don't have a way to run projections on where stocks headed over the next several years based upon numbers, I think this game gets a lot more difficult because you might have already sold AMD at 300 and thought you got a good price, right? all to see AMD then at 900 and you're like dude what why' I sell 300 right and that's a tough part and I witnessed that over and over with stocks I mean Palanteer was a great example right it was a stock I was buying heavily in 2022 at seven bucks when that stock went from 7 to 11 I'm not talking the convenience store when it went from 7 to 11 people were selling and it was like you sell it at $11 I mean it's a huge percentage gain from seven but come on and then a bunch more people jumped out when it like 20. Whoa. Palanteer's 20 bucks and last year was $7. Who wa and it's like you sold Palunteer 20. Then the stock ran on the next couple years to 200. You know, that's where projections come in. Very, very key. You got to have your bull case, your base case, your bare case on a stock. Otherwise, it's it's hard to know when to sell, right? All righty, ladies and gentlemen. Next subject up here. Let's get into market sentiment. What's going on here? and then we'll talk about new stock I bought, why, how much, where's the stock going from here and uh all those sorts of things. Okay, listen. If you follow me on the reaction channel, Jeremy Lefade makes money, right? I cover a lot of subjects in those videos, but I always react to some Wall Streeters. Now, these Wall Street traders love to argue about market sentiment and is a market bearish, is it bullish, um where's sentiment at at this particular time, blah blah blah. They love to argue this sort of stuff, right? And if you watch reaction channel, you know that we something we cover all the time, right? So I said, let me dive in here. Where's the sentiment actually at for the stock market, right? Are we in a bearish market, a bullish market, a kangaroo market for sentiment, right? So AI investor sentiment, this survey has been done all the way since 1987. 1987. That was just shortly before I was born. You'll be flipping my flapjacks. Holy smokers. That ain't no jokers. Okay. So, the most recent number, 37.6% of investors are bearish on the market the next six months. Right now, the average is 31.9%. So, there's still a significant amount more people bearish on the market in the next 6 months than traditionally. Okay. So, then you say, okay, that's a very short-term trend. That's the latest data. But what about the past few weeks? Well, look at this. 37.6% 44.4% 4% 39.9% 37.9%. The past 4 weeks are significantly significantly more bearish than it should be. Okay, that's the first thing to understand. So then you got to say, let's go deeper. Look at this. This takes you all the way through the whole summertime, deep into the springtime, right? We're going all the way back to April 15th. every single week for the whole dang summer in deep into the springtime, there's been way more investors bearish on the market than there should be usually, right? Isn't that fascinating? I mean, that's absolutely amazing. Like week after week, the data comes out, investors are overwhelmingly bearish, bearish, bearish, bearish for the next six months of the market, right? So, I said, let's go even more historical data. When is the last time? When is the last time investors were under the normal bearish amount? And I had to go all the way back to February 5th, 2026. So the beginning of this year and in that particular week that 29% of investors were bearish on the market in the next 6 months. That's crazy, man. That's how far you got to go back. So basically almost this entire year, there's been an overwhelming amount of bearishness. Meanwhile, there's been so much money to be made. Has there not been so much? I mean, guys, there's been a lot of money to be made. It's been great times. Like, hopefully your portfolio is at all-time highs are pretty dang close. There's been so much money being made. And yet, week after week after week, the data comes out and they're bearish. They're bearish. They're bearish again, right? So, I say, okay, that's investor sentiment on that side, but what about these other stocks? Right? What about the popular stocks? Where's sentiment at with those? So, I looked at something like a Tesla. I mean, sentiment on Tesla is still not in a great place. I mean, that stock's three in the, you know, 360 today. That stock's alltime high would push close to 500 or right around there, right? The stock is lower today than it was back in late 2021, right? Look at a stock like Palanteer. Palanteer, I mean, this stock topped last year, you know, deep in the 200s, and ever since then, it's been a kangaroo, right? It's going up, it's going down, but it ain't going anywhere. It's not breaking to new all-time highs, right? So, that's Palanteer. What about Nvidia? So, Nvidia is still significantly off its all-time high from a few months ago, right, when it pushed 230 plus. And um you know, even if you look at it from the highs it reached back in the fourth quarter of last year, like it's not up that much. And the numbers are amazing out of Nvidia, like it can't get better. So, that's something that's kind of scary with a stock like that. Like, dude, what what can they do? Like, Jensen just came out. He's talking about 70% revenue growth next year. That's insane. Like, that's a tough number to hit. I, you know, I don't even know how they're going to hit that number mathematically, but let's say they do. That's still amazing. And yet, what's the stock have to show for it, right? So, then we I said, you know, let's look at mag 7 stocks in general. How far are they from their all-time highs? Look at this. Nvidia's 4.5%. Apple's 8%. Amazon's 10%, Mr. Softy's 10%. Google McDougall's 17%, Meta's 22%, a dosey do, and then Tesla's 26% from all-time highs. Right? That's the market. Like that. That's the stocks everybody owns. Like, and so all the stocks are still down significantly from their all-time highs. It's hard to have a a really great feeling bullish market with great sentiment when you're looking at the biggest stocks that matter the most still significantly down from their all-time highs that they reached. Right? So, the exciting stocks are significantly down from their all-time highs. and the MAG 7s that everybody owns are significantly down from their all-time highs. It's hard to feel like you're not in a bearish sentiment market when that's going on, right? Uh, additionally, we got some somewhat good news in my opinion. The margin data came out recently, right? And margin debt did go down, which is actually, in my opinion, a good thing for the market, but still that does show you like, oh, people aren't feeling that great about the market. If anything, they'd want to see margin debt going up, right? If you look at, now keep in mind the stock market's very different from Bitcoin and Ethereum, but we cannot deny how big Bitcoin and Ethereum are nowadays. They're constantly shown on Bloomberg, on CNBC, right? They matter significantly to sentiment to the overall financial markets. And Bitcoin is down still about 38% from all-time highs it reached last year. And then Ethereum from its all-time highs it reached last year is cut in half. It's down 50%. Right? So, you know, that doesn't feel like bullish sentiment. That feels very, very bearish sentiment overall when you got things like Bitcoin, Ethereum just doing awful still at this point in time, right? So, the way I would describe the market sentiment, right? Is blah. It's a block. This is not a market where, you know, everybody's screaming that, you know, go buy the riskiest stock and go buy Bitcoin and Ethereum and, you know, margin out call options. It's not that sort of market. It's kind of a blah market. Um that that's a feeling of the market I would say especially this year. Like you look at the AI investor sentiment, you look at how Bitcoin's done. You look at how Ethereum's done. It's been very blah. You look at how the MAG7s have done. It's just like what what's breaking all-time highs, right? Other than Jeremy stocks, no, I'm just kidding. Uh you know, what's breaking all-time highs? I mean, there's a few stocks out there, but it's just like a lot of these stocks are down significantly, and assets in general down significantly from where they topped last year. So, it leads to kind of like a blah feeling for sentiment, right? No, I posted this on my ex page here today. I said, "The Dow down 500. I don't give a you know what, right?" And so, this is like a no prisoners approach you got to take in the market of I don't care. I don't care what's going on in the market, right? I'm gonna find a way to make it happen. And um I really like this approach. And so unless there's something insane going on like we got a major correction in the market or we got a crash in the market, I expect my portfolio to hold up very well, the only time I'm expecting my portfolio to take major damage, major damage, is if we have a severe correction going on in the market or we got a crash in the market. Like if you talk about the NASDAQ goes down 25% in 6 months okay I'm going to take some damage. You talk about the NASDAQ goes down 45% in a year, okay, I'm going to take damage. But outside of those type of scenarios, when you got a severe correction or crash going on, I expect my portfolio to hold up very strong and to be hitting new all-time highs regardless of whatever is going on out there. That will be that I got to focus on what I got to focus on. and is growing and that is building, right? And so it's a very similar approach to what I took when I did track, right? Listen, I was fast, but I'm never going to be the guy that wins Olympics, okay? And so I'm extremely fast if you compare me to an average person, but guess what? You compare me to the top tier talent, I'm a nobody. They destroy me, right? And so what I focused on is I got to be the best me I can be each day. I've got to do the best I can training. I got to work extra hard and I got to run my race. And if some guy's gonna go out there and run a crazy time, I there's nothing I can do about that. He He goes out there and runs something stupid like that. Good for him. Like I can't control that whether he runs great or runs bad, right? I got to focus on me. And so I got to focus on did I reach a new level? New reach a new level. reach a new level and control what I can control because I can't control whether the NASDAQ goes up or down 25% over the next six months. I just can't. I don't have that sort of power. Nor do you. And so when you take it from that approach, you say, "Okay, I got to control what I can control and I got to say whatever to everything else and uh make it happen, right? So that's that. Okay. All right. Next up here, let's talk about new stock I bought here today. why I bought it, how much I'm going to put into the stock, what are my projections for this particular stock. Okay, here it is. It is RH. I posted this inside my private group here this morning about, you know, what what stock it was I bought, right? And I po I said everybody uh I just started a brand new position of stock in a private portfolio. So, I figured I'd let you guys know. It's RH little less little risky buying it a few days before earnings. So, earnings are coming out in less than 48 hours from now. But I only invested about 25% of what I would feel comfortable putting in the stock. We'll see what happens in earnings and if I like what I see, I could build out the position over the next three to six months and maybe even add it in the public account. But we'll cross that bridge if and when we get to that bridge. So I added $420 shares. I got those shares at $14243 as a starter position. Okay. Now, why did I do this? There's significant potential upside in the stock. Okay. And it comes with risk and I want to speak about both sides because this is important you take both these into account whenever you buy a stock. Okay. So RH you got to understand super high-end furniture company. Okay. So that's one there's kind of like three pillars of their business like three growth levers of this company. Okay. One is their high-end furniture. Like my previous house I furnished that entire house with RH furniture. This current house um you know we just built this year. Uh this house has been completely furnished with high-end furniture, right? And so they sell very expensive, very beautiful, very nice, highquality furniture to people that have too much money. Okay, that's one way they make business. One way they make money and that's the main way. But the other two sides of the business I don't think people even pay attention to. Okay, and they actually matter significantly. The second way they make money is through their memberships. So basically, you pay $200 $200 a year to have a membership, an RH membership. This is a no-brainer membership. They should probably go up on price on this, okay? But it's a no-brainer membership. And the reason it's a no-brainer membership is that you get a significant discount on the furniture you buy. Like it ends up saving you like for a house like mine, right? I probably easily saved five figures if not multi5 figures by paying for the little $200 membership because there's a significant price gap that you save a ton of money if you buy the membership versus if you don't have the membership, which once again it's $200 a year. That membership model also is very clutch. like who keeps that me? Like some people if they just buy furniture, they, you know, they bought a house and they bought a, you know, $2.5 million house and they bought $50,000 worth of RH furniture, right? They got the membership and then they cancel the next year because they're not going to buy furniture for the next 10 years. Some people do that, right? But a lot of people keep their memberships. I keep my membership. Um, additionally, uh, people that are like interior designers and things like that, all those people keep their memberships as well. And you also get interior design like access and a bunch of other like perks and features as well for having your membership. So a significant amount of their customers do keep their memberships which you know it's not the most money in the world but $200 per customer over the course of a year adds up right. And then the third way they really make money is restaurants. Now you might think what a joke restaurants their restaurants are legit. And I've been fortunate to go to Michelin star restaurants and some of the best restaurants out there, right? And uh I got to say, every time I go to an RH restaurant, extremely impressive foods, top quality, service, top quality. Um they really do an amazing job. And their restaurants can bring in big money. I mean, you're talking about uh their their Newport Beach location, from what I understand, they're talking about that location restaurant could do $20 million plus a year. Ask anybody in the high-end restaurant business if they would trade places and basically everybody would. Like what? $20 million a year from the restaurant that's on the roof. Sign me up. I'll do that, man. That's like a crazy crazy number for the restaurant. So that's our three kind of growth levers there. Right now, the bad with RH is right here, the balance sheet. And this is what prevents me from saying I'm going to go huge in RH because the balance sheet sucks. $53 million in cash. They have a $1.88 billion loan. They got a $467 mill billion loan or million- dollar loan because of, you know, really a lot of that is because of Gary Freriedman doing a big buyback at a bad price. He made a big mistake, but it's not the end of the world, but it's definitely a big mistake. Okay, stockholder equity on this company is only $56 million, which is nothing when you compare it to, you know, a $2.7 billion market cap. Okay, so that's the bad with RH overall. But the good is they've spent a fortune of money on several different locations over the past couple years that have been massive drags on the business and to cash flow. And so one was RH Paris, another was RH Milan and this was really their entrance into uh the European market in a major way and really like planting a flag down, right? And then the other is RH London. Now from what I've seen like these locations cost a fortune, right? And so these locations have all opened really excuse me, in roughly the past year right now. That matters significantly because these locations now go from a drag on the business to starting to make the company money. That's significant. So imagine they're spending tens of millions of dollars on these different locations like building building everything right in these unbelievable uh properties. That's you're not making any money. But then you open your doors and you start to get customers and more customers and more customers and next thing you know they start to go from, oh, this was a massive drag to, oh, we're starting to make money off this. Right now, from what I've seen from estimates, you know, RH doesn't break down exactly how much these locations cost. But it looks like easily $30 to $60 million if not more because these are like flagship insane locations like the RH Milan, the RH London, the RH Paris, like these are no joke. Holy smoker locations. Okay, so just something to keep in mind there and I think that matters significantly to the profitability and the cash flow of RH over the next few year. Okay, next up here, you know, the RH Newport Beach location. I knew this was going to be a banger location, right? This opened at the very end of 2024, so really 2025 was the first year uh this this location was open for a year, right? And Gary Freeman has talked about this is RH's second hundred million plus retail gallery uh joining the New York City location which I've been to in the meat packing district. And uh what's also crazy is once again that that restaurant is supposed to be doing $20 million plus a year which is just a crazy number. An absolute crazy number, right? So just something to kind of consider there. Right now the stock's been devastated over the past five years. That's not fun. I mean, that stock went down 80% over the past five years, right? I might not be getting the lows on RH, right? But I think I'm getting close to, you know, starting my position here. Is it possible RH goes down to 100, goes down to 90? It's possible, right? But I think I'm getting, you know, I I don't know if I'm getting the absolute lows, but I think I'm getting something somewhat close. Okay. Now, here's the upside in RH. And this is why the stock is so exciting. Listen. You say, "Why am I willing to take a risk in a stock like RH, right, with a bad balance sheet?" Well, here's the thing. The upside in RH over the next 36 months is a stock goes to $400 to $550 in the next 36 months. I cannot find a lot of stocks that I think have a realistic triple up opportunity in the next 36 months. That's a pretty rare thing. And so when I look at RH from that perspective, I'm like, "Oh boy, like this this has some potential major upside here, although it does come with risk, right? So over the next 3 years, here's how I put this. Over the next 36 months, okay, I think there's about a 10% chance RH goes bankrupt, right? So let's assume RH numbers get worse and worse and worse. And let's say I hold it all the way through, I lose 100% of the capital I put in the stock, right? But it's only about a 10% chance cuz in order for them to go bankrupt, oh my gosh, there' have to be so many things like no one buying high-end furniture, no one going to their restaurants, like they can't get capital anywhere. Like it's just bad on bad on bad. Okay, it's all things are possible, but I would put it at about 10% probability. Okay, I think there's about a 20% chance this stock is under $140 uh 36 months from now, but not bankrupt, right? So there's basically a 30% probability that this is ends up being a money losing endeavor for me. It's just a question of how much money is to there to be lost. But keep in mind, every single stock I ever buy in the market, there's always a, you know, potential that the company goes bankrupt. There's always a potential I lose money on the stock over the next 36 months, right? Always. Like for some companies, it's such a low risk. It might be like 1%. Right? and the chance I lose money on this stock over the next 36 months might be like a 5% or 10% but there's always a chance of both of those scenarios happening, right? There's about a 20% chance that this stock makes me some money, but it's a small amount of money over the next 36 months. And it's ends up being somewhere between about 140 and $200 36 months from now. I'd put about a 30% chance that the stock goes between $2400. So, you know, we can call about, you know, let's call it out it ends up outperforming the S&P 500 significantly, right? And then I'd put at about a 20% chance that the stock goes 400 plus in the next 36 months, which is the huge money-making opportunity. So, I'd put it at about a 2:1 ratio higher that this ends up being a huge money maker for me versus um ultimately a bankruptcy candidate, right? And so I'd put it at about a 50% probability if you add up these that the stock ends up making me significant amount of money over the next 36 months. And so for that reason, I actually think RH is a pretty darn attractive stock. Although it does come with its risk right now, when it comes to the stock right, I only added that initial position there about $60,000. I'm going to see these earnings. these earnings come out in, you know, less than 48 hours from now. If I like what I see and what I hear on the conference call, right? I could build this into a bigger position. I could even add the position in the public account, which that's a whole level of respect higher. If you get out of the public account, man, it's a huge deal. Like even Win Resorts actually isn't in the public account. Win Resorts is a position for me in other portfolios, but not in the public account. Like if you make it to the public count, woo, that's like the Hall of Fame, man. and you're like big time you make it to the public account. And so when I look at RH, I'm like, if I like what I see, I might end up adding it to the public account. Now, let's say RH, you know, the numbers are okay, but the stock goes insane, I could take a short-term profit on that one and maybe sell it a few weeks from now or a month from now or something like that and maybe make myself 10 or 20,000, you know, in a matter of a few weeks and just take that, you know, initial 60,000 plus 10 or $20,000 in profits and and go elsewhere with it. That's always a potential as well, right? Um, there's a potential that I don't like what I see or hear on the conference call and it scares me and so maybe I keep the 60K I originally invested into it, but I never add it to the public account. That's a that's a potential. So, I've kind of already considered a bunch of different factors, right? The best thing would be if the stock stays under 150 and I like what I see in the numbers and what I hear from the conference call, then I start loading on RH. But keep in mind when I say loading that's I probably could I can't build this into a mass position. I'd feel comfortable maybe putting a quarter million dollars in RH. That's you know for me considering where my portfolio is at and where my net worth is at. It's not a huge number. It's a number that does matter. Like if that 250 turns into 750 it matters, right? That's a great return. But I'm not going to risk the farm on a stock like R. Like RH isn't the type of stock I'm going to put a million dollars in. It's no Meta. It's no AMD. It's no none of those sorts of stocks, right? It's a company that has had a horrible time in a cyclical market. And when it comes to cyclical stocks though, if you're ever going to buy cyclical stocks, here's the deal, okay? Buy them when it sucks. It's, you know, and that's where some people are kind of getting the memory stocks a little wrong right now. You a lot of people are so excited about the memory stocks. They're starting to buy these stocks and it's like you're you're trying to squeeze out some more lemon juice out of those, but they're cyclical companies. And when you're dealing with cyclical companies, you don't want to usually buy them when everything looks great, when the numbers are amazing. It's like, "Oh my gosh, they're making so much money." You could have said that about RH 5 years ago. F go back 5 years ago. RH was making so much money, they didn't know where to store all the money. And you can say, "Oh my gosh, RH is making so much money. I got to buy it at 700, 600, whatever price it was, right?" And uh because it's on its way to 1500. It's on its way to 2,000. Right? and uh you got slapped with a 5-year return of 80%. That's harsh, right? And so if you ever want to dip your toe in cyclical related companies, you want to do it when things look bad, when no one's paying attention and everybody's like, I don't want that stock. That's And honestly, it switches fast in the stock market. Like you go back a year or two ago, no one wanted a piece of memory chip stocks. Like who was talking about Micron and SKH highinex you know one to two years ago very few people there was a few but it was very few and then fast forward to this year and everybody's talking about memories chip stocks you know everybody and so you know look look at Nvidia in 2022 stock went down 50%. No one wanted Nvidia in 2022. 18 months later, everybody couldn't stop talking about Nvidia. It's the greatest stock in the history of mankind, right? Look at Meta. Meta was another great example. Like, no one wanted a piece of stock. And I've watched RH do the same exact thing. RH if RH stock back in in 20 RH stock back in I think it was 2016. Uh let me pull it up here. Okay, I'm pulling up on my other computer, so you guys aren't going to be able to see this, but RH stock back in like 2016, I think, was like $20 a share. So 2017. So 2017, RH is 20 $27 a share. 27, this is January 2017. It's in the 20s. Okay. Fast forward to, you know, April of 2021 and RH is sitting at $693. You know, that's that's how cyclical stocks are, man. Like, no one wants them. And if I went back before that, so if I go back to RH October of 2015, that stock's 142. So, it's $142. October 2015. Fast forward to January 2017, RH is 20 $27. $27. Then January 2017 to December 2019, stock goes to $212. It almost 10xes, right? What is that? 9x or so. Then December of 2019 goes from 212 down to March 2020. The stock breaks $100. Then from that March 2020 to August 2021, the stock goes to over 700. So that's all I'm saying. Like this type of stock can be insane. So if RH in the next, you know, 6 months went from 142 to 100, I wouldn't be surprised. If it went from 142 to 280, I wouldn't be surprised. It's a cyclical company. And these companies are insanely volatile. I mean like ridiculously volatile and so the moves are severe and um if you're not like mentally prepared for it, it can be wild, right? Okay. At the end of the day, ladies and gentlemen, do it like they're doing at my house right now for all these projects. I have all these exterior projects going on right now. Multiple fountains and bars and all this crazy stuff and pool that overlooks the strip and like all this craziness, right? keep building, keep growing, and uh control what you can control, right? And you can control if you know what you're doing in the market. If you know what you're doing, great. If you need some help with income statements, balance sheets, cash flows, you need some help understanding how to run projections on companies, you want to join a group of investors that are invested into these different companies, right? And are keeping up to date with everything going on out there. If you want access to the software I use on a daily basis to make my investing decisions, thousandx.com, all that good stuff, that will be the pinned comment down there to apply apply to join us in there. All righty, guys. Much love and have a great