Bitcoin To $230K+ This Cycle — Here's The Data (Bitcoin Price Prediction)

I believe that Bitcoin is going to rally to well over $230,000 in the coming Bitcoin bull market. In today's video, I'm going to show you where we get $230,000 from. I'm going to show you the quarter that is likely to actually hit that price. And I'm also going to show you several different lines of reasoning that justify that price. So, you know, we're not just kind of making this number up. Where' that number come from? Is it likely? You're going to know the answer to that question by the end of this video. Let's go ahead and get started. What we want to do is we want to show the difference between the all-time high in 2021 and the all-time high last year in 2025. You can see that from 69,000 to about $126,000 was roughly an 82% increase between the all-time highs. If you take a simple 82% increase off of $126,000, what you're going to find is that the price of Bitcoin would then be $228,000. So, let's round that up to $230,000 for kicks and giggles. Let's just look at whether or not $230,000 actually makes sense. By the way, from where we are right now, a rally from about $80,000 up to about $230,000 would be a little something like this. And it would only be about 184% rally. It would look like this out on the longer term history of Bitcoin. And frankly, it doesn't even look like it's that big when you look out here on the log chart. So, is this realistic? Well, the first thing I want to point out here is the quantile model made by a friend of mine named Plan C. If you have not already, I heavily encourage you to check out the quantile model because this uses a very helpful system to show us the long-term trend on Bitcoin and show us when Bitcoin is becoming overheated or underheated based on what quantile it finds itself in. And you can see that over the last basically the entire history of Bitcoin, every time that we've had a Bitcoin bull market top, we've gotten up here to the top of the quantile range. As you can see here, here, here, here, and then in our most recent Bitcoin bull market, Bitcoin didn't get to the top of the range, but we did get to about quantile 65 to 70 or so. And so when we actually take the four-year having cycle and it tells us that the Bitcoin bull market would likely top out between September and November of 2029 based on when the four-year having cycle um typically has the Bitcoin bull market top out. What that would tell us is that we should be looking on the quantile model. What would the price action of Bitcoin be that far out? Where would we be between um September and November in 2029? Well, quantile median 50 in September of 2029 is sitting at $281,000. In November, it's sitting at $290,000. Somewhere between $290 and $450,000 is where Bitcoin would top out this bull market. If we went to the same quantile that we did in this previous cycle, if we went to the top of the range, which is what we've done every other time, this Bitcoin bull market would top out well over half a million dollars per coin. So quantile model tells us that $230,000 per coin is actually relatively conservative for the timing of when we expect the Bitcoin bull market to top out. This, by the way, is why plan C's talked about on X quite a bit about how this is likely turning into one massive cycle because this was a muted high and then we'll likely see significantly more uh movement to the upside. But this isn't the only way that we can justify $230,000 on Bitcoin. Let's look at it from a few other angles. One of the things I want to look at is this. What would the market capitalization of Bitcoin be if we went to $230,000? Well, that'd be roughly a tripling from where we are right now on price, which means we would roughly triple market capitalization. Bitcoin going to $230,000 would be roughly a $4.5 trillion market capitalization. Ranked against all the companies in the world, you would see that that would put it right here after Nvidia and after Apple's market capitalizations today. But you also have to consider the fact that this all-time high would be taking place in 3 years. Nvidia has been growing by 50% a year on its stock price on average for the last 6 years. There's a very high likelihood that in 2019, I'm sorry, in 2029, Nvidia will be trading at well over 10 trillion in market capitalization, probably closer to 12 to 15 trillion. So, in 2029, if Bitcoin is trading at $230,000, it would very likely still be smaller than the largest companies in the world, despite not being a company in and of itself, but a commodity and an asset class all on its own, which gives us a little bit of confidence that $230,000 is actually very possible. Bitcoin would still be smaller than Nvidia at today's prices, let alone where Nvidia and Apple and Alphabet and Microsoft and Amazon are going to be in 3 years with the build out of AI. So, can the global economy hold a $230,000 Bitcoin? Absolutely it can. It is completely within the realm of possibility. In fact, that would probably represent Bitcoin having a smaller portion of global wealth in 2029 than it does right now, even trading at $230,000 compared to compared to today trading at $78 to $80,000. But I also want to look at it from another angle. What about Bitcoin compared to gold? Coin Glass has this very helpful uh chart over here where we look at the market capitalization of gold and the market capitalization of Bitcoin. And you can see down here, I actually when I first looked at this chart, I thought this was like an RSI or something down here at the bottom of the chart. That's Bitcoin down there. This is Bitcoin's market capitalization down here. This line right here is the percentage. And then this line over here shows us the actual market, the actual market capitalization of gold. And what you'll see is that gold earlier this year ran up to $39 trillion in market cap. Once again, for Bitcoin to go to 230,000 would simply have Bitcoin going to less than $5 trillion of market cap. So if Bitcoin went to $5 trillion market cap, it'd be trading at almost $300,000 a coin and it would still be 1/8 the size of gold right now. But let's take a look at the flipping percentage. The highest ratio that Bitcoin has ever gotten to was about 11% of gold's market cap, and that was during the high when Bitcoin was sitting up here at at almost uh about $100,000, right around inauguration, just a little bit before inauguration. And at this point in time, gold was sitting at 18 trillion. If Bitcoin goes back to 11% the dominance of gold and gold is where we think it will be in 2029, probably north of $60 trillion, then that would put Bitcoin at a $6 trillion market capitalization, which would be quadruple where it is right now. Quadruple the price of where it is right now would be roughly $330 to $350,000 a coin. So, as you can see in the beginning of this video, I made an outlandish claim that Bitcoin is going to go to over $230,000 a coin in this cycle. At least that's one model. And as I'm showing you, that actually appears to be conservative. Not so much, and this is the key, this is the thesis behind Bitcoin. Listen closely. Not so much because anything has changed on Bitcoin, but because the growth of the global economy and the debasement of the dollar have accelerated and they demand that scarce assets like Bitcoin rerate higher as all tides rise, the ship that is Bitcoin goes up with it. Let me be very clear, investor, $230,000 for Bitcoin in this coming bull market is not a fantastic outcome. It's a middle of the road. Bitcoin did decent. That's what Bitcoin does in 2029. If it does okay, it did its job. It did all right. That's not even fantastic performance. Fantastic performance for this cycle would be somewhere between $300 and $500,000 per coin. That would be fantastic. We're not going to a million in this in this cycle most likely. Fantastic performance would be between 300 and $500,000 per coin based on all of the history, based on all of the analysis. Again, I've been analyzing Bitcoin's chart for 9 years, okay? I've been the guy calling for a million dollar per Bitcoin before 2040 for a very long time. I still think we're very much on track to hit that. This cycle, absolutely phenomenal performance based on everything I've just shown you would be between 300 300 to $500,000 per coin. The base case I'm going to call right now at $230,000 a coin. So, let's work that back and let's see what we should do about it right now. Before I do, I do want to give a big shout out to iTrust Capital because this is going to be the absolute premier destination to invest in Bitcoin for this coming bull market. Over the next 3 years, Bitcoin is most likely going to go through a great deal of price appreciation. And as it does, you want to make sure that you're getting the best tax advantages. ITR Capital is the number one place in the world to invest in Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies through traditional Roth IRA and rollover 401k. So, make sure that if you have not already to sign up for iTrust Capital with the link in the description box down below. You're going to get access to all kinds of fantastic opportunities to invest in Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies using all of these tax advantages. You also now have access to all of these precious metals such as gold, silver, etc. And you also have access to all stocks. So, ITR Capital is now our preferred retirement account provider for all different types of assets. So, make sure you sign for Trust Capital with the link in the description box down below. Get a $100 funding bonus. But how should we take advantage of this rally? Here's what we should be doing right now. We are in the process of looking to see whether or not the Bitcoin bull market confirms. Most likely it's going to. If not, we drop back down and confirm in a couple of months, but most likely this is the beginning of the Bitcoin bull market. What you want to do is if you believe what I believe, which is that Bitcoin is going to at least $230,000 a coin this cycle, you want to load up on Bitcoin as much as you can in the early days because if you buy up here at 200, you have very little return and a lot of risk. What we want to do is we want to frontload the investment as much as we can. Dollar cost averaging is great, but if you truly believe in Bitcoin and you think a bull market is starting and you agree with these signals, then you want to frontload a lot of that investment. Again, this is not financial advice, but it is simply my opinion that the earlier and the cheaper that you buy Bitcoin, the more upside that you're going to get out of that Bitcoin. So, I do encourage you, if you have not already, to begin considering whether or not you're going to invest in Bitcoin. And if you decide to do so, I think that right now is a fantastic time to do so. Again, this is not financial advice, and it is very possible that Bitcoin completely falls short of what we just said, but I think coming anywhere below $200,000 would be a catastrophic outcome for Bitcoin. I think that would be a very serious problem. I do think the base is 230, and I think a a great bull market would be between $300 and $500,000 a coin. So, there's a lot of bull market on the horizon, a lot of growth coming up in my opinion. And I heavily encourage you to subscribe to the channel as we will be covering this bull market the same way we've covered the entirety of the last two bull markets and part of the bull market before that here on CryptoJet. I've been Jeb McAfee. Peace.