Don't Say I DIDN'T Tell You THIS 🚨 BEFORE IT HAPPENS! (XRP HYPE QQQ)

Massive week ahead. We have so much going on. We got the jobs on Friday, micron Wednesday night, inflation Wednesday. It seems like it never stops with the data. Are we going to be on the right side of the tracks or not? So much to go over. I will tell you guys this. I am doing three days of live trading. We went undefeated the last two weeks now and I haveed it for multiple four digits. It's been great. So, if you're not in the Discord, I got a special deal for you. first link down below. Free trials back. Three days free trial. Come on in. You can judge me yourself. Judge it all. Check it out. Use code mo just in case you do not want to uh stay in, but most of you do. First link down below. Boom. Click it. You'll be here. Hit this. Uh once you you'll see the 3-day free trial pop up on this right here. Add a promo if you stay in code mo ahead of time. Saves you 40% off forever. Uh and that's it right there. there. If you're on your phone, it's up in the righth hand corner for the promo. But yeah, go ahead and take advantage of that. Make sure you're in there. Now, let's go ahead and talk business the week ahead. So much going on. All right. And no, last week was not a down week. Uh S&P 500 closed Friday, up a half percent and up 1.21% for the week. I'm not overly concerned yet until we move into the last day of September or the first or second day kind of into October. I know it's we're there, but I'm going to update as we go. There's some numbers I want to see before I really get uh concerned, but I am watching for it. I had that date circled on the calendar and we're getting close. Uh I did tell everybody when the rates were announced that we were going higher that I did not expect the market to go down but up until the beginning of October. We are almost there. The strongest of the three, the NASDAQ was up 2.06% off to backto back record closes on the 21st and 22nd massive. Dow up 478 points Friday alone snapped a 3-week losing streak. Russell's up or Russell was uh uh the one loser I should say. VIX down 5% on the day. We had all kinds of changes. And there is the part that matters. The 10year, you guys know I've been doing some videos on real estate. It is now at 5.17%. Nasty. That's nasty, man. People complain about fly in your in your soup. That's a big turd in your soup, man. I'll tell you what. Everything else is noise around them. You guys can see what's going on. 8:30 in the morning Wednesday. PCE comes out. Personal expend uh consumer uh expenditures, the Fed's preferred gauge and the input that decides October when they meet. Are they going to go up? Are they going to go down? Wednesday tells us. And the market will price that in. I'm going to tell you this right now. I'm actually kind of negative right now just to tell you. And I think it's going to be a negative response, market response. I think that's the beginning of something that may not be as good as what everybody wants. Friday 8:30 in the morning, the September job report about 100,000 expected against 162,000 last time. Unemployment sticking around 4.2. Anything? We'll see how that goes. It's been hot. You guys know last time it was really hot. Uh they adjusted up too, man. It was insane. Wednesday after the close, Micron earnings. That'll be big. And the quarter ends Wednesday. Quarterly earnings. quarterly I should say quarterly data all done Wednesday we move on to the next quarter and that my friends October, November, December is Q4 and that's the big one. All right. Uh yeah, read this last line though because I I always tell you guys this that means quarter end marks pension rebalancing and the closing auction all land on the same day as the inflation print. It could be a massive volatile day. All right, all times Eastern when I do these things, guys. I'm going to let you see this. This is the big thing you want to know. Remember Monday we got the Dallas Fed manufacturing 10:30. Uh K Schiller on Tuesday. Tuesday 2 p.m. New York Fed President John Williams. They're going to be talking shop. Wednesday PCE inflation. That's the big one. That's why it's in red. Micron's a big one as well. They're reporting at the end of the quarter. Thursday jobless games 8:30. And Friday the September job report at 8:30. That's it, man. It's a massive week. You're going to see a lot of movement in the in the markets. And we're going to talk shop here with crypto stocks, all of this with the charts. Don't worry. Headline PCE month overmonth expected to double. You guys can see what is expected on the chart. Um, we're going down through this. Going to make this quick. So, I don't want to waste your time. Pause it. The Fed's own number 3.7 to 3.4. We'll see where we go. Prior, all that good stuff. QQQ. How I am looking at this. This is the the breadbot. This is the I shouldn't say breadbot. This is my bread recipe. The bread recipe gives you what you need to know. We are above the five, above the 13, above the 50 for the cues. It is bullish right now, but we bounced off a double crust right here. Breaking the Ballinger band. Normally within a few weeks, we will hit the 13 again. We are way above the 13, way above the five on an overbought market. makes me nervous. Remember what I just told you, too. I expect to see some changes. I'm going to take some uh risk in the Discord. I'm going to make some major changes to my portfolio this week. Stay tuned. Buckle up. I think it's going to get bumpy very soon. And that's my opinion. Maybe I'm wrong. I don't think I am, but maybe I am. Careful. This market cap and not the price. Watching XRP right now. Look what you're seeing. So, the Q's are still going up and we are all about the same there. the cryptos overbought up. I always notice the crypto kind of leads. When it starts to run, all of a sudden the market gets stronger, you know, and when it starts to go down before the market go down, then we can see the stock market starting to get hit a little bit. So, I'm watching all these things. Makes me a little bit nervous. Uh hype, the same situation. We are now on the 13. Look where we are on XRP. I am telling you right now when you see this market cap 94 billion I'm expecting 93 billion really soon. So we're going to be going down price-wise uh when you look at uh hyperlid 90 a pop. We were up all the way up there 95 96 97 whatever it was. Now we're down to 13 at $90 a pop. And this is where I like to add on at the 13. I don't get too nervous because I I'm bullish on this longer term. But at the same time, I am concerned about what I think is going to happen to the stock market. If this flips to 13 and confirms, that changes everything. Maybe I lock in some gains. Maybe I start to play that. I don't want to just put my head in the sand and pretend everything's great. We want to bounce off the 13. We got close to the 50 here and then took the next leg higher. So now we're coming down and it's going to be something I am watching for. Hopefully we get what we want. I'm okay with a little bit of reversal but not too much. Lose the 50. You got to me h that's just that's that's not good stuff. We don't want to lose the 50. This uh the three stacks side by side by side. I had the cues the XRP and hype up there for you to see above the five 13 and 50. The bread recipe does never leads me astray. That looks like a nice bullish chart. XRP market cap, we had that up there. Lost the 5 EMA. Looking at the 13 now. What about hype? Well, it's now lost the five and the 13. It's on the 13, but it's just a little bit outside. Um, who was that? Bob Uker. Just a bit outside when he did that Cleveland Indians game movie, whatever. Uh, major league. That's what it was. Man, that was a good movie. Uh, yeah. Hit the like, hit the subscribe if you like the old movie references cuz you got somebody who's been around this planet for a long time. I would appreciate it. Let me know if you you don't mind when I go on a tangent a little bit. Throw out some old shows, some old quotes. You guys know. Let's go. Let's ride. Let's do it. Yeah. All right. Uh, you guys can name this movie. What is it? Regulators mount up. There you go. Name that movie in the comments, kids. And equity volatility has not noticed yet. 30-year Treasury up. 5.49. That's not good. It's red, Mo. Why is it red? It's not good. The higher the cost for borrowing, the harder it is on stocks and companies. It's going up. The 10's the one. Anything above five is emergency situation for the stock market. Well, we went by five. We're 5.17 and the market has not capitulated yet. I don't think it's if, it's when. So, combine my RA fears with the rates going higher with the fact I'm talking about the Fed rate with the fact that the 10-year doesn't seem to care and it keeps going higher, it makes me an absolute wreck. Bond volatility, the move index jumped almost 10% in a session, about 33% in two, and the VIX sat still at 14.87 roughly. And it shows up in your mortgage, 7.03% 03% all the way up to a possible 743% depending where you're shopping. It gets ugly. The odds moved again over the weekend. Odds of another point quarter point hike was 62% Friday. We're now 67. It looks more and more likely they're going to raise rates. Uh odds of at least one more hike by December, 78%. The dot plot, 16 of 19 policy makers pencled in at least one more hike. That means that you might as well count your you can count your chickens. They're hatched. Let's go. Tuesday 2 PM John Williams of the of the New York Fed on the economic outlook and monetary policy with questions after. That's the big one. You want to hear what he says? He will spill some beans. Uh Vice Chair Philip Jefferson on US economy and monetary policy. Whisk questions Thursday 1:30. There you go. Chair Wars not on the calendar. We'll see what they have to say. All right. And it's been a very narrow one. The quarter closes Wednesday. Uh the third quarter to date, three sessions left. The market's only up 3.9% in that quarter. NASDAQ up 3.3. Dow on track to be lower by almost a full percent. Uh Russell's down 6% the record, you guys know we hit that 77.98. Valuation forward price to earnings fell from 20.4 on June 30th to 19.1, which is below the 5-year average of 19.8. 8 uh earnings did that not price. So, we got some interesting things. So, it's not as pricey as it was. I like to see it get down lower and lower and lower, but it's not too bad. People always say, "Oh, it's so overpriced." Not too bad. The weekend headline that took Friday's rally apart. Uh it was on the hope about the straight of hair moose and we didn't get it. We didn't get it. We had offers and Trump said no. So, that continues. over the weekend that offer was rejected and why this whole macro picture in one thread. It carries 1/5if of the global oil supply. So when that's not happening, it's not going well, ships are getting attacked, it's still transit, uh it's not good. So watch this above almost any uh watch this above anything else, just keep an eye out. All right, five five that actually tell you something. Earnings worth watching. Micron Wednesday, boom, Tuesday before the open. CarMax widest move. Uh the widest expected move of the week at almost 12% expected in movement based on the pricing. We'll see. And then you got some more here. I'll let you just put them down there. Uh very interesting. Also this week, Aura, the smart ring company, prices IPO at 40 to 44 for up to 2.2 billion. It's roughly four times over subscribed and the first deal above a billion since July. Are you buying it? I might have to do a video on that. You guys want to see a video on that or no? Uh, hype reclaiming the green 5 a.m. on a daily close is the first sign the pullback is over. 9167 is what we got to get above. Hype downside, we lose the 50 EMA, which is at 80.99. Uh, I stopped calling a pullback and it's now a bare run again. Uh, back above the green five puts the short-term trend right side up again. We'll see. Get the 10-year down to under 5% right here and we are good. All right, folks. So, lots to go on, but I'll tell you this, the 3-day trial is back. Doesn't cost you a penny. First link down below, sign up, get in there. You get to watch me trade a few times this week. I'm doing Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. And if it's anything like the last two weeks, dominated. What do you mean, Mo? What do you mean? Sunday edition as well. I think that's the third link down below. The second link gets you over to my free framework webinar. You guys can sign up for that one. That's right here. Take advantage of it. Uh but yeah, the the the third link down below get you the free Sunday newsletter as well. So, a lot of great things there and you guys can check out what you want, see all this education, learn from a national champion, coach, educator, and take it to the next level. That's all I got for you. I will see you in the Discord.