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The Real Reason SpaceX is the Market's Biggest Risk

The Real Reason SpaceX is the Market's Biggest Risk

Stockology Insider
Analyzed Watch on YouTube Requested On
Video return
-3.35%
Calls
4
Buy / Sell
2 2
Published

Recommendations

Entry is the asset's closing price on the publication date. Current is the last close on record.

  1. 01 VSAT NASDAQ BUY +7.57%
    Entry $67.27 31 Aug 2026
    Current $72.36 09 Sep 2026
    Result +$5.09
    vs. index +8.2% SPY −0.6% over the same days

    Cite this call Watch source video * †

    Surrounding source transcript
    … Well, positioning matters more than just what the shorts are those are doing, right? So, I think one of the things that we're looking at is what's the ratio of active longs to shorts in things that are adjacent to SpaceX. So, for example, like um you know, Viasat, um like um um uh um uh uh Planet Systems. Those stocks are skewing long. And so, those things are I would say pro SpaceX on the Elon Musk influence side. And then you have things like intuitive and AST SpaceMobile, which are being skewing to the negative side and because they're seen as being competitive to Elo…

    like um you know, Viasat, um like um um uh um uh uh Planet Systems. Those stocks are skewing long.

    AI-extracted context "So, for example, like um you know, Viasat, um like um um uh um uh uh Planet Systems. Those stocks are skewing long."

  2. 02 PL NYSE BUY -15.92%
    Entry $19.85 31 Aug 2026
    Current $16.69 10 Sep 2026
    Result −$3.16
    vs. index −15.3% SPY −0.6% over the same days

    Cite this call Watch source video * †

    Surrounding source transcript
    … Well, positioning matters more than just what the shorts are those are doing, right? So, I think one of the things that we're looking at is what's the ratio of active longs to shorts in things that are adjacent to SpaceX. So, for example, like um you know, Viasat, um like um um uh um uh uh Planet Systems. Those stocks are skewing long. And so, those things are I would say pro SpaceX on the Elon Musk influence side. And then you have things like intuitive and AST SpaceMobile, which are being skewing to the negative side and because they're seen as being competitive to Elo…

    like um you know, Viasat, um like um um uh um uh uh Planet Systems. Those stocks are skewing long.

    AI-extracted context "So, for example, like um you know, Viasat, um like um um uh um uh uh Planet Systems. Those stocks are skewing long."

  3. 03 LUNR NASDAQ SELL +4.82%
    Entry $15.36 31 Aug 2026
    Current $14.62 10 Sep 2026
    Result +$0.74
    vs. index +5.4% SPY −0.6% over the same days

    Cite this call Watch source video * †

    Surrounding source transcript
    …in things that are adjacent to SpaceX. So, for example, like um you know, Viasat, um like um um uh um uh uh Planet Systems. Those stocks are skewing long. And so, those things are I would say pro SpaceX on the Elon Musk influence side. And then you have things like intuitive and AST SpaceMobile, which are being skewing to the negative side and because they're seen as being competitive to Elon Musk.

    then you have things like intuitive and AST SpaceMobile, which are being skewing to the negative side and because they're seen as being competitive to Elon Musk.

    AI-extracted context "And then you have things like intuitive and AST SpaceMobile, which are being skewing to the negative side and because they're seen as being competitive to Elon Musk."

  4. 04 ASTS NASDAQ SELL -1.37%
    Entry $59.10 31 Aug 2026
    Current $59.91 10 Sep 2026
    Result −$0.81
    vs. index −0.8% SPY −0.6% over the same days

    Cite this call Watch source video * †

    Surrounding source transcript
    …in things that are adjacent to SpaceX. So, for example, like um you know, Viasat, um like um um uh um uh uh Planet Systems. Those stocks are skewing long. And so, those things are I would say pro SpaceX on the Elon Musk influence side. And then you have things like intuitive and AST SpaceMobile, which are being skewing to the negative side and because they're seen as being competitive to Elon Musk.

    then you have things like intuitive and AST SpaceMobile, which are being skewing to the negative side and because they're seen as being competitive to Elon Musk.

    AI-extracted context "And then you have things like intuitive and AST SpaceMobile, which are being skewing to the negative side and because they're seen as being competitive to Elon Musk."

Full Transcript
The chip complex is catching a bid today. Software taking a breather and we have some key names reporting after the bell like the one on your screen there, Cisco, with some action under the surface. It's up about 3% today. Here with more insight is Bob Sloan. He's the founder of S3 Partners which provides market data on positioning within stocks and sectors. I can't start with Cisco though. Do you know where I have to start? Do you remember what you said the last time that you were on with us at the end of June? >> Yes, I do. >> You warned about the memory trade. >> Yeah. >> Do you know what day the memory trade peaked? June 22nd. So Bob, as I lean in, uh what what do you in today we have DRAM rebounding to the tune of 8%. Is that can people jump back in there? Are there new areas of leadership? What's going on? >> So you you know, SpaceX kind of rules all. And that's the gravity by which everything else is pulled toward. So yeah, you're seeing a lot of short covering in that and you're seeing short covering across the board like in stocks like Coreweave, etc. Um we're seeing a lot of that. >> So let let's go back to what you just SpaceX rules all. I mean, I thought this was a stock that was set it and forget it. Retail buys it, they put it away, it's a generational thing. You you you say it's much more important than that. >> Yeah, it is. It's a it's a trillion, you know, a trillion and three-quarters billion >> Yeah. >> uh dollar I IPO. It's the biggest IPO on the planet ever. And everybody owns it and it affects everything. So you're either a believer or not. And um that you know, you either kind of say it rules the world or it doesn't. And the amount of short interest bets on SpaceX has gone to $32 billion down to $24 billion in 60 days. >> But it but in >> We've never seen anything like this. Have you ever seen anything like this? >> cleared out the shorts to that extent, you mean? >> Yeah. >> Okay. So again, I would say this is an idiosyncratic Elon Musk story. Why is it so important and what does it tell you about the broader markets? >> Well, you know, technology, software, memory, I think to certainly SpaceX is probably the frothiest trade ever. It bleeds into other sectors and has an effect and you're seeing that. You know, when that stock moves, it moves other things along >> Well, it's it's wonky and I don't want to go too deep into it, but like if you look at something like Delta One, which is like a strategy for synthetic baskets of stocks on Wall Street. We don't our retail audience has no but hedge funds do it. Tesla used to be the most important stock in the world because it was in all these Delta One option strategies. People hedged against it. Right? There's a lot more to a SpaceX than a Tesla. These Musk stocks, right? Than just the stock itself. >> Sure. >> They influence, I think what you're saying, all these weird other things that we never think about. >> Well, >> I mean, you guys think about them. >> But the >> But our viewer at home is probably What's that? >> Is SpaceX a memory stock? Is it a launch stock? What is it? You know, is it a satellite stock? AI >> [clears throat] >> is so many different things and that's why it has an effect on so many different sectors. >> So So Bob, when you and you just mentioned the short interest has gone down, stock has kind of rebounded quite a bit. >> Yep. >> Have the shorts then moved on to other parts of the AI trade saying, "Hey, listen, we don't want to mess with SpaceX, okay? Cuz it's just other things happen." So, you know, you mentioned CoreWeave, you mentioned some of the memory stocks. Is that kind of starting to back as soon as these things get the momentum, do the shorts start pressing on on that area or are they kind of looking at other areas of the market now? >> Well, positioning matters more than just what the shorts are those are doing, right? So, I think one of the things that we're looking at is what's the ratio of active longs to shorts in things that are adjacent to SpaceX. So, for example, like um you know, Viasat, um like um um uh um uh uh Planet Systems. Those stocks are skewing long. And so, those things are I would say pro SpaceX on the Elon Musk influence side. And then you have things like intuitive and AST SpaceMobile, which are being skewing to the negative side and because they're seen as being competitive to Elon Musk.

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