'THE PARTY IS CLEARLY NOT OVER YET': Market expert says AI spending will continue
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Recommandations
L'entrée est le cours de clôture de l'actif à la date de publication. Le cours actuel est la dernière clôture enregistrée.
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Entrée $568,59 23 juil 2026Actuel $563,60 28 août 2026Résultat −$4,99
LOCKHEED MARTIN, LOCKHEED REPORTED A HUGE DOUBLE BEAT ON EARNINGS MOMENTS AGO, RAISED ITS OUTLOOK ON SALES AND PROFITS WHICH IMPROVED IN ALL THE COMPANY'S DIVISIONS INCLUDING AEROSPACE, MISSILES, HELICOPTERS AND SPACE
Contexte "LOCKHEED MARTIN, LOCKHEED REPORTED A HUGE DOUBLE BEAT ON EARNINGS MOMENTS AGO, RAISED ITS OUTLOOK ON SALES AND PROFITS"
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Entrée $317,69 23 juil 2026Actuel $341,73 28 août 2026Résultat +$24,04
IF YOU LOOK AT ALPHABET, THEY ARE A $4 TRILLION COMPANY INCREASING REVENUE BY 20% YEAR-OVER-YEAR. THESE MASSIVE AMERICAN COMPANIES ARE GROWING THE REVENUE OF HUGE RATES. IT TELLS US THE PARTY IS NOT OVER YET.
Contexte "IF YOU LOOK AT ALPHABET, THEY ARE A $4 TRILLION COMPANY INCREASING REVENUE BY 20% YEAR-OVER-YEAR... IT TELLS US THE PARTY IS NOT OVER YET."
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Entrée $321,66 23 juil 2026Actuel $316,48 28 août 2026Résultat −$5,19
WE'VE SEEN OTHERS LACK BUT IF YOU LOOK AT APPLE BUT SPECIFICALLY IT IS UP 80% OVER THE LAST 12 MONTHS SO THIS REINFORCES THE FACT THAT SPENDING WILL CONTINUE, THE AI TRADE IS NOT OVER YET.
Contexte "IF YOU LOOK AT APPLE BUT SPECIFICALLY IT IS UP 80% OVER THE LAST 12 MONTHS SO THIS REINFORCES THE FACT THAT SPENDING WILL CONTINUE, THE AI TRADE IS NOT OVER YET."
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Entrée $259,27 23 juil 2026Actuel $265,16 28 août 2026Résultat +$5,89
J AND J IS UP 50%, RAISE DIVIDENDS THE 65TH YEAR, THAT HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH AI.
Contexte "J AND J IS UP 50%, RAISE DIVIDENDS THE 65TH YEAR"
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Entrée $990,21 23 juil 2026Actuel $916,61 28 août 2026Résultat −$73,60
S K HYNEKS, MICRON TRADING TO THE MOON, SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX IS UP THIS YEAR.
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Entrée $539,69 23 juil 2026Actuel $470,14 28 août 2026Résultat −$69,56
AMD AND ANTHROPIC, ANTHROPIC WILL PURCHASE TWO GIGAWATTS OF AI CHIPS NEXT YEAR. AMD WILL INVEST 5 BILLION IN ANTHROPIC.
Transcription Complète
MARIA: TIME FOR WALL STREET. JOINING ME IS RYAN PAYNE AND MITCH ROCHELLE. THANK YOU FOR JOINING THE CONVERSATION. MARKETS ARE LOWER DOWN ONE HUNDRED 80 ONE. THIS EXTENDS THE LOSSES OF YESTERDAY, NASDAQ DOWN ONE HUNDRED 12 AFTER THEY FINISH LOWER YESTERDAY AS A SPIKE IN OIL PRICES IMPACTED STOCKS AS YOU CAN SEE, THE NASDAQ WAS DOWN 146. EARNINGS ARE DRIVING THINGS AS WELL, BIG DAVE EARNINGS, COMCAST, LOCKHEED MARTIN, LOCKHEED REPORTED A HUGE DOUBLE BEAT ON EARNINGS MOMENTS AGO, RAISED ITS OUTLOOK ON SALES AND PROFITS WHICH IMPROVED IN ALL THE COMPANY'S DIVISIONS INCLUDING AEROSPACE, MISSILES, HELICOPTERS AND SPACE, GOOGLE AND HAS LOW, BOTH COMPANIES POSTED NEGATIVE FREE CASH FLOW, AI INVESTMENT AND SPENDING BUT A LITTLE BIT OF A RALLY, CHIP STOCKS, TAKE A LOOK AT CHIPS. AMD AND ANTHROPIC, ANTHROPIC WILL PURCHASE TWO GIGAWATTS OF AI CHIPS NEXT YEAR. AMD WILL INVEST 5 BILLION IN ANTHROPIC. ASSESSES BACKDROP. RYAN:IT WILL CONTINUE. THEY WILL SPEND $258 BILLION ON AI INFRASTRUCTURE. THAT GOES TO SEMI CONDUCTOR STOCKS. IN 2000 TO THE WHOLE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY IS WORTH $2 TRILLION. IT IS WORTH 20 TRILLION TODAY. MASSIVE MONEY ON THIS INFRASTRUCTURE BILL. S K HYNEKS, MICRON TRADING TO THE MOON, SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX IS UP THIS YEAR. IF YOU LOOK AT ALPHABET, THEY ARE A $4 TRILLION COMPANY INCREASING REVENUE BY 20% YEAR-OVER-YEAR. THESE MASSIVE AMERICAN COMPANIES ARE GROWING THE REVENUE OF HUGE RATES. IT TELLS US THE PARTY IS NOT OVER YET. WE'VE SEEN OTHERS LACK BUT IF YOU LOOK AT APPLE BUT SPECIFICALLY IT IS UP 80% OVER THE LAST 12 MONTHS SO THIS REINFORCES THE FACT THAT SPENDING WILL CONTINUE, THE AI TRADE IS NOT OVER YET. AT SOME POINT THE PARTY WILL STOP BUT NO TIME SOON AND I SEE REAL ROTATION INTO NEGATIVE NAMES AT SOME POINT LATER IN THE YEAR. MARIA: WHEN WE SPOKE WITH BRAD GERSHON HER RECENTLY HE MADE THE RIGHT POINT THAT THIS MARKET IS TRADING AND SPENDING AND IF WE GET ANY HINT THAT ALL THE AT SPENDING ON THE INFRASTRUCTURE BUILDOUT IS SLOWING DOWN IT HAPPENED TO IBM LAST WEEK, STOCK WAS DOWN 25% IN A DAY, THE WORST DAY EVER FOR IBM. IBM SAID THEY'VE SEEN CUSTOMERS SHIFTING THEIR SPENDING. DEPENDING WHERE THE SPENDING ON AI GOES DOES THAT DICTATE WHERE THE STOCK MARKET GOES? RYAN:IT DOES FOR COMPONENTS OF THE STOCK MARKET. THERE ARE SO MANY BALLMER MARKETS HAPPENING IN PLAIN SIGHT RIGHT NOW, J AND J IS UP 50%, RAISE DIVIDENDS THE 65TH YEAR, THAT HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH AI. THE ENERGY TRADE HAS DONE WELL THIS YEAR BUT IF YOU LOOK AT ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE, PREDICATED ON THE PRICE OF OIL BUT IT IS UP 30% THIS YEAR. THAT'S BASED ON THE FACT WE ARE EXPORTING MORE LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS TO EUROPE THAN WE EVER HAD BEFORE DOUBLING THE NEXT 12 YEARS AND WE ARE GETTING 10% EARNINGS GROWTH YEAR-OVER-YEAR, 80% MARGINS SO EVEN IF THE AI TRADE DOES COOL OFF, I WOULD MAKE A LOT OF MONEY IF I KNEW BUT IT DOESN'T WORK THAT WAY. THERE'S OTHER PLACES TO ALLOCATE YOUR CAPITAL BECAUSE MY BIGGEST CONCERN IS TOO MANY PORTFOLIOS ARE PREDICATED ON SPENDING CONTINUING TO YOUR POINT LIKE IBM IT WILL DROP LIKE A ROCK AND IT IS PREDICATED ON THAT, THAT'S A BIG PROBLEM THEM. LOTS OF PLACES TO PUT YOUR MONEY NOT PREDICATED ON THIS BIG SPENDING. MARIA: ONE SPACE X WAS GOING PUBLIC YOU YOUR SELF CAME ON THIS PROGRAM AND SAID LET'S HOLD ON A MINUTE AND REMEMBER THAT BETWEEN SPACE X AND ANTHROPIC AND OPEN AI, WE ARE TALKING ABOUT COMPANIES LOSING $25 MILLION COLLECTIVELY. WHAT IS YOUR TAKE ON SPACE X NOW THAT IT HAS BROKEN THE IPO PRICE AND WAVING AT 135. ELON MUSK HIT 8 IS A SPACE X MERGER, YESTERDAY WE SPOKE WITH KATHY WOULD AND SHE'S OUT LOCATED $80 MILLION ADDITIONALLY INTO SPACE X IN THE LAST FEW MONTHS. HERE'S WHAT SHE SAID ABOUT THE UPCOMING IPO OF TESLA AND SPACE X. CATHOE:WE THINK THIS COULD BE THE MOST IMPORTANT COMPANY IN HISTORY. I MEAN IN GLOBAL HISTORY. WE ARE TALKING ABOUT NOT ONLY EXPLORING A NEW WORLD, THE UNIVERSE, IN TERMS OF ITS LAUNCH CAPABILITIES AND HELPING OTHERS TO DO SO AS WELL BUT A GLOBAL COMMUNICATIONS NETWORK, TELECOM HAS BEEN A VERY LOCAL BUSINESS, THE WAY TO BREAK INTO COUNTRIES HISTORICALLY WAS TO PURCHASE THE TELCO. NO LONGER. THIS IS A GLOBAL BUSINESS. SPACE X IS THE FIRST MOVER WITH 75% OF THE SATELLITES OUT THERE AND BEYOND THAT, THE GLOBAL DATA CENTERS, ORBITAL DATA CENTERS SO THEY WILL BE THE MOST ECONOMIC, AND WILL ALLOW ELON AND TEAM THE OPPORTUNITY TO DEVELOP WE THINK SOME OF THE MOST SOPHISTICATED FRONTIER MODELS IN THE WORLD AT THE LOWEST COST. A HUGE OPPORTUNITY. MARIA: COULD BE THE MOST IMPORTANT COMPANY IN GLOBAL HISTORY. I KNOW TESLA IS YOUR NUMBER ONE HOLDING BUT THAT IS A VERY AGGRESSIVE PREDICTION FOR SPACE X. YOUR REACTION? RYAN:SHE DID NOT HEED MY ADVICE. THE PROBLEM IS THIS IS A VERY MATURE COMPANY, IT HAS BEEN AROUND SINCE 2002, 24 YEARS OF MATURATION AT THIS POINT AND THERE'S GOING TO BE COMPETITION. A LOT OF THE GOOD NEWS, ONE. $5 TRILLION VALUATION IS ALREADY PRICED INTO THE STOCK, 80 TIME SALES, THE S&P TRADE 3 TIMES SALES AND ALL THAT UNRESTRICTED STOCK COMING TO MARKET STARTING AUGUST 6TH. THAT WILL BE A LOT OF SELLING PRESSURE ON THE STOCK SO THE GOOD NEWS, IT'S BAKED IN HERE, MAYBE PUSHED TO THE UPSIDE BECAUSE THE RETAIL INVESTORS BUT FUNDAMENTALLY THIS IS NOT A GREAT PLACE FOR YOUR MONEY. MARIA: TIMES LINK IS IMPORTANT FOR THE GOVERNMENT SO THAT'S ONE THING INVESTORS ALWAYS TALK ABOUT WHEN TALKING ABOUT SPACE X. YOUR THOUGHTS ON THIS MOMENT IN TIME WHETHER YOU ARE TALKING ABOUT SPACE X OR ALL THESE CHIP COMPANIES AND THE AI BUILD UP A ARE YOU SEE THINGS? MITCH:TIMES LINK IS THE HIDDEN GEM IN THAT COMPANY BECAUSE WHEN YOU LOOK AT IT, THERE IS SO MUCH DYSFUNCTION AND PRICING MODELS BETWEEN VERIZON AND AT&T AND T-MOBILE IN THE UNITED STATES, PLAYING THESE GAMES WITH GIVEN AWAY PHONES, THE TALK WITHIN SPACE X IS THEY WILL COME UP WITH THEIR OWN PHONE WHICH WILL BE A SATELLITE PHONE NOT RELIANT UPON CELLULAR NETWORKS WHICH HAVE ALL KINDS OF PROBLEMS AND THAT IS THE GAME PLAN FOR MUSK, THAT COULD BE A GAME CHANGER AND AS CATHIE WOOD, THAT IS A SYSTEM WHERE YOUR PHONE WOULD WORK WHETHER YOU'RE ON VACATION OR ON BUSINESS OR WHATEVER. IF THAT BECOMES PUBLIC, I THINK YOU WILL SEE A RALLY IN THE STOCK BECAUSE PEOPLE CAN WRAP THEIR BRAINS AROUND IT BUT THERE ARE OTHER HIDDEN GEMS IN THE COMPANY. BUT HER COMMENT THAT IT IS THE MOST CONSEQUENTIAL STOCK HOLDING, IF THAT WAS THE CASE WHY DID SHE LIMIT HER POSITION TO $80 MILLION. RYAN AND IT BAITED ON THE AIR ONCE WHETHER OR NOT SHE OWNED THAT IN YOUR PORTFOLIO, THAT'S ANOTHER STORY. MARIA: SHE WAS EARLY ON TECH AND AI BUILD OUT. WE WILL KEEP WATCHING THE PERFORMANCE, RYAN, GREAT TO SEE YOU. MITCH,
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