Recommandations
L'entrée est le cours de clôture de l'actif à la date de publication. Le cours actuel est la dernière clôture enregistrée.
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Entrée $206,64 03 août 2026Actuel $223,78 07 août 2026Résultat +$17,14
I would treat major Nvidia declines as opportunities to accumulate gradually, provided its revenue growth, margins, and technological leadership remains intact.
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Entrée $829,50 03 août 2026Actuel $858,03 07 août 2026Résultat +$28,53
I would accumulate Micron in stages.
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Entrée $545,46 03 août 2026Actuel $578,90 07 août 2026Résultat +$33,44
The third opportunity is not an individual company. It is the VanEck Semiconductor ETF, ticker symbol SMH.
Transcription Complète
Before we begin, I have an important announcement. Over 1,000 plus Discord members get early access to our research like the Microsoft and Amazon updates we shared with them before earnings. If you want early access to our research, consider supporting us through Patreon and joining our Discord community. You will get early access to my research, direct chat access with me, and entry to a community of more than 1,000 like-minded investors. Your support will also help us continue creating research-based videos. The link to support and join is given in the description down below. See you on the other side. Now, let's get to the main part. Something enormous is happening inside the global economy and most investors still do not understand its scale. Before the latest earnings, Wall Street expected technology companies to scale back spending on artificial intelligence due to negative cash flow. But, instead of slowing down, the spending is accelerating and estimates are rising again. Goldman Sachs now estimate that hyperscaler capital expenditure could reach 1.1 trillion in 2027. Morgan Stanley is even more aggressive. Its analysts estimate that spending by major hyperscalers could reach 1.2 trillion in 2027 and rise to 1.4 trillion in 2028. But, the most astonishing forecast comes from BlackRock. The world's largest asset manager estimates that AI buildout could require between 5 trillion and 8 trillion of total capital investment till 2030. Moody's also expects hyperscaler investment to approach 1 trillion next year supported by enormous cloud backlogs, continuing shortage of computing capacity, and rapidly growing AI adoption. And McKinsey estimates that meeting global data center demand could require approximately 6.7 trillion by the end of this decade. Think about what these numbers could actually mean. This money will not be spent on software alone. It must flow into GPUs, high-bandwidth memory, networking equipment, optical connections, cooling systems, electricity generation, transformers, construction, and enormous data centers. This is beginning to look less like a normal technology cycle and more like the construction of an entirely new industrial system. During the California gold rush, many miners failed to find gold, but the businesses selling picks, shovels, transportation, and supplies made fortunes regardless of which miners succeeded. The AI revolution is creating a similar opportunity, but on a scale the world has never witnessed. The biggest winners will not necessarily be the companies producing the most exciting AI applications. They could be the businesses supplying the essential equipment that every AI company must purchase. In this video, I will reveal the companies positioned at the most critical points of the supply chain and explain why the current market volatility could be creating some of the greatest investment opportunities of our lifetime. Because when more than a trillion dollar begins moving through an industry in a single year, that money does not disappear. It becomes revenue, earnings, and cash flow for the companies supplying the machinery behind the revolution. Nvidia is the clearest direct beneficiary because its GPUs perform the enormous calculations required to train and operate AI models. But Nvidia is not simply a chip supplier. Its advantage comes from combining GPUs with networking products, complete server systems, and CUDA, its widely used software system. Customers can purchase an integrated computing platform instead of assembling every component themselves. AI hardware also has a relatively short economic life. Data center operators generally depreciate GPUs and servers over approximately four to six years. While technological progress can make older systems less competitive even sooner. Hyperscalers must therefore build new capacity while eventually replacing their existing equipment. That creates a recurring upgrade cycle rather than a single round of purchases. For long-term investors, market-wide corrections can create attractive entry points. I would treat major Nvidia declines as opportunities to accumulate gradually, provided its revenue growth, margins, and technological leadership remains intact. Nvidia supplies the computing engine, but that engine cannot perform effectively without memory. Micron produces DRAM and high-bandwidth memory. HBM is especially important because it allows AI accelerators to access enormous quantities of data at extremely high speeds. Without sufficient memory bandwidth, even the most powerful GPU cannot operate at its full potential. Micron's fiscal third quarter 2026 result demonstrated how dramatically this demand is changing the company. Revenue reached approximately 41.5 billion, while its supported operating margin exceeded 80%. Management also said development of HBM 4E is progressing with volume production expected in calendar 2027. The investment thesis is that AI is changing memory from a basic commodity into a strategic bottleneck. Training and inference systems require rapidly increasing amounts of advanced memory, while expanding production takes years and costs billions of dollars. Micron is also using longer-term customer agreements to improve revenue visibility and reduce some of the extreme volatility historically associated with memory cycles. However, Micron remains cyclical. High prices encourage additional supply, and today's exceptional margins will eventually normalize. That is why position sizing matters. Instead of assuming that every decline must immediately reverse, I would accumulate Micron in stages. A lower stock price becomes an opportunity when AI demand remains strong, supply stays disciplined, and forward earnings estimates remain supported. If those fundamentals change, averaging down simply because the stock is cheaper would be a mistake. The third opportunity is not an individual company. It is the VanEck Semiconductor ETF, ticker symbol SMH. A semiconductor ETF reduces single stock risk. One company may underperform even while the broader semiconductor industry continues to soar. SMH provide exposure to a collection of leading semiconductor businesses. Its major holdings include Nvidia TSMC Broadcom Micron ASML AMD, Applied Materials, and Lam Research. Each company serves a different part of the semiconductor economy. Nvidia designs AI accelerators, TSMC manufactures advanced chips, Broadcom supplies networking and custom silicon, Micron produces memory, ASML, Applied Materials, and Lam Research provide the equipment required to manufacture increasingly sophisticated semiconductors. This diversification reduces the risk of selecting the wrong individual winner. If custom chips take some market share from Nvidia, SMH can still benefit through foundries, equipment suppliers, or other chip designers participating in that transition. However, SMH is not fully diversified across the entire stock market. It is a concentrated semiconductor fund, and Nvidia represents approximately 18.5% of its US portfolio in VanEck's June holdings data. Micron represented another 5.5%. Therefore, owning Nvidia, Micron, and SMH together creates meaningful overlap that can increase returns if the semiconductor cycle remains strong, but it can also deepen losses during an industry correction. Investors should treat the three positions as one combined semiconductor allocation when deciding how much risk to take. My overall strategy is simple. I would not chase the investments after emotional rallies, and I would not deploy all my money at one price. I would build positions gradually and reserve capital for corrections. A deep should be viewed as a potential buying opportunity when the long-term thesis remains unchanged, not as an automatic instruction to buy. The questions are whether hyperscaler spending is still rising, AI demand remains strong, earning estimates are holding, and the companies are protecting their competitive positions. Nvidia provides the computing power, Micron supplies the memory that feeds it. ASML captures the broader ecosystem responsible for designing and manufacturing the chips. No matter which AI model or application becomes the final winner, these businesses are positioned near the front of the payment line. That is why I view disciplined purchases during fundamental fear-driven declines as one of the most compelling ways to participate in the AI infrastructure boom.
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