Here's What's Next !!

Yeah. Warning. This video and all other videos on this channel are for entertainment purposes only. The content of this video and all other videos on this channel are opinions of the creator only and do not constitute legal, trading, investment, or financial advice of any kind. Investing carries a high level of risk and the majority of retail clients lose money. Do not invest in happens unless you understand the risk and you are prepared to lose it all. All right. Hello and welcome to Camel Finance. I'm your boy Camel and another week is about to be done and dusted. I've been getting lots of people ask me if I can review a chart. Lots of people keep requesting tickers and asking general questions, that kind of thing. Just so you know, quite a long time ago, I moved all chart requests and Q&A videos and stuff like that over to Slice because there's too many people on the YouTube platform and the YouTube member section for it to even be feasible. So, we deliberately keep a smaller group in Slice. If you have got a bunch of charts or questions and stuff like that or you want a more direct interaction with me, then that's the place for it. And whilst we're here, just a little nod to people to say the back tested data is coming very soon. It's all going to be made public so people can go and look at that. And because of the whole Trading View thing that's going on at the moment, there's likely going to be a discount code opportunity coming because Trading View have said anyone that's on a paid subscription or lifetime package or whatever they will honor, but from the 1st of November, all new customers will have to be via their marketplace and will be treated differently essentially. So, it means anyone that gets in or is already in, no changes for them, no extra charges for them, no nothing. And rest assured, if you're already a user of any tier or any payment plan or anything like that at all, then nothing's going to change for you. We got your back. And of course, there are complete fatal safes in place so that no matter what happens, everything's good. Everyone's always going to be taken care of. So, I'll give you my word on that. But yeah, if you're interested, look out for a discount code that's coming very soon. And then as for what happens from November 1st onwards, like I said, all existing customers, no changes. We'll we'll look after you and so will Trading View, but we are in the process of finding a few workarounds to deal with whatever madness and rugpool Trading View have decided to organize. Longterm, it's going to be an opportunity. Longterm, we've decided to build our own Trading View. That is probably going to take us a while, going to cost us a lot of money, but at the end of the day, that's what they get. So, so yeah, expect to see that coming. I imagine sometime around 2028. We've already started building it in the background. So, long-term opportunity, right? But yeah, all this uh back tested data will be out any day now. So, look out for that, too. Speaking of any day now, how long have we been saying we'll get into this window for TLT and see a turn. Okay. And I don't want to say, it's not really my style to be like, "Yeah, I'm calling the top now." Or, "I'm going to stick my neck out here." That's not really what I do. I kind of just wait for price to show me what to do, wait for confirmation signals, and then react to that. But if I had to guess, I would suggest we've got the best chance we've had in a while at seeing the top coming in for the yields and thus the bottom in the bond market. Now, again, this is no surprise based on the cycles. It's no surprise based on the RSI, by the way, either. So, the RSI is at the most oversold levels. It's been in about the last eight or so years. It's only been down here about three or four times before. During the bare market, every time it reached this level of oversold, it rallied about 20% on average. But look at this outlier back here. This was back in 2018 where it rallied 60%. Why? Because that was the seven and a half year cycle low. Where are we today? For the slow ones at the back, we are indeed in that 7 and 1/2 year cycle window. So, I'm not saying it's cycles, but it's cycles. Also, this is a 10-year yield. And I was showing you this before I even traced it. I did something like this, I think, didn't I? And I said, I wonder if we'll get something like that here. Certainly fits the cycles. Well, so far for an update, it looks like at the hard right edge, we have started the move down cuz we will certainly get this, right? We'll definitely get an ABC back into a weekly cycle low. Then the question becomes, does it resolve to new highs? Is this whole idea of mine invalidated and stupid? Or do we get left hands, lower high, and failure? Something like this. Okay, in which case the call is correct. Happy days. TT to the moon. And I think I got a good shot here at adding 20% to my liquid net worth in a single trade whilst only risking about 2 to 4% of it. Yes, I really said that and it's really true as I've shown you a bunch of times. If you're hearing this for the first time, then you've got some catching up to do. This is the contrarian trade. This is the one people are laughing at and mocking at and don't care about and they're snorting in derision at slurping dividends in the meantime and oh why do you care about TLT and yields are going to a million and a half% bro? Okay, but the asymmetry on this trade is the best I have seen in ages. So, if you know, you know. And if you don't know by now, I don't know what to tell you, frankly. But if all of this is not convincing enough, and keep in mind, I'm not really trying to convince anyone of anything. I'm just giving you my opinion, okay? I could easily be wrong. I don't care if I am. But I will say this, the odds of TT have bottomed have never looked better. This is the kind of stuff you want to see at turning points. We're still waiting for the confirmation on the chart as always, but look at this, right? If this can't save bonds, nothing will. The economist, will bonds blow up? No, I don't think so. I know there's a lot of people that think they will. Maybe they're right, but I don't think so. I think this is exactly what you'd expect to see into a major multi-year low. Everything we're observing here in the bond market, by the way, is textbook for these multi-year cycle lows. I know most people only really realize that the fouryear cycle applies to Bitcoin and they don't really know about the threeear cycle for the Dixie or the seven and a half year cycle for toot or the 8year cycle for gold and silver. And because Bitcoin's four-ear cycle currently is super atypical, people just conclude cycles are BS or they're made up or cycle traders can just move the goalpost or whatever it is they conclude. Okay, but if you want to know what does a textbook multi-year cycle low look like, it looks like this. It looks like everyone looking the wrong way at the same time. It looks like the charts printing picture perfect setups pending confirmation into the middle of the window. It takes the form of media attention. Okay? Only now are we getting this media attention. We didn't get it back here or back here or back here. No, no, no. We waited all the way until we're in the middle of the window. Then we get media attention. Then we get people despite me saying looking for a bottom between 78 and 80ish. Okay, we finally get to 78ish. I mean, all right, 77.87 if you want to be technical. Okay, right. But we finally get there and people are like, "Ah, idiot. It broke down." That is what the cycle lows normally look like. Okay? So, do not measure your multi-year cycle observations by Bitcoin's current low. Bitcoin's current low looks nothing like you'd expect it to look into a major yearly cycle. Doesn't mean it didn't bottom early. Doesn't mean it's not legal and qualifying. We'll find out in enough months, okay? Once we get past kind of like Q1 of next year, we'll be able to say with absolute certainty whether this low held and we are in a new bull market or whether that low did not hold and we put in a new lower low on the charts sometime between December and February. But if you want to know what to look for, okay, this is the ultimate learning opportunity. This is exactly what they normally look like. And that's why you can feel me getting a chubby as I'm saying this, right? You can feel my energy. I'm twitchy and excited about this, okay? Because this doesn't come around very often. This is a 7 and 1/2 year cycle. And it looks mint. It looks perfect. This is what they're supposed to look like, okay? This is a good good good setup. And when we get this, okay, you know, we saw this kind of thing in 2022. The camel crew OGs and triple OGs will have been there in 2022 when I was vibrating like this with a semi on the entire time going no way we're going lower right this is the contrarian trade the lows are in in the stock market I am buying Bitcoin at 18K I am buying gold here even though everyone's mocking it and saying oh it's a boomer rock and a shiny metal and it's going to be demonetized by Bitcoin right that's what they normally look like and that's exactly what this looks like and that's why as a weird autistic cycle trader this guy right here okay I get so excited about this stuff because this does not come around very often and the setup is perfect. The only thing we're missing is next month's candle to be big and green, okay? And then it's on. It's completely on. If all of that is true, okay, if the bonds are going to rally and the yields are going to come off, what does that tell us about the precious metals? It tells us a big resumption of the bull market is ahead, which fits with the fact that this is the half cycle low in the 8-year cycle from down here. We did extremely well and we were extremely contrarian back here to be buying gold and silver and all that stuff. Okay, if you go back, I was one of the very few people on earth that called this entire run before we even broke out. Okay, you can go and see the videos for yourself. I have not just jumped on the momentum bandwagon here. I have been calling for this since the third or fourth video ever posted to this YouTube channel. Back then it was crickets. Nobody gave a single rat's tail. And that's because typically as we get into these major yearly pivots, no one cares. Everyone's looking the wrong way. Okay, that was an extremely textbook setup as well. But like I was saying, if the yields have topped here and I believe this is the best candidate for that, at least we're going to get short-term top. Okay, that's the, you know, the worst case scenario and then that trade invalidates. But if I'm right about this, the yields are fully topping here. And that means a rate cutting environment is coming and that means precious metals to the moon. Huge upside here for gold and for silver pending one final lower low to sweep these lows. It makes perfect sense. It's aligning based on the macro. It's aligning based on the technicals and the cycles and silver to about 1,100. I don't think this is that crazy. I really don't think this is that crazy at all. Somewhere down towards 50 to load the boat. Even if this is half right, okay, and we get to 500, that is a 10x in silver. That's pretty wild. Okay, you can multiply that 10x by two, three, or four. If you play the silver miners in my opinion, and realistically, if we've got the 8year cycle low back here, okay, this is the half cycle low or the four year cycle, whatever you want to call it, then we're going to have this pop up, come back, 8year cycle low, and then we left translate and blow off in the final portion. Okay, and if you look at the rhythm of the metals market, this is what we typically get. Okay, it goes sideways, does nothing for a long time. Then you get a big bull market of 8year cycle followed by a left translated blowoff top. Then it does nothing for years and years and years at a time. Okay, then you get an 8year cycle and a left translated blowoff top. Then it does nothing for years and years and years at a time. Okay, until we get to here when finally it emerges from this huge cup and handle formation. And so far, look how early we are in the eightear cycle. Okay, this right here is the half cycle low, not even the eightyear. So, one full bullish 8year cycle, then a left translation, okay, for the next one. It gets us way up here. And then suddenly, it makes a lot of sense because gold needs to be north of 42K per ounce if you're going to put it in a 1:1 ratio with a monetary supply. And even then, they're only going to be able to plug around a third of the hole in the debt when the balance sheet using that reval because the gold in their vaults is currently valued at about $35 an ounce. Right? So, all of this is an enormous opportunity. And the thing is, whilst everyone's so sure of themselves that this is a silly trade and rates are going to a million% and whatever else, okay, it all starts here with these yields topping and the yields topping sets up something like this. Huge, huge, huge opportunity here for the metals. Meanwhile, we got Bitcoin on its way to a daily cycle low. A lot of people have latched on to this fractal. So far, it's pretty similar. We got a couple of days left until the weekly close. Where's the weekly close right now? fighting for its life at the most important level in finance. I do think it's going to have to come lower because we got a daily cycle low sometime around the 16th of October. I'm going to shove this up here somewhere. And if I hop down to a daily time frame, I think it makes sense that we do something like this daily cycle low and then go notice once we get here. Okay, this tells us whether or not the low is in or not. If we move to new highs, then we can say with a enormously high degree of confidence that we're only going to get that weekly cycle pullback and then go, this really was the bottom, we can scratch this one off, okay? And we can say this whole thing is one into two at primary degree before 3, four, and five come next. However, if this daily cycle low comes up here, makes a lower high or an equal high, okay, left translates and fails, then all of the balls are wrong and offside and the only logical thing to target is this, okay, down into a fourear cycle low. Now, I would argue this fits the rest of the cycles better than having the low in here, okay? because otherwise we're kind of saying Bitcoin's going to bottom here, go into a bull market, and then be pretty much invincible during gold, oil, and the stocks all going through some kind of rapid decline into their four-year lows. I'm not saying that's impossible, but I'm just thinking if everything else is going to come tumbling down into that kind of December to February window, wouldn't it be strange for Bitcoin to only print a higher low in here? I don't know. Stranger things have happened, but it all comes down to this daily cycle low. So, my plan is to trade this daily cycle low once it confirms. Okay? Because to be honest, I would rather pay a 2% stop loss here. See left translation and failure, head down here and buy heavy, then just assume that's what's coming, not get long, and then potentially get locked out in the bull case. So, I'm going to try and position myself for every outcome here. Okay. If I get some in here and we move higher, happy days. At least I got a bit of exposure to the move in the short-term account, right? And then if I get stopped out, well, that's a worthy sacrifice. I willingly pay the 2% stop loss here in order to load the boat down here, especially because all the higher beaters will follow at I'm going to go through my plan with the spot Bitcoin with the members in tomorrow's members video. So, to save myself repeating myself here, I'll just say I'm hunting a daily cycle low. I'm going to get long and then we'll see what the market will give, right? If it goes to new highs, happy days, we'll profit from that and then try to dock out before the decline into the weekly cycle low. And if it fails, then it's going to be party time. So, that's the plan for now for Bitcoin. Like I said for gold, super bullish short to medium term, okay, but still in the process of failing the cycle and heading for a four year cycle reset as is silver. No real changes. So little bit of a catch trend bounce, another failed daily cycle and that should do us, right? That should pretty much be it. I will say this, when you look at these higher beaters, okay, whether it's Riot or Marathon or Micro Strategy or Coinbase, a lot of these look to me like they're seeking four-ear cycle lows. Now they can go and seek fouryear cycle lows whilst Bitcoin prints a higher low. We could get this and then the higher betas like Microsoft, excuse me, like Coinbase and Micro Strategy, they could do this, right? Sweep the lows and go. That's entirely possible because they are higher beta. That means they move more than the underlying, okay, in both directions. So when Bitcoin's going down, they move down harder and faster. When Bitcoin's going up, they outperform. But with that said, I can't help but think to myself, if these are actually seeking fouryear cycle low, number one, that's good. That's a really nice opportunity for us to actually get the four-year cycle lows bought in these higher beta assets. Okay, we did that last cycle publicly and it worked extraordinarily well for us. But number two, the fact that they're kind of seeking four-ear cycle lows here, I think you could make an argument to say that's because this market's not fully bottomed yet, right? And I'm just playing both these ideas. I don't know. I really want to be bullish because that's a higher high. Okay, I really want to be bullish and say let's buy a higher low pullback because if we bottomed early and shallower than normal to me, the only interpretation there is we've got no more sellers. We've completely exhausted sellers and we're about to get omega bullish here. We got a lot of ground to cover very quickly. So, I want that to be the case. I want to buy the higher low pullback because I'm really just expecting this to absolutely moon, right? I'm thinking this is just going to be stupendously bullish. Yet at the same time, I know because I've been trading cycles as long as I have that this is like the most probabilistic outcome most of the time. If you just assume cycles are going to do their thing, you'll be right far more often than you're wrong. And then I look at the other cycles and you're like, "Yeah, they're all doing exactly what you think they would do, right? They are heading for four year cycles in the same window." So, it's a weird situation, especially because you got the metals, oil, stocks, all heading for that four-year window. So, is Bitcoin really going to throw a higher low in there? I don't know. I'm not convinced, but I want it to because like I said, then we're going to be omega bullish. But at the end of the day, this is what trading is, right? It's probabilistic outcomes. It's possibilities, and it's us trying to do our best to stay on the right side irrespective of what weirdness the market throws at you. So, in the short term, getting ready to long Bitcoin. I will talk about the spot with the members as I said and whether it's a higher low or a lower low is to be determined here but it looks to me like at least in the higher beas we're going to get the lower low. Okay, it does definitely look like that to me at the moment. This is a lower high. It looks like it's ready to head down. Look at the weekly time frame for Micro Strategy here. Looks to me like it's getting ready to top. Coinbase is already seeking lower lows. It's really not that far at all. In fact, if I turn this off, it's pretty messy. Look, highs, lower highs, seeking lower low, ready to cross, bearish on the weekly, head down for that same timing window at new lows, okay? And then no one's going to want to buy it except the camel crew. And it will be a really, really good opportunity. And we can do the same with all of these, right? Look how many attempts it's had to break the range, okay? And all it can manage was a fake out and then new lower lows. It looks like that's the end of this left translated weekly cycle about to oh, and failed. Sorry, already failed. Heading for a four-year cycle low. And some people will say, "Yeah, aren't these AI data centers now?" Yeah, probably. But that doesn't change the fact they have a 4year cycle that is very nicely synced with bitcoins. So, they all seem to be seeking fourear cycle lows. So, one final good flush seems to be coming here. And then I think that's really nice. We get to go and grab a bunch of these higher beta assets, right? Look at this. Look, look. You see what I mean? Like, we're going to get these four-year lows in most of these assets. We're gonna be able to buy the lows just like we did in 2022. It's just a question of what happens here. what happens with Bitcoin, right? But we will continue to solve this puzzle. The stocks still seem to be blowing off, don't they? Still seem to be roughly following this. So, I think next week we're either going to start to deviate away from this or have fireworks. So, that'll be fun. As long as we can get a weekly higher high close here, I think we're happy. And that's pretty much that. So, I'm wishing you all a fantastic weekend. If you do want to request some chart analysis or do weekly Q&A videos or anything, do head over to Slice. I'll leave the link at the top of the pin comment. Look out for an indicator discount code that's coming probably next week, I would imagine. If you're a level three YouTube member, look out for the members only video that is coming for you guys. We'll talk about grabbing some spot Bitcoin and how I plan to do it between sort of next week and the next couple of months. And until tomorrow's weekend deep dive video, wishing you all a fantastic weekend. Stay open to everything. Be vigilant because some wild stuff is brewing in the charts. I can see it right. I've been saying for a long time this current setup of going extraordinarily right translated, okay, is eerily similar to when we did it back here. And note the narrative repeat. You know what the narrative was for this? It kind of looks like that's potentially going to repeat. Okay, I don't know if it is, but if it did, it would have been in the charts the whole time, right? So stay tuned. See you soon. God bless. All the best from me. Cheers. Bye. Rocking the markets with his contrarian scream. Trades like a pro. No fear, no shame. Sticking to his guns in his money game. He's a bad ass. Oh yes indeed. Finance got the marketies on a bumpy ride.