How Much Further Does Your Altcoin Fall When Bitcoin Dips?

So my analysis is like this. Over this last year, this entire bare market, on each dump and each rally, how much did Bitcoin dump and how much did Bitcoin rally? And then at the same time, in the same period, how much did Ethereum go down and Ethereum go up? And take the average of that. That gives me the average volatility multiple of each altcoin compared to Bitcoin. So for instance, this recent move on Ethereum from August 18th to the recent high, Ethereum is up 50%. From 1,860 to about 2,800. Bitcoin is up 39%. Okay, so you take 50 divide by 39, you have 1.28x 28x multiple. Okay, now that's one move. Obviously, you could do multiple moves. You could do from the very bottom. You could do from the top from a swing high to a swing low and then look at the dump pressure and the dump percentages. So, how do you do the full calculation to be unbiased? Well, you need to do each single move and then local high, local low, and take the averages. So, it's too much math. So, that's why we do it with AI. Why not? It's it's just math. It's automated. So, here's the math. And you can find this sheet already. So, on Ethereum, we're looking at 1.3x average downside capture versus Bitcoin. That's this column. And that's Ethereum. So whenever Bitcoin moves 10%, Ethereum moves 13%. On average over the last year on each up move and down move. So that gives us 246 as a current target if Bitcoin goes down to 78,000. So what does that look like? Okay, first of all, the first thing you need to understand is everything needs to be based on the target on Bitcoin. You need a target on Bitcoin in order to make any calculation because everything moves with Bitcoin. If Bitcoin doesn't dump, your altcoins are not going to dump. If Bitcoin dumps a lot, your altcoins will go down. They will not go up. So, first you need your own target for Bitcoin. My target currently is 7,800 uh 78,000 right here. Okay. 78,000. And I am taking the recent high at 86 something. So roughly that's a 10% move. Call it a straight 10%. On I believe on a daily close that is 86 uh600. Yeah, basically 10%. So from the recent local high to this bare market support, Bitcoin could drop 10% in total. It's already dropped a bit. So from high to low 10%. That means from high to low I expect Ethereum to drop 13%. Which is like this. So daily close recent daily close high at 2770 and 13% below that you have uh 24 2380. Yep. 20 2400 bucks right here. So that would be an average expectation for Ethereum to go to if Ethereum if Bitcoin drops to 78,000. So then what is my action? Well, if assuming Bitcoin goes to 78,000, then I would buy Ethereum if it goes down here. If it goes below 2400 because that means it's cheaper than Bitcoin. I would not buy if it doesn't go as deep as 2400 because then it didn't drop as much which means Bitcoin is a better buy than Ethereum if that scenario happens. And then last thing I would say before we do the other altcoins is this is based on Bitcoin doing this at any point if Bitcoin doesn't go that deep. Let's say Bitcoin only goes to 80K, okay, but not 78. Then you have to adjust your target because then that means Bitcoin going down 7.5%. And Ethereum going down 7.5* 1.3 is two to 9 7%. So 9.7 is right here 2500. Okay. Okay. So if Bitcoin goes to 80K, Ethereum should go to 2500, which means anything below 2500 is then a buy. So you see how everything is dynamic. You cannot set a full on price target and say, "Oh, Ethereum is only cheap below 2400." Even if Bitcoin doesn't dump, which that's meaningless because if it Bitcoin just pumps to 90K, Ethereum is not going to go down at all probably. Okay? So this is dynamic. You have to understand this. That means what? It means you need to form your own target first on Bitcoin. What do you think the Bitcoin dip will be at and then you form your buy targets on individual altcoins based on their volatility. Okay. So the way I'm doing it is my AI is monitoring this. Okay. So since it has calculated all the different volatility multiples for these individual coins and now Bitcoin is at 84 8380. Okay, there are two trigger conditions. Number one, at any point if the altcoin has already dropped much lower than their expectation based on current Bitcoin price, then sends me an alert telling me oh like Ethereum dropped 20% today even though Bitcoin is only down 5%. So something is happening on Ethereum costing a capitulation. Good idea to pick up some Ethereum. So then I'll go buy. Okay. It does the same thing for XRP, for BNB, for Zcash, for near for Solana, for Dogecoin, for the coins I like. It's not watching every single coin out there because that's kind of stupid. It also watches Bitensor Tao. It watches Telegram coin. Those are the main ones at the moment for me. You can form your own watch list. Okay. And then second is obviously I'm watching the Bitcoin chart. Once we are at 78,000, I think it's safe enough to look at a lot of different coins and see which ones are cheap because chances are Bitcoin should bounce from that point, which means as long as the coin is cheap enough, those coins should bounce as well. So that presents a marketwide buying opportunity when Bitcoin is at 78,000. So that's two ways I can execute on this. Okay. So based on that analysis, I will quickly give you some popular coins buy targets one by one. So, first off, Ethereum, assuming Bitcoin goes to 78,000 as a bull market support, I'm just going to call it a a bull market