…on the lookout for is if Google's price does fall out of the support, if we start to see the buyer stepping in at each one of these key levels. Now, personally, I'm actually going to go in and um kind of contribute to that buying pressure. I actually have buy orders set in right now for Google at 336, 328, and $316 because I do know that if Google does happen to, you know, kind of pull through these levels, there's a really good chance to find some support on one of these and tries back at that topside resistance, and I want to catch that dip. Okay? …
I actually have buy orders set in right now for Google at 336, 328, and $316
Contexte extrait par IA
Now, personally, I'm actually going to go in and um kind of contribute to that buying pressure. I actually have buy orders set in right now for Google at 336, 328, and $316 because I do know that if Google does happen to, you know, kind of pull through these levels, there's a really good chance to find some support on one of these and tries back at that topside resistance, and I want to catch that dip. Okay? So, I'm going to do a bit of accumulating on Google as it comes down here.
Transcription Complète
Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, and Google. These are the four stocks that we are going to be taking a look at in today's video, as these hyperscalers have had some wild news over the last couple weeks, which has of course led to some very interesting price action. As you can see, many of them are still holding up pretty dang on well in the grand scheme of things with Alphabet coming in at a 4.24 trillion market cap, leading the hyperscaler charge. We still have Microsoft up around 3.93 trillion, knocking on that $4 trillion door. We have Amazon getting close to three trillion itself, currently at 2.8 trillion. And of course, Meta, which has been on an absolute tear for the last few weeks, sitting up around $1.83 trillion. As many of you know who watch the channel, we have some of these hyperscalers in the public portfolio. We got a bit of Google, got a bit of Amazon, got a bit of Microsoft, and I have been adding more and more recently. And so, in today's video, we have a very simple game plan. I'm going to break down what each of them is doing from a technical perspective right now. whether or not I think they may be a buy, a sell, a hold based purely on my own opinion and technical analysis, not financial advice whatsoever. And then I'll actually show you guys some of the decisions that I'm making in my public portfolio as a result of this analysis. So, we have a good bit to get into today. And I know you guys have been enjoying this more technical analysis focused content, especially for some of our favorite stocks here on the channel. So, if you do enjoy, don't forget to hit that like button, baby, and let's go ahead and let's jump straight on in. So, in today's video, we are going to kick it off by looking at Google because Google has been a bit of a McDougall recently. It's been a little bit boring. Okay, not a lot going on throughout the month of September. Not a lot going on through the month of October. And because of this, it's led a lot of people to believe that Google is dead, which is hilarious for a four plus trillion dollar company. But a lot of people are saying Google's dead, not going anywhere, nothing's happened. Don't like it, don't like it. But the reality is that while Google has been boring, there's actually been a um there's been some price action happening right now that actually does imply that Google's actually more coiling up for a big move that I do think is going to happen sometime probably within the next 30 days. So while everybody's thinking, ah, boring, nothing's happening. I'm looking saying, oh no, that pressure is cooking. It's coiling up and we're probably about to get something pretty big. Now the reason why I say that is based purely on the price action. What you can see is that from May to now, Google has consistently respected this downward sloping resistance right here and this ascending support right here. This ascending support leading to an apex right in about the November 25th time frame. This resistance leading into that same apex. Okay, so essentially what's happening is that you have support forcing Google's price up. you have resistance forcing Google's price down as it's of course bouncing between a major golden zone to the bottom side between 316 and 294 and a major golden zone to the top side between 386 and 370. So this is like a pressure cooker. Major zones of resistance above us forcing it down, major zones of support below is forcing it up. And so it makes a ton of sense as to why Google's felt dead, why it's felt boring. It's because it's trapped between this, you know, kind of supply demand battle, this buyer seller battle that's happening right now and it's not quite been able to make a decision of where it's going to go from here. So, knowing that we have some sort of pressure cooking right here, the normal question, well, what do we do right now? What do we do in a moment like this with Google where it's cooking between a major zone of resistance forcing it down and a major zone of support forcing it up? Well, personally speaking, what I do in these sorts of moments is actually very simple. I hold for the most part. I'm not doing any big buys. I'm not doing any big sells. I'm do maybe some small dollar cost averages, but that's more according to my monthly rhythm and a lot less because I'm just wanting to buy it at these levels, right? And I wait to see which party takes control of the price, right? If we see the buyer stepping in and start forcing Google's price up through this resistance, that's actually a very, very good sign and that can create some fantastic opportunities, especially if Google's price is capable of breaking not only through that descending level of resistance, but through this golden zone as well. Like I think if you see Google surpass 386 bucks, guys, you're probably going for an all-time high around 437 bucks. And I know a lot of people are going to say, "Tyler, that's not happening. Tyler, we're not going to see a high like that." Those same people, those same people are the ones who were on my live streams earlier this year whenever I said um that I thought that if Google broke through 317 to 331 that it was going to extend up towards $373. People said, "No, no, no, Tyler. We're not looking at a $4 trillion Google, etc., etc." And then what happens? it breaks through that golden zone and it goes all the way up into that same extension zone and then some. It goes a little bit higher, right? So, I absolutely do believe that if Google is capable of breaking through, of course, this top side of resistance in the golden zone, it opens up that door to that new all-time high. It opens up that door towards 437. Okay? However, if we do see Google's price rolling out of this support, well, that's when things can get a bit more precarious. What you're going to do is you're going to have three levels of support that you're really going to want to watch very closely. Those three levels of support are, of course, 336, $328, and $316. These are what are called bounce zones. These are the levels that Google's price has hit previously and been able to bounce off of, bounce off of, bounce off of. So, what you're going to be on the lookout for is if Google's price does fall out of the support, if we start to see the buyer stepping in at each one of these key levels. Now, personally, I'm actually going to go in and um kind of contribute to that buying pressure. I actually have buy orders set in right now for Google at 336, 328, and $316 because I do know that if Google does happen to, you know, kind of pull through these levels, there's a really good chance to find some support on one of these and tries back at that topside resistance, and I want to catch that dip. Okay? So, I'm going to do a bit of accumulating on Google as it comes down here. The worst thing that could possibly happen is that Google just nukes straight through these levels, loses the golden zone at 294, you know, because if you see Google fall below 294, guys, you're probably opening up for a return back towards 240. And that can be a, you know, quite a nasty fall for a $4 trillion company. Okay. So, right now, while Google's kind of pressure cooking between key zones of resistance and key zones of support, I have a very simple game plan. I'm just holding. I'm holding and I'm waiting. Let's see how it interacts with the resistance. Let's see how it interacts with the support. If it breaks through, we're looking for it to break 386. That opens up the door to the all-time high. If it falls through support, we have key levels of support down here that I'm going to be doing some accumulating at. Okay. Very simple stuff. I don't try to gamble and bet on what Google's price is going to do while it's in here because it's just too risky. I would say this is about a 5050 right now and I don't like to play with 5050 odds. All right, so that's Google for you. Very simple, very easy. So you probably won't see me doing much more purchasing on Google until we do get some ultimate decision here with this resistance or with this support. Moving on to the next one, we are looking at Amazon. Amazon is a bit of a different story. Okay, Amazon is a bit of a different story and the story for Amazon is a bit more zoomed out than Google as well. So what we can see is that Amazon has had um a very interesting year to say the least, right? We started off the year pulling back throughout the majority of the first like 6 weeks or so roughly. Then we went sideways going into April, you know, March, April. We saw a nice rally going into May before ultimately seeing a pullback during July. Then we saw that crazy pump in towards the end of July whenever everybody just got excited about hyperscalers again. And then since then we saw Amazon's price kind of pulling back. Now over the last, you know, let's call it roughly 12 days or so roughly, Amazon has actually done a really good job at going into some sort of recovery. But if you look at this for what it is, you kind of zoom out a little bit. What you'll recognize is that through this process of the highs and the lows, the pullbacks and the pumps, Amazon has actually been creating what you can clearly identify as an ascending structure. Right? Do you guys see that? You have your ascending levels of resistance here. You have your ascending levels of support here. Now, automatically a lot of people are going to see this and they're going to go, "Oh my god, that's a great thing." Right? That's a great thing because there's higher highs, there's higher lows. That means we're in an uptrend. And that is actually the case in the short to midterm, right? Let's call it the midterm. That's a little bit more um realistic, the midterm here. [snorts] The problem that I have, however, with this ascending structure that Amazon's price is in right now is that these sorts of structures have a history of breaking down. So, you'll go up and down in them a couple times, and you'll get nice runs to the upside and, you know, decent sized pullbacks, right? you'll see that happen. But they do have a history of breaking down. And it's hard with the hyperscalers because it's kind of like they move a little bit differently now than they did prior to being hyperscalers. Like when Amazon was just Amazon, its price action was a little bit different because it wasn't being weighed with a more highly leveraged multiple. But realistically, if you do go look at the history of hyperscalers, these sorts of more macro uptrends like this have a history of breaking down like 70% of the time. Like I'm not saying it's like 55%. I'm 70 75%. it is very normal for these things to break towards the downside. So, it's one of those situations to where it's like, yeah, it feels good maybe to see Amazon trending upwards and it's cool, right? Like, you know, the shares that we have of Amazon, not many shares, but some shares of Amazon that were purchased back in July are holding up well and they are getting some growth towards the top side. But the reality is that this is still a very precarious sit situation for Amazon right now from a more macro lens. Okay, there's a very real world that Amazon, even if it does make another run back up towards that $300 high, at some point comes back down, falls through that support, and ends up coming back down into these bounce zones, right? Right now, the bounce zones for Amazon are $226, which is this previous support right here, and $198, which is this support right here. And if you don't know how to find a bounce zone, it's very simple. If you have an ascending level of support and the price falls through that ascending level of support, go look back and see what levels actually created that support. This and this. Those are your bounce zones. They're going to be like magnets and they're going to try to pull the price all the way down to them. It happens all the time. Okay? It happens all the time. You see it very, very, very frequently. Like for example, I can show you a quick example. Watch this. Um, you see this? You see how we had this ascending level of support right here? Boom. And the price started to fall through it. Well, essentially what you're going to do is you would go back and say, "Okay, we had support there. We had support there. We had support right here." And essentially, we nuked straight through these two bounce zones, came all the way down to this first bounce zone right here, and that's where we actually bounced and then recovered, right? So, you come down to these bounce zones all the time. And so, for Amazon right now, its bounce zones to the downside are 226 bucks and $198. So, what does that mean for us? And kind of what does that mean for me going forward with my position of Amazon? It just means I'm taking it a little bit slow. I'm taking it slow. I'm taking it steady. That's the reason why you guys haven't seen me doing massive purchases of Amazon recently. Look, I'll still do a little bit of a dollar cost average here and there. Right out there 400, 500 bucks on Amazon as it gets towards the bottom side because I am still slowly building into my Amazon position, but you're not going to see me doing major purchases of Amazon, not while it's in this ascending structure, because there's just too much danger on based on historical performative data that says that Amazon could get some sort of rollover towards these lower levels. So, my plan is very simple. While we're in this ascending structure, play it slow, play it steady. when it's towards the bottom side of the structure, I'll do a little bit of buying, but I am saving some cash on the side to be able to accumulate Amazon at these lower levels if we go down there. Now, look, look, there's a world in which Amazon never goes back down that low. And we continue here and we break out. Cool. No problem. I still was able to build into this position, and I was still able to accumulate some Amazon. Maybe not nearly as much as I wanted to, but I was still able to get some buys going in here. So, I'm not saying I'm not going to do any purchasing. I'm just saying that I'm not going to do any big buying knowing that there is a bit of danger that some sort of pullback towards the downside could happen almost at any given moment to take Amazon back down to like 226 bucks. Okay, so just being a little bit careful with it right now. We'll see how it goes uh over the next couple days, over the next couple weeks. Moving along to Meta. Um what we can see right here is Meta has actually had a very different performance from essentially every one of the other hyperscalers. But it does it does make sense. Of course, you know, we've seen what's happened with Muse. We know that Meta recently released Muse um and that has given given them a ton of attention especially in the world of agentics and AI in general and that naturally is going to derive a bit of a higher multiple right and so naturally you're going to see Meta performing extremely well. Now I'm decently verbal in the fact that I'm not the biggest fan of Meta ever. I think they're good at a lot of things um for sure, but at the end of the day it's just something that doesn't really fit well within my own personal portfolios. But that doesn't blind me from the fact that Meta is having an outstanding performance over the last couple months and very well may continue to do so, especially after the move it's making right now. Let me show you what's going on. So, what we can see is that Meta from essentially August of 2025 to August of 2026, so for a full year, was stuck in this descending structure, running into the sell zone at the top side, running into the buy zone at the bottom side, just bouncing back and forth, back and forth, back and forth. Well, ultimately going into of course August as this whole Muse thing really started to pick up, Meta was capable of going towards the top side of the structure and breaking towards the top side of it. Now, this wasn't any normal breakout. You see, when Meta got this breakout, it absolutely flew through most of its other resistance zones, right? It flew through this resistance, this resistance, this resistance as well. But Meta was also capable of coming back up and clearing this yearly golden zone. You see this clearing that yearly golden zone at $727. Now, you guys know what I say. When you break the golden zone, an all-time high becomes very reasonable. And that applies to Meta. Now that it's broken the golden zone and it's back testing it right now. If Meta can successfully come back down and build some support on this golden zone, guys, or maybe even towards the bottom side of it between, let's call it 724 and 675, I see no reason as to why Meta can't use that support to try to climb, you know, continuously upwards. Let's say they have an earnings report that comes out. It wouldn't be this one, but it would maybe be the next one that says something along the lines of like Muse is generating them this or it's doing this for them in however way. I think they could continue to be priced higher. I mean, you consider the fact that Meta is a $ 1.8 trillion asset. I I could see, you know, 2.4 2.3 trillion bucks. I think that is something that is reasonable. And that easily could get Meta running off that golden zone and pushing into these all-time high extension levels. Okay. So, when it comes to Meta right now, the setup is very simple. It broke through the downtrend. It broke through the golden zone. And now it it got a little bit high. Like it ran a little bit hot. We all saw that. If we look at the toolkit, this bad boy was running super super hot. Let's go to the daily time frame so you can see what I mean. I mean the HCI, you can see that number right here. Now let's get rid of volume. Look at this right here. It was 4.9 4.96 4.92. Meaning that we were getting very very extended to the top side. You got to drive a bearish divergence right here. I mean those are all the signals and all the clues you need to say that some sort of pullback or correction is very likely going to happen. In addition to that, as we saw Meta going for this final run right here, we did start to see volume dropping off there. That was a signal that it was losing some strength as well. So Meta made a beautiful run, but ultimately it did start to lose a little bit of strength and now it's getting a bit of a pullback. The question for Meta is does it use this pullback to establish support? Can it take all of this liquidity, all of this resistance from back here, this whole golden zone, and flip all of this into support and use that support between where it is now and $675 to continue upwards? Because if it can, I'm telling you, you're probably looking at Meta chasing down 800, the high 800s, if not the low 900s. I think that's more than reasonable. If Meta, however, does fall through this golden zone and back into that descending structure, that's no bueno. You do not want to see that happen because that could easily lead Meta back down into the mid to low 500s. So, there is a really, really big spread for Meta right now based on which direction it goes in this golden zone. So, the best thing to do in this golden zone right now is not much. Pause, wait, watch. Let's see if the buyer starts stepping in. Do we start to get reversal signals? Do we start to get overextension? Do we see volume start slowing down during this pullback? Because if so, that could be your implication that we are about to get some sort of reversal towards the top side or does volume start to ramp up? Do the sellers start to pick up strength? Do the buyers show weakness and fragility? Because that can then be your implication that a larger move to the downside is coming. Once you start getting the signals, then you'll know the next move to make. Until then, what I personally would be doing is nothing. Small dollar cost averages in here if you really really want to get in some meta is fine. It's still a little bit hard to justify buying something that is still up, you know, 33% over such a short time frame, especially a company as large as Meta. I could understand people who want a dollar cost average in here knowing that it is a strong zone of support, but you know, I personally wouldn't be, but I do understand people who want to do it. Also, people who want to open up some sort of long trades. I know there are some people who are opening up long trades on Meta right now on a low leverage with stop losses set back under that golden zone trying to essentially catch a bounce towards the top side. I get that it's a little bit of a risky game, but not as risky, of course, knowing you have a stop-loss. I get that. Just be a bit careful. Um, speaking of that, one thing that I will say is that you guys know here on the channel, I am someone who does trade a good bit um on leverage. That is one of the things that I do pretty frequently. You guys have seen me do it decently frequently here on the channel. Um, if you do want to get involved in the world of trading, which means you have the opportunity to long assets and short assets and things like that. Bet on leverage, it's going to go up. I bet on leverage, it's going to go down. I do have a link down below. It's liquid. Liquid is the platform that I do all of my stock trading. I don't trade stocks on any other platform other than Liquid. And the reason being is very simple. It has some of the best fees and it has some of the fastest responses and it has one of the best user interfaces. It makes life very, very easy for me. Okay, so if you want to check out Liquid, I have a link for it down below. If you deposit $100 on the platform, they're going to give you a $20 bonus, which is nuts. It's a free $20 bonus just like that. And then in addition to that, if you use my link to sign up again, you're going to get 10% off your fees in perpetuity. Meaning you will always be able to pay 10% less on every single trade you take in regards to fees, which in some ways means that you're all of your trades get 10% less expensive, which is like amazing, especially if you start to pick up in volume and trade a decent amount. Okay, so I have that link down below. Please make sure to go check that out. Um, that's Liquid. It's the platform I trade on. This is an absolutely fantastic offer. You're not going to want to miss out on that. Okay, but with that in mind, let's move into the very last one, the shining star of the last few weeks, and that is Microsoft. As many of you know, Microsoft is one of those positions that honestly I do wish that I would have added a little bit more to the public portfolio, but I'll take what we have. It's currently at 37% in the last uh call it 8 weeks or so, roughly, $700 gain that we made on Microsoft there, and it's holding up pretty damn decently. Um, what you can see is that Microsoft had a high that it double topped at right here around $555. The first top was in July 28th. The second top was in October of um 2025. From there, we use this double top to get a full-blown capitulation towards the bottom side, revisiting these previous lows that were created back during the whole liberation day sequence in uh 2025. From there, however, we did start to recognize that there were some um signals flashing that said that we might start to get some sort of reversal here, right? The divergences were flashing, the overextensions were flashing on the toolkit. And I said, "Look, I think you might be getting a Microsoft starting to try to rally soon. I think eventually you're going to see Microsoft starting to maybe see the narrative shift a little bit. I did think it was going to take a lot longer than it, you know, than it than it actually happened. I was expecting to have actually more time, but I started going in and doing a bit of buying on Microsoft in here. Well, what we can see is that from there at the end of July, like a lot of the other hyperscalers, Microsoft made a fantastic move. It came up, it broke through that key zone of resistance, flew up through it, and then hit the top side of the golden zone. And I told you all when Microsoft hit the top side of this golden zone, I said, "Guys, this is the moment of truth." I said, "If Microsoft can break through this golden zone and sustain a breakout, I think it's going for a new alltime high. I think it's going to a new alltime high. It's going to struggle a little bit when it hits like 542 because, as you can see, there's a lot of resistance up there. You see this wick and this wick, there's a lot of resistance up there, right? But I think you're going to see a push towards a new all-time high. And what we can see is very clearly Microsoft trending up through that golden zone, creating some sort of ascending structure, now breaking up through that ascending structure, and pushing up towards the new all-time high. Now, is it going to make it? Um, I think it can. I I definitely think it can. The only thing that concerns me right now is what we're seeing on the lower time frames. If we look at the lower time frames as Microsoft is trending higher, it is starting to flash those signals, right? You're getting the bearish divergence. You're getting the overextension on the HCI, you're getting the overextension on the daily HCI, getting daily divergence. If we look at the RSI, the RSI is trending down as the price is trending up. Um, in addition to that, if we look at what's happening with volume right now, volume's slowly trending down as well. So, it's kind of one of those situations to where like Microsoft is doing a good job, but definitely every step forward is getting harder and harder and harder. And it wouldn't surprise me to see it, you know, kind of maybe slow down at some point pretty soon here. So, I do think that Microsoft is going to maybe get it might just get up to that all-time high. How far are we away from it? It's another 4.6%. It's going to be a little bit difficult, but it is seemingly validating a lot of what we've said um over the last couple weeks, and it's great to see. It feels really good to see, yeah, Microsoft just validating all of the thoughts that we had about it from whenever it was back here. You know what I mean? So, what would I be doing with Microsoft right now? Definitely not buying. I don't think that Microsoft is in a great moment for purchasing right now. It's getting very overextended. It's getting super close to a new all-time high. There's going to be a lot of resistance moving forward. And at some point, it's probably going to roll over, whether it's at the all-time high or a little bit, you know, above it. I think you're going to get a bit of a larger correction and pullback and reset to kind of slow down this price action before maybe Microsoft then tries to go for an extension or something like that, right? So, I don't think that like it's going to stop going up forever, but I do think that right now it's showing very clear signs that every step is getting harder and harder and that wouldn't justify a buying time for me. Um, if anything, I would either be holding or selling. I personally am holding because I don't want to sell my Microsoft. I am a long-term investor into Microsoft. I have Microsoft in my retirement accounts. I was actually buying it back in 2019. I recently started adding it as a hyperscaler into the public portfolio. The position is not nearly as big as I want it to be. I've told you guys pretty clearly I do want Microsoft to be a 24,000 to $25,000 position in the portfolio. We still have a lot of room to go there. So, I'm just going to be holding. I will be looking for opportunities in the future to dollar cost average, but now is not one of those opportunities in my opinion. Not when it's made a move of this nature. Okay. So, Microsoft, although it has been performing very well, I'm going to kind of just pause on it for now while it is kind of slowly inching its way up into this key zone of resistance. Okay, so that's what we got for you all today. Um, when it comes to the hyperscalers, hey, I will let you guys know. One thing, remember this isn't financial advice. This is just technical analysis. You need to do fundamental analysis to be able to, you know, kind of substantiate a claim that you want to buy something. In addition to that though, um, if you've been watching me do technical analysis today, and you've seen me turn on this thing right here, which looks like this, and essentially what it is is like this meter, and the meter goes up and down. This is called the TH toolkit. Okay? And the TH toolkit is a toolkit that I personally developed to help myself do technical analysis and then ultimately released for you all. But essentially, what it does is my TA for me. This meter tells me if the price is getting too high or too low. The higher the meter goes, the price is getting too high. The lower the meter goes, the price is getting a bit too low. These red lines are your key resistance levels. The green lines are your key support levels. The red D's are bearish divergence. They tell me when the price is about to slow down. The green lines are bullish divergence. They tell me when the price is about to try to reverse. As you can see here, it flashed reversed flashed reversed flashed reversed reversed reversed reversed. I mean, it works. It works really dangling well. Okay, so if you need a bit of help with your technical analysis, if you need a little bit of help doing it and opening up your charts and just understanding what's going on, I do have the link down below for the toolkit. The coolest part about it though, something that I did want to mention is that not only do you actually get the toolkit itself, you also get access to the Discord which has tutorials, 247 support, and weekly live streams. Okay, so make sure to check that out. The link is down below. Don't forget if you want to do some trading, I have my link down to Liquid as well. And I hope you guys did enjoy today's video doing a bit of analysis. I once a week like to break down each one of the hyperscalers for you all just to kind of keep you updated how it's playing out. So if you want me to keep doing this sort of content, please do let me know down in the comments below and I can't wait to see you all in the next one. Peace out everybody.
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