…usic]
>> The opportunity extends across transceivers, lasers, optical
components, silicon [music] photonics, testing equipment, and advanced
packaging. One stop positioned directly inside this bottleneck [music] is
Applied Optoelectronics. Right now is the perfect time to buy the dip as
company announced a $600 million equity distribution deal to raise more
cash. [music] This cash raise was anticipated as
explosive growth requires significant cash to expand [music] capacity. The
company reported record second-quarter r…
Right now is the perfect time to buy the dip
Contexte extrait par IA
"One stop positioned directly inside this bottleneck is Applied Optoelectronics. Right now is the perfect time to buy the dip as company announced a $600 million equity distribution deal to raise more cash."
Transcription Complète
Have you noticed how stocks like Micron,
Rambus, [music] and G Revolve didn't really climb over
the past year? They exploded. >> [music]
>> Behind those moves were three critical constraints reshaping the AI boom, the
memory wall, computer shortage, and the power crisis.
>> [music] >> While much of the market remains focused
on software, sophisticated investors recognize a deeper [music] reality.
Nvidia's GPU cannot reach their full potential without advanced HBM memory
and the enormous power infrastructure that needed to run them. The one-year
performance of Micron, [music] Rambus, and G Revolve reinforces our strategy.
Identify the critical dependencies holding [music] an industry back before
the market fully prices them in. These charts are not just impressive, [music]
they demonstrate what can happen when you spot a critical choke point before
the trade turns parabolic. [music] For early access to our institutional grade
research and real-time alerts on [music] the next sector rotation, join our
Discord community through Patreon using the link below. Now, as [music] the
primary AI trade begins to shift, the question is, where will the next
breakout opportunity emerge? [music] Right now, the next breakout opportunity
may be taking shape in two sectors. One of them is taking shape right above our
cities, advanced air mobility. The emerging [music] market for electric
vertical takeoff aircraft, air taxis, and autonomous cargo platform is
approaching the point where years of testing could become a real commercial
industry. [music] The revenue potential is substantial. Fortune Business
Insights project that global advanced air mobility market will grow [music]
from 16.5 billion in 2026 to 87 billion by 2034, representing a compound annual
growth rate of 23%. [music] Supporting that outlook, Acumen Research and
Consulting forecast the market [music] could reach 132.2 billion by 2035,
expanding at 24.7 >> [music]
>> annually. Although the estimates differ because the firms use different market
definitions, [music] both point to a rapid growth as electric air taxis,
cargo aircraft, [music] autonomous flight systems, and the
infrastructure supporting them move closer to commercial [music] deployment.
Those figures reflect far more than passenger flights between city centers.
The opportunity spans cargo delivery, emergency response, [music]
medical transport, offshore logistics, defense missions, regional connections,
[music] charging infrastructure, fleet
management, air traffic software, batteries, and specialized
manufacturing. >> [music]
>> In other words, the aircraft may capture the headline, but an entire supporting
ecosystem must be built around them. The regulatory picture is also [music]
beginning to evolve. US aviation authorities have established an
implementation plan designed to enable early operations at selected locations,
and have updated commercial aviation rules to include powered lift vehicles.
[music] These steps do not eliminate
certification, safety infrastructure, or affordability risks, but [music] they
offer a clear road from experimental prototype to revenue-producing services.
That is why this sector appears to be at the cusp of breaking [music] out and
surprising the real world. Markets often wait for visible revenue before
recognizing a tech shift. By then, the earliest opportunities may already have
[music] moved. The key is identifying the bottlenecks, certification, battery
performance, [music] manufacturing scale, charging networks,
and airspace integration. As each constraint [music] is solved, value
could flow not only to aircraft developers, but to the quieter
technologies enabling an entirely new transportation [music] network across
the globe. Two stocks stand out in advanced air mobility, but my number one
pick is Joby Aviation. [music] The company is closer than ever to
turning engineering and certification work into commercial operations.
Management plans to begin flights [music] in Texas in September and
continue targeting its first passenger before the end of 2026. Joby has five
electric air taxis flying, including its first [music] FAA conforming aircraft
with another 12 aircraft in production. These EIP P operations could generate
operating data, demonstrate readiness, and potentially [music] accelerate final
certification. The company is also preparing commercial service [music] in
Dubai while expanding its passenger network and infrastructure strategy
across the key [music] US markets. Joby's financial position gives it an
advantage in this capital-intensive [music] race. It ended the second
quarter with 2.3 billion in cash, cash equivalent, and short-term investments.
Management expects to use between [music] 385 million and 415 million
dollars during the second half before certification manufacturing and
commercialization. >> [music]
>> Although that burn rate means substantial its liquidity provides
runway. A further 250 [music] million strategic investment is expected
to close later this year or early next year. Institutional confidence is
strengthening [music] as Joby approaches commercialization. A
July 2026 SEC [music] filing shows BlackRock beneficiary owned 50.5 million
shares, representing 5.1% of Joby's class A [music] stock. Its position
increased from approximately 46.6 million shares at the end of March.
Other strategic and institutional investors also hold significant stakes.
>> [music] >> Joby still faces certification,
execution, and cash burn rates, but its aircraft progress, liquidity,
partnerships, and [music] expanding institutional ownership make it the
sector's standout opportunity. My second stock [music] pick in advanced air
mobility is Archer Aviation. The company is moving from aircraft development
towards operation, [music] supported by flight tests, infrastructure
investments, and a commercial strategy. Archer [music] recently completed a
piloted intercity flight between Salinas and Monterey, a step toward operations
under the White House EVTOL integration pilot [music] program later in 2026. The
company expects to begin flying from its airport base in Los Angeles before
launching EIV operations in Texas. >> [music]
>> Beyond its Midnight air taxi, Archer is expanding into autonomous cargo,
logistics, [music] and defense applications, creating routes to future
revenue. Financially, Archer remains well-funded for an aerospace [music]
company. It ended the second quarter with 1.56 billion in cash, cash
equivalent, and short-term investments. Second quarter revenue reached 5 million
[music] as autonomous operations expanded. However, commercialization
remains expensive. Operating activities consumed 156.4 [music]
million while 37.1 million went toward property and equipment. [music] Archer's
liquidity provides a cushion, but investors should continue monitoring its
spending and potential dilution. Large institutions are maintaining significant
exposure. [music] June 2026 ownership data indicate that BlackRock held
approximately 60.2 [music] million shares, or nearly 8% of the company,
after adding roughly 1.3 million shares during the quarter. State Street,
Vanguard, and other investment managers [music] also reported sizable positions.
Strategic industrial backing further strengthens Archer's credibility and
manufacturing [music] ambitions. Archer still faces certification, production,
and execution [music] risks. Nevertheless, its approaching US
operations, strong balance sheet, expanding platform portfolio, and
[music] infrastructure planning, and growing institutional support make it a
compelling second pick [music] in the emerging industry. The next major AI
bottleneck may not be computing power itself, but the ability to move data
between processors at extraordinary [music] speed. As AI clusters expand to
thousands of GPUs, traditional copper connections face increasing limits
involving [music] bandwidth, distance, heat, and power consumption. That makes
high-speed optical transceivers a critical layer of the AI infrastructure
buildout. This market appears to be entering a breakout phase. TrendForce
projects the global [music] market for AI-focused optical transceivers will
reach $26 billion in 2026, [music] growing more than 57% year-over-year. It
also expects [music] 800G and faster modules to represent over 60% of
shipments into AI data centers. [music] Meanwhile, LightCounting expects 800G
shipments to more than double in 2026 [music] while 1.6T adoption grows from a
small base to tens of millions of ports. >> [music]
>> The opportunity extends across transceivers, lasers, optical
components, silicon [music] photonics, testing equipment, and advanced
packaging. One stop positioned directly inside this bottleneck [music] is
Applied Optoelectronics. Right now is the perfect time to buy the dip as
company announced a $600 million equity distribution deal to raise more
cash. [music] This cash raise was anticipated as
explosive growth requires significant cash to expand [music] capacity. The
company reported record second-quarter revenue of 86% year-over-year, while returning [music] to non-GAAP
profitability. Its 800G revenue more than doubled sequentially and management
[music] expects demand for 800G and 1.6T products to exceed production capacity
through mid-2027. [music] To capture that demand, monthly capacity
is expected to rise from approximately 200,000 units to 650,000 units by year
end. Management's outlook points towards roughly $1.1 billion in revenue in 2026
with the possibility [music] of dramatic growth in 2027 as new capacity comes
online. The valuation also looks compelling at approximately four times
estimated [music] next year's sales considering the company's potential
growth rate. However, this opportunity carries [music] serious risk.
Manufacturing expansion require enormous capital, free cash flow burn remains
elevated [music] and further share dilution is possible. Applied
Optoelectronics offer powerful upside to the optical networking boom, but
investors should expect considerable volatility as the company finances and
executes its expansion [music] at global scale.
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